1 2 3 4 Reassessing long-term drought risk and societal impacts in Shenyang, 5 Liaoning province, Northeast China (1200 - 2015) 6 7 8 9 LingYun Tang1*, Neil Macdonald1, Heather Sangster1, Richard Chiverrell1 and 10 Rachel Gaulton2 11 12 1Department of Geography, School of Environmental Planning, University of Liverpool, 13 Liverpool, L69, 3BX, U.K. 14 2 School of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon 15 Tyne, NE1 7RU, UK 16 17 18 19 *Corresponding author E-mail:
[email protected] 20 21 1 22 Reassessing long-term drought risk and societal impacts in Shenyang, 23 Liaoning province, Northeast China (1200 - 2015) 24 25 Abstract 26 The occurrence of two severe droughts in Northeastern China since 2000 has raised attention 27 in the risk presented by droughts. This paper presents a historic drought series for Shenyang in 28 the Liaoning province, NE China since 1200 to present, with a reconstructed long precipitation 29 series (1906-2015), augmented with historical documentary accounts. Analysis of the 30 instrumental series using a standardised precipitation index (SPI) and extending it using 31 historical records has produced a combined series spanning over eight centuries. The combined 32 long series was analysed for patterns in drought frequency, severity and typology. Three 33 droughts comparable to those since 2000 occur in the instrumental series during the early 34 twentieth century (e.g. 1907, 1916-18 and 1920-21), and coeval archival sources reveal the 35 human impacts of these severe droughts. The archival sources demonstrate how reduced 36 vulnerability resulting from societal and cultural changes in the early twentieth century helped 37 prevent the loss of life experienced during comparable severe droughts at the end of the 38 nineteenth century (1887 and 1891).