Capabilities for the Miserable; Happiness for the Satisfied
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James Duesenberry As a Practitioner of Behavioral Economics
Journal of Behavioral Economics for Policy, Vol. 2, No. 1, 13-18, 2018 James Duesenberry as a practitioner of behavioral economics Ken McCormick1* Abstract In 1949 James Duesenberry published Income, saving and the theory of consumer behavior. His objective was to solve a puzzle presented by the macroeconomic data on consumption. To do so, he created the Relative Income Hypothesis. Duesenberry explicitly challenged the neoclassical assumption of independent consumer preferences and made use of ideas that are now common in behavioral economics: loss aversion, status quo bias, spotlight effects, herd behavior, and interdependent preferences. He also raised policy questions about the effect of redistributive taxes on national saving. To answer the questions he raised, we need empirical research by behavioral economists. Finally, the issue arises as to why the Relative Income Hypothesis has virtually disappeared from economics even though it is superior to the Permanent Income Hypothesis that replaced it. JEL Classification: B31; E21; E71 Keywords Duesenberry — Relative Income Hypothesis — independent preferences — saving 1University of Northern Iowa *Corresponding author: [email protected] “State a moral question to a ploughman and a reasons for supposing that preferences are in fact interdepen- professor. The former will decide it as well and dent” (1949, 3). often better than the latter because he has not Duesenberry’s appeal to psychological and sociological been led astray by artificial rules”. evidence marks him as an early practitioner of behavioral economics. In his view, Homo Economicus leads economists THOMAS JEFFERSON (1787) astray. Economists need to work with a more realistic vi- sion of human behavior, one that will provide more accurate Introduction predictions. -
The Relevance of Duesenberry's Relative Income Hypothesis In
Keeping up with the Joneses: the Relevance of Duesenberry’s Relative Income Hypothesis in Ethiopia Tazeb Bisset ( [email protected] ) Dire Dawa University Dagmawe Tenaw Dire Dawa University https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9768-0430 Research Article Keywords: Duesenberry’s demonstration and ratchet effects, relative income, APC, ARDL, Ethiopia Posted Date: October 7th, 2020 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-83692/v1 License: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Read Full License Keeping up with the Joneses: the Relevance of Duesenberry’s Relative Income Hypothesis in Ethiopia Tazeb Bisset1 and Dagmawe Tenaw2 Department of Economics Dire Dawa University, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia 1Email: [email protected] 2Email: [email protected] Abstract Although it was mysteriously neglected and displaced by the mainstream consumption theories, the Duesenberry’s relative income hypothesis seems quite relevant to the modern societies where individuals are increasingly obsessed with their social status. Accordingly, this study aims to investigate the relevance of Duesenberry’s demonstration and ratchet effects in Ethiopia using a quarterly data from 1999/2000Q1-2018/19Q4. To this end, two specifications of relative income hypothesis are estimated using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) regression model. The results confirm a backward-J shaped demonstration effect. This implies that an increase in relative income induces a steeper reduction in Average Propensity to consume (APC) at lower income groups (the demonstration effect is stronger for lower income households). The results also support the ratchet effect, indicating the importance of past consumption habits for current consumption decisions. In resolving the consumption puzzle, the presence of demonstration and ratchet effects reflects a stable APC in the long-run. -
Saving out of Different Types of Income
LESTER D. TAYLOR* Universityof Michigan Saving out of Diferent Types of Income IT HAS ALWAYSBEEN A SOURCEof professionalpride to me to be able to tell my undergraduatestudents in macro theory that economists know a lot about what makes consumers tick. However, in light of the experience of the past several years, I now state this proposition much more circumspectly, and perhaps should restrain myself altogether. For the fact is that in the last three or four years, the consumer has done few things predicted of him. To be sure, there have been some new elements in the picture: interest rates at the highest levels in a century; a "roaring" inflation, at least by contem- porary U.S. standards; and a temporary tax increase. But even so, the con- sumer seems to have injected his own element of eccentricity. Among other things, he was thrifty in 1967 and the first half of 1968 on a scale then un- precedented for the postwar period. And while he regained his taste for spending in the last half of 1968, it was rather short-lived. For in the third quarter of 1969, the personal saving rate again began to rise, and from the third quarter of 1970 through the second quarter of 1971, was in excess of the unheard-of level of 8 percent. * Computationsand researchassistance supported by the National Science Founda- tion. I am gratefulto membersof the Brookingspanel for commentsand criticisms,to Daniel Weiserbsand Angelo Mascarofor researchassistance, and to Joan Hinterbichler and PatriciaRamsey for secretarialassistance. I have also greatlybenefited from access to an unpublishedpaper of H. -
Monetary Policy and Transmission in the Eurozone and in Hungary Before and After the 2008-2009 Crisis
JUDIT SÁGI BALÁZS FERKELT Monetary policy and transmission in the eurozone and in Hungary before and after the 2008-2009 crisis APOSZTRÓF JUDIT SÁGI – BALÁZS FERKELT Monetary policy and transmission in the eurozone and in Hungary before and after the 2008-2009 crisis JUDIT SÁGI – BALÁZS FERKELT Monetary policy and transmission in the eurozone and in Hungary before and after the 2008-2009 crisis Aposztróf, Budapest, 2020 TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES 9 INTRODUCTION 13 1. MONETARY POLICY INTERVENTIONS AND TRANSMISSION FROM A THEORETICAL POINT OF VIEW 15 1.1. EFFECTIVENESS OF MONETARY POLICY INTERVENTIONS 15 1.2. MONETARY TRANSMISSION, THE EFFECTS OF CENTRAL BANK INTERVENTION - GENERAL MACROECONOMIC MODEL 18 1.2.1. PHASES OF MONETARY TRANSMISSION 21 1.2.1.1. The st1 Phase 21 1.2.1.2. The 2nd Phase 23 1.2.1.3. The rd3 Phase 26 1.3. THE NEW MACROECONOMIC MODEL WITH QUANTITATIVE EASING 29 2. PECULIARITIES OF THE CREATION OF THE EURO AREA 37 3. THE MONETARY POLICY OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK IN PRACTICE 47 3.1. THE MONETARY POLICY STRATEGY OF ECB 47 3.2. ASSESSMENT OF MONETARY POLICY IN THE EURO AREA 52 3.2.1. Monetary policy in the euro area (January 1999 - August 2008) 53 3.2.1.1. Meeting the inflation target 53 3.2.1.2. Interest rate policy 55 3.2.1.3. Interventions 61 3.2.2. Impact of the 2008-2009 worldwide financial and economic crisis and the sovereign debt crisis on the euro area 63 3.2.3. -
Mid-Term Conference of International Sociological Association, Research Committee on Sociology of Leisure (RC 13) Organiser
Mid-term Conference of International Sociological Association, Research Committee on Sociology of Leisure (RC 13) Organiser: Institute of Applied Health Sciences and Health Promotion, University of Szeged, Juhász Gyula Faculty of Education Co-organiser: Szeged Affiliation of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Scientific Committee on Medical Sciences, Working Committee on Health Promotion LEISURE, HEALTH AND WELL-BEING Subtitle: Holistic Leisure and Health CONFERENCE ABSTRACTS Szeged, Hungary 18. – 20. September 2013. Editor in Chief: Prof. Zsuzsanna Benk ı Editors: Klára Tarkó, PhD. László Lippai, PhD. Proof-readers : Prof. Dr. György Csepeli Prof. Ishwar Modi International Scientific Board Prof. Zsuzsanna Benk ı, president of the board, head of the Institute of Applied Health Sciences and Health Promotion, University of Szeged, Juhász Gyula Faculty of Education, Hungary Prof. Ishwar Modi, President of ISA RC13 (Sociology of Leisure), International Institute of Social Sciences, India Prof. Dr. Imre Dékány, President of Szeged Affiliation of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Prof. Dr. György Csepeli, President of the Hungarian Sociological Association, Budapest, Hungary Prof. Miklós Tóth, President of the Hungarian Association of Sport Science, Budapest, Hungary Prof. Róza Ádány, President of the National Association of Public Health Education- and Research Institutes, Debrecen, Hungary Prof. Attila Oláh, President of the Hungarian Psychological Association, Budapest, Hungary Prof. Zoltán Vokó, Former Director General of National Institute for Health Development, Budapest, Hungary Organising Committee Klára Tarkó, PhD. president of the Committee, University of Szeged, Juhász Gyula Faculty of Education, Institute of Applied Health Sciences and Health Promotion, Hungary László Lippai, PhD. University of Szeged, Juhász Gyula Faculty of Education, Institute of Applied Health Sciences and Health Promotion, Hungary Ferenc Gy ıri, PhD. -
American Economic Association
American Economic Association /LIH&\FOH,QGLYLGXDO7KULIWDQGWKH:HDOWKRI1DWLRQV $XWKRU V )UDQFR0RGLJOLDQL 6RXUFH7KH$PHULFDQ(FRQRPLF5HYLHZ9RO1R -XQ SS 3XEOLVKHGE\$PHULFDQ(FRQRPLF$VVRFLDWLRQ 6WDEOH85/http://www.jstor.org/stable/1813352 $FFHVVHG Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=aea. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. American Economic Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The American Economic Review. http://www.jstor.org Life Cycle, IndividualThrift, and the Wealth of Nations By FRANCO MODIGLIANI* This paper provides a review of the theory Yet, there was a brief but influential inter- of the determinants of individual and na- val in the course of which, under the impact tional thrift that has come to be known as of the Great Depression, and of the interpre- the Life Cycle Hypothesis (LCH) of saving. -
The Relative Income Theory of Consumption: a Synthetic Keynes-Duesenberry- Friedman Model
RESEARCH INSTITUTE POLITICAL ECONOMY The Relative Income Theory of Consumption: A Synthetic Keynes-Duesenberry-Friedman Model Thomas I. Palley April 2008 Gordon Hall 418 North Pleasant Street Amherst, MA 01002 Phone: 413.545.6355 Fax: 413.577.0261 [email protected] www.peri.umass.edu WORKINGPAPER SERIES Number 170 The Relative Income Theory of Consumption: A Synthetic Keynes-Duesenberry- Friedman Model Abstract This paper presents a theoretical model of consumption behavior that synthesizes the seminal contributions of Keynes (1936), Friedman (1956) and Duesenberry (1948). The model is labeled a “relative permanent income” theory of consumption. The key feature is that the share of permanent income devoted to consumption is a negative function of household relative permanent income. The model generates patterns of consumption spending consistent with both long-run time series data and modern empirical findings that high-income households have a higher propensity to save. It also explains why consumption inequality is less than income inequality. JEL ref.: E3 Keywords: Consumption, permanent income, relative income, Keynes, Duesenberry, Friedman. December 2007 1 I Introduction After World War II the theory of consumption became a central focus of research in macroeconomics. With consumption spending making up approximately two-thirds of peacetime GDP and with economists fearful that the economy would fall back into a condition of mass unemployment, this focus was natural. Initially, thinking was dominated by Keynes’ theory of the aggregate consumption function that he had developed in his General Theory (1936). According to Keynes’s theory, aggregate consumption was a positive but diminishing function of aggregate income. James Duesenberry’s 1949 book, Income, Saving and the Theory of Consumer Behavior, challenged Keynes’ construction of consumption behavior by introducing psychological factors associated with habit formation and social interdependencies based on relative income concerns. -
Michael J. Boskin T
CURRICULUM VITAE Michael J. Boskin T. M. Friedman Professor of Economics & Wohlford Family Hoover Institution Senior Fellow Stanford University Stanford, California 94305-6010 TELEPHONE: Office: (650) 723-6482 Fax: (650) 723-6494 EDUCATION: B.A. (with highest honors), 1967; M.A., 1968; Ph.D., 1971 (Economics) University of California, Berkeley ADDITIONAL RESEARCH Research Associate, National Bureau of AFFILIATIONS: Economic Research Cambridge, Massachusetts PUBLIC SERVICE POSITIONS: Advisor, National Commission on Private Philanthropy and Public Needs, 1974-75 Chairman, President’s Council of Economic Advisers, 1989-93 Chairman, Governor’s Task Force on Tax Reform and Reduction, 1993-94 Member, Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors, 1993-98 Member, Advisory Panel, Congressional Budget Office, 1994-2003; 2007-2008 Chairman, Commission on the Consumer Price Index, 1995-1996 Advisor, Joint Committee on Taxation, U.S. Congress 1995-98 Member, Advisory Board, National Income and Product Accounts, U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2000-2008 Member, Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors, 2003-2010 1 Member, Commission on 21st Century Economy, 2009 (California Tax Reform Commission appointed by the Governor, Assembly Speaker and Senate President Pro Tem.) ALSO: Member, Advisor, or Consultant at Various times to: U.S. Congress, House Ways and Means Committee; U.S. Senate Finance Committee; U.S. Department of the Treasury; Joint Economic Committee, U.S. Congress; Federal Reserve Board; U.S. Department of Labor; National -
Front Metter, the American Business Cycle. Continuity and Change
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change Volume Author/Editor: Robert J. Gordon, ed. Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-30452-3 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/gord86-1 Publication Date: 1986 Chapter Title: Front metter, The American Business Cycle. Continuity and Change Chapter Author: Robert J. Gordon Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c10016 Chapter pages in book: (p. -15 - 0) The American Business Cycle Studies in Business Cycles Volume 25 National Bureau of Economic Research Conference on Research in Business Cycles The American Business Cycle Continuity and Change Edited by Robert J. Gordon The University of Chicago l?ress Chicago and London The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London © 1986 by The National Bureau of Economic Research All rights reserved. Published 1986 Paperback edition 1990 Printed in the United States of America 99 98 97 96 95 94 93 92 91 90 5 4 3 2 Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Main entry under title: The American business cycle. Includes bibliographies and index. 1. Business cycles-United States-Addresses, essays, lectures. I. Gordon, Robert J. (Robert James), 1940- HB3743.A47 1986 338.5'42'0973 85-29026 ISBN 0.. 226-30452-3 (cloth) ISBN 0-226-30453-1 (paper) National Bureau of Economic Research Officers Franklin A. Lindsay, chairman Geoffrey Carliner, executive director Richard Rosett, vice-chairman Charles A. Walworth, treasurer Martin Feldstein, president Sam Parkt~r, director offinance and administration Directors at Large Moses Abramovitz Walter W. -
Microfoundational Programs*
Microfoundational Programs* Kevin D. Hoover Department of Economics and Department of Philosophy Duke University Box 90097 Durham, NC 277080097 Tel. (919) 6601876 Email [email protected] 16 July 2009 (First draft; please do not cite without author’s permission. *Prepared for the First International Symposium on the History of Economic Thought: “The Integration of Micro and Macroeconomics from a Historical Perspective,” University of São Paulo, Brazil, 35 August 2009. Abstract of Microfoundational Programs by Kevin D. Hoover Department of Economics and Department of Philosophy Duke University The substantial questions of macroeconomics itself are very old, going back to the origins of economics itself. But professional selfconsciousness of the distinction between macroeconomics and microeconomics dates only to the 1930s. The distinction was drawn quite independently of Keynes, yet Keynes’s General Theory led to its widespread adoption. The question of the relationship of microeconomics to macroeconomics encapsulated in the question of whether macroeconomics requires microfoundations was not raised for the first time in the 1960s or ‘70s, as is sometimes thought, but goes back to the very foundations of macroeconomics. There are in fact at least three microfoundational programs: a Marshallian program with its roots directly in Keynes’s own theorizing in the General Theory; a fixedprice generalequilibrium theory, which includes some work of Patinkin, Clower, and Barro and Grossman; and the more recent representativeagent microfoundations, starting with Lucas and the new classicals in the early 1970s. This paper will document the development of each of these microfoundational programs and their interrelationship, especially in relationship to the programs of generalequilibrium theory and econometrics, whose modern incarnations both date from exactly the same period in the 1930s. -
Subjective Well-Being: Keeping up with the Joneses. Real Or Perceived?
Subjective Well-Being: Keeping up with the Joneses. Real or Perceived? Cahit Guven ∗ Bent E. Sørensen † University of Houston University of Houston and CEPR November 2007 Abstract Using data from the U.S. General Social Survey, we study the role of income and status in self-reported happiness. Unexpected income gains increase happiness and relative income is more important than absolute income, in particular, income relative to individuals’ own cohort working in the same occupation in the same region. Perceptions about relative income are more important than actual relative income in explaining individual well-being and perceptions about one’s own social class is more important than the actual social class in explaining happiness. Father’s social standing and occupational prestige during childhood decrease current well-being. The results are robust to instrumenting own income with sector level wages or compensation. JEL Classification: D14, D63, I31, Keywords: income shock, relative income, perceptions. ∗Department of Economics, University of Houston, TX, 77204 e-mail: [email protected], tel:713 7433818 †Department of Economics, University of Houston, TX, 77204, e-mail: [email protected], tel: 713 7433841, fax: 713 7433798. The authors thank par- ticipants at the International Conference on Policies for Happiness in Siena, the 76th Annual SEA Meetings, the 11th Texas Econometrics Camp, the 7th Annual Missouri Economics Conference, and seminar participants at Sam Houston State University and the University of Houston for their valuable comments and suggestions. Special thanks to Rainer Winkelmann. 1 Introduction “Happiness is not achieved by the conscious pursuit of happiness; it is generally the by-product of other activities.” Aldous Leonard Huxley (July 26, 1894 - November 22, 1963) British philosopher. -
Artículo Countries in the Hamster's Wheel?: Nurkse-Duesenberry Demonstration Effects and the Determinants of Saving
ARTÍCULO COUNTRIES IN THE HAMSTER’S WHEEL?: NURKSE-DUESENBERRY DEMONSTRATION EFFECTS AND THE DETERMINANTS OF SAVING Andrés Rius Carolina Román Rius, A., & Román, C. (2021). Countries in the hamster’s wheel?: Nurkse- Duesenberry demonstration effects and the determinants of saving. Cuader- nos de Economía, 40(82), 193-225. Throughout the world, stable regional patterns relating to private savings are hard to access. This article revisits the hypothesis that, as there is evidence of emula- tion patterns between consumers, there might be international (macroeconomic) “emulation”. We test demonstration effect theories exploiting international data on savings, incomes, and means of global exposure. We use two methods of media communication given that their penetration peaked at different times in the sam- A. Rius Instituto de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración, Universidad de la República, Montevideo, Uruguay. Correo electrónico: [email protected] C. Román Instituto de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración, Universidad de la República, Montevideo, Uruguay. Correo electrónico: [email protected] Sugerencia de citación: Rius, A., & Román, C. (2021). Countries in the hamster’s wheel?: Nurk- se-Duesenberry demonstration effects and the determinants of saving. Cuadernos de Economía, 40(82), 193-225. doi: https://doi.org/10.15446/cuad.econ.v40n82.78069 Este artículo fue recibido el 25 de febrero de 2019, ajustado el 20 de octubre de 2019 y su publicación aprobada el 25 de octubre de 2019. 193 194 Cuadernos de Economía, 40(82), enero-junio 2021 ple period: TV and internet were a means of discovering foreign consumption standards. With the resulting country panels, we find some evidence in favour of a statistically significant negative association for the demonstration effect.