V13 N26 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007 Nuance of war in ‘no man’s land’

Rep. Souder is skeptical U.S. Rep. Mark Souder with Ameri- can troops in Iraq in 2004 when he Iraq troop surge will didn’t have to wear a flak jacket. work as British pull out Below, a Baghdad bombing scene.

By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS - The tip-off for U.S. Rep. Mark Souder that the situ- ation in Iraq is vastly different than what President Bush and Vice President Cheney are telling the American people came with contrasting journeys to the war zone in January 2004 and March 2006. On his first trip, he could move around. Security wasn’t intense. But on his second journey, he was told to wear a flak jacket and more travel restric- tions were in place. “Last March and April, it was clear it was deteriorating,” Souder said last Friday as the House prepared to Souder voted against the pass the non-binding resolution against President Bush’s non-binding resolution, but not before registering some troop surge. “You could tell by the amount of body armor wrenching caveats. they were making us wear. We weren’t allowed outside “No congressional decision is more difficult than a vote related to war, and this the Green Zone. It was clear it was a mess. It’s a civil war. vote is no different,” Souder Always been a civil war. It’s at a higher level now.” See page 3

Delta House at the party?

By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS - For anyone who was in the cavernous Convention Center back in June 1992 to witness the glare Gov. Evan Bayh shot in the direction of Dwayne Brown, who was still campaigning for attorney “I don’t know. The answer is prob- general on the convention floor during the keynote, it was one of those unfor- ably yes, but I’m trying to discipline gettable moments. Bayh and his chief of staff, Tom Sugar, may not be control myself and not think about it until freaks, but they don’t like political surprises. we get the General Assembly over Which makes the antics of the - Gov. Mitch Daniels, answering if he Indiana Democratic Party thoroughly with.” odd, strange, mysterious and out` will seek re-election (Angola Herald-Republi- can) Page 2 Thursday, Feb. 15, 2007

of character. Since Bayh became the The Howey Political Report is The Howey Political Report party’s premier personality in 1988, he PO Box 40265 published by NewsLink Inc. It Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265. has had an iron grip on the IDP. No was founded in 1994. chairman ascended that didn’t have www.howeypolitics.com his blessing. Brian A. Howey, Publisher [email protected] Certainly Bayh is in full control Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington Indianapolis Office: 317-506-0883. of the party now. Isn’t he? His trusted Writer aide, Dan Parker, is chairman. His Indianapolis Fax: 317-254-0535. Mark Curry, Washington Writer Washington, DC Office: 202-256-5822. former fund raiser, Mike Edmondson, Jack E. Howey, Editor Business Office: 317-254-0535. is executive director. A very influential Democrat told me this week, “Nobody Subscriptions: ©2007, The Howey Political Report. passes gas at state party without Sug- $350 annually HPR via e-mail; All rights reserved. Photocopying, Internet ar approving it and don’t let anybody $550 annually HPR & HPR Daily Wire. forwarding, faxing or reproducing in any tell you otherwise.” Call 317-254-0535. form, in whole or part, is a violation of So, everything should be federal law. cruising quietly along toward the veep- stakes, right? Well, not quite. conscious decision. But it’s also easy Griffin, Myron Sutton and Ed Mahern This week, we learned that to see why the party would want to will attest. That $90,000 could have the party’s controller, Kim Bostic, will distance itself from the blog, and why come in handy last October. likely face D Felony theft charges for it keeps a phony wall of separation On election eve, I know of allegedly rolling up $90,000 on a party around it. While entertaining, the blog dozens of Republicans and Democrats credit card, including $73,000 for her takes partisan cheap shots to a new who thought Pat Bauer would end up personal use. level. Democratic Party officials want with a 54 or 55 seat House majority, Then there’s the party “Com- us all to believe the blog is a separate instead of the bare minimal 51 he got munications Director” Jennifer Wagner, entity. That way, they can benefit from during a significant national Demo- who instead of updating the party’s the trashing of the opposition while cratic wave. Before the election if you website (as of this morning, it’s still avoiding any public responsibility for would have said the Dems would pick announcing 2006 election night plans what is said.” up three congressional seats, I could on the homepage), developing a mes- The blog is a beehive for have made a logical guess that twice sage, keeping regular contact with the cowards who like to spout off without as many legislative seats should have activists, and building relationships their names appearing to back up followed. with the news media, has been spew- what they say. Since then, the assaults from ing and ranting on her blog. On Tuesday, when I called to the party continue. The phones don’t She earned a rebuke from get a comment on the embezzlement get answered. Media calls and e-mails Indianapolis Star columnist Matt from Chairman Parker, the conversa- aren’t returned. Little detailed analysis Tully, who wrote of Wagner on his tion quickly turned to Wagner, perhaps as to why privatization is as bad as the blog last week: “She was mad that I an easier topic. Parker repeatedly party says it is. had recently referred to the blog she insisted that Taking Down Words “is Over at the House, Demo- operates as the Indiana Democratic not a Democratic Party blog.” crats just stripped out the funding for Party’s blog. (She was so mad that she But she’s the IDP’s communi- the 21st Century fund, a pet program e-mailed me and my boss -- and, I cations director. Let me put it like this: of Govs. Frank O’Bannon and Joe Ker- think, even my mom.) Now why would If Tully or I were to go on, say, the nan. Bauer couldn’t hold the party line I have called the blog the work of the “Stan Solomon Show” after business on his own property tax plan. Indiana Democratic Party? Because hours and used slurs and slanderous Is this the Delta House? Or that’s what it is. Because Wagner has comments against minorities, we’d pay a Delta House party with togas and said many times that the party hired a professional price. thongs? her because of her work on the blog, This past week, I’ve talked This is not the firm, purr- which she uses as part of her com- to a number of Democratic leaders ing machine guys named Sugar and munications strategy — and which she around the state about what’s going Bayh envision at the party they are works on from her office at the party’s on at the State Party. I’m trying to fig- ultimately responsible for. It’s shock- headquarters. So I have and will ure out the communications strategy. ing that on the ramp up to the veep- continue to call the blog the Indiana To which more than one responded, “I stakes, Evan Bayh, who talks the need Democratic Party’s blog.” don’t think there is a strategy.” for “civility” in Washington, would Tully said the IDP designa- Blogs will not win elections, as allow his own beloved Indiana Demo- tion “was not a slip. It was a very Judi Anderson, Joe Pearson, Michael crats to become so undisciplined. v Page 3 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

From page 1 said on the House floor. “It is es- “What about Donald Rumsfeld?” Cheney suggest- pecially difficult when you disagree ed. with a President from your own HPR’s analysis of Souder’s political situation is that political party. The fact is, while I do not believe that the after experiencing his closest race (54-46 percent over Fort surge will succeed, none of us knows that it will not work. Wayne Councilman Tom Hayhurst) last November, he has At this point, it seems to me that our position as a Con- taken a more cautious approach to the war than U.S. Reps. gress should be to encourage success in this mission. We , and , who represent need to support the Iraqis overwhelmingly Republi- as they take increasing can districts. responsibility. What the The political world should see from us situation concerning is at least shared hope for Rep. Burton abruptly victory – not defeatism.” changed Tuesday Then came the when Republican John questions from the six- McGoff announced a term Republican from Fort primary challenge. With Wayne. “The President that challenge, Indiana also said, that unlike past could see as many as efforts, this time we will five or six Congressio- hold our gains. With nal districts in play in whom? With what?” the 2008 primary and Souder asked four days U.S. Rep. Mark Souder with Iraq ambassador L. Paul Bremer during his trip general elections. before the British and to Baghdad in January 2004. (Photo courtesy of Rep. Souder) Souder didn’t Danes announced they dispute HPR’s politi- were beginning to pull cal analysis, that if the out their troops out. “Will we need tens of thousands of U.S. position in Iraq continues to deteriorate, he could additional soldiers to hold any gains? The obvious premise find himself in an intense situation in 2008. Third District offered by the President is that the Iraqis themselves can Democrats are hoping that Hayhurst attempts a rematch. hold the gains. Based upon everything we have seen to Hayhurst is not seeking re-election to the Fort Wayne date, other than in isolated cases, there is no evidence that Council and passed on a run for mayor. He raised more the Iraqis will fight and die to defend their central govern- than $250,000 in 2006. ment. I have repeatedly heard from returning soldiers that, While Indiana’s 2nd, 8th and 9th Districts have when the gunfire starts, the Iraqis by and large disappear. long been on the national radar screen, the 3rd CD slipped They only seem dedicated when Shia get to kill Sunnis and into the mix last September and October when Hayhurst vice versa. posted the best fundraising efforts since Souder defeated “But,” Souder said, “the President does need to U.S. Rep. Jill Long in the 1994 GOP tsunami. Indiana understand that opposition to the surge is not just among Democrats pumped $40,000 of late money, but by that Democrats, it is even among his strongest supporters.” time, Souder’s intense command of the district allowed him Souder told HPR, “I have deep, deep concerns to pull out the 8 percent victory. about how the war was run. They should have parted with In a normal presidential year, a 3rd CD Republican Rumsfeld two years ago. He should have hired Coats at the could expect to have more of a tailwind. But that could beginning,” he said of his former boss, former U.S. Sen. change if the Bush-Cheney prosecution of the war con- , who was an early frontrunner to become Secre- tinues to falter. “This is a political no man’s land,” Souder tary of Defense. acknowledged about the Iraq War. As Bob Woodward wrote in his book “State of “For me, it’s been a long evolution,” Souder said Denial,” Coats had not been impressive in his interview with Friday. “My motivation isn’t political. It’s very nuanced. It’s Bush and Cheney. “Coats knew the top generals mostly been problematic for me.” from a distance and was lukewarm on the national missile Souder said he knew the political situation was defense system that Bush had promised in the campaign,” shifting when he and U.S. Rep. had Republi- Woodward wrote. “He had never run a large organization can primary opponents who each polled 30 percent of the and he acknowledged he would need a strong, experienced vote in 2006. number two at the Pentagon. It wouldn’t work. (Bush) “Things are so polarized now,” Souder said. needed a secretary of defense with more stature, grit and “There’s no middle ground. I’m trying to stake out some- experience.” what of a middle ground. The surge might work, but it Page 4 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

probably won’t. It’s not whether you can clear out a neigh- publican form of government, a unity government respect- borhood. We can clear any place. But how do you hold? ing the rights of others, could be established in Iraq. If this “There will probably be a total withdrawal and government of diverse Iraqis could prevail, it would be a Bush will try and blame it on the Democrats,” Souder said. model for the entire region. We needed to give them a “There could be a light partition. Pull back to the borders, chance for self-governance. But -- and this is a big qualifier to Prince Sultan AFB, and guard the borders. That may be -- it would ultimately be their decision, not ours.” the Republican position by December.” Souder said the U.S. “cannot sustain this intense On the House floor last Friday,Souder ex- an effort indefinitely. Complete victory over terrorism is un- plained, “I voted to support this war because I believe Iraq likely ever to occur. Sometimes you have to reposition and presented a direct threat to the United States. Iraq had, prepare for the broader battle, not exhaust yourself on just was developing, and was attempting to develop weapons one front and then risk defeat in the overall conflict.” of mass destruction. Iraq was, at a minimum, cooperating He ended his floor speech by saying, “I beseech with the funding and harboring of terrorists committed to our President, Secretary Gates, Secretary Rice and oth- our destruction. Saddam Hussein was repeatedly defying ers never to give up the War on Terror but to understand UN resolutions, contesting no-fly zones, and blocking WMD that, without significant tactical drawdowns in Iraq, our inspectors.” entire counterterrorism and military efforts are threatened. Souder continued, “I stated from the beginning Our nation can ill-afford another decade of defeatism and that, after removing the direct threat posed by the Saddam retreat that seized the United States after Vietnam.“ v regime, it would be in our national security interest if a re-

62 million people died. … He was maligned; he was criti- Pence finds peace protest; cized. They said he should be run out of Parliament. And, Burton sees a ‘world war’ of course, once the war started, he became prime minister and one of the greatest men of the 20th century.” By BRIAN A. HOWEY Burton continued: “We are in a world war now About 20 peace protesters ringed the office of U.S. against terrorism. I know my colleagues on the other side Rep. Mike Pence in Muncie on Wednesday. “We want to of the aisle said this isn’t a world war, this is a civil war. But keep the pressure on him, and we if you look at the record, since 1983, are not going away,” Jennifer Rice- there have been numerous attacks, Snow, leading the protest, told Rick numerous attacks, on the West. There Yencer of the Muncie Star Press. have been attacks at the World Trade “The first step is to stop the esca- Center in 1993. There were attacks in lation and then work to bring the 1994; the Khobar Towers in 1996; the troops home.” U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania Pence stopped by later. His in 1998; USS Cole in 2000; the Sept. office staff talked to the demonstra- 11, 2001, attacks which brought this tors, took letters and statements country into the war; the London and informed them of a Pence town bombings in 2005; and countless other hall meeting in Anderson on Friday. attacks. This is not confined just to “I have made it clear that I support the Middle East. These people want the surge and the President’s new to spread their venom throughout the strategy,” said Pence, who voted against the non-binding world. resolution opposing the troop increase. “The truth is we “Now,” Burton said, “if we pull out of Iraq, what must fight and win a victory for freedom in Iraq.” does that do? Everybody knows right now that the presi- U.S. Rep. Dan Burton, who learned he would dent of Iran wants to expand his sphere of influence. He is have a primary challenge this week, said on the House floor sending terrorists across the border from Iran into Iraq. last week, “When I knew this debate was going to take If we start pulling out and looking like we are turning tail place, I went back and started having my staff go through and running, we are likely to be in another huge war in all the newspapers they could find prior to World War II the years to come. I don’t know whether it will be two criticizing Winston Churchill for his stand against Hitler and years, five years or 10 years or quicker than that. But if the buildup in violation of the Treaty of Versailles of Nazi they develop a nuclear weapon, and they see that we are Germany, and nobody listened. And as a result of nobody weak, and we are pulling out, they are going to push, and listening, 62 million people died. Not 1,000, not 10,000; they will push until we have to go into a war that is much greater than what we face today.” v Page 5 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

bill that would create a commission to oversee war spend- Two Hoosier Democrats ing and force Bush to seek funds through the regular ap- propriations process. approach Iraq funding Ellsworth told HPR, as he headed for a town hall meeting in Terre Haute on Wednesday, that he has wit- question cautiously nessed “a wide array of emotions.” Some are saying stay put, Ellsworth said. “Oth- By MARK SCHOEFF JR. ers are saying, ‘Get our boys out.’” He asked for a show WASHINGTON - Each new Democratic member of of hands at one town hall at a Montana Steakhouse in Indiana’s U.S. House delegation voted in favor of a non- Vincennes, saying, “How many people think we should get binding resolution last week rebuking President Bush on his out?” handling of the Iraq war and his decision to send 21,500 “An overwhelming majority raised their hands,” more troops to the country. Ellsworth said. “Others disagree, saying if we get out, it But it is possible that as the Iraq debate moves to will make matters worse. And you can see the look in their the question of funding, Reps. (2nd CD), Brad eyes. They want to win, but they don’t know the answers.” Ellsworth (8th CD) and (9th CD) may head in dif- Ellsworth won’t abandon troops already in Iraq, ferent directions. Farrar said. “He’s committed to ensuring that the troops on Their Democratic colleague, Rep. John Murtha of the ground get what they need in terms of equipment and Pennsylvania, has said that he will attach restrictions to resources to do their jobs and come home safely,” she said. President Bush’s request for $100 As they travel their districts, each congressman is billion in emergency Iraq funding. noticing a high level of angst Murtha is chairman of the House Ap- about Iraq from his constitu- propriations Defense Subcommittee ents. and a key ally of House Speaker Nancy “What I’ve heard is that Pelosi. our troops should not be placed Last week, in a conference in what has become an increas- call with Indiana reporters, Donnelly ingly dangerous Iraqi civil war,” said he would not support adding Donnelly said. “I would be for conditions to Iraq spending bills. “I the surge, if I thought it would will be voting for full funding in future increase our chances for suc- supplementals,” he said. “I will provide cess in Iraq.” funding in every way, shape and form.” At Ellsworth’s events Ellsworth and Hill have not around the district, “there’s taken a stance on funding conditions, a general frustration,” about according to their respective spokes- U.S. Reps. Baron Hill and Joe Donnelly Iraq, Farrar said. “People see women. the body count rising; (they’re) “The last time Baron spoke looking for a new direction.” with Mr. Murtha, Congressman Murtha Moreau, who has been traveling with Hill, said, was still kicking around some different plans and had not “People are very concerned, frustrated and confused. Most decided on one particular proposal yet,” Katie Moreau, Hill’s seem in support of Baron’s vote on the Iraq resolution press secretary, said in an e-mail interview. “So, Baron will expressing the Congress’ disagreement with the need to review the proposal before making any statements President’s plan to increase troop size in Iraq. But, they on it or decisions about it.” often follow up to that question by asking what Congress is Ellsworth also is approaching Murtha’s proposal going to do next.” cautiously. “He hasn’t seen it,” said Liz Farrar, Ellsworth’s One step Congress should not take is setting a press secretary. “He doesn’t have a position one way or timetable for U.S. withdrawal, according to Donnelly. another until he has a chance to look at it.” “I don’t think it helps our efforts to try to set artifi- But Hill and Ellsworth also stress that they support cial deadlines,” he said. funding the troops, an issue that could become volatile if All three Democrats have been in sync on calling Republicans use appropriations votes to attack Democrats for the Iraqi government and Shia and Sunni factions within in the next election. the country to take more responsibility for ending sectarian “Baron has said publicly that he cannot, in good violence. That argument draws nods in town hall meetings. conscience, cut funding for troops that are already sta- v tioned in Iraq,” Moreau said. Hill is a co-sponsor of an Iraq cost accountability Page 6 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

I was humbled and flattered that people would consider Dr. McGoff makes a surprising me as a mayoral candidate. As I went around and talked challenge to Rep. Burton to folks, I kept hearing how “Bart’s bad” and “Bart’s got problems with infrastructure” but “we really need a new INDIANAPOLIS - In June 2002, HPR surveyed the congressional representative in the 5th District.” People roster of Republican secretary of state candidates and I talked to said, “You’d be great at that. You’ve got a noted: “A new wave of talent is seek- background as an emergency physician. You’re a 25-year ing to break through to the next level, veteran in the military. Would you ever consider that?” At giving the party new life, new blood, the end of the day, I sat down with pen and paper and de- stating an appetite, outlining goals and termined I could really serve the people better in Congress. dreams, and demonstrating how to We need to restore integrity and trust and that’s why I’m make it happen while going to great running for Congress. lengths to get it done.” HPR: What about the mayoral race? What was the Dr. John MGoff was seeking a final determinate factor that kept you from running? convention floor nomination, eventually won on third ballot McGoff: Both the mayor and Congressman Burton by , over Richard Mourdock and Mike Delph. are incumbents. They have a lot of money. But that didn’t Three of them have since gone on to win office. On Tues- dissuade me. I thought there were a lot of issues with the day, McGoff surprised people by announcing he would chal- mayor and there still are. This is really better suited to me lenge U.S. Rep. Dan Burton in the May 2008 Republican for what my skills are. I don’t think I’d be good at filling primary. potholes and those kind of things. McGoff served two terms as Marion County coro- HPR: How much does Burton have on hand right ner. In the 2002 race, he raised more than $91,000, at- now? tained the endorsements of Govs. Doc Bowen and Edgar McGoff: Over $700,000. Whitcomb, as well as from Sens. Larry Borst, Marvin Rieg- HPR: I’m surprised it’s that low. How do you over- secker, Mike Young, and Reps. Mike Murphy, Tim Neese and come that? John Keeler. McGoff: Money is great, but grassroots win McGoff finished elections first and fore- fourth on the first ballot most. I’ve gone around after Marion County Sheriff the district and listened to Jack Cottey and Tom Sch- people and he’s out of touch neider bolted and the Marion with the rank and file. He’s County delegation slipped not gone to district meet- into chaos. ings. He’s not kept up with Five years later, and people. That’s how you win one day after he announced elections. Sure, the money is his challenge to Burton, great, it helps you build your McGoff stopped by the HPR campaign infrastructure. It offices near Broad Ripple helps you get out your mes- sage. I think I can raise a lot Park for this interview. of money. And I’ve gotten a HPR: I have to give number of calls from Demo- you some political credit for crats who are not only going using the speculation on a to cross over, but they’re challenge to Mayor Peterson going to write me checks. and instead redirecting that HPR: What kind of contact attention to the 5th CD. How have you had with people did this come about? you’ve got to go see in McGoff: I’d been Washington? the elected county coroner McGoff: Very positive. here for two terms. I’ve been Dr. John McGoff at the HPR offices on Wednesday. He said he It’s pretty interesting that out of office the last couple noted a blogger had called him “elitist” after he announced his even out in Washington, he’s of years. I wanted to get run against Burton. McGoff said that during his last shift in the not as popular as you might back into public service and emergency room at Community Hospital, a female stroke victim think. His voting record and people started approaching had vomited the chicken noodle soup she had eaten shortly before lack of attendance have not me about the mayor race. her crisis. “How’s that for elite?” McGoff asked. (HPR Photos by Brian A. Howey) played well out there. The Page 7 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

people I’ve called in DC were very supportive. My voting record and [Burton’s] will probably look very similar. The 2008 Indiana Governor only difference is that I’m going to show up and vote. Governor 2008: Republican: Gov. Mitch Dan- HPR: Do you expect others to get into this pri- iels. Democrat: Senate Minority Leader Richard Young, mary? Jim Schellinger. 1996 Results: McGoff: I’ve heard of no other names. That’s kind O’Bannon (D) 1,075,342, Gold- of an old trick in some campaigns, loading up the primary smith (R) 997,505, Dillon (L) with people whose last names begin with B and M. I don’t 35,261. 2000 Results: O’Bannon think that will happen. If there are others interested in (D) 1,230,345, McIntosh (R) running for this office, that’s great. That’s what makes it a 906,492, Horning (L) 38,686. race. I stepped up and was the first one to rise to the chal- 2004 Results: Daniels (R) lenge that we need a change in the 5th District. 1,302,912, Kernan (D) 1,113,900, HPR: You made a credible run in 2002 for secre- Gividen (L) 31,644. 2008 Fore- tary of state. How will that help you in this campaign? cast: With Mayor Bart Peterson officially saying yes to a McGoff: That was a great race. I went to all 92 third term and no to a 2008 gubernatorial bid, it didn’t take counties. I met lots of people. I traveled around the state much time for some new wrinkles in the and when you get out and meet Republicans from all walks Democratic field. CSO SchenkelShultz of life, it’s one of the most fun things you can do. I estab- CEO Jim Schellinger is exploring entry lished some great friendships and many are in the same into this race. He had a Statehouse counties that make up the 5th District. My 2002 race taught meeting with Sen. Richard Young on me about discipline, how to get out and travel around the Tuesday. Some influential Democrats state and more than anything, there are going to be some tell HPR that he will run and have been good Republicans quick to paint him as the emerging who will be very frontrunner. “I think he will end up with supportive. some pretty solid support,” said St. Jo- HPR: In seph County Chairman Butch Morgan. He is seeking the support of Mayor Pe- that 2002 race, Schellinger everybody - Sec- terson, Sen. Evan Bayh, U.S. Rep. Ju- retary of State lia Carson and former Gov. Joe Ker- Rokita, Treasurer nan. Morgan said that Schellinger, a native of South Bend, Mourdock, and will likely get Kernan’s support. “He’s piecing it together so Sen. Delph - have he’ll have that support,” Morgan said. CSO SchenkelShultz all moved up. is an architectural firm developing civic projects, education McGoff: facilities (K-12 and higher education), corporate head- That’s true. I quarters and office structures, corporate interiors, justice haven’t talked to applications and aviation facilities. CSO and SchenkelShultz, Todd or Richard which merged under Schellinger's leadership in 2005, both or Mike just yet, have long established histories in Indiana; the companies but I’d love to were founded in 1961 and 1958 respectively. Schellinger, U.S. Rep. Dan Burton (right) with protege have their sup- who joined the firm in 1987, is a registered architect with State Sen. Mike Delph last year. Burton wel- port. They’ve 20 years of experience in programming, planning, proj- comed the “ambitious” McGoff to the race. all landed with ect management, design and construction. Former House (HPR Photo by Brian A. Howey) something and so Speaker John Gregg reacted to news that Schellinger maybe this will is considering a run for governor by saying, "Jim is the work out for me. 800-pound gorilla now that Bart is out. He brings a unique HPR: And where does this leave Indianapolis Re- perspective given his success in business. He has a lot of publicans? With Bob Parker? contacts and the ability to raise money. . . . I'm going to be McGoff: I’ve met Bob before and I think he can encouraging him to do it. I've got to be candid. His deci- become a credible candidate. He hasn’t done the things sion would make mine a lot easier." Some Democrats were that I’ve done, you know, coming up through the ranks saying that if Schellinger prevails, he would probably look as a precinct committeeman. There are a lot of problems. for a Southern Indiana running mate. Now, who might fit There are some checks coming due in the next administra- that bill? Young’s website - www.youngforgovernor. tion and we need to hold his feet to the fire. Crumbling com - is up on the Internet. Gov. Mitch Daniels has been infrastructure, crime. It’s all there. It’s all a matter of some- touring kindergartens on both ends of the state this week, body exposing it. v from Angola to Utica. Status: LEANS DANIELS. v Page 8 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

mayor’s office. Parker to run in Indianapolis, “We need to have a leader in our city with the ability to not only take calculated risks, but also to see the Henry emerges in the Fort decisions through to the end,” Henry said with Mayor Rich- ard watching in the wings. “With your help, we can make a By BRIAN A. HOWEY difference.” INDIANAPOLIS - Challengers in two of the big Henry promised to continue some of Richard’s pro- three Indiana cities either have or will emerge as the clock grams, including the Six Sigma efficiency program. steadily clicks toward Friday’s filing deadline. Despite Henry’s resume, Democrats face a daunt- Indianapolis businessman Bob Parker is expected ing challenge now that extremely-Republican Aboite Town- to file paperwork today and formally announce tomor- ship will be voting in its first mayor’s race. The aggressive row that he is running for Mayor of Indianapolis (Abdul annexation that began in the early 1990s under Republican Hakim-Shabazz, WXNT). Parker is a millionaire. And Mayor , now makes Indiana’s second largest while GOP sources aren’t saying what he will spend on the city as tough a challenge for Democrats mayor’s race, they say he can be as Indianapolis has become for Republi- financially competitive with Peterson cans. who has at least $2 million in his Steve Shine, Allen County Re- campaign account. publican chairman, said Henry’s name Parker owns Parker Ma- recognition will make his late filing a chinery, a company that works with non-issue (Lanka, Fort Wayne Jour- factory equipment. Darrell Morris has nal Gazette). Shine added, however, also filed for the GOP. that Henry’s last two campaign results His candidacy began the day aren’t the best starting point for a may- with some strange controversy. In- oral candidacy. dianapolis Star columnist Matt Tully Henry earned 55 percent of the quoted Parker saying, “I personally vote in 1999 by defeating Republican see Israel going into Iran and Syria in Laura Lee Waterman. The race was a the next couple of months. I’m sure rematch from 1995 when Henry won you realize -- well, most people don’t by fewer than 10 votes after a recount. -- millionaire Democrats outnumber Indianapolis Republican Bob Parker, shown Henry lost his re-election bid for the millionaire Republicans about four here during the 2003 mayoral race, is 3rd District seat in 2003 to Republican to one. It’s mainly because of the expected to file today. (HPR Photo by Brian Councilman Tom Didier, who was run- wealthy Jewish faction inside the A. Howey) ning his first campaign. Democratic Party. Most Jewish people Henry will face two gadfly candi- are Democrats and they bring that dates - Tom Cook and Fred Steinke - in the May primary. wealth. My opinion is, if Israel would go into Iran, Demo- Allen County Commissioner Nelson Peters and ar- crats will follow that cause. I really do believe that.” chitect Matt Kelty are the major candidates who have filed Peterson filed for a third-term this morning. The for mayor as Republicans. backdrop for today’s 5:30 p.m. announcement will be the Jubilee Center in one of the crown jewel neighborhoods of his tenure - the Fall Creek renewal area which a decade Weinzapfel may get a pass ago was a crack cocaine center known as “Dodge City.” Evansville Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel is about 24 hours away from getting a pass. There are no credible, Henry emerges in Fort Wayne party-backed Republicans who have filed and party officials indicated last week the chances for a major party-backed Fort Wayne Democrats hit a 9th inning home run candidate were “slim and none.” when they convinced former councilman Tom Henry to enter the race. Henry’s emergence is about as good of a scenario for Summit City Democrats. He was prepared for a Butterfield won’t run in Valpo 1999 run before stepping aside for Mayor Graham Richard. Former Valparaiso Mayor David Butterfield an- Henry compiled a stellar 20-year career on the city nounced he will not have a third race with Mayor Jon council, where he served with Senate President Pro Tempo- Costas (Times of Northwest Indiana). Costas is fac- re David Long. His council career came to an end when he ing a primary election challenge from Councilman Robert was upset by Tom Didier in 2003. But Henry is respected McCasland, but there is no Democrat. Butterfield defeated in both parties, is adept at retail politics, and will give Fort Costas in 1999 but lost in 2003 when he was out-spent 3- Wayne Democrats at least a fighting chance to retain the to-1. v Page 9 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

work in firms too small to be included in the monthly sur- What’s the truth about vey of jobs. But the difference between a change of nearly 62,000 in one series and nearly 21,000 in another may be jobs in Indiana? hard to explain to an impatient and skeptical public. There is a fascinating new series available thanks By MORTON J. MARCUS to cooperation between the Indiana Department of Work- INDIANAPOLIS - What is the truth about jobs in force Development and the U.S. Bureaus of Census and Indiana? Labor Statistics. The Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) It seems that I have to write this column every tell us, by state and county, how many jobs have been year. Our elected leaders and their appointees are once added and lost during each three month period. Jobs are again telling us how many jobs they have brought to us added by new jobs being created and firms hiring people to through their superlative efforts. Have pity on them. They fill existing jobs. Jobs are lost when workers are dismissed know what they are doing, but they don’t know what’s go- or leave for other reasons. ing on. These are numbers based on actual behav- Yet, you and I will go to the polls and judge them ior. They are not the promises (or lies) of press releases based on the number of jobs issued by governments or firms. But these numbers are they bring to the city, county, far behind the times. Washington, West Virginia, and Iowa or the state when we vote in are among the states with data on-line for the first quarter 2007 and 2008. of 2006. Illinois, Kentucky, California, North Carolina, and In a nation where we Pennsylvania are among the states that have their data believe that jobs are so impor- in for the last quarter of 2005. As usual in such matters, tant as a measure of economic Indiana is among the laggards with our latest data coming well-being, we devote a great up to just the third quarter of 2005. deal of resources to finding out When we look at the Indiana QWI data for the how many jobs are being filled year ending in the third quarter of 2005, it appears that we and how many people are added just 10,000 jobs from the same period a year earlier. working. Oops. That’s two A poor record. different things. The number But the data are not easy to understand. They tell of jobs is probably greater us that the state had 153,300 jobs created by new firms or than the number of people working because a person may firms expanding employment. The total number of persons hold more than one job. The federal government pays the leaving jobs because they quit or were let go for some states to collect some data on employment and it collects reason was 548,200 and the number of persons hired for some data on its own. Some data are collected monthly existing jobs was 463,500. The difference is 84,700 more and other data are collected quarterly. Some data are col- than simple churning of employees. lected from businesses and some from households. As you What happened to these 84,700? Did they might imagine, the result is a batch of differing numbers retire or are they among the unemployed? It’s easy to that do not provide a definitive view of economic perfor- think that they were fully accommodated by the new jobs mance. created (153,300). But the data are dealing with jobs and How is Indiana doing? If we look at the num- not numbers of people. Since people may hold more than ber of people who say they are working, 2006 may have one job, it’s difficult to get a real grasp what’s happening. been a banner year. Early results suggest that 61,800 Maybe some part-time workers are being replaced by full- (+2%) more people had jobs in ’06 than in ‘05. That is the time workers. Or are former full-time workers getting jobs biggest numeric increase since 1995. Wow. Can you guess as part-time workers in new and expanding firms? who is going to take credit for that? But hold on until the Until we know how to read this new QWI series, 2006 data are revised before breaking out any champagne. I hope that politicians will not cite these data as proof of If, however, we look at the number of jobs report- their economic virility. v ed by employers (rather than the number of persons saying they are employed) we find an increase in 2006 of only Mr. Marcus is an economist, writer, and speaker for- 20,800 jobs (0.7%) over 2005. Pending a massive upward merly with the Kelley School of Business at Indiana revision of the numbers for 2006, that’s a bummer. Who’s University. Contact him at mortonmarcus@yahoo. going to get blamed for that? com. His column appears weekly on the www.how- There are technical reasons for a difference eypolitics.com. between the number of jobs and the number of persons employed. For example, some people are self-employed or Page 10 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

lenge in the primary.”

McCain announces Mitch support U.S. Senator John McCain’s presidential ex- ploratory committee today announced that Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels will support the Arizona Senator should he decide to seek the presidency. Gov. Daniels explained his respect for Senator McCain’s leadership. “John McCain is a longtime friend. More importantly, he is a principled leader Ellsworth’s 24 town halls with a history of integrity, opposing excessive government spending, and dealing honestly with the American people,” U.S. Rep. got a week off for Presi- said Daniels. “The term ‘great American’ applies to very dents Day. So what did he do? He scheduled 24 town halls few people, but it indisputably fits John McCain.” around the 8th McCain said that having the support of Governor CD. He called Daniels will be an incredible asset. “Mitch is an impres- HPR from near sive businessman and public servant who understands that Terre Haute on common sense conservative principles and more effective Wednesday, government go hand-in-hand,” Sen. McCain said. “Having which was a the support of Mitch Daniels is important and I look for- startling devel- ward to honoring our common values as I move ahead in opment (i.e. this process.” an 8th District congressman Bulldog mania voluntarily call- With the Indiana Pacers in a perpetual perp walk, ing a journalist). the Butler Bulldogs have become the team du jour in “People Indianapolis. Walking into Hinkle Fieldhouse for last Satur- are talking day’s classic game against 16th ranked Southern Illinois, about the war, we found Deputy Mayor Steve Campbell awaiting Mayor immigration, Bart Peterson. And leaving after SUI’s 68-64 victory health care,” through the doors on the northwest side, we came face Ellsworth said. to face with Gov. Mitch Daniels, who offered up some “They are con- U.S. Rep. Brad Ellsworth (left) is not ready to instant analysis and could probably make a decent living as cerned about commit to his campaign buddy, Sen. Barack a sports writer some day. waste, fraud Obama. (HPR Photo) and abuse in Washington.” More obscure presidents Since it was close to Presidents Day, we asked For the 11th year, Columbus East High School who he was supporting for president in ‘08. “I really don’t social studies chairman Greg Lewis (left) acted the part know,” Ellsworth said. “I’ve met Barack Obama. I’ve not of a former commander yet met Sen. Clinton or any of the others, except for in chief and visited local Duncan Hunter and Dennis Kucinich in the House. schools in honor of Pres- We’re staying so busy it’s way too early to commit. I’m still idents’ Day (Columbus in mourning that Sen. Bayh pulled out.” Republic). Lewis began the day by reporting Don’t count on a challenger for Julia the weather and lunch The burning question we had for Marion County menu for Columbus Democratic Chairman Mike O’Connor over a lunch of East’s televised morning clam chowder and burgers at the Golden Ace Tuesday was announcements. Repub- whether U.S. Rep. would have to fend off a lican Chester A. Arthur Democratic challenger in the May 2008 primary. It was a (right) assumed the role of the presidency after the assas- relevant question given that Dr. John McGoff had sur- sination of James Garfield in 1881. v prised people with his challenge to U.S. Rep. Dan Burton earlier that morning. O’Connor answered, “This party owes Got a tip for the Boar’s Nest? Send it to: brianhow- so much to Julia Carson. There will be no credible chal- [email protected]. Page 11 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007

Sylvia Smith, Fort Wayne Journal But Jack was assassinated less than three years into his Gazette - You never hear about backgammon or tennis term. Jackie and John are gone, too. The nation was about figuring in a political scandal. If there’s a sport, a politician to revisit Camelot in 1968, at a time when U.S. troops were and a negative headline, golf is almost always in the mix. dying in the Tet offensive in Vietnam. Presidential candi- Recent history is replete with pols who found date Robert Kennedy, Jack’s brother, vowed to themselves in the rough after a round or two stop the insanity in Vietnam. But Camelot never of golf hosted by someone they shouldn’t be played again, as Bobby was gunned down on the so cozy with or at a time they should have campaign trail. Almost 40 years later, the nation been tending to the public’s business. Rep. Dan again is in the throes of depression -- torn apart Burton, for instance, issued a tepid apology last by a war we had no justification in starting. Our week after missing a week’s worth of votes and soldiers -- some young, some older -- are being committee meetings in Congress because he sacrificed under the guise of a terrorist threat. A preferred to keep his tee time at the Bob Hope dictatorial president has turned a deaf ear on the Chrysler Classic in Palm Springs. After refusing newspaper people he is leading to ruin. Wasn’t it fitting at the Grammy requests for interviews about his whereabouts, Burton went Awards the other night to see Joan Baez -- the voice of on a Republican-friendly radio show to say he skipped out protest during Vietnam -- introduce the Dixie Chicks, a bea- on 19 votes in January because he’d made plans to play in con of light for getting out of Iraq? More so than in 1960 the pro-am tournament six months and 1968, the country needs another Camelot -- someone ago. That was before Democrats to unite and right this misguided na- won control of the House and said 2 tion. Some say Barack Obama, the 1/2 -day workweeks and stretched- man who has the audacity to hope, is out vacations were over. “I thought that person. He may well be. Obama there’d be a few (votes), but I’d clearly has electrified audiences wher- already made these plans some ever he’s gone. Anyone -- Republican time ago,” Burton said on WIBC or Democrat -- who wasn’t touched radio in Indianapolis, where he and by his speech at the 2004 Democratic other Republican officeholders regu- Convention ought to check for a pulse. larly appear. “So I said, ‘Well, I’ll go Can Obama win? That remains to be ahead and go. If I miss a few votes, decided over the next year. But I do that’s all right.’ ” What it was “all know that if you don’t have hope, you right” for Burton to miss were votes don’t have much. Bush has done his on student loans, oil subsidies and best to extinguish hope. Obama is try- whether to deny taxpayer-financed ing to give it back. v pensions to members of Congress who are convicted of crimes related Gary Gerard, Warsaw to their official duties. He also chose golf courses in ritzy Times-Union - Fiscal fiction. That’s what always gets Palm Springs over two hearings on Iraq and one on North tossed around in Washington around budget time. If it Korea that were conducted by a committee he serves on. wasn’t so serious, it would be amusing. The “conserva- Let’s see: Hobnobbing with golf pros and well-heeled ama- tives” in the W administration seem to be some of the best teurs or listening to witnesses discuss a war that has ended at crafting fiscal fiction. As the 2,000-plus pages of the more than 3,000 U.S. lives? Guess it was a tough call. v 2007 budget – released early this month – are scrutinized, more and more of the fiction becomes apparent. It’s nice Rich James, Post-Tribune - The nation to make the budget appear in balance, even if the admin- was at its compassionate best in 1960 when John Fitzger- istration knows it isn’t. Again, if not so tragic, it would be ald Kennedy was elected president of the United States. humorous. Here’s a quote from the W. It appears on the It was a special time. Many called it Camelot. The Kenned- budget cover letter: “The budget I am presenting achieves ys -- Jack and Jackie and their young children, Caroline and balance by 2012.” That sounds really good. But the prob- John -- gave the nation something to embrace. They some- lem is, it is nowhere close to the truth. Not that it couldn’t how belonged to all of us. The nation needed the Kennedy be close to the truth. But given the realities in Washington, mystique at the time. Although it only had been 15 years I and everybody else even remotely interested knows it since the troops marched home from World War II to a isn’t true. The budget is so full of half-truths, gimmicks jubilant nation, the Cold War had the country in its grip. and bogus accounting, there’s no way to know for sure how Many thought it was only a question of when -- not if -- much red ink there will be. But one thing is certain: Red ink Russia would unleash a nuclear bomb on the United States. there will be. v Page 12 Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007 Citizen suit challenges her colleagues what Democratic House House Democrats add Rep. Soliday’s residency Speaker Patrick Bauer said about I-69 when he met with the Evansville $100 million to budget INDIANAPOLIS - House VALPARAISO - Five voters Courier & Press editorial board on Democrats voted yesterday to add from Porter and Jasper counties filed Sept. 5. From the House microphone, about $100 million in spending to their suit Wednesday claiming newly elected Crouch read aloud from the article proposed two-year, $26 billion state state Rep. Ed Soliday, R-Valparaiso, quoting Bauer: “’I-69 is in good hands budget plan (Louisville Courier- does not live within his legislative and it will go forward.” Standing at the Journal). But they also rejected nu- district as is speaker’s podium behind her, Bauer merous proposed changes offered by required by interjected: “Amen.” law (Times Republicans, including one that would of North- have allowed $160 million set aside west Indi- Allen County revives for phasing in full-day kindergarten to ana). “Only tax adjustment board possibly be used for other initiatives, the state INDIANAPOLIS - The Al- such as professional development for Legislature len County Council on Wednesday teachers or remediation. Democrats, has the Con- reinstated a tax oversight board who control the House, did allow one stitutional au- – eliminated more than 20 years ago GOP amendment, providing $1 million thority to redraw its House Districts,” – to review the total tax burden local in small-business development grants. according to the lawsuit. The lawsuit residents face (Fort Wayne Journal before Porter Superior Court Judge Bill Gazette). The council voted 6-1 to Lake County borrows $18m Alexa asks the court to replace Soli- recreate the tax adjustment board. CROWN POINT - Lake Coun- day with Democratic challenger Sylvia The board will be in effect this year to ty’s impending tax crisis already is Graham, who he defeated last fall for review the 2008 budgets of all taxing costing the public. Lake County Com- the two-year term. If that is found to entities in Allen County. The adjust- missioners voted Wednesday to bor- be improper, the group asks that a ment board will be able to reduce the row $18.5 million to renovate county special election be ordered. “All they’re tax levy of any of those entities, in- government buildings even though doing is making it more and more dif- cluding local school boards, the library the financial markets are demand- ficult for people in Porter County to be board and airport authority. ing the county pay a higher interest represented,” he said. State election rate (Times). Jim Bennett, financial officials reached a stalemate on the Anti-annexation bills fail adviser to the commissioners, said the dispute earlier this month along party INDIANAPOLIS - A Senate loan will cost taxpayers an additional lines, which left the office unable to committee narrowly defeated two bills $100,000 in interest payments during offer a solution. yesterday that would have granted the next decade because Lake County more rights to property owners who looks riskier to lenders with the threat House debates restoring are fighting annexations by nearby of the extended 2 percent circuit funding for I-69 cities and towns (Louisville Courier- breaker. “You already are starting to Journal). Opponents said the bills INDIANAPOLIS - Debate over see the impact. As we get closer to would stunt city growth and economic Interstate 69 kicked into high gear (2010) it will get worse,” Bennett said. development, and punish all cities Wednesday when House Democrats for problems caused by a few. The reiterated they support building the defeats are a blow to opponents of Abortion bill passes interstate but wanted more specif- INDIANAPOLIS - A bill requir- Jeffersonville’s proposal to annex ics from the Indiana Department of ing doctors to tell women seeking an about 3,660 households. Transportation. So they left $1.1 billion abortion that human life begins at for I-69 and other highway projects conception cleared the Senate Health out of their two-year state budget. Child/smoke/car bill dies Committee Wednesday (Associated Democrats stopped an amendment INDIANAPOLIS - The House Press). The bill would require doctors by House Republicans to restore $1.1 rejected legislation yesterday that to inform women seeking abortions billion from the construction fund to would ban smoking in passenger that “an embryo formed by the fertil- the House Democrats’ state budget vehicles transporting children under ization of a human ovum by a human bill, so the budget now moves to a age 13 (Associated Press). The bill, sperm immediately begins to divide third reading without any funding for sponsored by Rep. Charlie Brown, D- and grow as human physical life.” I-69.Debate Wednesday saw Repub- Gary, had cleared committee 8-1 but v lican Rep. Suzanne Crouch reminding failed 51-43 in the floor vote.