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Pence Campaign Pivots to Holcomb V21, N23 Thursday, Feb. 11, 2016 Pence campaign pivots to Holcomb Stutzman was Ellspermann to resign based on a in an unprecedented three-legged stool, with Hol- and surreal shift comb cleaving off some “Dan- By BRIAN A. HOWEY iels wing” sup- INDIANAPOLIS – One of the port that might most unusual political transitions have gone took place this week when Gov. Mike to U.S. Rep. Pence pivoted from Lt. Gov. Sue Todd Young. Ellspermann, who is set to resign Holcomb’s exit in the next few makes this a weeks, to Eric mano-a-mano Holcomb. showdown, While all the presuming that principals in this Young survives saga did their an expected best to dispel ballot signature speculation that this was a rift shift showdown that between Pence and Ellspermann Democrats, over LGBT civil rights, those rumblings continue. And for with the tacit support of Stutzman, will wage in the next the second time in the past two election cycles, Pence’s few weeks. political maneuvering will impact an adjacent race, this Young lauded Pence’s decision to elevate Hol- time the Republican U.S. Senate primary. comb, stating that he had “every confidence in the Pence/ In that race, the campaign of U.S. Rep. Marlin Continued on page 3 Reality show to chaos By MARK SOUDER FORT WAYNE – Last Tuesday was to be a day of political clarification. Nationally, the polling for political upstart Donald Trump was to again prove to be an inflated bubble and the campaigning Clintons would once again resurrect enough leftover magic “Indiana Gov. Edgar Whitcomb to at least pull Hillary within 10 percentage points. Normalcy was in all respects conservative, would be restored, with Sen. and the Hoosier political class Marco Rubio on a momentum track for the nomination and the hated him for it. He was what we Hillary machine would steam- roller upstart Bernie Sanders. used to be permitted to call ‘a Obviously Tuesday offered man’s man.’ All alpha, with no some serious bumps in the road. In 2016 there are no drivers apologies.” steering the cars to easily over- - Tom Huston, RightBlade come such bumps. And there Page 2 Howey Politics Indiana WWHowey Media, LLC 405 Massachusetts Ave., Suite 300 Indianapolis, IN 46204 www.howeypolitics.com Brian A. Howey, Publisher are warning signs of serious, continu- ren is a Bobby Kennedy-type figure, ous curves ahead. plus I think that Bernie might be able Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington We Republicans really, re- to expand his underclass message of Jack E. Howey, Editor ally need the Democrats to continue class anger to Hispanic and African- Mary Lou Howey, Editor their implosion. Anger at the “estab- Americans. His appeal, unlike Trump’s Maureen Hayden, Statehouse lishment” is not just a conservative appeal which is mostly personal, is Mark Curry, photography phenomenon. In fact, Sanders tied consistent within the liberal Democrat Clinton in Iowa and crushed her – just tradition. If Hillary wins the nomina- crushed her – in New Hampshire. tion but loses the general election, the Subscriptions Unlike Sanders, while Trump scored Democrats in 2020 will face repeating HPI, HPI Daily Wire $599 a very impressive win in New Hamp- the 1972 McGovern disaster all over HPI Weekly, $350 shire, he also has a hardened super- again because the changes in their majority opposing him. party are fundamental. Ray Volpe, Account Manager The Democrats now move Trump’s win in New Hamp- 317.602.3620 mostly to primaries where the minority shire is politically very significant email: [email protected] vote comprises a near majority of the but not necessarily for the appar- Contact HPI Democrat primary voters. Can Bernie ent reasons. Opposition to him has tap into black anger as symbolically also hardened because of his crudity, [email protected] illustrated by Beyonce during the personal ego, and his liberal history Howey’s cell: 317.506.0883 Super Bowl halftime show? Black Lives tied to a “let’s make a deal” approach Washington: 202.256.5822 Matter is a comparatively small move- to politics. One-third of the votes at a Business Office: 317.602.3620 ment but also has become a symbol convention means that, well, you are for many of those African-Americans a loser. While the Republican changes still trapped in poverty zones, who feel are not likely permanent, Trump has © 2016, Howey Politics they aren’t receiving justice. personally dramatically changed this Indiana. All rights reserved. Sanders has proven that he campaign. Photocopying, Internet forward- can inspire young people and leftover A few little-watched de- ing, faxing or reproducing in 1960’s older liberals, but has not yet bates have become near weekly “must any form, whole or part, is a attracted minority voters. Thus far he see” reality show television. Not just seems like a more leftist version of once, but over and over again. The violation of federal law without Eugene McCarthy in 1968. McCarthy, primaries have given debate watch- permission from the publisher. once he established President Lyndon ers in selected areas, combined with Johnson’s vulnerability, was blown statewide advertising to pound home away by Bobby Kennedy. Kennedy whatever media trend line is occur- likely would have swept to victory, and ring, the ability to vote on the reality probably the presidency, had he not show they just watched. been tragically assassinated. George Donald Trump has swelled McGovern was a weak stand-in in the audiences. People want to see 1968. fights, like wrecks at the Indianapolis I do not think that Vice Presi- 500 or fisticuffs at hockey games, and dent Joe Biden or Sen. Elisabeth War- Trump encouraged it. Now even Jeb Page 3 Bush is trying to prove he’s not “weak.” When someone is under assault. The Democrats are attempting to remove gets momentum from a debate, as Ohio Gov. John Kasich Young from the ballot (they prefer to face Congressman clearly did and Bush did to a lesser degree, it immediately Stutzman as well) because they allege that the county- converted to positive movement in polls and then at the cleared signatures from northwest Indiana were two short voting machines. When someone has a bad debate (com- of the 500 needed from that district. It should be recalled bined with advertising reinforcement), they immediately that an ill-conceived attempt by Republicans to once chal- drop as did Rubio and to a lesser degree Sen. Ted Cruz. lenge Evan Bayh’s ballot legitimacy backfired. Political polling regained some credibility, at Eric Holcomb clearly is a political asset and a least at the state level and when done close to the actual potential candidate for governor in 2020. However losing voting. This is particularly important to Trump because Lt. Gov. Sue Ellsperman to the ticket leaves the Republi- it suggests that if he is doing well in a specific state poll cans short on the 2016 statewide “diversity” front, an area before the voting, his supporters may actually stick with where some problems already exist. him. And it was not surprising that the overt racial/ethnic It does not take much political skill to see rhetoric of Donald Trump has specific appeal. As I earlier what is likely coming. Elkhart County Prosecutor Curtis Hill noted, such racial/ethnic appeals from the opposite direc- and Dr. Jennifer McCormick, superintendent of Yorktown tion also attract huge blocs of Democrat voters. Schools, appear to be dynamic and essential additions to Republican primary clarification is not likely to the statewide Republican ticket. State Auditor Suzanne occur in March either, since enough remaining candidates Crouch, while not on this year’s ballot, is a strong state- are strong enough (Trump, Cruz, Rubio, Kasich and Bush) wide female leader with potential to rise further, and Kelly to pick and choose where to focus efforts during the March Mitchell is the state treasurer. Congresswomen Susan primaries. Trump is, for example, now behind in Arkan- Brooks and Jackie Walorski will be seeking reelection in sas and in a near three-way dead heat in North Carolina. 2016. Indiana Democrats have no such powerful female Kasich will likely win winner-take-all Ohio and possibly elected leaders. Illinois. Tuesday had some bumps, and there are no Back home in Indiana, the desire to clear the field controlling drivers, but some clarification was added even for Congressman Todd Young by removing Eric Holcomb amid the chaos. v from the Senate primary, so the Republicans didn’t face a potential repeat of the loss to Sen. Joe Donnelly in 2012, Souder is a former Republican congressman. nover Heavyweights” - with both Pence and Holcomb Pence/Holcomb, from page 1 creating the friendly countenance that make them both eminently likable, even by those who disagree with their Holcomb team.” While Stutzman’s campaign commented, policies. Pence is facing a tough reelection rematch against saying it expected some Holcomb supporters to steer their Democrat John Gregg, and not only did he need an “all- way, Stutzman’s response was icy silence. It had echoes of in” running mate NOW, his selection of Holcomb tends to the 2014 Republican convention when the Pence politi- confirm speculation of a serious fissure within the Indiana cal apparatus undermined the state treasurer candidacy Republican Party, cleaved by the Religious Freedom Res- of Marion Mayor Wayne Seybold in favor of Kelly Mitchell, toration Act, the subsequent fix, and Pence’s decision to with the goal an all-female ticket that would counter the practice latent leadership in the civil rights expansion that so-called “war on women” that Democrats had framed. died in the Indiana Senate last week.
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