Macatawa Area Coordinating Council 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan
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MACATAWA AREA COORDINATING COUNCIL 2040 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN APRIL 27, 2015 Table of Contents Executive Summary 1 Chapter 1 - Introduction 11 a) Overview of Plan b) Description of the MPO c) Summary of Planning Process i) Eight Federal Planning Factors ii) Description of Public and Stakeholder Involvement Chapter 2 - Regional Overview 15 a) History of Region b) Transportation History of the Region c) Geography of Region i) Map of MPO Planning Area ii) Map of Political Jurisdictions of the Region iii) Map of Physical Features of the Region Chapter 3 - Regional Vision, Goals, and Objectives 19 a) Desired Overall Direction for the Region b) Plans Reviewed During LRTP Development i) State ii) Regional iii) County iv) Local (1) Modal Plans (2) Land Use Plans (3) Zoning Ordinances (4) Parks and Recreation Plans (5) Corridor Studies (6) Economic Development Plans (7) Utility Plans (8) Energy/Climate Change Plans (9) Employment Forecasts Chapter 4 - Performance Measures 35 a) National Performance Measures b) State Performance Measures and Targets c) MPO Performance Measures and Targets Chapter 5 - Progress Since Last Plan 41 a) List and Status of Targets b) List of Projects Completed Since Last Plan c) List of Projects in Progress Since Last Plan Chapter 6 - Public Involvement 44 a) Public Involvement Activities During Plan Development b) Public Notices c) Public Open Houses d) Public Hearings e) Solicitation and Responses to Comments Chapter 7 - Inventory of Existing Transportation System 49 a) Highways i) Travel Corridors ii) Truck Traffic iii) Road Quality iv) Bridge Ratings Quality v) Safety b) Public Transit c) Non-Motorized Facilities d) Passenger Rail Service e) Passenger Air Service f) Freight g) Security and Emergency Preparedness Chapter 8 - Trends and Projections 92 a) Population b) Economic c) Employment d) Travel Patterns e) Land Use i) Development Patterns ii) Alternative Development Scenarios Chapter 9 - Regional Issues 108 a) Analysis of Background Research b) System Condition c) System Operations d) Trends Affecting Regional Transportation Chapter 10 - Travel Demand Model Process 114 a) Network Development b) Data Collection i) Population and Age ii) Households iii) Employment c) Trip Generation d) Trip Distribution e) Modal Choice f) Trip Assignment g) Model Calibration/Validation h) Applications of the Calibrated/Validated Model i) System Analysis Chapter 11 - Transportation Deficiencies, Issues, and Projects 124 a) Transportation Deficiencies, Issues, and Projects b) Deficiency Ratings in the Region c) Transit Projects d) Roadway Projects e) Non-motorized Projects Chapter 12 - Plan Evaluation 133 a) Effectiveness of the LRTP b) Title VI / Environmental Justice c) Environmental Mitigation d) Air Quality i) Changes to Federal Clean Air Act ii) Impact to State and MPO Planning Area Chapter 13 - Financial Resources Analysis 147 a) Current Issues That May Affect Funding b) Anticipated Funding Sources i) Federal ii) State iii) Local c) Alternative Funding Sources d) Revenue Forecast Methodology and Constraint Chapter 14 - Consultation Efforts 169 a) List of Contacts b) Consultation Efforts c) Solicitation and Response to Comments Chapter 15 - Plan Monitoring 177 a) System Performance Monitoring b) Action Items Chapter 16 - Appendices a) Glossary b) List of Acronyms/Terms c) Supporting Maps i) Travel Demand Deficiencies and Issues ii) Title VI/Environmental Justice Populations iii) Road Projects iv) Transit Projects v) Environmental Resources d) Fiscal Constraint Demonstration Tables e) Summary of Public Involvement Activities f) MPO Committees/Memberships g) MPO Approval Letter of LRTP List of Figures Figure1 – MACC Metropolitan Planning Area 12 Figure 2 - MACC Metropolitan Planning Area and Road Network 15 Figure 3 - Map of Political Jurisdictions of the Region 17 Figure 4 - Map of Physical Features of the Region 18 Figure 5 - Employment in Michigan, 1990 – 2040 34 Figure 6 – Completed Projects 42 Figure 7 – Transportation Survey - Priority Rankings 45 Figure 8 – Map of Expressways 49 Figure 9 – MACC Area Freight Routes 51 Figure 10 – Commute Flows 61 Figure 11- MAX Fixed Routes 63 Figure 12 – Potential Future Transit Service Areas 64 Figure 13 – Non-Motorized Plan Map 67 Figure 14 – West Michigan Regional Airport 72 Figure 15 – Major Freight Corridors 74 Figure 16 – Tonnage on Highways, Railroads, and Inland Waterways 75 Figure 17 – Major Flows by Truck, 2010 76 Figure 18 – Major Flows by Truck, 2040 77 Figure 19 – Michigan’s Railroad System 78 Figure 20 – Freight Modes in West Michigan 79 Figure 21 – 2013-2019 Area Freight Projects 81 Figure 22 – MACC Area Freight Routes – Holland 82 Figure 23 – MACC Area Freight Routes – Zeeland 83 Figure 24 – Integrating Security into Project Planning and Development 88 Figure 25 – Future Employment Centers 98 Figure 26 – Future Residential Development 99 Figure 27 – Allocation of New Growth 101 Figure 28 – Current Trend Scenario 103 Figure 29 – Conservation Priorities Scenario 104 Figure 30 – Alternative Transportation Scenario 105 Figure 31 - Nested Logit Structure 106 Figure 32 – Deficiency Ratings, 2010 124 Figure 33 – Deficiency Ratings, 2040 125 Figure 34 – PASER Road Evaluation Summary, Allegan County, 2013 128 Figure 35 – PASER Road Evaluation Summary, Ottawa County, 2014 129 Figure 36 - Delineation of Minority Areas 138 Figure 37 – Families and Individuals Below Poverty Level 139 Figure 38 - Areas with Highest Concentration of Families/Individuals Below the Poverty Level 140 List of Tables Table 1 – Performance Goals and Measures 37 Table 2 – Completed Projects 42 Table 3 – MACC Area Vehicle Collisions, 2004 - 2013 53 Table 4 – Locations with the Highest Vehicle Collisions in the MACC Area 54 Table 5 – Macatawa Area Express Service Summary 56 Table 6 – School Transit Provider Summary – Operating Characteristics 60 Table 7 – MACC Non-Motorized Network 66 Table 8 – Pere Marquette Ridership, 2004 – 2013 70 Table 9 - MACC Area Population, Households, and Employment, 2010 92 Table 10 - MACC Area Population, Households, and Employment, 2040 93 Table 11 – MACC Area Commute Times 95 Table 12 – Comparison of Alternative Development Scenarios 102 Table 13 – Future Shared Use Paths 131 Table 14 – Future Paved Shoulders / Bike Lanes 132 Table 15 - Federal Highway Transportation Revenue Projections 152 Table 16 - Projected MTF Distribution to Act-51 Agencies 155 Table 17 - Annual Growth Rates for Transit 161 Table 18 - Transit Revenue Projections 163 Table 19 - Summary of Available Revenues for Highways and Transit 166 Table 20: Summary Fiscal Constraint Demonstration 167 1 Executive Summary Vision of the 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (2040 LRTP) A transportation system which supports the region’s economy and environmental sustainability, and continues to offer safe and efficient travel opportunities for those who live and work within the region, as well as visitors to the MACC Area. This is the vision of the MACC 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan. As the metropolitan planning organization (MPO) for the Holland urbanized area, the Macatawa Area Coordinating Council (MACC) is responsible for the development of a multi-modal long range transportation plan (LRTP). This plan attempts to ensure that proposed improvements to the transportation system enhance the movement of goods and people in a safe, efficient and economic manner. Through a detailed analysis of future development scenarios, the 2040 LRTP focuses on the relationship between the transportation network and surrounding land uses. Incorporating scenario planning into the plan development process offers a new tool to evaluate projects and offers the Macatawa Area Coordinating Council the opportunity to apply performance measures which can be used to track progress over time. The plan must also be fiscally constrained, project specific, meet the principles of environmental justice, and include the public throughout the planning process. This LRTP has a 25 year planning horizon and looks out to the year 2040. The 2040 LRTP establishes goals and objectives to develop a multimodal transportation network which provides efficient access to employment, retail, community services, and residential areas. A set of goals and objectives were identified to help guide the planning process. These goals and objectives are centered upon the following themes: Comprehensive Planning Economic and Financial Considerations Efficiency Mobility Land Use and Environmental Impacts Accessibility Safety and Security 2 Chapter 1 of the 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP) identifies these goals and objectives which work together to accomplish this regional vision. Chapters 2 and 3 offer background on the history of the region, plans and policies that are in place to give overall direction for the MACC Area. Chapter 4 offers a set of performance measures to evaluate and monitor the regional plan. Projects Completed Since the Last Long Range Transportation Plan During the last four years, over 150 transportation projects receiving federal funding were completed in the MACC Area. The total amount invested in these projects was $106.2 million and involved federal, state, and local funds. Chapter 5 and the table below summarize the number of projects completed during each of the four years and total project investments. Projects included MDOT highway improvements (trunkline); resurfacing MACC Area roads; non-motorized pathways; transit projects; bridge repair; rail improvements; and other transportation projects such as collecting