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The Annual MIDAS Network Meeting Takes Place April 3-5, 2018, at the Hyatt Regency Bethesda. Registration and Other Informatio
MIDAS CIDID Newsletter #14 View this email in your browser Issue #14 | February 2018 Welcome to the February 2018 edition of the MIDAS CIDID Newsletter. This is where you can nd Center-wide updates, along with relevant news and highlights. CIDID Website CIDID Twitter The annual MIDAS Network Meeting takes place April 3-5, 2018, at the Hyatt Regency Bethesda. Registration and other information is available on the MIDAS meeting website. The 10th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases (SISMID) takes place July 9-25, 2018, at the University of Washington in Seattle. Registration and scholarship information is available on the SISMID website. Seroprevalence of Dengue Antibodies in Three Urban Settings in Yucatan, Mexico AJTMH [pdf] An Assessment of Household and Individual-Level Mosquito Prevention Methods during the Chikungunya Virus Outbreak in the United States Virgin Islands, 2014–2015 AJTMH [pdf] Core pertussis transmission groups in England and Wales: A tale of two eras Vaccine [pdf] Resilience management during large-scale epidemic outbreaks Scientic Reports [pdf] Panel data analysis via mechanistic models arXiv [pdf] Models and analyses to understand threats to polio eradication BMC Medicine [pdf] Comparative epidemiology of poliovirus transmission Scientic Reports [pdf] Silent circulation of poliovirus in small populations Infectious Disease Modeling [pdf] Steve Bellan, Natalie Dean, and Ira Longini contributed to the development of an interactive web-based decision tool, InterVax, to assist in the design of vaccine efcacy trials during emerging outbreaks. This work is part of the ongoing World Health Organization (WHO) Research and Development Blueprint for Action to Prevent Epidemics. CIDID John Drake is a co-author on a paper that will be read at the Royal Statistical Society on March 14, 2018. -
MIDAS-CIDID-Newsletter-15-June-2018.Pdf
MIDAS CIDID Newsletter #15 View this email in your browser Issue #15 | June 2018 Welcome to the June 2018 edition of the MIDAS CIDID Newsletter. This is where you can nd Center-wide updates, along with relevant news and highlights. CIDID Website CIDID Twitter The 10th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases (SISMID) takes place July 9-25, 2018, at the University of Washington in Seattle. Registration information is available on the SISMID website. CIDID Seminar: Pelton Auditorium, Fred Hutch August 7, 2018, 10:00 - 11:00am Speaker: Adam Lauring Inuenza Evolution... Getting Personal Live video stream and recording available: [link] Transmission-clearance trade-offs indicate that dengue virulence evolution depends on epidemiological context Nature Communications [pdf] Transmissibility of Norovirus in Urban versus Rural Households in a Large Community Outbreak in China Epidemiology [pdf] Quantifying the risk of local Zika virus transmission in the continental US during the 2015-2016 ZIKV epidemic bioRxiv [pdf] How single mutations affect viral escape from broad and narrow antibodies to H1 inuenza hemagglutinin Nature Communications [pdf] Deep mutational scanning of hemagglutinin helps predict evolutionary fates of human H3N2 inuenza variants bioRxiv [pdf] Inuenza A(H7N9) Virus Antibody Responses in Survivors 1 Year after Infection, China, 2017 Emerging Infectious Diseases [pdf] The impact of past vaccination coverage and immunity on pertussis resurgence Science Translational Medicine [pdf] High dimensional random walks can appear low dimensional: Application to inuenza H3N2 evolution Journal of Theoretical Biology [pdf] Spatio-temporal coherence of dengue, chikungunya and Zika outbreaks in Merida, Mexico PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases [pdf] Design of vaccine trials during outbreaks with and without a delayed vaccination comparator Annals of Applied Statistics [pdf] Modeling and Inference for Infectious Disease Dynamics: A Likelihood- Based Approach Statistical Science [pdf] Nextstrain continues to expand its repertoire of pathogens. -
University of Birmingham Revisiting Samuelson's Foundations of Economic Analysis
University of Birmingham Revisiting Samuelson's Foundations of Economic Analysis Backhouse, Roger DOI: 10.1257/jel.53.2.326 License: None: All rights reserved Document Version Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record Citation for published version (Harvard): Backhouse, R 2015, 'Revisiting Samuelson's Foundations of Economic Analysis' Journal of Economic Literature, vol 53, no. 2, pp. 326-350. DOI: 10.1257/jel.53.2.326 Link to publication on Research at Birmingham portal General rights When referring to this publication, please cite the published version. Copyright and associated moral rights for publications accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners. It is a condition of accessing this publication that users abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. • You may freely distribute the URL that is used to identify this publication. • Users may download and print one copy of the publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or non-commercial research. • If a Creative Commons licence is associated with this publication, please consult the terms and conditions cited therein. • Unless otherwise stated, you may not further distribute the material nor use it for the purposes of commercial gain. Take down policy If you believe that this document infringes copyright please contact [email protected] providing details and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate. Download date: 16. May. 2017 Journal of Economic Literature 2015, 53(2), 326–350 http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jel.53.2.326 Revisiting Samuelson’s Foundations of Economic Analysis† Roger E. -
Institutional Economics
INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMICS AT COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY Malcolm Rutherford University of Victoria (This Draft: March 2001) This paper draws on archival work using the James Bonbright Papers, J. M. Clark Papers, Joseph Dorfman Papers, Carter Goodrich Papers, Robert Hale Papers, and Wesley Mitchell Papers, all at the Rare Book and Manuscript Library, Columbia University, the Arthur F. Burns Papers at the Eisenhower Library, Abilene, Kansas, and the John R. Commons Papers at the State Historical Society of Wisconsin. My thanks to Lowell Harriss, Aaron Warner, Eli Ginzberg, Donald Dewey, Mark Perlman, Daniel Fusfeld, Mark Blaug, and Walter Neale for sharing their recollections of Columbia. Thanks also to my research assistant Cristobal Young. Any errors are my responsibility. This research has been supported by a Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada research grant (project # 410-99-0465). 1 1. Introduction In a number of recent papers I have attempted to outline the nature of the institutionalist movement in American economics in the interwar period (Rutherford 2000a, 2000b, 2000c). At that time institutionalism was a very significant part of American economics. In terms of research output and the production of graduate students, the main centers for institutionalism were the university of Chicago (until 1926 and the departure of J. M. Clark), the University of Wisconsin, the Robert Brookings Graduate School (which existed only briefly between 1923 and 1928), and, after the arrival of Wesley Mitchell in 1913, and J. M. Clark in 1926, Columbia University. Columbia University became the academic home of a large concentration of economists of institutionalist leaning, and other Schools and Departments in the University, particularly Business, Law, Sociology, and Philosophy, also contained many people of similar or related persuasion. -
Econometrics, Practice Questions, ECO54 Udayan Roy These Questions Are Based on Chapter 11 of the Ordinary Business of Life by R
Econometrics, Practice Questions, ECO54 Udayan Roy These questions are based on chapter 11 of The Ordinary Business of Life by Roger Backhouse and Chapter 16 of History of Economic Thought, Fourth Edition, by Harry Landreth and David Colander. The latter item was distributed as a handout in class. If you do not have it, please pick up your copy from the economics department’s offices. 1. On the issue of using observed facts to test economic theories, which of the following is correct? a. Most economists believe that their theories of how the economy works must be tested against real-world events and data. However, there is more disagreement on the proper procedure for the use of data to test theories. b. Few economists believe that their theories of how the economy works must be tested against real-world events and data. However, most economists agree on the proper procedure for the use of data to test theories, if such testing is done. c. As economists generally cannot do controlled experiments to test their theories, most economists believe that it is futile to try to use real-world data to test their theories. d. Most economists believe that their theories of how the economy works must be tested against real-world events and data. Most economists agree that the only proper procedure for such testing is to run controlled experiments. 2. According to Ragnar Frisch, a Norwegian economist who became a pioneer of the subject, econometrics a. Is the expression of economic theory in mathematical terms b. Refers to the collection of data to describe an economy quantitatively c. -
Aggregation Problem in Demand Analysis, 1930S-1950S
Aggregation Problem in Demand Analysis, 1930s-1950s Hugo Chu∗ Abstract This article examines the emergence of the representative agent as the outcome of trans- formations that occurred in microeconomics in the 1930s-1950s years, especially in the subfield of demand theory. To tell this story, I begin with a particular historical inter- pretation of this subfield, propounded by Wade Hands and Philip Mirowski in the 1990s, known as the Hotelling-Schultz Impasse. Although this impasse was abandoned by the end of the 1930s, the testing of the Symmetry Restrictions and the validity of the Integra- bility Conditions continued to draw the attention of different research centers. The Cowles Commission, represented by its research director, Tjalling Koopmans, played an impor- tant role during this stage and, more to the point, in the subsequent emergence of the representative agent in microeconomics through their approach to aggregation problem. The significance of Paul Samuelson's introduction of homothetic preferences into General Equilibrium Theory and its connection to Koopmans's writings during the 1950s is also emphasized. Keywords: Representative Agent, Aggregation Problem, Tjalling Koopmans Resumo O presente artigo examina a emerg^enciado agente representativo como resultado da trans- forma¸c~aoque ocorreu na economia nos anos de 1930 a 1950, especialmente no subcampo da teoria da demanda. Para contar essa hist´oria,eu come¸cocom uma interpreta¸c~aohist´orica particular proposta por Wade Hands e Philip Mirowski nos anos de 1990 conhecido como o Impasse de Hotelling-Schultz. Embora esse impasse tenha sido abandonado ao final da d´ecadade 1930, o teste da Restri¸c~aode Simetria e a validade das Condi¸c~oesde Integrabil- idade continuou a chamar aten¸c~aode diferentes centros de pesquisas. -
Curriculum Vitae for James J. Heckman
September 13, 2021 James Joseph Heckman Department of Economics University of Chicago 1126 East 59th Street Chicago, Illinois 60637 Telephone: (773) 702-0634 Fax: (773) 702-8490 Email: [email protected] Personal Date of Birth: April 19, 1944 Place of Birth: Chicago, Illinois Education B.A. 1965 (Math) Colorado College (summa cum laude) M.A. 1968 (Econ) Princeton University Ph.D. 1971 (Econ) Princeton University Dissertation “Three Essays on Household Labor Supply and the Demand for Market Goods.” Sponsors: S. Black, H. Kelejian, A. Rees Graduate and Undergraduate Academic Honors Phi Beta Kappa Woodrow Wilson Fellow NDEA Fellow NIH Fellow Harold Willis Dodds Fellow Post-Graduate Honors Honorary Degrees and Professorships Doctor Honoris Causa, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria. Jan- uary, 2017. Doctor of Social Sciences Honoris Causa, Lignan University, Hong Kong, China. November, 2015. Honorary Doctorate of Science (Economics), University College London. September, 2013. Doctor Honoris Causis, Pontifical University, Santiago, Chile. August, 2009. Doctor Honoris Causis, University of Montreal.´ May 2004. 1 September 13, 2021 Doctor Honoris Causis, Bard College, May 2004. Doctor Honoris Causis, UAEM, Mexico. January 2003. Doctor Honoris Causis, University of Chile, Fall 2002. Honorary Doctor of Laws, Colorado College, 2001. Honorary Professor, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China, June, 2014. Honorary Professor, Renmin University, P. R. China, June, 2010. Honorary Professor, Beijing Normal University, P. R. China, June, 2010. Honorary Professor, Harbin Institute of Technology, P. R. China, October, 2007. Honorary Professor, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China, 2003. Honorary Professor, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, 2001. Honorary Professor, University of Tucuman, October, 1998. -
1 CHICAGO and INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMICS1 Malcolm Rutherford
CHICAGO AND INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMICS1 Malcolm Rutherford University of Victoria 1. Introduction For most economists the terms “Chicago economics” and “institutionalism” denote clearly antithetical approaches to the discipline. Various members of the modern “Chicago School” have made highly dismissive remarks concerning American institutionalism. Coase has commented that American institutionalists were anti-theoretical, and that “without a theory they had nothing to pass on except a mass of descriptive material waiting for a theory, or a fire” (Coase 1984, p. 230). Some of these attitudes have their roots in the interwar period, most obviously in Frank Knight’s bitingly critical attacks on the methodology and policy positions of institutionalist and advocates of the “social control” of business (Knight 1932). Nevertheless, what this presentation seeks to reveal is a much more complex interrelation between institutional and Chicago economics. To fully understand this relationship it is necessary to begin with the early years of the Chicago Department of Economics. 2. Chicago Economics and Institutionalism 1892-1919 The Chicago Department of Political Economy was begun in 1892 with Laurence Laughlin as its head. While Laughlin was extremely conservative in his economic and political views, and very much at odds with the historicist or “new” school influence in American economics, he built a department that was extremely diverse in its interests and had significant representation of those critical of “orthodox” economics (Nef 1934). Most obviously, Laughlin brought Thorstein Veblen with him from Cornell, and shortly thereafter placed him in charge of editing the Journal of Political Economy. As Hodgson has argued (Hodgson 2004), Veblen’s years at Chicago (from 1892 to 1906) were remarkably creative ones. -
Leontief and His German Period✩ Harald Hagemann*
Russian Journal of Economics 7 (2021) 67–90 DOI 10.32609/j.ruje.7.58034 Publication date: 31 March 2021 www.rujec.org Leontief and his German period✩ Harald Hagemann* University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany Abstract Wassily Leontief jun. (1905–1999) moved to Berlin in April 1925 after getting his first academic degree from the University of Leningrad. In Berlin he mainly studied with Werner Sombart and Ladislaus von Bortkiewicz who were the referees of his Ph.D. thesis “The economy as a circular flow” (1928). From spring 1927 until April 1931 Leontief was a member of the research staff at the Kiel Institute of World Economics, interrupted by the period from April 1929 to March 1930 when he was an advisor to the Chinese Ministry of Railroads. In the journal of the Kiel Institute, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Leontief had already published his first article “Die Bilanz der russischen Volkswirtschaft. Eine methodologische Untersuchung” [The balance of the Russian economy. A methodo logical investigation] in 1925. In Kiel Leontief primarily worked on the statistical analysis of supply and demand curves. Leontief’s method triggered a fierce critique by Ragnar Frisch, which launched a heavy debate on “pitfalls” in the construction of supply and demand curves. The debate started in Germany but was continued in the USA where Leontief became a researcher at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) in summer 1931. The Leontief–Frisch controversy culminated in the Quarterly Journal of Economics (1934), published by Harvard University, where Leontief made his sub sequent career from 1932–1975. His later analysis of the employment consequences of technological change in the 1980s had some roots in his Kiel period. -
Milton Friedman, 1912–2006
SUBSCRIBE NOW AND RECEIVE CRISIS AND LEVIATHAN* FREE! “The Independent Review does not accept “The Independent Review is pronouncements of government officials nor the excellent.” conventional wisdom at face value.” —GARY BECKER, Noble Laureate —JOHN R. MACARTHUR, Publisher, Harper’s in Economic Sciences Subscribe to The Independent Review and receive a free book of your choice* such as the 25th Anniversary Edition of Crisis and Leviathan: Critical Episodes in the Growth of American Government, by Founding Editor Robert Higgs. This quarterly journal, guided by co-editors Christopher J. Coyne, and Michael C. Munger, and Robert M. Whaples offers leading-edge insights on today’s most critical issues in economics, healthcare, education, law, history, political science, philosophy, and sociology. Thought-provoking and educational, The Independent Review is blazing the way toward informed debate! Student? Educator? Journalist? Business or civic leader? Engaged citizen? This journal is for YOU! *Order today for more FREE book options Perfect for students or anyone on the go! The Independent Review is available on mobile devices or tablets: iOS devices, Amazon Kindle Fire, or Android through Magzter. INDEPENDENT INSTITUTE, 100 SWAN WAY, OAKLAND, CA 94621 • 800-927-8733 • [email protected] PROMO CODE IRA1703 PREDECESSORS Milton Friedman, 1912–2006 ✦ JULIO H. COLE Let us now praise famous men. —Ecclesiasticus 44:1 ilton Friedman, who died in the early morning of November 16, 2006, was a world-famous economist and an ardent and effective advocate of the Mfree-market economy. Much of his celebrity derived from his role as pub- lic intellectual, an aspect of his work that was reflected largely in popular books such as Capitalism and Freedom (1962) and the hugely successful Free to Choose (1980)— both coauthored with his wife, Rose, and the latter based on the television docu- mentary of the same title—and in the Newsweek opinion columns he wrote for many years. -
PAUL A. SAMUELSON Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts Nobel Memorial Lecture, December 11, 1970
MAXIMUM PRINCIPLES IN ANALYTICAL ECONOMICS PAUL A. SAMUELSON Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts Nobel Memorial Lecture, December 11, 1970 The very name of my subject, economics, suggests economizing or maximizing. But Political Economy has gone a long way beyond home economics. Indeed, it is only in the last third of the century, within my own lifetime as a scholar, that economic theory has had many pretensions to being itself useful to the practical businessman or bureaucrat. I seem to recall that a great economist of the last generation, A. C. Pigou of Cambridge University, once asked the rhetorical question, “Who would ever think of employing an economist to run a brewery?” Well, today, under the guise of operational research and managerial economics, the fanciest of our economic tools are being utilized in enterprises both public and private. So at the very foundations of our subject maximization is involved. My old teacher, Joseph Schumpeter, went much farther. Instead of being content to say economics must borrow from logic and rational empirical enquiry, Schump- eter made the remarkable claim that man’s ability to operate as a logical animal capable of systematic empirical induction was itself the direct outcome of the Darwinian struggle for survival. Just as man’s thumb evolved in the struggle to make a living - to meet his economic problem - so did man’s brain evolve in response to the economic problem. Coming forty years before the latest findings in ethology by Konrad Lorenz and Nikolaas Tinbergen, this is a rather remarkable insight. It would take me away from my present subject to more than mention the further view enunciated by Schumpeter [1] in launching the new subject of econometrics. -
Documents/Mandatory-Directives
No. 20A138 IN THE Supreme Court of the United States GATEWAY CITY CHURCH, ET AL., Plaintiffs-Applicants, v. GAVIN NEWSOM, ET AL., Defendants-Respondents. APPENDIX OF RESPONDENTS’ EXHIBITS OFFICE OF THE COUNTY COUNSEL COUNTY OF SANTA CLARA JAMES R. WILLIAMS* County Counsel GRETA S. HANSEN DOUGLAS M. PRESS TONY LOPRESTI MELISSA KINIYALOCTS HANNAH KIESCHNICK 70 West Hedding Street East Wing, Ninth Floor San José, CA 95110-1770 Telephone: (408) 299-5900 [email protected] *Counsel of Record February 24, 2021 Attorneys for Defendants-Respondents County of Santa Clara and Sara H. Cody, MD TABLE OF CONTENTS Exhibit 1: County of Santa Clara Public Health Dep’t, Mandatory Directive for Gatherings (July 14, 2020; last rev’d Feb. 12, 2021), https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Documents/Mandatory-Directives- Gatherings.pdf. Exhibit 2: Declaration of Dr. Sara H. Cody in Support of Defendants County of Santa Clara and Dr. Sara H. Cody’s Opposition to Plaintiffs’ Motion for a Preliminary Injunction, Gateway City Church v. Newsom, No. 20-cv- 08241-EJD, ECF No. 53-3 (N.D. Cal. Dec. 23, 2020) Exhibit 3: Declaration of Dr. Marc Lipsitch in Support of Defendants County of Santa Clara and Dr. Sara H. Cody’s Opposition to Plaintiffs’ Motion for a Preliminary Injunction, Gateway City Church v. Newsom, No. 20-cv- 08241-EJD, ECF No. 53-4 (N.D. Cal. Dec. 23, 2020) Exhibit 4: Federal Aviation Administration, Information for Airport Sponsors Considering COVID-19 Restrictions or Accommodations (May 29, 2020), Gateway City Church v. Newsom, No. 20-cv-08241-EJD, ECF No.