Draft Long Range Facilities Plan
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Long Range Facilities Plan 2019 - Draft February 22, 2019 Table of Contents Executive Summary ......................................................................................................... 5 Long Range Facilities Plan Development ................................................................... 8 Update on Recommendations from 2016 LRFP ..............................................................8 Regulations, Policy, and Compliance .............................................................................8 Guiding Principles .........................................................................................................9 Goals of Implementing the LRFP ....................................................................................9 Priorities.......................................................................................................................9 Maximize the number of students in safe schools ....................................................................................... 9 Increase Capacity Utilization by decreasing excess capacity ...................................................................... 10 Reduce Enrolment Pressure at Full Schools ............................................................................................... 10 Effectively Manage our Capital Assets ........................................................................................................ 11 Project Considerations ................................................................................................ 11 2018-19 Long Range Facilities Plan Process .................................................................. 12 Public Engagement ..................................................................................................... 12 District Programs and Partnerships ......................................................................... 14 Educational Programs ................................................................................................. 14 Program Reviews ........................................................................................................ 14 French Programs ......................................................................................................................................... 14 Alternate Programs ..................................................................................................................................... 14 Special Education Programs ........................................................................................ 15 Community Partnerships ............................................................................................. 15 Existing Facilities and Properties and Asset Planning .............................................. 16 Overview .................................................................................................................... 16 Facility Age and Condition ........................................................................................... 17 Capital Fund Revenue Generation ............................................................................... 19 Update on New or Expansion Requests in the 2019-2020 Five Year Capital Plan ........... 20 Heritage Status ........................................................................................................... 21 Alternate Use of Schools ............................................................................................. 22 Capital Asset Management Planning ........................................................................... 23 3.7.1 Required funding contributions for major capital projects ............................................................... 24 3.7.2 Converting Seismic Upgrade Projects to Replacement School Projects ............................................ 24 3.7.3 Revenue Generation to enhance capital projects ............................................................................. 25 3.7.4 Development and Implementation of a Capital Asset Management Plan ........................................ 26 Enrolment Forecasts ............................................................................................... 27 Approach to Enrolment Forecasts................................................................................ 27 Correlation Between Population and Enrolment ....................................................................................... 28 Reliable Data Sources ................................................................................................................................. 29 Impact of Residential Development on Enrolment .................................................................................... 29 Historical Accuracy of Enrolment Forecasts ................................................................. 29 Historical Enrolment Trends ........................................................................................ 30 Declining Enrolment ................................................................................................................................... 30 Stable number of births in the City of Vancouver ...................................................................................... 31 Correlation between births and Kindergarten Enrolment .......................................................................... 32 Grade Cohort Size and Growth ................................................................................................................... 33 Registration at the District Reception and Placement Centre(DRPC) ......................................................... 34 VSB Long Range Facilities Plan Draft - 1 - Feb 22, 2019 Table of Contents Participation Rate/Market Share ................................................................................................................ 35 Impact of enrolment at independent schools on VSB enrolment .............................................................. 35 Results of Enrolment Forecasts ................................................................................... 36 Operating Capacity and Capacity Utilization ........................................................... 37 District Operating Capacity ......................................................................................... 37 Enrolling Capacity and Scheduling Capacity ................................................................. 38 Current and Forecast Capacity Utilization .................................................................... 38 Current and Forecast Capacity Utilization for Elementary and Secondary Schools ................................... 40 Approaches to Balancing Enrolment with Capacity ................................................. 41 Current Capacity Utilization ........................................................................................ 41 Enrolment Management Strategies ............................................................................. 42 Maximizing Enrolling Space ......................................................................................... 44 Major Capital Projects to Increase Capacity ................................................................. 45 Areas of Enrolment Growth – Capacity Utilization Scan ........................................... 46 Managing Enrolment Challenges ................................................................................................................ 47 Elementary Schools in the King George Study Area ...................................................... 47 Enrolment Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 48 District Actions to Date ............................................................................................................................... 49 Elementary Schools in Kitsilano Study Area ................................................................. 50 Enrolment Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 51 District Choice Programs ............................................................................................................................ 52 District Actions to Date ............................................................................................................................... 52 Elementary Schools in the North Hamber Study Area ................................................... 52 Enrolment Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 53 District Choice Programs ............................................................................................................................ 54 Actions to Date ........................................................................................................................................... 55 South Hamber Study Area ........................................................................................... 55 Enrolment Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 56 District Choice Programs ............................................................................................................................ 57