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New homes for your area? Community fact pack for the Basingstoke town area and Chineham Fact pack covers: Brighton Hill North, Brighton Hill South, Brookvale and Kings Furlong, Buckskin, Chineham, Eastrop, Grove, Hatch Warren and Beggarwood, Kempshott, Norden, Popley East, Popley Fields, Popley West, Rooksdown, South Ham, Taylors Farm/Sherfield Park and Winklebury Give us your views by Friday 14 January 2011 5719_1010 at www.basingstoke.gov.uk/go/newhomes Basingstoke town The population for Basingstoke Town including Chineham stood at 90,000 at the 2001 Census, the forecast population for 2010 is around 97,000 The number of new homes completed in the period 2006 to 2010 totalled 3,761 dwellings for Basingstoke Town including Chineham Average household size in the borough fell from 2.64 persons to 2.45 persons during the period 1991 to 2001 As at August 2010, there are 6,189 households on the borough housing register and 84% of these households have some level of housing 'need' as identified by the council's points system Between 80% and 90% of housing register applicants want to live in Basingstoke town The following data profiles the social and economic characteristics of the town area of Basingstoke. It gives background information on a number of local socio-demographic indicators including recent population growth, age breakdown, recent housing development, recent household growth and data on employment levels, the housing register, and levels of deprivation. This pack is one of a series covering the whole Basingstoke and Deane area, designed to provide an overall community profile to support the borough council’s consultation on ‘New Homes for Your Area – The Big Question’. The Basingstoke town area includes the wards1 of: Basingstoke town wards Brighton Hill North Kempshott Brighton Hill South Norden Brookvale and Kings Furlong Popley East Buckskin Popley West Chineham Rooksdown Eastrop South Ham Grove Winklebury Hatch Warren and Beggarwood 1 And includes the areas of Sherfield Park/Taylor’s Farm and Popley Fields 1 of 11 Population, age profile and population growth The population of Basingstoke town stood at around 90,000 at the time of the 2001 Census. Wards 2001: number of people 75 and 0-4 5 to 15 16 -24 25-44 45-64 65-74 Total aged over Brighton Hill North 399 820 634 1,979 1,011 148 132 5,123 Brighton Hill South 428 951 680 2,068 1,085 267 284 5,763 Brookvale and Kings Furlong 357 534 555 1,728 1,025 317 304 4,820 Buckskin 459 1,013 670 1,715 954 282 233 5,326 Chineham 553 1,072 656 2,925 1,438 205 154 7,003 East Woodhay 155 427 246 756 850 181 179 2,794 Eastrop 268 515 478 1,628 839 259 283 4,270 Grove 295 815 622 1,745 1,524 484 329 5,814 Hatch Warren and Beggarwood 675 1325 773 3,483 1,367 122 57 7,802 Kempshott 331 933 663 1,728 2,496 694 396 7,241 Norden 576 1,236 921 2,565 1,668 643 557 8,166 Popley East 477 933 681 1,737 1,205 243 134 5,410 Popley West 283 549 414 1,168 926 239 171 3,750 Rooksdown 109 119 165 646 136 20 21 1,216 South Ham 437 916 765 2,204 1,579 890 658 7,449 Winklebury 445 1057 685 2,059 1,888 560 395 7,089 Total 2001 6,247 13,215 9,608 30,134 19,991 5,554 4,287 89,036 Currently (as at 2010)2 the forecast population stands at 97,000 – a ward level age profile is shown in the table below. Wards 2010: number of people 75 and 0 to 4 5 to 15 16 - 24 25 - 44 45 - 64 65 -74 Total aged over Brighton Hill North 392 778 709 1,705 1,245 233 1805,245 Brighton Hill South 388 795 676 1,654 1,177 324 2705,287 Brookvale and Kings Furlong 452 643 730 1,898 1,303 519 5976,144 Buckskin 613 966 994 2,118 1,436 459 3306,914 Chineham 673 1,162 911 2,767 2,202 474 364 8,551 Eastrop 354 549 804 1,932 1,084 441 4675,634 Grove 284 744 680 1,622 1,640 575 4656,008 Hatch Warren and Beggarwood 803 1,448 976 3,017 2,227 311 268 9,052 Kempshott 327 952 682 1,671 2,455 725 4387,252 Norden 605 1,210 1,113 2,669 1,814 651 607 8,673 Popley East 467 844 699 1,760 1,274 422 3165,787 Popley West 420 622 488 1,535 1,059 372 3864,879 Rooksdown 280 394 282 1,152 658 193 159 3,120 South Ham 452 973 847 2,130 2,012 819 1,0238,257 Winklebury 329 787 662 1,519 1,666 586 5216,070 Totals 2010 6,839 12,867 11,253 29,149 23,252 7,104 6,391 96,873 The population is forecast to be just over 102,000 by 2016. 2 The source for 2010 and 2016 is Hampshire County Council Small Area Population Forecasts (2009-based) http://www3.hants.gov.uk/planning/factsandfigures/population-statistics/small-area-pop-stats.htm 2 of 11 Wards 2016: number of people aged 0 to 4 5 to 15 16 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 to 74 75 plus Total Brighton Hill North 339 701 681 1,637 1,312 316 266 5,253 Brighton Hill South 329 705 623 1,523 1,194 378 297 5,050 Brookvale and Kings Furlong 422 684 714 1,822 1,375 541 756 6,313 Buckskin 579 1,046 883 2,065 1,475 478 384 6,909 Chineham 586 1,161 943 2,831 2,388 727 552 9,192 Eastrop 387 638 838 2,171 1,188 510 616 6,350 Grove 280 723 642 1,556 1,602 696 575 6,076 Hatch Warren and Beggarwood 619 1,385 944 2,722 2,266 457 380 8,773 Kempshott 287 860 650 1,519 2,247 981 587 7,131 Norden 630 1,263 1,044 2,777 2,017 675 634 9,037 Popley East 537 962 749 2,041 1,357 570 449 6,667 Popley West 615 1,030 611 2,201 1,506 539 596 7,096 Rooksdown 332 646 396 1,653 1,166 378 334 4,907 South Ham 431 871 805 1,974 2,059 753 1,060 7,954 Winklebury 305 696 609 1,365 1,617 664 614 5,866 Total 2016 6,678 13,371 11,132 29,857 24,769 8,663 8,100 102,574 From 2001, and forecast from 2010 to 2016, there is a significant increase in the number of people aged 45 to 64, and people over the age of 65. This can be seen on the graph below. 35,000 Basingstoke town wards: 2001 population 2001, 2010, 2016 2010 Number of people in each age group 2016 30,134 29,149 29,857 30,000 24,769 25,000 23,252 19,991 20,000 15,000 13,215 12,867 13,371 Number of peopleNumber .. 11,253 11,132 9,608 10,000 8,663 8,100 7,104 6,839 6,247 6,678 6,391 5,554 5,000 4,287 0 0-4 5 to 15 16 -24 25-44 45-64 65-74 75 and over 3 of 11 Population changes and housing The following sets out the main population trends which are relevant to consider. Over the past decade, births within Basingstoke and Deane have increased from about 1,800 per annum to 2,100 in 2008/09, while deaths have remained relatively stable between 1,100 and 1,200 per annum. The difference between the level of births and the level of deaths (currently about 900 people per annum in the Borough) is referred to as “natural change”. So using this trend as a starting point, we would have 900 additional people to accommodate every year. For at least half a century, people have been changing their living patterns to the extent that the average size of a household (average number of people living in a home) has continued to decline, both nationally and locally. Between 1951 and 2001, the average household size within Hampshire decreased from 3.23 persons to 2.39 – one additional home for every four existing homes was needed to house the same population – without any allowance for natural change or migration. Likewise, within Basingstoke and Deane, the average household size fell from 2.64 persons to 2.45 in the decade from 1991 to 2001. Within just 10 years this reduction resulted in the formation of 4,265 additional households in the Borough. When combined with natural change, this means that a total of 7,300 extra households were created within the Borough without counting any net in- migration (i.e. people moving into the borough). Housing growth The following table shows how housing stock has changed in the borough over the recent past. The source is Hampshire County Council Small Area Population Forecasts (2006 and 2009 based)3. Dwelling stock by area: 2006 and 2010 Homes in Basingstoke and Deane Change in dwelling stock 2006 2010 2006-2010 South East 1,440 1,470 30 East 3,449 3,569 120 North East 2,304 2,514 210 North & Tadley 7,570 7,681 111 North & Kingsclere 2,136 2,209 73 North West 2,840 2,902 62 South West 2,984 3,140 156 South & Overton 2,164 2,335 171 Oakley & Deane 2,234 2,256 22 North of Basingstoke town 940 961 21 Basingstoke town 38,923 42,684 3,761 Total 66,984 71,721 4,737 3 Dwellings supply information includes all large and small sites with planning permission or allocated in Local Plans at 1st April 2009 based on phasing agreed with district councils.
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