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INGOP Reaches Its Political, Policy Apex Chairman Hupfer Surveys the Braun Victory, His Metrics and What’S Coming for the Next Level by BRIAN A

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INGOP Reaches Its Political, Policy Apex Chairman Hupfer Surveys the Braun Victory, His Metrics and What’S Coming for the Next Level by BRIAN A V24, N14 Wednesday, Nov. 14, 2018 INGOP reaches its political, policy apex Chairman Hupfer surveys the Braun victory, his metrics and what’s coming for the Next Level By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS – There couldn’t be a more emphatic contrast when it comes to major party chairs Kyle Hupfer of the Re- publicans and John Zody of the Democrats. Hupfer is essentially undefeated in statewide races and federal seats beyond the 1st and 7th CDs. Zody has been shut out, save for three Indiana House seats and a Senate pickup this cycle, coming after a GOP shakeup in 2016 that brought about the Donald Trump/Mike Pence dy- namic that has dominated ever since. For Hupfer, Mike Braun’s dispatch- ing of Sen. Joe Donnelly was the culmi- over a year,” Hupfer said in a Howey Politics Indiana inter- nation of a two-year effort that reached across multiple view on Monday at a northside Indianapolis Starbucks. platforms, party entities and campaigns. “Not only did we have good funding, we had early funding where we could Continued on page 3 really build up that infrastructure over the state for well Welcome to Trumpiana By JACK COLWELL SOUTH BEND – This is Trumpiana. The state, with new name or old, resisted the blue wave that swept across much of the nation on Tuesday. The wave, near a tsunami in some states, brought “I am proud of Indiana’s Democratic control of the U.S. House and flipped seven efforts to pursue Amazon’s head- governor offices from red to blue. Rolling across neigh- quarters. Responding to this bid boring Michigan, it propelled showed the world that Indiana Democrats to significant victories there, almost pulling has become a global destination under long-popular Republican and a thriving community for Congressman Fred Upton in Michigan’s 6th District. tech.” But the wave stopped at the state line in Michiana. - Gov. Eric Holcomb, on No blue water seeped across. Amazon HQ2 Page 2 Indiana was the Red Sea. Trumpiana. could drive away Republican support With the decisive defeat of in key suburban areas and in signifi- Sen. Joe Donnelly and easy reelection cant demographic groups in much of of all seven of the state’s Republican the nation, making it impossible to House members, Trumpiana’s congres- retain control of the House. sional delegation stands at nine Re- Trump, understanding that publicans, only two Democrats. Those chances of retaining the House were two surviving Democrats couldn’t lose, slim anyway, chose to concentrate Howey Politics Indiana running in House districts stacked with on destroying the vulnerable Sen- as many Democratic voters as pos- ate Democrats up for reelection in WWHowey Media, LLC 405 sible in gerrymandering. Republicans states where he won big for president. Massachusetts Ave., Suite control all offices elected statewide Retaining control of the Senate was a 300 Indianapolis, IN 46204 and retain overwhelming majorities better prospect. www.howeypolitics.com in both houses of the state legisla- Thus did Air Force One take ture, leaving minority Democrats with off so often, almost as regularly as a about as much power in the legislative scheduled commercial flight, for states Brian A. Howey, Publisher chambers as they would have if they like Trumpiana. He sought to fire up Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington stayed home. his base. Get it to view those Demo- Cameron Carter, Editor Even some states in the cratic senators as radical accomplices Joel Weyrauch, Editor Solid Red South Mary Lou Howey, Editor turned purple, not blue, but Mark Curry, Daily Wire, photo a competitive Jacob Curry, Statehouse purple. Ted Cruz Jack E. Howey, Editor was in a very Emeritus competitive race in Texas. Texas! There also were Subscriptions competitive HPI, HPI Daily Wire $599 races in Georgia HPI Weekly, $350 and Mississippi. HPI Mobile, $5.95 monthly Georgia! Missis- sippi!!! Ray Volpe, Account Manager Why 317.602.3620 was Trumpiana email: [email protected] less competitive than Mississippi in a in the march of the evil caravan. Get big race? it sweeping to the polls. A wave of its Give credit where political own. Contact HPI credit is due – to President Trump, for Trump proclaimed “a big [email protected] whom the state now is named. Trump victory” for himself in results of key Howey’s cell: 317.506.0883 held back the waters. The blue wave races he targeted. Indeed, the Senate Washington: 202.256.5822 that Democrats thought they saw will have a bigger Trump-supporting coming to keep Donnelly in the Senate majority. Business Office: 317.602.3620 and upset some Republican member Sen.-elect Mike Braun on of Congress. They fanaticized that the election night proclaimed again that © 2018, Howey Politics wave could leave Congresswoman Trump provided the inspiration for him Indiana. All rights reserved. Jackie Walorski vulnerable in the 2nd to challenge Donnelly. He said Trump’s Photocopying, Internet forward- District. campaigning for him had “a huge Republicans on the national impact.” Huge. ing, faxing or reproducing in scene, such as House Speaker Paul Some Republican strategists any form, whole or part, is a Ryan, wanted Trump to tone it down. thought Trump should stop crowing violation of federal law without Stop spreading fear at rallies about about Senate confirmation of Brett permission from the publisher. a caravan of bad people, really bad, Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court marching to the border to spread because many women believed allega- crime, disease and terror. Talk instead tions against him. Trump knew better. about a robust economy. They knew In campaign-close rallies, the presi- his divisive taunts, criticized as racist, dent hammered away at Donnelly for Page 3 voting against Kavanaugh. Donnelly knew that vote was and the caravan energized the Trump base and beyond to hurting him, especially with the way Senate Judiciary Com- change the state’s name. mittee Democrats overplayed their hand. He was hopeful This is Trumpiana. v voters would forget that and turn to other issues as they went to the polls. Colwell has covered Indiana politics over five de- Trump wouldn’t let them forget Kavanaugh, cades for the South Bend Tribune. portrayed as the real victim. The Kavanaugh controversy It was a very strong effort from top to bottom, kind of Hupfer Interview, from page 1 below the radar for the most part, though we were talking Asked about Indiana’s evolution into basically a about it. I do think it was a factor that contributed on Elec- one-party state, Hupfer played it down. “I always go back tion Day. to athletic analogies and the easiest way to start a down- HPI: So, the Braun campaign did not have to ward trend is to think lowly of your opponent,” he said. build its own voter contact regimen. Hupfer wouldn’t commit to serving into 2020 when Hupfer: We were working hand in hand with Mike his friend and ally, Gov. Holcomb, seeks a second term. Gentry and Josh Kelley during the entire campaign. Actu- But Hupfer says the party is performing at an optimum ally, at different times we moved staff over to the state. level and has two critical assets, President Trump and Vice So, folks who had been working on the Braun campaign President Pence, that made a huge impact in Braun’s vic- moved over to the state party doing the same job because tory over Donnelly. funding was there. It was a coordinated campaign and Here is our HPI interview with there was no need for them to duplicate Chairman Hupfer: that effort. But, they were involved in it HPI: What kind of voter out- from day one. reach were you able to execute and the HPI: Did your voter outreach out- role that played in the mid-terms? class the Democrats? Hupfer: There were a couple Hupfer: I honestly don’t know of things that set us apart. First was what they did. I don’t know what their the team that we have. We’re strong state party did or their team did. But, from top to bottom of the ticket. We obviously, it wasn’t a big effort. were strong with the seven congres- HPI: Do you know what kind of sional candidates, super-majorities held money advantage you ended up with? I in both the House and Senate. We had know Braun out-raised Donnelly by the a strong team behind them for voter end of October. contacts. We had a program between Hupfer: Maybe we’ll have it in the Republican Party, the Republican December. We may not know until next National Committee, the Mike Braun year until we get the final reports all put campaign and also the House and Sen- together. ate campaigns – all were coordinated HPI: I was monitoring the legisla- in a way that hasn’t happened before. tive races and Republicans have money Obviously, some significant funding advantages pretty much across the board, came in from the Republican National with only a few of the races even. It looks Committee where, by the end, we were like the Democrats were completely out- over 30 paid staff, over 30 interns. We had great data. We raised and out-manned. We’ve essentially become a one- were getting good data back from our fieldwork. We made party state. 2.5 million voter contacts. We made calls with connections Hupfer: I’m not quite there. I always go back to and voicemails plus doors. It was unprecedented, probably athletic analogies and the easiest way to start a downward two or three times anything we’ve done before. trend is to think lowly of your opponent.
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