Climate Change and Water Rainfall Categories Provincial Snapshot (1981-2040) Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

Pakistan's economy is predominantly Temperature Scenario Zones Mastuj Gigit Baltistan agrarian in nature and therefore climate Gilgit Baltistan (1981-2014) Khyber Pakhtunkhwa change has a direct impact on people's CHITRALCHITRAL livelihoods and food security. Chitral Water and agriculture are Chitral highly sensitive to climatic Kalam conditions and are directly Dasu Upper Dir KOHISTAN affected by climate change in SWAT a reciprocal relationship.

Lower Dir Saidu SHANGLA Naran BAJAUR Sharif Battagram Tor Ghar Malakand BUNER Afghanistan MOHMAND Mansehra

Charsadda Mardan Abbottabad Swabi Haripur Peshawar Landi Kotal Nowshera Parachinar KHYBER Darra KURRAM ORAKZAI Adam Khel Islamabad HANGU Kohat Thal

Miramshah Karak Punjab NORTH Bannu WAZIRISTAN Razmak Low (less than 600mm) Peshawar, Lakki Marwat Charsadda, Khyber, Kohat, Hangu, Kurram (Lower), Jandola Karak Bannu, Lakki Marwat, DI Khan Tank, Chitral, Central Region Swabi, Mardan, Nowshera, SOUTH Charsadda, Peshawar, Mohmand, Khyber. Pezu Mohmand, Orakzai, North and South Waziristan WAZIRISTAN Tank Wana Medium (less than 1000mm) Swat (Upper), South Region Karak, Bannu, Lakki Marwat,

Dera Malakand, Kurram (Upper), Nowshehra, Mardan, DI Khan, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, Kohat, Tank, Ismail Swabi, Bajaur, Kohistan, Mansehra (North), Shangla. Waziristan North, Waziristan South. Kulachi Khan

DERA ISMAIL High (above 1000mm) Swat (Lower), North Region Swat, Upper Dir, Lower Dir, KHAN Buner, Dir (Lower and Upper), Haripur, Shangla, Buner, Haripur, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Tor Ghar, Abbottabad, Mansehra (South), Malakand, Bajaur, Chitral, Kohistan, Tor Ghar, Battagram. Battagram. Balochistan Water/DRR implication Rainfall Changes - 2040 Central Region Torrential rains in spring. Flash floods in spring 1 1 1 2 & summer. River overflows in low lying areas during early summer due 5 2 5 2 to snow melting in higher watersheds. Frequent frost will be observed Central 5 South North KP KP KP during dry and cold winters. Need for rainwater harvesting and water 3 3 productivity techniques. 4 3 4 4 South Region Drought in fall/winter. Torrential rainfall in spring. 1 Average 9% 1 Average 1% 1 Average 4% Some of the Southern districts are at high risk of floods. Need for rainwater 2 Winter: by 17% 2 Winter: by 19% 2 Winter: by 8% harvesting and water productivity techniques

3 Spring: by 22% 3 Spring: by 14% 3 Spring: by 14%

4 Summer: by 24% 4 Summer: by 17% 4 Summer: by 7% North Region Flash floods in spring and summer due to intense rains. Coupled with increased temperature, GLOF and avalanches are highly 5 Fall: by 33% 5 Fall: by 32% 5 Fall: by 17% likely in high mountain regions beside river overflooding. Structural and biological measures to reduce disaster risks. Temperature: Annual average increase - 2040 2.5 2.5 2.5 P&D Department Financial Assistance 2.0 2.0 2.0 Central Region 1.5 1.5 1.5 Government of

South Region 1.0 1.0 1.0 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 1.8°C 1.6°C 1.9°C

0.5 0.5 0.5 www.pndkp.gov.pk North Region 0.0 0.0 0.0