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Let Me Just Add That While the Piece in Newsweek Is Extremely Annoying
From: Michael Oppenheimer To: Eric Steig; Stephen H Schneider Cc: Gabi Hegerl; Mark B Boslough; [email protected]; Thomas Crowley; Dr. Krishna AchutaRao; Myles Allen; Natalia Andronova; Tim C Atkinson; Rick Anthes; Caspar Ammann; David C. Bader; Tim Barnett; Eric Barron; Graham" "Bench; Pat Berge; George Boer; Celine J. W. Bonfils; James A." "Bono; James Boyle; Ray Bradley; Robin Bravender; Keith Briffa; Wolfgang Brueggemann; Lisa Butler; Ken Caldeira; Peter Caldwell; Dan Cayan; Peter U. Clark; Amy Clement; Nancy Cole; William Collins; Tina Conrad; Curtis Covey; birte dar; Davies Trevor Prof; Jay Davis; Tomas Diaz De La Rubia; Andrew Dessler; Michael" "Dettinger; Phil Duffy; Paul J." "Ehlenbach; Kerry Emanuel; James Estes; Veronika" "Eyring; David Fahey; Chris Field; Peter Foukal; Melissa Free; Julio Friedmann; Bill Fulkerson; Inez Fung; Jeff Garberson; PETER GENT; Nathan Gillett; peter gleckler; Bill Goldstein; Hal Graboske; Tom Guilderson; Leopold Haimberger; Alex Hall; James Hansen; harvey; Klaus Hasselmann; Susan Joy Hassol; Isaac Held; Bob Hirschfeld; Jeremy Hobbs; Dr. Elisabeth A. Holland; Greg Holland; Brian Hoskins; mhughes; James Hurrell; Ken Jackson; c jakob; Gardar Johannesson; Philip D. Jones; Helen Kang; Thomas R Karl; David Karoly; Jeffrey Kiehl; Steve Klein; Knutti Reto; John Lanzante; [email protected]; Ron Lehman; John lewis; Steven A. "Lloyd (GSFC-610.2)[R S INFORMATION SYSTEMS INC]"; Jane Long; Janice Lough; mann; [email protected]; Linda Mearns; carl mears; Jerry Meehl; Jerry Melillo; George Miller; Norman Miller; Art Mirin; John FB" "Mitchell; Phil Mote; Neville Nicholls; Gerald R. North; Astrid E.J. Ogilvie; Stephanie Ohshita; Tim Osborn; Stu" "Ostro; j palutikof; Joyce Penner; Thomas C Peterson; Tom Phillips; David Pierce; [email protected]; V. -
Living in the Environment
Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy 16 Amory Lovins and the C O R E C A S E S TUDY Rocky Mountain Institute In 1984, energy analyst Amory B. Lovins completed construction an energy future that is based on cutting energy waste to the of a large, solar-heated, solar-powered, superinsulated, partially bone and getting at least half of our energy from a variety earth-sheltered home and office in Snowmass, Colorado (USA) of low- or no-carbon renewable-energy resources. In addition, (Figure 16-1), an area with extremely cold winters. The building he has walked his talk by designing, building, and living in his serves as headquarters for the Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI)—a office and home shown in Figure 16-1. nonprofit, non-partisan, group of scientists and analysts who In 2008, Lovins was honored as one of America’s Best do research and consulting on energy, resource efficiency, and Leaders by U.S. News Media Group and the Harvard Kennedy renewable energy alternatives as well as on finding ways to work School. In this chapter, we will examine the exciting and toward a more just, prosperous, and life-sustaining world. challenging energy future that he envisioned over three This office–home has no conventional heating system. decades ago. Instead, it makes use of energy from the sun, heavy roof insulation, thick stone walls, energy- efficient windows, and a waste-heat recovery system. Solar energy provides 99% of GOOD its hot water, 95% of its daytime light- NEWS ing, and 90% of its household electricity. The building’s heating bill in this very cold climate is less than $50 a year. -
What Lies Beneath 2 FOREWORD
2018 RELEASE THE UNDERSTATEMENT OF EXISTENTIAL CLIMATE RISK BY DAVID SPRATT & IAN DUNLOP | FOREWORD BY HANS JOACHIM SCHELLNHUBER BREAKTHROUGHONLINE.ORG.AU Published by Breakthrough, National Centre for Climate Restoration, Melbourne, Australia. First published September 2017. Revised and updated August 2018. CONTENTS FOREWORD 02 INTRODUCTION 04 RISK UNDERSTATEMENT EXCESSIVE CAUTION 08 THINKING THE UNTHINKABLE 09 THE UNDERESTIMATION OF RISK 10 EXISTENTIAL RISK TO HUMAN CIVILISATION 13 PUBLIC SECTOR DUTY OF CARE ON CLIMATE RISK 15 SCIENTIFIC UNDERSTATEMENT CLIMATE MODELS 18 TIPPING POINTS 21 CLIMATE SENSITIVITY 22 CARBON BUDGETS 24 PERMAFROST AND THE CARBON CYCLE 25 ARCTIC SEA ICE 27 POLAR ICE-MASS LOSS 28 SEA-LEVEL RISE 30 POLITICAL UNDERSTATEMENT POLITICISATION 34 GOALS ABANDONED 36 A FAILURE OF IMAGINATION 38 ADDRESSING EXISTENTIAL CLIMATE RISK 39 SUMMARY 40 What Lies Beneath 2 FOREWORD What Lies Beneath is an important report. It does not deliver new facts and figures, but instead provides a new perspective on the existential risks associated with anthropogenic global warming. It is the critical overview of well-informed intellectuals who sit outside the climate-science community which has developed over the last fifty years. All such expert communities are prone to what the French call deformation professionelle and the German betriebsblindheit. Expressed in plain English, experts tend to establish a peer world-view which becomes ever more rigid and focussed. Yet the crucial insights regarding the issue in question may lurk at the fringes, as BY HANS JOACHIM SCHELLNHUBER this report suggests. This is particularly true when Hans Joachim Schellnhuber is a professor of theoretical the issue is the very survival of our civilisation, physics specialising in complex systems and nonlinearity, where conventional means of analysis may become founding director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate useless. -
An Integrated Hydrogen Vision for California
An Integrated Hydrogen Vision for California White Paper/Guidance Document Prepared with Support from the Steven and Michele Kirsch Foundation July 9, 2004 Lead Authors: Dr. Timothy Lipman Energy and Resources Group Inst. of Transportation Studies University of California – Berkeley and Davis Prof. Daniel Kammen Energy and Resources Group Goldman School of Public Policy University of California - Berkeley Assoc. Prof. Joan Ogden Environmental Science and Policy Inst. of Transportation Studies University of California - Davis Prof. Daniel Sperling Civil and Environmental Engineering Environmental Science and Policy Inst. of Transportation Studies University of California - Davis Additional Authors: Anthony Eggert, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis Prof. Peter Lehman, Schatz Energy Research Center, Humboldt State University Dr. Susan Shaheen, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley and UC Davis Dr. David Shearer, California Environmental Associates i This page left intentionally blank i An Integrated Hydrogen Vision for California Acknowledgments This project was funded by the Steven and Michele Kirsch Foundation with additional support from the UC Davis Hydrogen Pathways Program and the Energy Foundation. We are appreciative of the Kirsch Foundation’s timely support for this project. We thank (in alphabetical order) Mary Jean Burer, Dr. Charles Chamberlain, Gustavo Collantes, Rachel Finson, Roland Hwang, Jim Lee, Dr. Amory Lovins, Jason Mark, and Stefan Unnasch, and Jonathan Weinert for their insights and assistance as we conducted this project. We thank Hon. Mark DeSaulnier for his support and assistance, and more generally for championing clean air and mobility solutions for California. We further would like to specially acknowledge and thank Dr. Geoffrey Ballard for his visionary leadership in the field of hydrogen and fuel cells, and for his commitment to graduate education and thoughtful debate in this fascinating field. -
International Adventures in Clean Energy
International Adventures in Clean Energy ike the intrepid fictional professor Kammen and the other Berkeley contributors Indiana Jones, Daniel Kammen cuts a Professor Daniel Kammen requested that their prize be honored with a bike Lswashbuckling figure. As a trained pilot, rack near the Free Speech Movement Café.) he once flew medical supplies to remote areas combines science with of Kenya, ferrying patients back to Nairobi for International luminaries have sought his battery- treatment. Today, the 55-year-old globe-trotting environmental policy in the technology expertise. And then there’s his enduring energy and climate scientist and environmental connection to Africa, where he married his wife, policy wonk straddles two different yet quest for sustainable power Dele, a pediatric radiologist, in her ancestral Nigerian distinguished worlds. village. The couple has two teenage daughters, whom By Tom Levy he has nudged into attending NASA Space Camp and Fresh off a yearlong stint as a U.S. State traveling to Kenya and Borneo. Department science envoy, Kammen—a professor of energy and director of the Insight into his own fascination with both science and Renewable and Appropriate Energy Laboratory policy came to him, he says, after watching Jurassic (RAEL)—admits he was discouraged by the Park III. In that film, another fictional professor, Alan Trump administration’s withdrawal from Grant, says that exploring the unknowns of outer space the Paris climate accord, which he views as attracts two kinds of people: astronomers, who study the United States ceding its environmental the unknown from the comfort and safety of their leadership to nations such as China. -
ER 100 / 200 and Pub Pol C184 / C284 Energy and Society
University of California, Berkeley Fall 2015 Energy and Resources Group (ERG) & Goldman School of Public Policy ER 100 / 200 and Pub Pol C184 / C284 Energy and Society Professor Daniel Kammen 326 Barrows Hall Energy and Resources Group & Goldman School of Public Policy Email: [email protected] Office Hours: Wednesdays mornings in 326 Barrows Hall – schedule times via: http://www.wejoinin.com/sheets/kmjsk Section Day/time Rm. No. ER100 CC# ER200 CC# PP184 CC# PP284 CC# 101 T 1-2 210 Wheeler 27577 27646 77139 77316 102 T 10-11 30 Wheeler 27580 27649 77142 77319 103 T 11-12 242 Hearst Gym 27583 27652 77145 77322 104 W 10-11 140 Barrows 27586 27655 77148 77325 105 W 11-12 136 Barrows 27589 27658 77151 77328 106 W 12-1 136 Barrows 27592 27661 77154 77331 107 W 1-2 136 Barrows 27595 27664 77157 77334 108 M 10-11 140 Barrows 27598 27667 77160 77337 109 M 11-12 136 Barrows 27601 27670 77163 --- 110 M 1-2 136 Barrows 27604 27673 77166 --- Lectures ER100 (cc #27574) & ER200 (cc #27643) Lectures Pub Pol C184 (cc #77136) & Pub Pol C284 (cc # 77313) Tues & Thurs, 2:00 – 3:30 PM, 245 Li Ka Shing Course websites: https://bcourses.berkeley.edu/courses/1225912 (course internal) http://nature.berkeley.edu/er100 (open access site) Among the questions we will address in this course are: • In what ways has fossil-fuel use defined the 20th Century? What about the 21st? • What role is there for renewable energy and energy efficiency today and in the future? • What is the role of nuclear power in our present and future energy mix? • Could fuel cells or the hydrogen economy cause a revolution in the automotive industry? • Is the U. -
YALE Environmental NEWS
yale environmental NEWS Yale Peabody Museum of Natural History, Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies, and Yale Institute for Biospheric Studies fall/winter 2009–2010 · vol. 15, no. 1 Peabody Curator Awarded MacArthur “Genius” Grant page 12 KROON HALL RECEIVES DESIGN AWARDS Kroon Hall, the Yale School of Foresty & Environmental Studies’ new ultra- green home, captured two awards this fall for “compelling” design from the American Institute of Architects. “The way the building performs is essential contrast with the brownstone and maroon moment a visitor enters the building at ground to this beautiful, cathedral-like structure,” the brick of other Science Hill buildings. Glass level, the long open stairway carries the eye up jurors noted. “Part of its performance is the facades on the building’s eastern and western toward the high barrel-vaulted ceiling and the creation of a destination on the campus. The ends are covered by Douglas fi r louvers, which big window high up on the third fl oor, with its long walls of its idiosyncratic, barn-like form are positioned to defl ect unwanted heat and view into Sachem’s Wood. defi ne this compelling building.” glare. The building’s tall, thin shape, combined Opened in January 2009, the 58,200- Designed by Hopkins Architects of Great with the glass facades, enables daylight to pro- square-foot Kroon Hall is designed to use Britain, in partnership with Connecticut-based vide much of the interior’s illumination. And 50% less energy and emit 62% less carbon Centerbrook Architects and Planners, the the rounded line of the standing seam metal dioxide than a comparably sized modern aca- $33.5 million Kroon Hall received an Honor roof echoes the rolling whaleback roofl ine of demic building. -
California's Energy Future
California’s Energy Future: The View to 2050 Summary Report May 2011 Jane C. S. Long (co-chair) LEGAL NOTICE This report was prepared pursuant to a contract between the California Energy Commission (CEC) and the California Council on Science and Technology (CCST). It does not represent the views of the CEC, its employees, or the State of California. The CEC, the State of California, its employees, contractors, and subcontractors make no warranty, express or implied, and assume no legal liability for the information in this report; nor does any party represent that the use of this information will not infringe upon privately owned rights. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We would also like to thank the Stephen Bechtel Fund and the California Energy Commision for their contributions to the underwriting of this project. We would also like to thank the California Air Resources Board for their continued support and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory for underwriting the leadership of this effort. COPYRIGHT Copyright 2011 by the California Council on Science and Technology. Library of Congress Cataloging Number in Publications Data Main Entry Under Title: California’s Energy Future: A View to 2050 May 2011 ISBN-13: 978-1-930117-44-0 Note: The California Council on Science and Technology (CCST) has made every reasonable effort to assure the accuracy of the information in this publication. However, the contents of this publication are subject to changes, omissions, and errors, and CCST does not accept responsibility for any inaccuracies that may occur. CCST is a non-profit organization established in 1988 at the request of the California State Government and sponsored by the major public and private postsecondary institutions of California and affiliate federal laboratories in conjunction with leading private-sector firms. -
Atmospheric Circulation Newsletter of the University of Washington Atmospheric Sciences Department
Autumn 2017 Atmospheric Circulation Newsletter of the University of Washington Atmospheric Sciences Department Studying the effects of Southern African biomass burning on clouds and climate: The ORACLES mission by Professor Robert Wood, Michael Diamond, & Sarah Doherty iny aerosol particles, emitted by Fires, mainly associated with dry season Teverything from tailpipes to trees, float agricultural burning on African savannas, above us reflecting sunlight, seeding clouds and generate smoke, a chemical soup that absorbing solar heat. How exactly this happens includes a large quantity of tiny aerosol – and how it might change in the future particles. This smoke rises high in – is one of the biggest uncertainties the atmosphere driven by strong in how humans are influencing surface heating and then is climate. blown west off the coast; it In September 2016, three then subsides down toward University of Washington the cloud layer over the scientists took part in a southeastern Atlantic large NASA field campaign, Ocean. The interaction Observations of Aerosols between air moisture and Above Clouds and their smoke pollution is complex Interactions, or ORACLES, and not well understood. that is flying research planes Southern Africa produces around clouds off the west coast almost a third of the Earth’s of southern Africa to see how smoke biomass burning aerosol particles, particles and clouds interact. yet the fate of these particles and their ORACLES is a five year program, with influence on regional and global climate is three month-long aircraft field studies, and is poorly represented in climate models. led by Dr. Jens Redemann from NASA Ames The ORACLES experiment is providing Research Center in California. -
Theory and Practice Together Builds Clean Energy Access
http://energyaccess.org/news/recent-news/member-spotlight-daniel-kammen/ Theory and Practice Together Builds Clean Energy Access Daniel M. Kammen Two interlinked challenges of sustainability define our energy future: the persistence of widespread energy poverty; and intensifying human-driven climate disruption1. These crises are inexorably linked through the energy technology systems that have so far provided the vast majority of our energy: biomass and fossil fuels. Both the energy service crisis and the climate crisis have become increasingly serious over the past decades, even though we have seen greater clarity over the individual and social costs that each has brought to humanity. The correlation between access to electricity and a wide range of social goods is overwhelming. However, access to improved energy services alone does not provide a surefire pathway to economic opportunity and an improved quality of life. Figure 1 details the correlations that exist between electricity access across nations and a variety of measures of quality of life, such as the Human Development Index (HDI). Other indicators studied include gender equality in educational opportunity, and the percentage of students who reach educational milestones 2. Figure 1: The Human Development Index (HDI) and various additional metrics of quality of life plotted against the percentage of the population with electricity access. Each data point is country level data a specific point in time. For additional data, see (1). 1 http://energyaccess.org/news/recent-news/member-spotlight-daniel-kammen/ Figure 2: A village micro-grid energy and telecommunications system in the Crocker Highlands of Sabah, Malaysian Borneo. The system serves a community of two hundred, and provides household energy services, telecoms and satellite (dish shown), water pumping for fish ponds (seen at center) and for refrigeration. -
MIT A+B 2020 Program.Pdf
Welcome Welcome to the Applied Energy Symposium:MIT A+B. The IPCC report “Global Warming of 1.5°C” (Oct. 2018) issued a dire warning that unless CO2 emissions are halved by 2030, devastating changes, which will be sooner than expected and irreversible, will occur in oceans and on land. Time is running out for transitioning to new energy systems globally. Logic and numbers show that the world must take a two-step approach: (A) deploy existing, industrially proven technologies, namely solar, wind and nuclear base load at an unprecedented scale and pace, from now to 2050 -- when a house catches fire, firemen must run to the closest hydrants and stop disputing which water stream would be purer; and (B) develop new concepts and technologies that may replace the dirtier parts of (A) post-2050, at terawatt scale. The Applied Energy Symposium: MIT “A+B” (MITAB) is dedicated to the accelerated deployment of (A), and new concepts and emerging technologies for (B). For (A), reducing capital and operating costs, managing social dynamics, and minimizing environmental impact while maintaining extreme productivity are key; automation, artificial intelligence, social mobilization, governmental actions and international coordination will provide essential boosts. For (B), we seek new concepts and emerging technologies (e.g. fusion power engineering, superconducting transmission, etc.) that stand a chance to scale to terawatts after 30 years, i.e. “baby technologies” can grow to adulthood in 20-30 years. The AEAB2019 is organized by Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Harvard University, and Applied Energy Innovation Institute (AEii). We look forward to meeting you online. -
Participant List
BROOKINGS BLUM ROUNDTABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE BALANCE: HOW WILL THE WORLD’S POOR COPE WITH CLIMATE CHANGE? August 1-3, 2008 Participant List Co-Chairs Bruce Babbitt Richard C. Blum Chairman Chairman and President World Wildlife Fund Blum Capital Partners, LP Zoë Baird Lael Brainard President Vice President and Director Markle Foundation Global Economy and Development The Brookings Institution Manish Bapna Managing Director and Executive Vice Strobe Talbott President President World Resources Institute The Brookings Institution Maria Blair Honorary Co-Chairs Associate Vice President Walter Isaacson The Rockefeller Foundation President and Chief Executive Officer The Aspen Institute Clóvis Borges Executive Director Mary Robinson Wildlife Research and Environmental President Education Society (SPVS) Realizing Rights: The Ethical Globalization Initiative; David Brand 7th President of Ireland Managing Director New Forests Participants Madeleine K. Albright Ian Burton Principal Professor Emeritus The Albright Group LLC; University of Toronto; 64th Secretary of State of the United States Scientist Emeritus Meteorological Service of Canada 1 Sylvia Mathews Burwell Michael Jenkins President, Global Development Program President and Chief Executive Officer The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Forest Trends Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum Sheila C. Johnson Senior Scientist Chief Executive Officer World Health Organization Salamander Hospitality; President and Managing Partner Steven Chu WNBA’s Washington Mystics Director Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Daniel Kammen Class of 1935 Distinguished Professor of Ding Ding Energy Research Fellow, Energy Research Institute Founding Director, Renewable and National Development and Reform Appropriate Energy Laboratory Commission University of California, Berkeley Elliot Diringer Regis B. Kelly Director of International Strategies Director, California Institute for Pew Center on Global Climate Change Quantitative Biosciences University of California, San Francisco Kristie L.