Shleifer's Failure
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Handicapping Economics’ ‘Baby Nobel,’ the Clark Medal - Real Time E
Handicapping Economics’ ‘Baby Nobel,’ the Clark Medal - Real Time E... http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/04/22/handicapping-economics-ba... More News, Quotes, Companies, Videos SEARCH Thursday, April 22, 2010 As of 4:16 PM EDT BLOGS U.S. Edition Today's Paper Video Blogs Journal Community Log In Home World U.S. Business Markets Tech Personal Finance Life & Style Opinion Careers Real Estate Small Business WSJ BLOGS Reserve Bank of India’s ‘Nirvana’ Rate Economic insight and analysis from The Wall Street Journal. APRIL 22, 2010, 4:04 PM ET Handicapping Economics’ ‘Baby Nobel,’ the Clark Medal Article Comments (1) REAL TIME ECONOMICS HOME PAGE » 1 of 3 4/22/2010 4:20 PM Handicapping Economics’ ‘Baby Nobel,’ the Clark Medal - Real Time E... http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/04/22/handicapping-economics-ba... Email Printer Friendly Permalink Share: facebook Text Size By Justin Lahart Friday, the American Economic Association will present the John Bates Clark medal, awarded to the nation’s most promising economist under the age of 40. The Clark is known as the “Baby Nobel,” and with good reason. Of the 30 economists who have won it, 12 have gone on to win the Nobel, including Paul Samuelson and Milton Friedman. The award was given biennially until last year, when the AEA decided to give it annually. Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist Esther Duflo, 37, is considered a frontrunner. The head of MIT’s Jameel Poverty Action Lab with Abhijit Banerjee, she’s been at the forefront of using randomized experiments to analyze development American Economic Association Most Popular programs. -
The Business Cycle and the Stock Market
-1- THE BUSINESS CYCLE AND THE STOCK MARKET by Andrei S leifer A.B., Harv d University (1982) SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY May 1986 Andrei Shleifer 1986 The author hereby grants to M.I.T. permission to reproduce and to distribute copies of this thesis document in whole or in part. Signature of author__ Department of Economics May 12, 1986 Certified by Peter A. Diamond / Thesis Supervisor Certified by Franklin M. Fisher / Thesis Supervisor Accepted by Richard S. Eckaus Chairman, Departmental Graduate Committee ARCHIVES MASSACHUSETT SIN!TiTUTE OF TCHNN N1'' JUN 1 3 198E LIBRA";. - - 2 ABSTRACT The three essays of this thesis concern the role of expectations in determining the allocation of resources, particularly in the macroecono- mic context. Specifically, all three papers are motivated by the propo- sition that private agents' beliefs are aggregated into stock market prices, which can therefore influence the allocation of investment. The first essay does not deal with financial markets explicitly, although it explores the role of animal spirits in determining invest- ment. The essay describes an artificial economy, in which firms in dif- ferent sectors make inventions at different times, but innovate simultaneously to take advantage of high aggregate demand. In turn, high demand results from simultaneous innovation in many sectors. The economy exhibits multiple cyclical equilibria, with entrepreneurs' expectations determining which equilibrium obtains. These equilibria are Pareto ranked, and the most profitable equilibrium need not be the most effi- cient. -
Richard T. Ely and Woodrow Wilson at “The Hopkins”
SUBSCRIBE NOW AND RECEIVE CRISIS AND LEVIATHAN* FREE! “The Independent Review does not accept “The Independent Review is pronouncements of government officials nor the excellent.” conventional wisdom at face value.” —GARY BECKER, Noble Laureate —JOHN R. MACARTHUR, Publisher, Harper’s in Economic Sciences Subscribe to The Independent Review and receive a free book of your choice* such as the 25th Anniversary Edition of Crisis and Leviathan: Critical Episodes in the Growth of American Government, by Founding Editor Robert Higgs. This quarterly journal, guided by co-editors Christopher J. Coyne, and Michael C. Munger, and Robert M. Whaples offers leading-edge insights on today’s most critical issues in economics, healthcare, education, law, history, political science, philosophy, and sociology. Thought-provoking and educational, The Independent Review is blazing the way toward informed debate! Student? Educator? Journalist? Business or civic leader? Engaged citizen? This journal is for YOU! *Order today for more FREE book options Perfect for students or anyone on the go! The Independent Review is available on mobile devices or tablets: iOS devices, Amazon Kindle Fire, or Android through Magzter. INDEPENDENT INSTITUTE, 100 SWAN WAY, OAKLAND, CA 94621 • 800-927-8733 • [email protected] PROMO CODE IRA1703 The Shaping of a Future President’s Economic Thought Richard T. Ely and Woodrow Wilson at “The Hopkins” F CLIFFORD F. THIES AND GARY M. PECQUET homas Woodrow Wilson (1856–1924) was the first and is still the only president oftheUnitedStatestoholdanearneddoctoraldegree.HisPh.D.wasawarded T by the Johns Hopkins University (“The Hopkins”) in 1886. He was also the president of an institution of higher education and, unique among U.S. -
ANDREI SHLEIFER 1 March 2019
ANDREI SHLEIFER 1 March 2019 ANDREI SHLEIFER Department of Economics Harvard University M9 Littauer Center Cambridge, MA 02138 Date of Birth: February 20, 1961 Citizenship: U.S.A. Undergraduate Studies: Harvard, A.B., Math, 1982. Graduate Studies: MIT, Ph.D., May, 1986. Thesis Title: “The Business Cycle and the Stock Market” EMPLOYMENT: John L. Loeb Professor of Economics, Harvard University, 1991 - present. Professor of Finance and Business Economics, Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago, 1989 - 1990. Assistant Professor of Finance and Business Economics, Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago, 1987 - 1989. Assistant Professor of Economics, Princeton University, 1986 - 1987. OTHER AFFILIATIONS: Faculty Research Fellow and Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1986- Associate and Advisory Editor, Journal of Financial Economics, 1988 - . Associate Editor, Journal of Finance, 1988 - 1991. Editor, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1989 - 1999, 2012 - Advisor, Government of Russia, 1991 - 1997. Principal, LSV Asset Management, 1994 - 2003. Editor, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2003 - 2008. ANDREI SHLEIFER 2 March 2019 AWARDS, FELLOWSHIPS, AND GRANTS: National Science Foundation Graduate Fellowship, 1983 - 1986. CRSP Distinguished Visiting Scholar, Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago, March-June, 1986. Alfred P. Sloan Fellowship, 1990. National Science Foundation Grants, 1988 - 1989, 1990 - 1991, 19 94 - 1996, 1998 - 2000, 2001 - 2003. Presidential Young Investigator Award, 1989 - 1994. Bradley Foundation Grant, 1989, 1990, 1991 - 1992. Russell Sage Foundation Grant (with R. Vishny), 1988, 1991. Alfred P. Sloan Foundation Grant (with L. Summers), 1986, 1988 - 1990. Fellow, Econometric Society, 1993. Roger F. Murray Award of the Q-Group, 1994, and the Smith-Breeden Prize of the Journal of Finance for Distinguished paper, 1995, given to “Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk.” Member, U.S.-Israel Joint Economic Development Group, 1995 - 1997. -
External Influence As an Indicator of Scholarly Importance
This may be the author’s version of a work that was submitted/accepted for publication in the following source: Chan, Ho Fai, Frey, Bruno, Gallus, Jana, Schaffner, Markus, Torgler, Benno,& Whyte, Stephen (2016) External influence as an indicator of scholarly importance. CESifo Economic Studies, 62(1), pp. 170-195. This file was downloaded from: https://eprints.qut.edu.au/84714/ c Consult author(s) regarding copyright matters This work is covered by copyright. Unless the document is being made available under a Creative Commons Licence, you must assume that re-use is limited to personal use and that permission from the copyright owner must be obtained for all other uses. If the docu- ment is available under a Creative Commons License (or other specified license) then refer to the Licence for details of permitted re-use. It is a condition of access that users recog- nise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. If you believe that this work infringes copyright please provide details by email to [email protected] Notice: Please note that this document may not be the Version of Record (i.e. published version) of the work. Author manuscript versions (as Sub- mitted for peer review or as Accepted for publication after peer review) can be identified by an absence of publisher branding and/or typeset appear- ance. If there is any doubt, please refer to the published source. https://doi.org/10.1093/cesifo/ifv010 External Influence as an Indicator of Scholarly Importance Ho Fai Chan, Bruno S. Frey, Jana Gallus, Markus Schaffner, Benno Torgler, and Stephen Whyte Abstract: Although the external influence of scholars has usually been approximated by publication and citation count, the array of scholarly activities is far more extensive. -
Shleifer's Failure
Shleifer’s Failure THE FAILURE OF JUDGES AND THE RISE OF REGULATORS. By Andrei Shleifer. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press, 2012. 352 pages. $40.00. Reviewed by Jonathan Klick* I. Introduction Andrei Shleifer is undoubtedly among the world’s most important economists. By standard citation measures, no one else is anywhere close. For example, his nearly 19,000 citations in the RePEc rankings1 as of October 2012 place him ahead of Nobel Prize2 winners such as James Heckman (12,212),3 Joseph Stiglitz (11,431),4 and Robert Lucas (9,314).5 His work on corporate finance, behavioral finance, and transition economics earned him the American Economic Association’s prestigious John Bates Clark medal in 1999.6 Perhaps not even international scandal will keep Shleifer from taking his place among the Nobelists.7 Shleifer’s influence in legal scholarship is almost as large. With more than 1,000 Westlaw citations,8 Shleifer would compare favorably to most law and economics specialists in top U.S. law schools.9 Given all of this, the publication of Shleifer’s book The Failure of Judges and the Rise of Regulators10 as part of the MIT Press’s Walras-Pareto Lecture series is sure to be of interest to a wide range of legal scholars, students, and policy makers—and especially to those who do not have access to JSTOR11 and a * Professor of Law, University of Pennsylvania. 1. Top 5% Authors, as of October 2012, IDEAS, http://ideas.repec.org/top/top .person.nbcites.html. 2. Formally the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, NOBELPRIZE.ORG, http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics, but only pedants note this, such as bloggers who disagree with a given Nobelist’s positions. -
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES a NORMAL COUNTRY Andrei
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES A NORMAL COUNTRY Andrei Shleifer Daniel Treisman Working Paper 10057 http://www.nber.org/papers/w10057 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 October 2003 We thank Anders Aslund, Olivier Blanchard, Maxim Boycko, David Cutler, Martin Feldstein, Sergei Guriev, Stephen Hanson, Simon Johnson, David Laibson, Dwight Perkins, Lawrence Summers, Judith Thornton, Katia Zhuravskaya, and participants at a seminar at the University of Washington. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Bureau of Economic Research. ©2003 by Andrei Shleifer and Daniel Treisman. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. A Normal Country Andrei Shleifer and Daniel Treisman NBER Working Paper No. 10057 October 2003 JEL No. P2, P3, P5 ABSTRACT During the 1990s, Russia underwent an extraordinary transformation from a communist dictatorship to a multi-party democracy, from a centrally planned economy to a market economy, and from a belligerent adversary of the West to a cooperative partner. Yet a consensus in the US circa 2000 viewed Russia as a disastrous and threatening failure, and the 1990s as a decade of catastrophe for its citizens. Analyzing a variety of economic and political data, we demonstrate a large gap between this perception and the facts. In contrast to the common image, by the late 1990s Russia had become a typical middle-income capitalist democracy. Andrei Shleifer Harvard University Department of Economics M9Littauer Center Cambridge, MA 02138 and NBER [email protected] Daniel Treisman University of California, Los Angeles Political Science Department 3265 Bunche Hall Los Angeles, CA 90095-1472 [email protected] 1 Introduction During the 1990s, Russia underwent an extraordinary transformation. -
Imperialism, Racism, and Fear of Democracy in Richard Ely's Progressivism
The Rot at the Heart of American Progressivism: Imperialism, Racism, and Fear of Democracy in Richard Ely's Progressivism Gerald Friedman Department of Economics University of Massachusetts at Amherst November 8, 2015 This is a sketch of my long overdue intellectual biography of Richard Ely. It has been way too long in the making and I have accumulated many more debts than I can acknowledge here. In particular, I am grateful to Katherine Auspitz, James Boyce, Bruce Laurie, Tami Ohler, and Jean-Christian Vinel, and seminar participants at Bard, Paris IV, Paris VII, and the Five College Social History Workshop. I am grateful for research assistance from Daniel McDonald. James Boyce suggested that if I really wanted to write this book then I would have done it already. And Debbie Jacobson encouraged me to prioritize so that I could get it done. 1 The Ely problem and the problem of American progressivism The problem of American Exceptionalism arose in the puzzle of the American progressive movement.1 In the wake of the Revolution, Civil War, Emancipation, and radical Reconstruction, no one would have characterized the United States as a conservative polity. The new Republican party took the United States through bloody war to establish a national government that distributed property to settlers, established a national fiat currency and banking system, a progressive income tax, extensive program of internal improvements and nationally- funded education, and enacted constitutional amendments establishing national citizenship and voting rights for all men, and the uncompensated emancipation of the slave with the abolition of a social system that had dominated a large part of the country.2 Nor were they done. -
Can Higher Prices Stimulate Product Use? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Zambia
Can Higher Prices Stimulate Product Use? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Zambia Nava Ashraf James Berry Jesse M. Shapiro Working Paper 07-034 Copyright © 2006, 2007, 2008 by Nava Ashraf, James Berry, and Jesse M. Shapiro Working papers are in draft form. This working paper is distributed for purposes of comment and discussion only. It may not be reproduced without permission of the copyright holder. Copies of working papers are available from the author. Can Higher Prices Stimulate Product Use? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Zambia Nava Ashraf James Berry Harvard Business School Massachusetts Institute of Technology Jesse M. Shapiro University of Chicago and NBER August 14, 2008 Abstract The controversy over whether and how much to charge for health products in the developing world rests, in part, on whether higher prices can increase use, either by targeting distribution to high-use households (a screening e¤ect), or by stimulating use psychologically through a sunk-cost e¤ect. We develop a methodology for separating these two e¤ects. We implement the methodology in a …eld experiment in Zambia using door-to-door marketing of a home water puri…cation solution. We …nd that higher prices screen out those who use the product less. By contrast, we …nd no consistent evidence of sunk-cost e¤ects. JEL classi…cation: C93, D12, L11, L31 Keywords: chlorination, water-borne diseases, sunk-cost e¤ect, non-pro…t strategy, social marketing We are grateful to Gary Becker, Stefano DellaVigna, Dave Donaldson, Erik Eyster, Matthew Gentzkow, Jerry Green, Ali Hortaçsu, Emir Kamenica, Dean Karlan, Larry Katz, Michael Kremer, Stephen Leider, Steve Levitt, John List, Kevin M. -
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The Age of Milton Friedman
Journal of Economic Literature 2009, 47:1, 123–135 http:www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/jel.47.1.123 The Age of Milton Friedman Andrei Shleifer* Between 1980 and 2005, as the world embraced free market policies, living stan- dards rose sharply, while life expectancy, educational attainment, and democracy improved and absolute poverty declined. Is this a coincidence? A collection of essays edited by Balcerowicz and Fischer argues that indeed reliance on free market forces is key to economic growth. A book by Stiglitz and others disagrees. I review and com- pare the two arguments. 1. Introduction also embraced free market policies. All three of these leaders professed inspiration from he last quarter century has witnessed the work of Milton Friedman. It is natural, Tremarkable progress of mankind. The then, to refer to the last quarter century as world’s per capita inflation-adjusted income the Age of Milton Friedman. rose from $5,400 in 1980 to $8,500 in 2005. The association between free mar- Schooling and life expectancy grew rapidly, ket policies and social progress notwith- while infant mortality and poverty fell just standing, economists remain divided in as fast. Compared to 1980, many more coun- their assessments of this Age. Two recent tries in the world are democratic today. books illustrate the divisions. A collection The last quarter century also saw wide of papers edited by Leszek Balcerowicz acceptance of free market policies in both and Stanley Fischer—Living Standards rich and poor countries: from private own- and the Wealth of Nations: Successes and ership, to free trade, to responsible budgets, Failures in Real Convergence (MIT Press, to lower taxes. -
Andrei Shleifer Murphy Kevin M
Epstein Larry G Hynes J Allan Karni Edi Smith V Kerry Bolton Patrick Anna L. Paulson Lach Saul Robin Brooks Robert M. Townsend Jeremy Bulow Isabel Correia Bresnahan Timothy F Rosemary Avery Joseph G. Altonji Peterson David W Chen Chau-nan Bhagwan Chowdhry Lars Peter Hansen Stern Robert M Bertin Amy L Weingast Barry R Alan Mathios Cabreales Antonio Lang Larry H P Donald Kenkel Barton H. Hamilton Zuber Richard A Hugo Hopenhayn Robert B. Ekelund Jr. Michael Greenstone David Dranove Saks Daniel H Deaton Angus Findlay Ronald Philip DeCicca Cropper Maureen L. Shiller Robert J Assaf Razin Harold G. Moulton Dooley Martin D S. Lawrence Bigelow Francesco Drago Robert D. Tollison Greif Avner Myron W. Watkins C. Arnold Anderson Tai-wei Hu Alon Brav Whalley John Bruno Biais Postlewaite Andrew Tano Santos Sanjeev Goyal Cole Harold L Ehrenberg Ronald G Day Richard H Neumann George R Harrison Glenn W Ricardo J. Caballero Thomas Sargent Christina Paxson J. David Brown Bhattacharya Sudipto McMillan John Jonathan M. Karpoff Rucker Randal R Bronars Stephen G Luigi Guiso Hubbard R Glenn Diebold Francis X Wolfe Barbara L Lior Menzly Leffler Keith B Luigi Pistaferri Paul Gomme Friedman Daniel Lewis Tracy R Stiglitz Joseph E Wellisz Stanislaw Hoffer George E Firms Zeckhauser Richard J Eswaran Mukesh Orazio P. Attanasio Thomas Cooley Hodrick Robert J Kerwin Kofi Charles Vernon Henderson John Knowles Blair Douglas H Schwert G William Deaton Angus S Zellner Arnold Rothkopf Michael H Wolpin Kenneth I Michael Mann French Kenneth R Michael P. Keane Cass DavidMilgrom Paul Hansen Lars Peter Frey Bruno S StarkRosenzweig Oded Mark R Andrew W.