Tracking a Long-Lasting Outer Tropical Cyclone Rainband: Origin and Convective Transformation
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Hurricane Outer Rainband Mesovortices
Presented at the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, May 31 2000 EXAMINING THE PRE-LANDFALL ENVIRONMENT OF MESOVORTICES WITHIN A HURRICANE BONNIE (1998) OUTER RAINBAND 1 2 2 1 Scott M. Spratt , Frank D. Marks , Peter P. Dodge , and David W. Sharp 1 NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office, Melbourne, FL 2 NOAA/AOML Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL 1. INTRODUCTION Tropical Cyclone (TC) tornado environments have been studied for many decades through composite analyses of proximity soundings (e.g. Novlan and Gray 1974; McCaul 1986). More recently, airborne and ground-based Doppler radar investigations of TC rainband-embedded mesocyclones have advanced the understanding of tornadic cell lifecycles (Black and Marks 1991; Spratt et al. 1997). This paper will document the first known dropwindsonde deployments immediately adjacent to a family of TC outer rainband mesocyclones, and will examine the thermodynamic and wind profiles retrieved from the marine environment. A companion paper (Dodge et al. 2000) discusses dual-Doppler analyses of these mesovortices. On 26 August 1998, TC Bonnie made landfall as a category two hurricane along the North Carolina coast. Prior to landfall, two National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Hurricane Research Division (HRD) aircraft conducted surveillance missions offshore the Carolina coast. While performing these missions near altitudes of 3.5 and 2.1 km, both aircraft were required to deviate around intense cells within a dominant outer rainband, 165 to 195 km northeast of the TC center. On-board radars detected apparent mini-supercell signatures associated with several of the convective cells along the band. -
Wang, M., M. Xue, and K. Zhao (2016), September 2008
PUBLICATIONS Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres RESEARCH ARTICLE The impact of T-TREC-retrieved wind and radial 10.1002/2015JD024001 velocity data assimilation using EnKF Key Points: and effects of assimilation window • T-TREC-retrieved wind and radial velocity data are assimilated using an on the analysis and prediction ensemble Kalman filter • The relative impacts of two data sets of Typhoon Jangmi (2008) on analysis and prediction changes with assimilation windows Mingjun Wang1,2, Ming Xue1,2,3, and Kun Zhao1 • The combination of retrieved wind and radial velocity produces better 1Key Laboratory for Mesoscale Severe Weather/MOE and School of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, analyses and forecasts China, 2Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, Norman, Oklahoma, USA, 3School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma, USA Correspondence to: M. Xue, Abstract This study examines the relative impact of assimilating T-TREC-retrieved winds (VTREC)versusradial [email protected] velocity (Vr) on the analysis and forecast of Typhoon Jangmi (2008) using an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). The VTREC and Vr data at 30 min intervals are assimilated into the ARPS model at 3 km grid spacing over four different Citation: assimilation windows that cover, respectively, 0000–0200, 0200–0400, 0400–0600, and 0000–0600 UTC, 28 Wang, M., M. Xue, and K. Zhao (2016), September 2008. The assimilation of VTREC data produces better analyses of the typhoon structure and intensity The impact of T-TREC-retrieved wind and radial velocity data assimilation than the assimilation of Vr data during the earlier assimilation windows, but during the later assimilation using EnKF and effects of assimilation windows when the coverage of Vr data on the typhoon from four Doppler radars is much improved, the window on the analysis and prediction assimilation of V outperforms V data. -
The Influence of Assimilating Dropsonde Data on Typhoon Track
908 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 139 The Influence of Assimilating Dropsonde Data on Typhoon Track and Midlatitude Forecasts MARTIN WEISSMANN,* FLORIAN HARNISCH,* CHUN-CHIEH WU,1 PO-HSIUNG LIN,1 YOICHIRO OHTA,# KOJI YAMASHITA,# YEON-HEE KIM,@ EUN-HEE JEON,@ TETSUO NAKAZAWA,& AND SIM ABERSON** * Deutsches Zentrum fu¨r Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut fu¨r Physik der Atmospha¨re, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany 1 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan # Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan @ National Institute of Meteorological Research, Korea Meteorological Agency, Seoul, South Korea & Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan ** NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 9 February 2010, in final form 21 April 2010) ABSTRACT A unique dataset of targeted dropsonde observations was collected during The Observing System Re- search and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) in the autumn of 2008. The campaign was supplemented by an enhancement of the operational Dropsonde Ob- servations for Typhoon Surveillance near the Taiwan Region (DOTSTAR) program. For the first time, up to four different aircraft were available for typhoon observations and over 1500 additional soundings were collected. This study investigates the influence of assimilating additional observations during the two major typhoon events of T-PARC on the typhoon track forecast by the global models of the European Centre for Medium- Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), and the limited-area Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Additionally, the influence of T-PARC observations on ECMWF midlatitude forecasts is investigated. All models show an improving tendency of typhoon track forecasts, but the degree of improvement varied from about 20% to 40% in NCEP and WRF to a comparably low influence in ECMWF and JMA. -
Science Discussion Started: 22 October 2018 C Author(S) 2018
Discussions Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2018-127 Earth System Manuscript under review for journal Earth Syst. Sci. Data Science Discussion started: 22 October 2018 c Author(s) 2018. CC BY 4.0 License. Open Access Open Data 1 Field Investigations of Coastal Sea Surface Temperature Drop 2 after Typhoon Passages 3 Dong-Jiing Doong [1]* Jen-Ping Peng [2] Alexander V. Babanin [3] 4 [1] Department of Hydraulic and Ocean Engineering, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, 5 Taiwan 6 [2] Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemuende (IOW), Rostock, Germany 7 [3] Department of Infrastructure Engineering, Melbourne School of Engineering, University of 8 Melbourne, Australia 9 ---- 10 *Corresponding author: 11 Dong-Jiing Doong 12 Email: [email protected] 13 Tel: +886 6 2757575 ext 63253 14 Add: 1, University Rd., Tainan 70101, Taiwan 15 Department of Hydraulic and Ocean Engineering, National Cheng Kung University 16 -1 Discussions Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2018-127 Earth System Manuscript under review for journal Earth Syst. Sci. Data Science Discussion started: 22 October 2018 c Author(s) 2018. CC BY 4.0 License. Open Access Open Data 1 Abstract 2 Sea surface temperature (SST) variability affects marine ecosystems, fisheries, ocean primary 3 productivity, and human activities and is the primary influence on typhoon intensity. SST drops 4 of a few degrees in the open ocean after typhoon passages have been widely documented; 5 however, few studies have focused on coastal SST variability. The purpose of this study is to 6 determine typhoon-induced SST drops in the near-coastal area (within 1 km of the coast) and 7 understand the possible mechanism. -
A Vortex Relocation Scheme for Tropical Cyclone Initialization in Advanced Research WRF
3298 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 138 A Vortex Relocation Scheme for Tropical Cyclone Initialization in Advanced Research WRF LING-FENG HSIAO Central Weather Bureau, and Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, Taipei, Taiwan CHI-SANN LIOU Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, California TIEN-CHIANG YEH Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan YONG-RUN GUO National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado DER-SONG CHEN,KANG-NING HUANG,CHUEN-TEYR TERNG, AND JEN-HER CHEN Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan (Manuscript received 6 November 2009, in final form 23 February 2010) ABSTRACT This paper introduces a relocation scheme for tropical cyclone (TC) initialization in the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW-WRF) model and demonstrates its application to 70 forecasts of Ty- phoons Sinlaku (2008), Jangmi (2008), and Linfa (2009) for which Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau (CWB) issued typhoon warnings. An efficient and dynamically consistent TC vortex relocation scheme for the WRF terrain- following mass coordinate has been developed to improve the first guess of the TC analysis, and hence improves the tropical cyclone initialization. The vortex relocation scheme separates the first-guess atmospheric flow into a TC circulation and environmental flow, relocates the TC circulation to its observed location, and adds the relocated TC circulation back to the environmental flow to obtain the updated first guess with a correct TC position. Analysis of these typhoon cases indicates that the relocation procedure moves the typhoon circulation to the observed typhoon position without generating discontinuities or sharp gradients in the first guess. Numerical experiments with and without the vortex relocation procedure for Typhoons Sinlaku, Jangmi, and Linfa forecasts show that about 67% of the first-guess fields need a vortex relocation to correct typhoon position errors while eliminates the topographical effect. -
A Long-Lasting Vortex Rossby Wave–Induced Rainband of Typhoon Longwang (2005)
A Long-Lasting Vortex Rossby Wave–Induced Rainband of Typhoon Longwang (2005) YANLUAN LIN, YUANLONG LI, QINGSHAN LI, MINYAN CHEN, FANGHUA XU, YUQING WANG, AND BIN HUANG n 2 October 2005, a record-breaking rainfall event Tsai 2013). As Typhoon Longwang approached the with 152 mm of rainfall in an hour occurred as coast of Fujian Province at 0800 UTC, one type of this OTyphoon Longwang approached Fujian Province, transient rainband in the northeast sector started to China. The severe rainfall was unexpected and signifi- weaken and dissipate (Fig. 1b). At the same time, the cantly underpredicted by the local weather forecasters eyewall underwent an asymmetry transformation and caused a total of 96 deaths. Because of the severe accompanied by a bended convection pattern in the damage over Taiwan and mainland China, the name north (Fig. 1b). The bended convection transformed of Longwang, which means a dragon in charge of into a strong convective band along the eyewall to the rainfall in Chinese, was removed from the name list north and moved outward relative to the storm center for future typhoons. (Fig. 1c). The convective band continued to intensify with a sharp inner edge (Fig. 1d). An hour later, the EVOLUTION AND BASIC FEATURES OF convective band achieved its maximum intensity with THE RAINBAND. The formation and evolution a large area of stratiform precipitation outward and of the rainband associated with the rainfall event was downstream (Fig. 1e). At this time, cloud brightness captured by the radar mosaic produced by the Central temperatures as low as −80°C were measured by a Weather Bureau (CWB) of Taiwan (Fig. -
Phase Concept for Mudflow Based on the Influence of Viscosity
Soils and Foundations 2013;53(1):77–90 The Japanese Geotechnical Society Soils and Foundations www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/sandf Phase concept for mudflow based on the influence of viscosity Shannon Hsien-Heng Leen, Budijanto Widjaja1 National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Department of Construction Engineering, No. 43 Keelung Road, Section 4, Taipei 106, Taiwan Received 22 November 2011; received in revised form 4 July 2012; accepted 1 September 2012 Available online 26 January 2013 Abstract The phase concept implies that the state of soil changes from plastic to viscous liquid as a function of water content. This principle could be used to interpret the behavior of mudflows, the most dangerous mass movements today. When Typhoon Jangmi hit northern Taiwan in 2008, a mudflow occurred in the Maokong area as a result of the high-intensity rainfall. This case was studied using three simulations, each with a different water content. Based on the mudflow classifications, the primary criteria used in this study were flow velocity and solid concentration by volume, while the major rheology parameters directly obtained from our new laboratory device, the flow box test, were yield stress and viscosity. The results show that the mass movement confirmed the aforementioned criteria for mudflow when the water content reaches or exceeds the liquid limit. The flow box test can determine the viscosity for both plastic and viscous liquid states, which is advantageous. Viscosity is important for explaining the general characteristics of mudflow movement because it controls flow velocity. Therefore, the present study successfully elucidates the changes in mudflow from its initiation to its transportation and deposition via a numerical simulation using laboratory rheology parameters. -
Typhoon Hagupit – Situation Report (20:30 Manila Time)
TYPHOON HAGUPIT NR. 1 7 DECEMBER 2014 Typhoon Hagupit – Situation Report (20:30 Manila Time) GENERAL INFORMATION - Typhoon Hagupit made landfall on Saturday 6 December at 9:15 pm in Dolores, Eastern Samar. After weakening to a Category 2 typhoon, Hagupit then made a second landfall in Cataingan, Masbate on Sunday 7 December. - Typhoon Hagupit has maintained its strength and is now (8:00 pm Manila Time) over the vicinity of Aroroy, Masbate. According to PAGASA’s weather bulletin issued today, 7 December at 18:00, the expected third landfall over Sibuyan Island will be between 02:00 – 04:00 in the morning tomorrow and will be associated with strong winds, storm surge and heavy to torrential rainfall. Hagupit is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday morning. - The typhoon is not as powerful as Typhoon Haiyan but Hagupit is moving slowly through the Philippines meaning prolonged rainfall and an increased likelihood of flooding and landslides. Currently the extent of damage is not yet clear. The authorities will send an assessment mission tomorrow to Region VIII where some municipalities in Eastern and Northern Samar are thought to have sustained heavier damage. Signal no. 1 has been issued in Manila, down from Signal no. 2 this morning Forecast Positions: - 24 hour (tomorrow afternoon): 60 km East of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro or at 160 km South of Science Garden, Quezon City. - 48 hour (Tuesday afternoon): 170 km Southwest of Science Garden, Quezon City. - 72 hour (Wednesday afternoon): 400 km West of Science Garden, Quezon City. TYPHOON HAGUPIT NR. -
The Impact of Dropwindsonde Observations on Typhoon Track Forecasts in DOTSTAR and T-PARC
1728 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 139 The Impact of Dropwindsonde Observations on Typhoon Track Forecasts in DOTSTAR and T-PARC KUN-HSUAN CHOU Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan CHUN-CHIEH WU AND PO-HSIUNG LIN Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan SIM D. ABERSON Hurricane Research Division, NOAA/AOML, Miami, Florida MARTIN WEISSMANN AND FLORIAN HARNISCH Deutsches Zentrum fu¨r Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut fu¨r Physik der Atmospha¨re, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany TETSUO NAKAZAWA Meteorological Research Institute, JMA, Tsukuba, Japan (Manuscript received 3 August 2010, in final form 1 November 2010) ABSTRACT The typhoon surveillance program Dropwindsonde Observations for Typhoon Surveillance near the Taiwan Region (DOTSTAR) has been conducted since 2003 to obtain dropwindsonde observations around tropical cyclones near Taiwan. In addition, an international field project The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) in which dropwindsonde observations were obtained by both surveillance and reconnaissance flights was conducted in summer 2008 in the same region. In this study, the impact of the dropwindsonde data on track forecasts is investigated for DOTSTAR (2003–09) and T-PARC (2008) experi- ments. Two operational global models from NCEP and ECMWF are used to evaluate the impact of dropwindsonde data. In addition, the impact on the two-model mean is assessed. The impact of dropwindsonde data on track forecasts is different in the NCEP and ECMWF model systems. Using the NCEP system, the assimilation of dropwindsonde data leads to improvements in 1- to 5-day track forecasts in about 60% of the cases. -
1 Vertical Structure of Tropical Cyclone Rainbands As Seen by The
Vertical Structure of Tropical Cyclone Rainbands as seen by the TRMM Precipitation Radar Deanna A. Hence and Robert A. Houze, Jr. University of Washington, Seattle, Washington Submitted to Journal of Atmospheric Sciences November 2011 Corresponding author address: Deanna Hence, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Box 351640, Seattle, WA 98195 E-mail: [email protected] 1 ABSTRACT 1 Ten years of data from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission satellite’s Precipitation 2 Radar (TRMM PR) show the vertical structure of tropical cyclone rainbands. Radar-echo 3 statistics show that rainbands have a two-layered structure, with distinct modes separated by the 4 melting layer. The ice layer is a combination of particles imported from the eyewall and ice left 5 aloft as convective cells collapse. This layering is most pronounced in the inner region of the 6 storm, and the layering is enhanced by storm strength. The inner-region rainbands are vertically 7 confined by outflow from the eyewall but nevertheless are a combination of strong embedded 8 convective cells and robust stratiform precipitation, both of which become more pronounced in 9 stronger cyclones. 10 Changes in rainband coverage, vertical structure, and the amount of active convection 11 indicate a change in the nature of rainbands between the regions inward and outward of a radius 12 of ~200 km. Beyond this radius, rainbands consist of more sparsely distributed precipitation that 13 is more convective in nature than that of the inner-region rainbands, and the outer-region 14 rainband structures are relatively insensitive to changes in storm intensity. -
Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong
78 BAVI AUG : ,- HAISHEN JANGMI SEP AUG 6 KUJIRA MAYSAK SEP SEP HAGUPIT AUG DOLPHIN SEP /1 CHAN-HOM OCT TD.. MEKKHALA AUG TD.. AUG AUG ATSANI Hong Kong HIGOS NOV AUG DOLPHIN() 2012 SEP : 78 HAISHEN() 2010 NURI ,- /1 BAVI() 2008 SEP JUN JANGMI CHAN-HOM() 2014 NANGKA HIGOS(2007) VONGFONG AUG ()2005 OCT OCT AUG MAY HAGUPIT() 2004 + AUG SINLAKU AUG AUG TD.. JUL MEKKHALA VAMCO ()2006 6 NOV MAYSAK() 2009 AUG * + NANGKA() 2016 AUG TD.. KUJIRA() 2013 SAUDEL SINLAKU() 2003 OCT JUL 45 SEP NOUL OCT JUL GONI() 2019 SEP NURI(2002) ;< OCT JUN MOLAVE * OCT LINFA SAUDEL(2017) OCT 45 LINFA() 2015 OCT GONI OCT ;< NOV MOLAVE(2018) ETAU OCT NOV NOUL(2011) ETAU() 2021 SEP NOV VAMCO() 2022 ATSANI() 2020 NOV OCT KROVANH(2023) DEC KROVANH DEC VONGFONG(2001) MAY 二零二零年 熱帶氣旋 TROPICAL CYCLONES IN 2020 2 二零二一年七月出版 Published July 2021 香港天文台編製 香港九龍彌敦道134A Prepared by: Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong © 版權所有。未經香港天文台台長同意,不得翻印本刊物任何部分內容。 © Copyright reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced without the permission of the Director of the Hong Kong Observatory. 知識產權公告 Intellectual Property Rights Notice All contents contained in this publication, 本刊物的所有內容,包括但不限於所有 including but not limited to all data, maps, 資料、地圖、文本、圖像、圖畫、圖片、 text, graphics, drawings, diagrams, 照片、影像,以及數據或其他資料的匯編 photographs, videos and compilation of data or other materials (the “Materials”) are (下稱「資料」),均受知識產權保護。資 subject to the intellectual property rights 料的知識產權由香港特別行政區政府 which are either owned by the Government of (下稱「政府」)擁有,或經資料的知識產 the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (the “Government”) or have been licensed to 權擁有人授予政府,為本刊物預期的所 the Government by the intellectual property 有目的而處理該等資料。任何人如欲使 rights’ owner(s) of the Materials to deal with 用資料用作非商業用途,均須遵守《香港 such Materials for all the purposes contemplated in this publication. -
Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form
Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form [ ] Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force [ x ] Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Life RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup [ ] Investment RBC (E) Working Group [ ] SMI RBC (E) Subgroup [ ] C3 Phase II/ AG43 (E/A) Subgroup [ ] P/C RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Stress Testing (E) Subgroup DATE: 08/31/2020 FOR NAIC USE ONLY CONTACT PERSON: Crystal Brown Agenda Item # 2020-07-H TELEPHONE: 816-783-8146 Year 2021 EMAIL ADDRESS: [email protected] DISPOSITION [ x ] ADOPTED WG 10/29/20 & TF 11/19/20 ON BEHALF OF: Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] REJECTED NAME: Steve Drutz [ ] DEFERRED TO TITLE: Chief Financial Analyst/Chair [ ] REFERRED TO OTHER NAIC GROUP AFFILIATION: WA Office of Insurance Commissioner [ ] EXPOSED ________________ ADDRESS: 5000 Capitol Blvd SE [ ] OTHER (SPECIFY) Tumwater, WA 98501 IDENTIFICATION OF SOURCE AND FORM(S)/INSTRUCTIONS TO BE CHANGED [ x ] Health RBC Blanks [ x ] Health RBC Instructions [ ] Other ___________________ [ ] Life and Fraternal RBC Blanks [ ] Life and Fraternal RBC Instructions [ ] Property/Casualty RBC Blanks [ ] Property/Casualty RBC Instructions DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE(S) Split the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets into separate pages (Page XR007 and XR008). REASON OR JUSTIFICATION FOR CHANGE ** Currently the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets are included on page XR007 of the Health RBC formula. With the implementation of the 20 bond designations and the electronic only tables, the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets were split between two tabs in the excel file for use of the electronic only tables and ease of printing. However, for increased transparency and system requirements, it is suggested that these pages be split into separate page numbers beginning with year-2021.