December, 2016
By the Numbers Volume 26, Number 2 The Newsletter of the SABR Statistical Analysis Committee December, 2016 Review Academic Research: Three Papers Charlie Pavitt The author reviews three recent academic papers: one investigating the effect of the military draft on the timing of the emergence of young baseball players, another investigating pitch selection over the course of a game, and a third modeling pickoff throws using game theory. I haven’t found any truly outstanding contributions in the attenuated in the last half of careers. It was most evident at the academic literature of late, but here are three I found of some highest production levels; the top ten rWARs and all six Hall of interest. Famers from those birth years were all born on “non-draft days.” Mange, Brennan and David C. Phillips (2016), As some potential players below the “magic number” did not Career interruption and productivity: Evidence serve due to student deferments (among other reasons), and some potential players above the figure did serve as volunteers, these from major league baseball during the figures likely underestimate the actual differences between those Vietnam War who did and did not era , Journal of actually serve. The Human Capital, authors presented Vol. 10, No. 2, In this issue data suggesting that the main reason for pp. 159-185 Academic Research: Three Papers ............................Charlie Pavitt ............................1 this effect may be a World Series Pinch Runners, 1990-2015...................Samuel Anthony........................3 greater likelihood of Mange and Phillips Pitcher Batting Eighth ...............................................Pete Palmer ...............................9 potential players conducted a study of Two Strategies: A Story of Change............................Don Coffin ..............................11 opting for four-year interruptions caused by college rather than draft status during the The previous issue of this publication was March, 2016 (Volume 26, Number 1).
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