Dollars, Debt, and Deficits Sixty Years after Bretton Woods Conference Proceedings Banco de España International Monetary Fund ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution © 2005 International Monetary Fund Production: IMF Multimedia Services Division Cover: Jorge Salazar Dollars, debt and deficits : sixty years after Bretton Woods : conference proceedings - [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund : Banco de España, [2005] p. cm. Organized by Banco de España and the International Monetary Fund. ISBN 1-58906-453-4 1. International finance — Congresses. 2. Dollar — Congresses. 3. Debt — Congresses. 4. Foreign exchange rates —Congresses. 5. International Monetary Fund Congresses. I. International Monetary Fund. II Banco de España. HG3881.D67 2005 Price: US$35 Please send orders to: International Monetary Fund Publication Services 700 19th Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20431, U.S.A. Tel: (202) 623-7430 Telefax: (202) 623-7201 E-mail:
[email protected] Internet: http://www.imf.org recycled paper ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution Contents List of Participants v Foreword vii Rodrigo deRato and Jaime Caruana • INTRODUCTION 1 Raghuram Rajan and Jose Vinals • OPENING SPEECHES Rodrigo de Rato 11 Pedro Solbes 17 Jaime Caruana 21 • BLOCK I: GLOBAL IMBALANCES, EXCHANGE RATE ISSUES, AND DEBT Session 1; Global Imbalances A Map to the Revised Bretton Woods End Game: Direct Investment, Rising Real Wages, and the Absorption of Excess Labor in the Periphery 29 Michael P. Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter Garber Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Accumulation of Net Foreign Liabilities in the US: An Empirical Model 47 Giancarlo Corsetti and Panagiotis Th. Konstantinou Session 2; Exchange Rate Issues Financial Globalization and Exchange Rates 93 Philip R.