The Cryosphere Discuss., 3, 323–350, 2009 The Cryosphere www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/3/323/2009/ Discussions TCD © Author(s) 2009. This work is distributed under 3, 323–350, 2009 the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. The Cryosphere Discussions is the access reviewed discussion forum of The Cryosphere Forecasting temperate alpine glacier survival M. S. Pelto Forecasting temperate alpine glacier Title Page survival from accumulation zone Abstract Introduction Conclusions References observations Tables Figures M. S. Pelto J I Nichols College Dudley, MA 01571, USA J I Received: 16 April 2009 – Accepted: 19 April 2009 – Published: 19 May 2009 Back Close Correspondence to: M. S. Pelto (
[email protected]) Full Screen / Esc Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. Printer-friendly Version Interactive Discussion 323 Abstract TCD For temperate alpine glaciers survival is dependent on the consistent presence of an accumulation zone. The lack of a consistent and persistent accumulation zone leads 3, 323–350, 2009 to substantial thinning of the glacier in the accumulation zone. Accumulation zone thin- 5 ning is evident in satellite imagery or field observation based the emergence of new Forecasting rock outcrops or the recession of the margin of the glacier in the accumulation zone temperate alpine along a substantial portion of its perimeter. In either case the accumulation zone is no glacier survival longer functioning as an accumulation zone and survival is unlikely. In both the North Cascades and Wind River Range nine of the fifteen glaciers examined are forecast not M. S. Pelto 10 to survive the current climate or future additional warming.