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Mtnclim 2016 7 Th Mountain Climate Conference MtnClim 2016 7 th Mountain Climate Conference M. F. Meier - U.S. Geological Survey Photographic Library Mountains Without Snow: What Are the Consequences? Sponsored by the Consortium for Integrated Climate Research in Western Mountains (CIRMOUNT) October 17-20, 2016 Sleeping Lady Resort Leavenworth, Washington www.mtnclim.org The Lillian Glacier in the Olympic National disappeared between 1905 and 2010. This pair of photos is part of an exhibit that will be shown by Dr. Jon Riedel, a Geologist with the North Cascades National Park, during our Wednesday evening program. Taken in 1947. Photo credit NPS. Taken in 2010. Photo credit Bill Baccus. CONTENTS Sponsors ……………………………..……………….………………………...…1 Organizers………………………………………………………………………….2 Introduction…………………………………………………………………………3 Oral Presentations.……………...…………….……………..……...……………4 Poster Presentations.……………...…………….………………...……………14 Leavenworth Information ……………………………....………......................18 Property Map …………………………………………....………......................19 October 17-20, 2016 Sleeping Lady Resort Leavenworth, Washington www.mtnclim.org THANK YOU TO MtnClim 2016 SPONSORS! We are grateful for the generous support of the many sponsors of MtnClim 2016. Their contributions have allowed us to host the conference in a beautiful facility, keep registration costs low, support participation of students and young scientists, and ensure a high-quality scientific agenda. The variety of organizations involved with this year’s conference demonstrates broad interest in the scientific objectives of the Mountain Climate Conference series. U.S. Forest Service — Pacific Northwest Research Station, Office of Research and Development, Office of Sustainability and Climate Change General expenses, Early Career Scientists session, student support U.S. Geological Survey — Global Change Research Program, General expenses, travel expenses Northwest Climate Science Center Student support Western Washington University — Huxley College, Provost’s Office, Graduate School, Institute for Energy Studies General expenses, travel expenses, student support University of Washington — College of the Environment, Climate Impacts Group, School of Environmental and Forest Sciences General expenses University of Nevada-Reno — College of Science, Department of Geography, Sudeep Chandra General expenses Cascadia Partner Forum Coffee breaks We thank Richard Zabel and the Western Forestry and Conservation Association for assisting with registration and financial logistics. www.mtnclim.org 1 Organizers Andrew G. Bunn Professor Environmental Sciences Western Washington University David L. Peterson Research Biologist USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station Scotty Strachan Environmental Research Coordinator Department of Geography, University of Nevada Reno Advisory Group Connie Millar, USDA Forest Service Jill Baron, USGS Sudeep Chandra, University of Nevada Reno Diane Delany, USDA Forest Service Mike Dettinger, USGS Henry Diaz, NOAA Solomon Dobrowski, University of Montana Dan Fagre, USGS Gregg Garfin, University of Arizona Greg Greenwood, Mountain Research Institute Jeff Hicke, University of Idaho Jeremy Littell, USGS Kelly Redmond, Desert Research Institute Nathan Stephenson, USGS Christina Tague, UC Santa Barbara The ringer of the bells www.mtnclim.org 2 The 2016 Mountain Climate Conference will continue the tradition of excellence established by over a decade of MtnClim meetings by working at the intersection of climate and a host of other scientific disciplines including hydrology, ecology, and glaciology. The 7th Mountain Climate Conference will explore the central theme: Mountains Without Snow: What are the Consequences? In sessions on current science themes, climate policy and decision-support, MtnClim 2016 will look for opportunities to interweave discussions of the roles snowpack plays in water resources, power generation, ecophysiology, and human communities, with particular focus on the question: How ready are we to foresee the full range of consequences of mountains without snow? Every MtnClim meeting includes oral and poster presentations featuring keynotes by thought leaders in the field as well as highlighting exceptional early-career scientists, providing forums for resource managers, and integrating undergraduate and graduate students. www.mtnclim.org 3 Monday October 17, 2016 900am- Field trip (FULL): Fire Ecology of the Eastern Cascade Range 500pm Leader: Richy Harrod, fire ecologist, Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest Schedule: 830am - 500pm. Participants who are already signed up should meet in the Sleeping Lady parking lot. 400-600pm Registration Chapel Theater 600-730pm Welcome Dinner (included with registration) Kingfisher Restaurant and Wine Bar, Sleeping Lady Resort 730-830pm Keynote: MtnClim Weather Since 2014 (Chapel Theater) Speaker: Kelly Redmond, Regional Climatologist and Deputy Director Western Regional Climate Center, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV 4 Abstracts for all oral and poster presentations are online www.mtnclim.org Tuesday October 18, 2016 (Chapel Theater unless otherwise noted) 800-900am Keynote: Elevation-Dependent Warming (EDW): Evidence, Mechanisms and Research Needs Speaker: Ray Bradley, University Distinguished Professor in the Department of Geosciences & Director of the Climate System Research Center, University of Massachusetts There is increasing evidence that the rate of warming is amplified with elevation, so that high mountain environments are experiencing more rapid changes in temperature than at lower elevations. This “elevation-dependent warming” (EDW) has important implications for the mass balance of high altitude glaciers and associated runoff, as well as for rare and endangered species that reside in restricted altitudinal zones within many mountain ranges. Detecting and attributing the causes of EDW is confounded by data limitations and the difficulties of modeling processes in complex terrain. We may not be monitoring some of the regions of the globe that are warming the most. 900am-noon Session: The Role of Climate in Mountain Lakes & Streams Chair: Jill Baron Atmospheric deposition of nutrients and dust, rapid warming, species introductions and extirpations, and increasing development are causing the greatest rates of change in mountain lakes and streams since deglaciation. We will explore contemporary mountain waters in a global change context, with presentations on physical, ecological, and biogeochemical observations and projections. 900-915 SPATIOTEMPORALLY VARIABLE THERMAL LANDSCAPES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PACIFIC SALMON IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Amy Fullerton, Fish Ecology Division, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, WA 915-930 THE MASSIVE NORWEST STREAM TEMPERATURE DATABASE AND HIGH-RESOLUTION CLIMATE SCENARIOS: HOW CROWD-SOURCING AND SOCIAL NETWORKING FORGED A USER-COMMUNITY ACROSS THE AMERICAN WEST TO PROTECT AQUATIC BIODIVERSITY Dan Isaak, US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Boise, ID 930-945 DOES SNOWPACK AFFECT LOW FLOWS IN WESTERN MOUNTAIN RIVERS AND STREAMS? Christopher Konrad, US Geological Survey, Washington Water Science Center, WA 945-1000 EFFECTS OF A SHIFTING SNOWMELT REGIME ON INFLOW MIXING IN A LARGE ALPINE LAKE Derek Roberts, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Davis, CA 5 Abstracts for all oral and poster presentations are online www.mtnclim.org 1000-1015 CLIMATE REGULATES ALPINE LAKE ICE COVER PHENOLOGY AND AQUATIC ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURE Daniel Preston, Department of Integrative Biology, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 1015-1045am Break 1045-1100 COMPARISON OF NITRATE CHEMISTRY AND PHYTOPLANKTON BETWEEN GLACIER-FED AND SNOW-FED MOUNTAIN LAKES WITHIN NORTH CASCADES NATIONAL PARK Jason Williams, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 1100-1115 DETECTING ATMOSPHERIC DEPOSITION OF NITRATE, ITS SOURCES AND EFFECTS ON LAKES IN THE UINTA MOUNTAINS, UTAH Beth Hundey, Department of Geography, The University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada 1115-1130 IS THERE A HISTORY OF EUTROPHICATION PRESERVED IN THE SEDIMENTS OF THE LOCH, ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK? Isabella Oleksy, Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 1130-1145 CHANGING TROPHIC STATE OF AN ALPINE AND A SUBALPINE LAKE IN ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK Jill Baron, U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO 1145-1200 Panel 1200-200pm Lunch (Kingfisher Buffet) 200-500pm Session: Contributed Talks I Chair: Dave Peterson 200-215 TALLYING UP THE CALIFORNIA DROUGHT Michael Dettinger, US Geological Survey, Carson City, NV 215-230 ALASKA TREELINE AND FOREST CLIMATE: FROM THE PERHUMID TO THE ARCTIC Jeremy Littell, US Geological Survey, DOI Alaska Climate Science Center, Anchorage, AK 230-245 SNOW AND FOREST SURFACE TEMPERATURES: FEBRUARY 2016 YOSEMITE FIELD EXPERIMENT FROM POINT TO AIRPLANE TO SATELLITE Jessica Lundquist, Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 245-300 SEASONAL AND INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY IN ENSO-INFLUENCE ON THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST Stephanie McAfee, Department of Geography, University of Nevada, Reno NV 6 Abstracts for all oral and poster presentations are online www.mtnclim.org 300-315 TEMPERATURE SENSOR NETWORKS: SAMPLING, ANALYSIS, AND INTERPRETATION Stuart Weiss, Creekside Center for Earth Observation, Menlo Park, CA 315-345pm Break 345-400 INVESTIGATING HYDROCLIMATE VARIABILITY
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