Political Culture of Democracy in Nicaragua, 2010 Democratic Consolidation in the Americas in Hard Times
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Political Culture of Democracy in Nicaragua, 2010 Democratic Consolidation in the Americas in Hard Times By: John A. Booth, Ph.D. Professor and Researcher University of North Texas Mitchell A. Seligson, Ph.D. Scientific Coordinator and Editor of the Series Vanderbilt University This study was done with support from the Program in Democracy and Governance of the United States Agency for International Development. The opinions expressed in this study are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the point of view of the United States Agency for International Development. April, 2011 Political Culture of Democracy in Nicaragua, 2010 Table of Contents LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................................................................................... VII LIST OF TABLES ..................................................................................................................................................................... XI PREFACE .............................................................................................................................................................................. XIII PROLOGUE: BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY ........................................................................................................................... XV Acknowledgements ...........................................................................................................................................xxii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY........................................................................................................................................................ XXV PART I: HARD TIMES AND THEIR EFFECTS ON DEMOCRACY ..........................................................................1 CHAPTER I . HARD TIMES IN THE AMERICAS: ECONOMIC OVERVIEW .......................................................3 Introduction..........................................................................................................................................................3 Economic Overview..............................................................................................................................................3 Dimensions of the Economic Crisis in Nicaragua................................................................................................9 Trends in Democratic Development...................................................................................................................10 Dimensions of Democracy in Nicaragua............................................................................................................12 The Relationship between Hard Times and Democracy.....................................................................................14 Conclusion..........................................................................................................................................................15 CHAPTER II . CITIZENS’ PERCEPTIONS AND EXPERIENCES DURING HARD TIMES IN THE AMERICAS .....................................................................................................................................................................................17 Introduction........................................................................................................................................................17 Perceptions of the Magnitude of the Economic Crisis .......................................................................................17 Who is to Blame for the Economic Crisis?.........................................................................................................20 Country Specific Analysis: Evidence for Nicaragua 2010 .................................................................................21 Personal Experiences with Economic Instability ...............................................................................................22 Jobs Loss......................................................................................................................................................................... 22 Reported Decrease in Household Income ....................................................................................................................... 26 Who Was Most Affected by Economic Hardship? ..............................................................................................28 Perceptions of Both the Personal and National Economy .................................................................................30 Conclusion..........................................................................................................................................................32 CHAPTER III . DEMOCRATIC VALUES IN HARD TIMES.....................................................................................33 Introduction........................................................................................................................................................33 Support for Democracy ......................................................................................................................................41 Support for the Political System.........................................................................................................................45 Satisfaction with Democracy..............................................................................................................................52 Support for Military Coups ................................................................................................................................55 Conclusion..........................................................................................................................................................59 PART II: RULE OF LAW, CRIME, CORRUPTION, AND CIVIL SOCIETY...........................................................61 CHAPTER IV . RULE OF LAW, CRIME, AND CORRUPTION ...............................................................................63 Introduction........................................................................................................................................................63 Theoretical Background .................................................................................................................................................. 63 Perception of Insecurity and Crime ...................................................................................................................63 Crime Victimization........................................................................................................................................................ 66 Corruption..........................................................................................................................................................73 Theoretical Background .................................................................................................................................................. 73 The Measurement of Corruption ..................................................................................................................................... 74 Perception of Corruption................................................................................................................................................. 75 Corruption Victimization ................................................................................................................................................ 77 The Impact of Crime, Insecurity and Corruption on Democracy.......................................................................82 Support for the Rule of Law, and the Impact of Crime and Insecurity...............................................................85 Conclusions ........................................................................................................................................................90 ©LAPOP: Page iii Political Culture of Democracy in Nicaragua, 2010 CHAPTER V . LEGITIMACY, SYSTEM SUPPORT, AND POLITICAL TOLERANCE.......................................93 Introduction........................................................................................................................................................93 The Legitimacy/Tolerance Equation ............................................................................................................................... 93 System Support ...................................................................................................................................................95 Theoretical Background .................................................................................................................................................. 95 Political Tolerance.............................................................................................................................................98 Theoretical Background .................................................................................................................................................. 98 Support for Stable Democracy .........................................................................................................................102 Legitimacy of Other Democratic Institutions ...................................................................................................107