Leveraged Finance 2

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Leveraged Finance 2 Leveraged 04.27.11 BRIEF Finance WEDNESDAY Ford May Return to Investment Grade by Riskiest Junk Rebounds With Biggest April Gains BY SAPNA MAHESHWARI Yearend: JPMorgan The riskiest junk bonds are again producing the biggest gains in speculative-grade debt as demand meets a shrinking pool of distressed securities and rising optimism BYLISA ABRAMOWICZ the Federal Reserve won’t tighten credit this year. Ford Motor Co.’s debt may be boosted Energy Future Holdings Corp. and Global Crossing Ltd. are leading gains of 1.7 to investment grade this year after the percent this month for debt rated CCC and lower, while higher-ranked BB tier debt company posted its biggest first-quarter is up 1.2 percent, Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data show. Last month, the profit since 1998, according to JPMorgan riskiest debt returned 0.34 percent, trailing a 0.62 percent gain for BB bonds. Chase & Co. “It’s just a continuation of people moving down the food chain in terms of their “We believe an upgrade is highly likely,” search for yield,” said Lon Erickson, a money manager at Thornburg Investment wrote analysts led by Eric Selle in New Management Inc. in Santa Fe, New Mexico, who oversees $9 billion. “Folks being York in a report today. “We are confident in able to refinance themselves gives investors confidence that these companies will Ford’s ability to reduce debt and achieve Continued on next page its stated goal of investment grade status by year-end 2011,” the analysts wrote. For Ford to shed its speculative-grade The Dearborn, Michigan-based car from companies in the auto industry. rating, it needs to repay a $4.1 billion term manufacturer’s 7.45 percent notes due Ford has reduced debt by $17 billion loan and avoid a strike by the United Auto July 2031 could return 11.5 percent over since the beginning of 2010, said Ford’s Worker union, the report said. the next 12 months, the report said. That Chief Executive Officer Alan Mulally in a JPMorgan recommends investors buy compares with projected total returns of television interview on “Bloomberg Sur- Ford bonds “as we believe the high-grade 6.9 percent for the JPMorgan High Yield veillance’’ with Tom Keene. The company compression trade remains intact.’’ Index and 5.9 percent gains among debt now has total automotive debt of $16.6 Continued on next page DEALS MA <GO> BLOOMBERG S&P/LSTA Leveraged-Loan Index 2010 YTD 97 Global M&A Deal Count 25,075 7,942 BAROMETER 96 Global M&A Deal Volume $2.42trn $777 bln 95 DEALS IN THE PIPELINE PREL <GO> 94 MOST ACTIVELY TRADED TrACE<GO> AMT SYNDICATED LENDING CO. RAT. TENOR 93 TKR RAT. CPN PRICE CHG YIELD SPRD (MLN) 92 XCO B3/B 7.50 102.08 N.A. 7.03 366 Select Medical Hldgs Corp B+/B1 $1,200 7 YRS 91 CCMO Ca/CCC- 5.50 73.50 0.00 12.14 1012 US Foodservice Caa2 $425 6 YRS CRUZ Ba2/BB- 8.25 98.75 0.13 8.57 655 Wyle Services Corp -- $283.40 6 YRS 90 WIN Ba3/B+ 7.75 106.25 0.44 6.67 331 Springs Industries Inc -- $300 6 YRS 89 LNY B3/B 11.63 108.50 N.A. 8.80 772 88 CTL Baa3/BB- 7.50 101.67 N.A. 2.21 113 A-10 J-10 A-10 O-10 D-10 F-11 A-11 S Ba3/BB- 6.88 101.00 0.00 -0.37 -42 AMT HIGH YIELD BONDS RAT. TENOR PCS B2/B 7.88 107.63 N.A. 6.17 281 (MLN) NBBHYL INDEX <GO> SCI Ba3/BB- 7.00 105.75 N.A. 5.77 241 Shea Homes LP / Funding Corp -- $750 8 YRS HCA Ba3/BB 7.25 107.50 N.A. 5.89 253 Allison Transmission Inc -- $500 8 YRS THC B1/BB- 8.88 113.44 0.19 5.49 213 Milagro Oil & Gas -- $250 5 YRS CNX B1/BB 8.00 110.38 -0.13 5.39 337 Brown Shoe Co B3/B+ $150 8 YRS Average Junk-Bond Yield Albaugh Inc BB- -- 7 YRS 10 ISSUANCE (U.S.) MOODY’S MTD YTD 9.5 INVESTORS SERVICE 2010 YTD Loans sold $39 bn $184 bn Upgrades 508 159 HY Bonds Issued $24 bn $116 bn 9 Source: FINRA-Bloomberg Downgrades 376 102 PRICING 8.5 1-DAY LEVEL CHANGE 8 STANDARD & POOR’S 2010 YTD S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan 96.01 0.03 Finra Avg. Junk Yield 7.72 -0.02 Upgrades 576 170 7.5 Markit CDX North American HY 104.78 0.00 Downgrades Markit LCDX 100.73 0.11 A-10 J-10 A-10 O-10 D-10 F-11 A-11 376 107 Markit Itrax Europe 92.68 0.37 SPBDALB INDEX <GO> RATT<GO> 04.27.11 Bloomberg Brief | LEVERAGED FINANCE 2 Ford May Return to Investment Grade by Yearend: JPMorgan Continued from page 1 billion. Returning to an investment-grade ments by May 3 on $800 million of loans MARKET QUOTE rating would lower Ford’s borrowing costs to refinance debt, according to a person and improve earnings. with knowledge of the matter. “One of the major concerns with lower- Moody’s Investors Service changed its The maker of testing gear for the aero- rated credits you always have is, ‘Will outlook on Ford to positive from stable on space and defense industries will pay they have access to the market?”’ said Jan. 28. Moody’s said in a statement that 3.25 percentage points to 3.5 percentage Marc Gross, a money manager in New Ford’s progress in improving its balance points more than Libor on a $725 million York at RS Investments, which oversees sheet “could support a rating upgrade credit facility, said the person. The bench- $3 billion in fixed-income funds. “Now during the next 12 to 18 months.’’ Moody’s mark rate will have a 1.25 percent floor. they do have access to the market, so rates Ford Ba2, the second level below in- Plainview, New York-based Aeroflex may that makes them look more attractive.” vestment grade. Standard & Poor’s rates sell the seven-year debt at 99.5 cents on Ford BB-, three steps below investment the dollar. grade. Ford lost its investment-grade rat- The JPMorgan Chase & Co.-led financ- ings in 2005. ing includes a $75 million revolving line of credit that comes due 2016. Aeroflex Seeks Commitments By Moody’s Investors Service assigned B1 May 3 on $800 Million of Loans ratings to the debt yesterday. Aeroflex Inc. is seeking lender commit- —Krista Giovacco Bloomberg Brief Leveraged Finance Bloomberg LP Riskiest Junk Rebounds With Biggest April Gains 731 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY 10022 212-318-2000 Continued from page 1 Newsletter Ted Merz be able to pay them back and meet their the highest proportion since making up Executive Editor [email protected] obligations.” 15.9 percent of sales in 2008, according 212-617-2309 Dallas-based Energy Future, formerly to JPMorgan. Bloomberg News Robert Burgess known as TXU Corp., led the rally in debt At the same time, the distress ratio of Managing Editor [email protected] 212-617-2945 rated CCC and lower, with its 5.55 percent businesses with debt trading at 10 per- Leveraged Finance Deirdre Fretz notes due November 2014 climbing 16 centage points or more above similar- Editor [email protected] cents in April to 82 cents on the dollar, ac- maturity Treasuries is falling. It dropped to 212-617-5166 cording to Trace, the bond price reporting 3.56 percent this month from 5.24 percent Reporter Lisa Abramowicz [email protected] system of the Financial Industry Regula- in March, according to S&P. That’s the 212-318-2000 tory Authority. The company, which under- lowest since the ratio touched 2.3 percent Contributing Mike Amato, went the largest leveraged buyout in his- in October 2007. Analysts Paul Bandong , tory in 2007, extended due dates on $17.8 Companies have taken advantage of in- Daniel Covello, Spencer Cutter, billion of loans this month and sold bonds vestor appetite for speculative-grade debt Michael Kovacs, as it grappled with natural gas prices that to “fix” capital structures, said Margie Pa- Jill Lewandosky, have fallen by half since the takeover. tel, a senior bond-fund manager at Wells Michael Luongo, Debt from Global Crossing and Level Fargo & Co. in Boston who oversees $1.5 Erich Marriott, recorded the Stephen Ring, 3 Communications Inc. billion of assets. John Veidis, second- and third-best performance this “The whole high-yield universe has not Lee Zeltser, month, according to a Bank of America been a very risky place certainly for the Afrim Zeka Merrill Lynch index for bonds rated CCC last year,” Patel said. “To get twice as much To subscribe via the Bloomberg professional and lower. The unprofitable broadband in CCCs when defaults are a touch under 3 terminal type BRIEF <go> or email: service providers are combining into one percent makes those very attractive.” [email protected] company. The average yield on bonds rated CCC To inquire about advertisements and reprints email: Global Crossing’s $150 million of 9 percent or lower was 10.42 percent yesterday, [email protected] notes due in November 2019 have gained up from 10.08 percent on Feb. 18. That © copyright 2010 Bloomberg LP. All rights reserved. 21 percent and Level 3’s $605 million of was the lowest since June 2007, Bank of 11.875 percent debt due February 2019 re- America Merrill Lynch index data show.
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