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Daily Situation Report 10 November 2010 Safety and Security Issues Relevant to Sssi Personnel and Clients

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Daily Situation Report 10 November 2010 Safety and Security Issues Relevant to Sssi Personnel and Clients Strategic SSI - Afghanistan DAILY SITUATION REPORT 10 NOVEMBER 2010 SAFETY AND SECURITY ISSUES RELEVANT TO SSSI PERSONNEL AND CLIENTS STANDING THREAT ASSESSMENT (KABUL): Threat reports continue to indicate that insurgents aspire to conduct coordinated attacks in Kabul City, as such the threat remains extant. Recent threat reporting has also indicated likely reconnaissance of areas and businesses frequented by members of the international community. Although no significant attacks were carried out in Kabul during the recent parliamentary election, or indeed after the event, the recent reduction in physical security in the city may provide insurgents with exploitable opportunities to carry out attacks. Suicide and complex attacks remain the preferred choice for insurgents in order to gain maximum casualties figures and the associated high degree of media attention. It remains possible that insurgents will still seek to undermine the democratic process by conducting high profile attacks when the final results are announced. It remains prudent for international agencies in the Kabul area to maintain a high degree of security vigilance. Sporadic IDF attacks in the city centre are to be expected. Any attacks are likely to consist of between one and four 107 mm rockets launched towards the city centre. Incidents of intimidation, executions by insurgents and targeting of government officials are increasing throughout the country. It seems to be a form of revenge by insurgents as they have lost more than 300 insurgent commanders over the past few months due to successful IM/ANSF operations. MAJOR COUNTRY WIDE EVENTS Faryab: 3 x SAF attacks against Baghlan: Two telecom ANP CPs simultaneously in masts attacked and three districts destroyed Badghis: IED Kabul: Four Snr Ins Cmdrs attack against arrested ad they were trying ANP – 9 x LN WIA to fly to Saudi Arabia on commercial flight Paktya: Snr Gov Official killed in IED attack Ghazni: 28 x Ins arrested in two separate IM operations in the province Privileged and Confidential This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicitly approval from Strategic SSI Management. Page 1 of 23 Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Threat Reports Received Last 3 Days 07 Nov: Jawzjan: Large number of IEDs and suicide vests available for attacks 08 Nov: Herat: Suicide Attack threat against Guesthouse in city 08 Nov: Kabul: Suicide Attack threat against Indian Embassy 09 Nov: Kabul: Suicide Attack threat against Gov and Mil Installations 07 Nov: Kabul: More reports on planned suicide attacks in city - unconfirmed BREAKDOWN OF INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR AFGHANISTAN IN SSSI DSR FOR PERIOD 09 TO 10 NOVEMBER 2010 Privileged and Confidential This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicitly approval from Strategic SSI Management. Page 2 of 23 Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Table illustrating the number of Killed and Wounded, Captured and Arrested as per the reporting’s of the SSSI DSR. IM ANSF PSC/FN LN INSURGENTS KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA ARR 01 Nov 1 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 0 9 4 0 42 3 7 02 Nov 2 7 0 8 14 15 1 1 0 9 17 3 54 4 33 03 Nov 2 11 0 7 5 3 0 0 0 18 25 0 64 14 6 04 Nov 0 4 0 3 18 0 0 4 0 10 10 3 47 9 13 06 Nov 1 1 0 11 15 0 5 0 0 19 31 0 28 9 10 07 Nov 0 5 0 5 6 -4 0 0 0 4 9 0 20 2 12 08 Nov 3 4 0 1 5 6 0 1 0 2 1 1 13 0 24 09 Nov 3 3 0 0 5 0 3 0 0 7 26 0 22 13 25 10 Nov 1 3 0 1 5 1 0 0 0 7 17 0 6 0 53 Nov-10 13 39 0 39 79 21 9 6 0 85 140 7 296 54 183 (Kindly note that these figures are from the SSSI DSR and are not official statistics and may differ from those released by IM or other agencies or organizations.) Privileged and Confidential This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicitly approval from Strategic SSI Management. Page 3 of 23 Strategic SSI - Afghanistan SECURITY INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR PERIOD 09 TO 10 NOV 10 CENTRAL REGION UXO: 07 Nov, Kabul Province, Qarabagh District – During the afternoon an excavator of a construction company was damaged when an UXO exploded in the Shahrak Mahajirin Area. The LN driver of the excavator was wounded. Operations: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Kabul City, Police District #11 and #17 – IM members were involved in a shooting incident in the Qaleh Ye Malek Ashur Area, northwest Kabul, during the morning. Reportedly the IM had cause to fire, and wounded one LN. The IM evacuated the wounded man to an IM medical facility for treatment. There were no reports of any aggression by the local residents in the area after the incident. Operations: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Kabul City, Kabul International Airport – During the day four insurgents boarded a commercial flight on its way to Saudi Arabia. The four insurgents included a high ranking wanted insurgent commander as well as another senior insurgent commander who has an active warrant issued by the Afghanistan authorities. The other two insurgents were described as associates. The alarm was raised after the flight took off, and the authorities ordered the plane to turn around and land again at the Kabul International Airport. The IM warned the pilot that IM fighter aircraft would be deployed if they plane does not turn around. After the plane landed members of the ANSF boarded and arrested the wanted insurgents without any incident. Privileged and Confidential This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicitly approval from Strategic SSI Management. Page 4 of 23 Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Insurgency: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Kabul City – Reportedly the insurgent leadership assigned an unidentified insurgent commander to coordinate the movement of an insurgent group from Pakistan to the Kabul City to be deployed for attacks against the Intercontinental Hotel, Ariana Hotel, US Embassy and targets of opportunity while they are on their way to Kabul. Insurgency: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Kabul City – Reportedly a known insurgent commander who is responsible for the coordination of insurgent activities in the Kabul and Logar Provinces instructed one of his men to locate and lease a house in Kabul Police District #4. The plan is to transfer two suicide bombers from the Logar Province to the leased house from where they plan to prepare for a suicide attack on the Indian Embassy. Insurgency: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Kabul City – Reportedly two known insurgent commanders coordinated the movement of eight suicide bombers from the Khost Province to the Bahani Village in the Mohammad Agha District of Logar Province. From there the plan is to infiltrate the suicide bomber individually to the Kabul City to conduct individual suicide attacks against government officials and Police Checkpoints in Police Districts #2 and #10 before the upcoming EID. Insurgency: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Kabul City – Reportedly two known insurgents recently returned from Pakistan to Kabul Police District #13. According to the received information they are planning the emplacement of IEDs and the conduct of an IDF attack in the Pule Campany Area and Paghman District. Insurgency: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Kabul City – Reportedly two known insurgent commanders coordinated the movement of two suicide bombers from the Kandahar Province to the Kabul City. The suicide bombers operate in either a Toyota Land Cruiser or a Toyota Prado with tinted windows. Their intended targets are government and/or IM facilities. Comment. Various reports were received on planned suicide attacks in the Kabul City over the past few weeks. IM/ANSF operations in the city were successful to counter these threats, but it is important to take note of the insurgents’ intent to conduct suicide attacks in the city. The latest report regarding the Toyota Prado with the tinted windows might spark another round of Police focus on armored vehicles in the city. Insurgency: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Musahi and Khake Jabar Districts – Reportedly a known insurgent commander coordinated a meeting in the Tangi Hesar Area to plan the emplacement of IEDs along the main and secondary roads in the mentioned districts. They also coordinated intimidation tactics to target senior government officials during the upcoming Eid. Insurgency: 09 Nov, Kabul Province, Chahar Aysab District – Reportedly a known insurgent recently returned from Pakistan to the Lalandar District and he brought along several RCIEDs. According to the received information he is planning to emplace the devices in Kabul City Police District #6 and #7.
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