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3rd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS MEDIA RELEASE 16 October 2018, page 1 of 15 52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465 Website: www.sws.org.ph Fax: 920-2181 Third Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey: Net satisfaction ratings "Good" for Vice-President Robredo, “Very Good” for Senate President Sotto, "Neutral" for Speaker Macapagal-Arroyo, and "Neutral" for Chief Justice De Castro Vice-President Robredo stays "Good" at +34 Senate Pres. Sotto stays "Very Good" at +55 Speaker Macapagal-Arroyo’s first rating a "Neutral" -4 Chief Justice De Castro’s rating a "Neutral" +4 Social Weather Stations The Third Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey, conducted from September 15-23, 2018, found 57% satisfied and 23% dissatisfied with the performance of Vice-President Leni Robredo, 68% satisfied and 13% dissatisfied with Senate President Vicente “Tito” Sotto III, 34% satisfied and 38% dissatisfied with Speaker Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, and 33% satisfied and 29% dissatisfied with Chief Justice Teresita De Castro [Tables 1 and 2]. The resulting net satisfaction ratings (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied) were a good +34 for Vice-Pres. Robredo, a very good +55 for Senate President Sotto, a neutral -4 first rating for Speaker Macapagal-Arroyo, and a neutral +4 for Chief Justice De Castro. [SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69, "very good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor"; -30 to -49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable". SWS considers the movement from one classification to another as either an "upgrade" or "downgrade".] Vice-President Robredo stays "Good" at +34 The Vice-President's net satisfaction rating stayed good, up by 2 points from +32 in June 2018 to +34 in September 2018 [Chart 1, Tables 3 and 4]. The 2-point improvement in the overall net satisfaction rating of Vice-Pres. Robredo was due to increases of 9 points in Metro Manila, 8 points in Mindanao, and 2 points in Balance Luzon, combined with an 11-point decline in the Visayas. pr20181016 - Satisfaction with Top Officials (media release).doc 3rd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS MEDIA RELEASE 16 October 2018, page 2 of 15 Vice-Pres. Robredo's net satisfaction rating stayed good in Balance Luzon, up by 2 points from +33 in June to +35 in September. It stayed moderate in Metro Manila, up by 9 points from +14 in June to +23 in September. It rose by one grade from moderate to good in the Mindanao, up by 8 points from +26 in June to +34 in September. However, it fell from very good to good in the Visayas, down by 11 points from +50 in June to +39 on September. By socio-demographics Vice-Pres. Robredo’s net satisfaction rating rose from good to very good among non-elementary graduates, up by 4 points from +47 in June to +51 in September. It rose from moderate to good among class D, among men, among 45-54 year olds, and among high school graduates, ranging from +30 to +35. However, it fell by one grade among class E (from very good +55 to good +48), and among classes ABC (from moderate +10 to neutral +2). It stayed good among women, among 18 to 44 year olds, among 55 year olds and above, and among elementary graduates, ranging from +33 to +39. It remained moderate among college graduates, although down by 16 points from +26 in June to +10 in September. Senate Pres. Sotto stays "Very Good" at +55 The Senate President's net satisfaction rating stayed very good, up by 1 point from +54 in June 2018 to +55 in September 2018 [Chart 2, Tables 5 and 6]. Senate Pres. Sotto’s net satisfaction rating stayed very good in Balance Luzon, up by 6 points from +59 in June to +65 in September. It also stayed very good in Metro Manila, although down by 11 points from +63 in June to +52 in September. However, it fell from very good to good in the Visayas, down by 4 points from very good +53 in June to good +49 in September. It stayed good in Mindanao, up by 3 points from +38 in June to +41 in September. By socio-demographics, Senate Pres. Sotto’s net satisfaction rating from June to September rose from good to very good occurred among men (up by 3 points from +48 to +51), and among non-elementary graduates (up by 10 points from +45 to +55). 3rd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS MEDIA RELEASE 16 October 2018, page 3 of 15 It remained very good among class D, among class E, among all age groups, among elementary graduates, and among high school graduates, ranging from +51 to +57. It remained good among college graduates, hardly moving from +44 in June to +43 in September. However, it fell from very good to good among classes ABC, down by 25 points from +65 in June to +40 in September. Speaker Macapagal-Arroyo’s first rating a "Neutral" -4 Speaker Macapagal-Arroyo’s first overall net satisfaction rating was a neutral -4 [Chart 3, Tables 7 and 8]. It was highest in the Visayas at neutral +8, followed by Mindanao at neutral -3, Balance Luzon at neutral -4, and Metro Manila at poor -25. It was at neutral +4 in overall rural areas, compared to the poor -16 in overall urban areas. By class, it was highest in class E at neutral -3, followed by class D at neutral -4, and class ABC at poor -16. It was neutral among both men and women, in all age groups, and in all educational levels, ranging from -9 to +5. Chief Justice De Castro’s rating a "Neutral" +4 Chief Justice De Castro’s overall net satisfaction rating was a neutral +4 [Chart 4, Tables 9 and 10]. It was neutral in all areas: it was highest in Balance Luzon at +9, followed by Visayas at +5, Mindanao at +2, and Metro Manila at -7. It was neutral in both urban and rural areas, at +2 and +5, respectively. By class, it was highest in class E at moderate +11, followed by class D at neutral +3, and classes ABC at neutral +2. It was neutral among both men and women, at +2 and +6, respectively. By age group, it was highest among 18-24 year olds at moderate +19, followed by 25-34 year olds at neutral +5, 45-54 year olds at neutral +4, 35-44 year olds at neutral +2, and 55 year olds and above at neutral -2. By educational level, it was highest among non-elementary graduates at moderate +12, followed by high school graduates at neutral +4, elementary graduates at neutral +3, and college graduates at neutral -3. 3rd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS MEDIA RELEASE 16 October 2018, page 4 of 15 Survey background The September 2018 Social Weather Survey was conducted from September 15-23, 2018 using face-to-face interviews of 1,500 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 600 in Balance Luzon, and 300 each in Metro Manila, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national percentages, ±4% for Balance Luzon, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Visayas, and Mindanao). The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 2018 to obtain the national estimates. The quarterly Social Weather Surveys on public satisfaction with the Vice-President, Senate President, Speaker of the House of Representatives, and the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court are not commissioned. They are done on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service. The survey questions on public satisfaction with the next top government officials are as follows: “Maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa pagganap ng tungkulin ni [NAME] bilang [POSITION]. Kayo ba ay lubos na nasisiyahan, medyo nasisiyahan, hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi, medyo hindi nasisiyahan, lubos na hindi nasisiyahan, o wala pa kayong narinig o nabasa kahit na kailan tungkol kay [NAME]?” [“Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with the performance of [NAME] as [POSITION]. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied, or you have not ever heard or read anything about [NAME]?”]. Leni Robredo, Bise-Presidente ng Pilipinas (Vice-President of the Philippines) Vicente ''Tito'' Sotto III, Pangulo ng Senado (Senate President) Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, Ispiker ng Kapulungan ng mga Kinatawan (Speaker of the House of Representatives) Teresita De Castro, Punong Hustisya ng Korte Suprema (Chief Justice of the Supreme Court) SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Judith C. Valencia. # 3rd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS MEDIA RELEASE 16 October 2018, page 5 of 15 Table 1 SATISFACTION WITH THE VICE-PRESIDENT AND SENATE PRESIDENT, PHILIPPINES Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 LENI Satisfied 60% 62% 63% 57% 54% 57% ROBREDO Undecided 15 16 15 19 22 20 Vice- Dissatisfied 24 21 21 23 22 23 President Net* +36 +41 +42 +34 +32 +34 VICENTE Satisfied 67 68 SOTTO III Undecided 20 18 Senate Dissatisfied 12 13 President Net* +54 +55 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. SecondThird Quarter Quarter 2018 2018 Social Social Weather Weather Report Report SeptemberJune 27 15-30,-23, 2018 2018 National National Survey Survey Table 2 SATISFACTION WITH THE SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AND CHIEF JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT, PHILIPPINES Sep18 GLORIA Satisfied 34% MACAPAGAL Undecided 27 - ARROYO House Dissatisfied 38 Speaker Net* -4 Sep18 Satisfied 33% TERESITA Undecided 34 DE CASTRO Chief Justice Dissatisfied 29 Net* +4 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.