The Garki Project : Research on the Epidemiology
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THE GARKI PROJECT Research on the Epidemiology and Control of Malaria in the Sudan Savanna of West Africa by L. MOLINEAUX and G. GRAMICCIA Medical Officer, Formerly, Chief, Research Coordination, Epidemiological Evaluation Epidemiology and Training, and Assessment, Division of Malaria and Other Parasitic Diseases, World Health Organization ~,~ WORLD HEALTH• ORGANIZATION GENEVA 1980 ISBN 92 4 156061 4 © World Health Organization 1980 Publications of the World Health Organization enjoy copyright protection in accord ance with the provisions of Protocol 2 of the Universal Copyright Convention. For rights ofreproduction or translation of WHO publications, in part or in toto, application should be made to the Office of Publications, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland. The World Health Organization welcomes such applications. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the World Health Organization concerning the legal status of any country, terriiory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The mention of specific companies or of certain manufacturers' products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by the World Health Organization in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. Errors and omissions excepted, the names of proprietary products are distinguished by initial capital letters. The authors alone are responsible for the views expressed in this publication. TYPESET IN ENGLAND PRINTED IN SWITZERLAND 78/ 4320/ I -6000-ACCENTI AT AR TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 1. - Introduction Chapter 2. - The Study Design and Study Area Chapter 3. - Control Operations Chapter 4. - Entomology Chapter 5. - Parasitology Chapter 6. - Immunology Chapter 7. - Abnormal Haemoglobins and ABO Blood Groups Chapter 8. - Demography Chapter 9. - Clinical Surveys Chapter 10. - The Mathematical Model of Transmission Chapter 11. - Practical Conclusions for the Future of Malaria Control - References, Acknowledgements and Appendixes CONTENTS Page Foreword 11 CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION Purpose of the publication . 15 Previous epidemiological studies and control trials in tropical Africa . 17 Rationale of the project . .. 19 Objectives of the project . 21 CHAPTER 2. THE STUDY DESIGN AND STUDY AREA Study design, variables measured, and methods used . 23 Malaria control strategies . 23 Project phases and calendar . 28 Villages selected for follow-up and villages treated by the various strategies . 28 Variables measured, frequency of measurement, and methods used . 30 Recording, storage and retrieval of data . 33 Services and staffing . 34 Area, climate, population................................. 35 Orohydrography . 35 Climate and vegetation . 35 Meteorology ............................................. 37 Population................................................ 39 CHAPTER 3. CONTROL OPERATIONS Residual spraying . .. .. .. .. .. .. 41 Sprayable surfaces....................................... 41 The spraying operations . 42 Operational results: the coverage achieved and the dose applied . 42 Administration of drugs . 43 Mass distribution of sulfalene-pyrimethamine in1972-1973 .......................................... 43 Post-intervention drug distributions in 1974-1975 ... ......... .. .. .. ... .................... 48 Discussion . 49 Summary ................................................... 50 CONTENTS Page CHAPTER 4. ENTOMOLOGY Anopheline fauna and observations regarding minor species . 53 Collections as indices of density . 54 Baseline findings . 56 Vector density . .. 59 Sporozoite rates and inoculation rates . 64 Vector behaviour . 66 Age composition and longevity . 71 Vectorial capacity . 73 Effect of intervention, in particular residual spraying with propoxur................................. 75 Results of the preliminary trial of propoxur . 76 Effect of propoxur on vector density . 77 Sporozoite rates and inoculation rates............... 84 Vector behaviour . 85 Age composition and longevity . 86 Vectorial capacity . 86 After-effect of propoxur, after discontinuation of spraying . 88 Vector density . 88 Sporozoite rates and inoculation rates............... 90 Vector behaviour . 90 Age composition and longevity . 92 Bioassay and chemical tests . 92 Compact versus scattered settlements . 94 AnophelesgambiaeandA. arabiensis .................. 95 Discussion . 99 The estimation of the vectorial capacity . 99 Transmission in Garki and its natural variation................................................ 101 The effect of propoxur . 101 A. gambiae, A. arabiensis and intraspecific cytogenetic variation . 103 Evaluation of insecticidal impact..................... 105 Summary and conclusions . 106 CONTENTS Page CHAPTER 5. PARASITOLOGY Methods ...................................................... 109 Method of blood examination ........................ 109 Collection and processing of blood films............ 111 Parasitology staff ....................................... 111 Sensitivity and reproducibility of the blood examination method . 111 The parasitological indices used ..................... 114 Parasitological findings in the absence of intervention . .. .. .. .. .. 115 Prevalence and density of parasites . 115 Incidence and recovery rates (conversion and clearance rates) .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 125 Relationship between parasitological and entomological findings . 131 Mixed infections and the relationship between P.fa/ciparum and P. malariae ......... 134 The intervention phase: parasitological effect ofthe3controlstrategies .............................. 139 Prevalenceanddensityofparasites .................. 139 Incidence and recovery rates (conversion and clearance rates) . 148 Relationship between parasitological and entomological findings . 151 Mixed infections . 151 The post-intervention phase: the resurgence of malaria ................................................ 153 Prevalence and density of parasites .................. 153 Incidence and recovery rates (conversion and clearance rates) . 157 Relationship between parasitological and entomological findings .............................. 157 Discussion ................................................... 159 The parasitological effects of immunity to P.fa/ciparum .......................................... 159 The effect of the 3 intervention strategies on the epidemiology of P. falciparum . 162 The effect of mass drug administration on parasitological immunity to P.fa/ciparum ...... 165 CONTENTS Page P. malariae, and its relationship to P.falciparum .......................................... 167 P. ovate . 170 Malaria in males and females . 171 Summary . 171 CHAPTER 6. IMMUNOLOGY Material and methods . 173 Serological results by age, survey and treatment ...... 176 lmmunoglobulin G .................................... 182 Immunoglobulin M . 182 Precipitin (Ouchterlony) test-P.ja/ciparum ... 183 Indirect fluorescent antibody (IFA) test- P.falciparum .......................................... 183 Indirect fluorescent antibody (IFA) test- P. malariae or P. brasilianum . 184 Passive (indirect) haemagglutination (IHA) test-P.falciparum ................................. 185 The longitudinal study of infants . 185 Definition of 2 populations of infants . 185 lmmunoglobulin levels . 186 Malaria antibody levels . 186 Proportion positive by the serological tests . 188 Serological results in the newborn in the post-intervention follow-up period ............... 191 Variation by sex ............................................. 191 Relationship between the results of the same serological test in the same person at the different surveys ....................................... 191 Relationship between the results of different serological tests in the same person at the same survey . 193 Relationship between parasitology and serology . 194 Method ofanalysis of the baseline data . 194 The precipitin test (P.falciparum) and P.falciparum parasitaemia . 196 The IHA-P. knowlesi or IHA-P.falciparum test and P. falciparum parasitaemia............... 197 The IFA test and homologous parasitaemia . 198 Immunoglobulin levels and parasitaemia . 198 CONTENTS Page Relationship between parasitological and serological findings during and after the intervention phase.................................... 199 Discussion . 199 Age and the development of the active immune response in the unprotected population . 199 Serological changes in the protected population ............................................. 202 Serological changes in the post-intervention phase ................................................... 204 The longitudinal study of infants ..................... 204 Comparison between males and females ............ 205 The correlation between different surveys in the same person ....................................... 206 The correlation between different serological tests in the same person .............................. 207 The relationship between serology and parasitology in the individual ..................... 207 Sensitivity and specificity of the serological tests ...................................................... 210 Summary ................................................... 211 CHAPTER 7. ABNORMAL HAEMOGLOBINS AND ABO BLOOD GROUPS Material and methods .................................... 213 Haemoglobin electrophoresis ........................... 215 Haemoglobins