East Asia Overview on Counterterrorism Issues
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The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES THE PROMISE AND PITFALLS OF CONFLICT PREDICTION: EVIDENCE FROM COLOMBIA AND INDONESIA Samuel Bazzi Robert A. Blair Christopher Blattman Oeindrila Dube Matthew Gudgeon Richard Merton Peck Working Paper 25980 http://www.nber.org/papers/w25980 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 June 2019 We thank seminar participants at ESOC, MWIEDC, ISF, NBER Economics of National Security, and NEUDC for helpful feedback. Miguel Morales-Mosquera provided excellent research assistance. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2019 by Samuel Bazzi, Robert A. Blair, Christopher Blattman, Oeindrila Dube, Matthew Gudgeon, and Richard Merton Peck. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia Samuel Bazzi, Robert A. Blair, Christopher Blattman, Oeindrila Dube, Matthew Gudgeon, and Richard Merton Peck NBER Working Paper No. 25980 June 2019 JEL No. C52,C53,D74 ABSTRACT Policymakers can take actions to prevent local conflict before it begins, if such violence can be accurately predicted. We examine the two countries with the richest available sub-national data: Colombia and Indonesia. We assemble two decades of fine-grained violence data by type, alongside hundreds of annual risk factors. -
Routledge Handbook of Southeast Asian Economics a Century Of
This article was downloaded by: 10.3.98.104 On: 01 Oct 2021 Access details: subscription number Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: 5 Howick Place, London SW1P 1WG, UK Routledge Handbook of Southeast Asian Economics Ian Coxhead A century of growth, crisis, war and recovery, 1870–1970 Publication details https://www.routledgehandbooks.com/doi/10.4324/9781315742410.ch3 Anne Booth Published online on: 18 Dec 2014 How to cite :- Anne Booth. 18 Dec 2014, A century of growth, crisis, war and recovery, 1870–1970 from: Routledge Handbook of Southeast Asian Economics Routledge Accessed on: 01 Oct 2021 https://www.routledgehandbooks.com/doi/10.4324/9781315742410.ch3 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR DOCUMENT Full terms and conditions of use: https://www.routledgehandbooks.com/legal-notices/terms This Document PDF may be used for research, teaching and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproductions, re-distribution, re-selling, loan or sub-licensing, systematic supply or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contents will be complete or accurate or up to date. The publisher shall not be liable for an loss, actions, claims, proceedings, demand or costs or damages whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with or arising out of the use of this material. 3 A century of growth, crisis, war and recovery, 1870–1970 Anne Booth SCHOOL OF ORIENTAL AND AFRICAN STUDIES, UNIVERSITY OF LONDON Introduction This chapter surveys the economic development of Southeast Asia over the century from 1870 to 1970, a century which saw the rapid integration of many parts of the region into the world economy, followed by the great depression of the 1930s, the Japanese occupation from 1942 to 1945, and the transition to independence, which was in some former colonies peaceful and in others violent and prolonged. -
Trends in the Timing of First Marriage Among Men and Women in the Developing World
Population Council Knowledge Commons Poverty, Gender, and Youth Social and Behavioral Science Research (SBSR) 2005 Trends in the timing of first marriage among men and women in the developing world Barbara Mensch Population Council Susheela Singh John B. Casterline Follow this and additional works at: https://knowledgecommons.popcouncil.org/departments_sbsr-pgy Part of the Demography, Population, and Ecology Commons, Family, Life Course, and Society Commons, International Public Health Commons, and the Maternal and Child Health Commons How does access to this work benefit ou?y Let us know! Recommended Citation Mensch, Barbara, Susheela Singh, and John B. Casterline. 2005. "Trends in the timing of first marriage among men and women in the developing world," Policy Research Division Working Paper no. 202. New York: Population Council. Version of record: https://doi.org/10.17226/11524 This Working Paper is brought to you for free and open access by the Population Council. Trends in the Timing of First Marriage Among Men and Women in the Developing World Barbara S. Mensch Susheela Singh John B. Casterline 2005 No. 202 POLICY RESEARCH DIVISION One Dag Hammarskjold Plaza New York, New York 10017 USA www.popcouncil.org [email protected] This material may not be reproduced without written permission from the authors. For a list of Policy Research Division Working Papers, including those that are currently available for downloading in PDF format, see www.popcouncil.org/publications/wp/prd/rdwplist.html. ISSN: 1554-8538 © 2005 The Population Council, Inc. Trends in the Timing of First Marriage Among Men and Women in the Developing World Barbara S. -
Review of Trade in Merbau from Major Range States
REVIEW OF TRADE IN MERBAU FROM MAJOR RANGE STATES TONG P.S.,CHEN, H.K., HEWITT,J.,AND AFFRE A. A TRAFFIC SOUTHEAST ASIA REPORT Published by TRAFFIC Southeast Asia, Petaling Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia © 2009 TRAFFIC Southeast Asia All rights reserved. All material appearing in this publication is copyrighted and may be reproduced with permission. Any reproduction in full or in part of this publication must credit TRAFFIC Southeast Asia as the copyright owner. The views of the authors expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect those of the TRAFFIC Network, WWF or IUCN. The designations of geographical entities in this publication, and the presentation of the material, do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of TRAFFIC or its supporting organizations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, or area, or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The TRAFFIC symbol copyright and Registered Trademark ownership is held by WWF. TRAFFIC is a joint programme of WWF and IUCN. Layout by Noorainie Awang Anak, TRAFFIC Southeast Asia Suggested citation: Tong P.S., Chen, H.K., Hewitt, J., and Affre A. (2009). Review of trade in merbau from major range States TRAFFIC Southeast Asia, Petaling Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia ISBN 9789833393176 Cover: Logging truck transporting logs of kwila/merbau Intsia spp., among other species Vanimo, PNG. Photograph credit: James Compton/TRAFFIC Southeast Asia This report is printed in Malaysia using T-Kote, a total chlorine free environmentally friendly paper REVIEW OF TRADE IN MERBAU FROM MAJOR RANGE STATES Tong P.S.,Chen, H.K., Hewitt, J., and Affre A. -
Militant Islam in Southeast Asia Crucible of Terror
EXCERPTED FROM Militant Islam in Southeast Asia Crucible of Terror Zachary Abuza Copyright © 2003 ISBNs: 1-58826-212-X hc 1-58826-237-5 pb 1800 30th Street, Ste. 314 Boulder, CO 80301 USA telephone 303.444.6684 fax 303.444.0824 This excerpt was downloaded from the Lynne Rienner Publishers website www.rienner.com i CHAPTER 1 Al-Qaida and Radical Islam in Southeast Asia SLAM IN SOUTHEAST ASIA HAS ALWAYS BEEN DEFINED BY TOLERANCE, MODERATION, Iand pluralism. Most of the Muslim inhabitants of Southeast Asia support the secular state and eschew the violence and literal interpretations of Islam that have plagued their South Asian and Middle Eastern co-religionists. Only a small minority advocates the establishment of Islamic regimes gov- erned by sharia, law based on the Quran. There have always been Muslim militants in the region, but the conventional wisdom holds that these mili- tants were focused on their own domestic agenda. As one of the most noted U.S. scholars on Southeast Asian security wrote: “Southeast Asian terrorist groups are essentially home grown and not part of an international terrorist network, although individual members may have trained with Al-Qaida in Afghanistan.”1 That analysis is naïve and underestimates the degree to which radical Islamists in Southeast Asia have linked up with transnational terrorist organizations like Al-Qaida. Academics and policymakers have been loath to come to terms with the growing threat of radical Islamicism in Southeast Asia. The devastating attack on a Balinese nightclub on October 12, 2002, in which some 202 people (mainly Australian tourists) were killed, was a wake-up call to governments in denial and skeptics in the region. -
The Role of Incentives in Forest Plantation Development in the Asia-Pacific Region
WHAT DOES IT TAKE? THE ROLE OF INCENTIVES IN FOREST PLANTATION DEVELOPMENT IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION by Thomas Enters, Patrick B. Durst and Chris Brown Introduction What does it take to effectively involve the private sector in forest plantation development? Governments and their respective forestry agencies are increasingly asking this question. Although the potential role that forest plantations can play in supplying wood, non-wood forest products and environmental services sustainably has been recognized, understanding the policy instruments that successfully encourage investments in plantations remains weak in many countries in the Asia -Pacific region. Historically, public sector agencies have dominated forest plantation development in the same way as they have controlled the management of natural forests. With regard to plantations this pattern has changed in many countries over the last 10 to 20 years for three main reasons. The first reason falls in the broad category of devolution of forest management, which seeks greater involvement of communities and the private sector in forest management. Second, the performance of public sector plantations – with few exceptions – has been disappointing. Third, budget constraints make it impossible for most forest departments to devote as many resources to forest plantations as they have in the past. Hence, governments are increasingly looking toward alternative actors and policy instruments that stimulate interest in growing trees. Direct and indirect incentives are among the policy instruments stimulating investments in plantation establishment and management. Empirical research on the impacts and effectiveness of incentives on plantation development is scarce and even where it exists, it is often impossible to clearly identify a direct relationship between incentives offered and the behavioral response by small and large-scale investors. -
Electricity Governance Initiative: Case of Indonesia
ELECTRICITY GOVERNANCE INITIATIVE: CASE OF INDONESIA FINAL REPORT i CONTRIBUTING AUTHORS Indonesian Institute of Energy Economics: Dr. Asclepias Rachmi Indriyanto, Lena Herliana, Bobby Wattimena, Indra Sari, Chaerani Nisa Pelangi: Nasrullah Salim, Nyoman Iswarayoga Moekti H Soejachmoen WWF-Indonesia: Muhamad Suhud, Eka Melissa Working Group on Power Sector Restructuring: Fabby Tumiwa IBEKA: Tri Mumpuni ICEL: Prayekti Murharjanti, Dyah Paramita ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We are grateful to members of the Advisory Panel who were generous with their time and efforts to provide advice and feedback to the research and writing process. Their contribution has considerably strengthened the report. Final responsibility for the content of the report rests, however, entirely with the authors. The Advisory Panel members are: Dr. Bambang Brodjonegoro, Independent Commissioner PT PLN Persero and Dean Dean of Economic Dept, University of Indonesia; Endro Utomo Notodisuryo, Transparency International and Former Director General of Electricity & Energy Development; Faisal Basri, Comissioner, Commissioner, Oversight Comission for Business Competition and Lecturer at University of Indonesia; Dr. Irwan Prayitno, Legislator, House of Representatives and Member of Comission VIII (Energy, Environment, Research and Technology); Mr. Puguh Sugiharto, Former Chairman of the Working Group for Good Governance in the Electricity Sector, Member of the Renewable Energy Society and Director of PEN Consulting; Dr. Umar Said, Former Secretary General of the Ministry of Energy and Mining and Lecturer at the University of Indonesia. Financial Support for this project was provided by the United States Agency for International Development. Davida Wood of USAID and Randy Willard and Amira Basel at World Learning facilitated and supervised the financing of the project. As the Secretariat of the Electricity Governance Initiative, Smita Nakhooda and Frances Seymour of the World Resources Institute provided comments, guidance and support. -
Disappeared” the CIA’S Long-Term “Ghost Detainees”
The United States’ “Disappeared” The CIA’s Long-Term “Ghost Detainees” A Human Rights Watch Briefing Paper October 2004 I. Executive Summary .................................................................................................................. 1 II. Background............................................................................................................................... 3 III. The Central Intelligence Agency: “Ghost Detainees” and “Disappearances” ............. 5 High-Level “Ghost Detainees” in Prolonged Incommunicado Detention..................... 8 Refusal to Disclose the Fate or Whereabouts of the Detainees........................................ 8 Allegations of Mistreatment.................................................................................................. 10 Intelligence Collection............................................................................................................ 13 IV. “Disappearances” in Law and History..............................................................................16 The Definition of “Forced Disappearances” in International Law ................................ 18 The Absolute Ban on “Disappearances” ............................................................................ 20 Legal Prohibitions on Incommunicado Detention............................................................ 20 V. Recommendations to the United States Government: ....................................................22 VI. Acknowledgements..............................................................................................................23 -
The Treatment of Ethnic Minorities in Democratizing Muslim Countries: the Securitization of Kurds in Turkey Versus the Autonomization of Acehnese in Indonesia
Old Dominion University ODU Digital Commons Graduate Program in International Studies Theses & Dissertations Graduate Program in International Studies Spring 2017 The Treatment of Ethnic Minorities in Democratizing Muslim Countries: The Securitization of Kurds in Turkey Versus the Autonomization of Acehnese in Indonesia Maurizio Geri Old Dominion University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.odu.edu/gpis_etds Part of the International Relations Commons Recommended Citation Geri, Maurizio. "The Treatment of Ethnic Minorities in Democratizing Muslim Countries: The Securitization of Kurds in Turkey Versus the Autonomization of Acehnese in Indonesia" (2017). Doctor of Philosophy (PhD), Dissertation, International Studies, Old Dominion University, DOI: 10.25777/579t-6s87 https://digitalcommons.odu.edu/gpis_etds/14 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate Program in International Studies at ODU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Graduate Program in International Studies Theses & Dissertations by an authorized administrator of ODU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. THE TREATMENT OF ETHNIC MINORITIES IN DEMOCRATIZING MUSLIM COUNTRIES: THE SECURITIZATION OF KURDS IN TURKEY VERSUS THE AUTONOMIZATION OF ACEHNESE IN INDONESIA by Maurizio Geri M.A. 2007, University of Florence A Dissertation Submitted to the Faculty of Old Dominion University in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY INTERNATIONAL STUDIES OLD DOMINION UNIVERSITY May 2017 Approved by: David Earnest Francis Adams Fran Hassencahl ABSTRACT THE TREATMENT OF ETHNIC MINORITIES IN DEMOCRATIZING MUSLIM COUNTRIES: THE SECURITIZATION OF KURDS IN TURKEY VERSUS THE AUTONOMIZATION OF ACEHNESE IN INDONESIA Maurizio Geri Old Dominion University, 2017 Director: Dr. -
Homeland, Identity and Media: a Study of Indonesian
HOMELAND, IDENTITY AND MEDIA: A STUDY OF INDONESIAN TRANSNATIONAL MUSLIMS IN NEW YORK CITY A dissertation presented to the faculty of the Scripps College of Communication of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Doctor of Philosophy Putut Widjanarko June 2007 This dissertation entitled HOMELAND, IDENTITY AND MEDIA: A STUDY OF INDONESIAN TRANSNATIONAL MUSLIMS IN NEW YORK CITY by PUTUT WIDJANARKO has been approved for the School of Telecommunications and the Scripps College of Communication by Drew McDaniel Professor of Telecommunications Gregory J. Shepherd Dean, Scripps College of Communication WIDJANARKO, PUTUT, Ph.D., June 2007, Telecommunications HOMELAND, IDENTITY AND MEDIA: A STUDY OF INDONESIAN TRANSNATIONAL MUSLIMS IN NEW YORK CITY (415 pp.) Director of Dissertation: Drew McDaniel This dissertation describes an attempt to understand the complex process of how Indonesian Muslims in New York City negotiate their cultural identities. This dissertation gravitates around the concept of transnationalism, which perceives that contemporary immigrants form and maintain multi-stranded social and cultural transnational links to the societies of the country of origin, chiefly thanks to advancement of media, communication and transportation technologies. Applying the non-obvious multi-sited ethnography approach (Marcus, 1999), I explore the dynamic process of how the deterritorialized Indonesians strive to reterritorialize their culture in the new cultural context, such as manifested in the establishment of the Indonesian mosque with its various Islamic activities and the reenactment of Indonesian cultural practices. Subsequently I explain how various forms of media are produced, circulated, and consumed in the Indonesian Muslim community. The study concludes with several important points. -
Textual Analysis of Tempo News Magazine Representation of Terrorism
87 Textual Analysis of Tempo News Magazine Representation of Terrorism Prayudi Program Studi Ilmu Komunikasi Universitas Pembangunan Nasional “ Veteran” Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari No. 2 Tambakbayan Yogyakarta 55282, Telp. (0274) 485268 HP. 0815 680 1807, e-mail: [email protected] Abstract This research analyses how the Indonesian news media represents issue of terrorism within Indonesian context. An attempt by the news media institutions in representing reality incorpo- rates technology to produce and to distribute texts; institution where technology is formed and controlled to produce texts; and cultural forms relate to the structuring of media technology and organization; how language and meaning are composed into codes. Further, news media institu- tions must also consider political and cultural contexts of the event. Thus, controversial and crucial issues like terrorist attack and international war on terror are represented in accordance with internal policy of news media institutions and the consideration of cultural and political contexts. Tempo weekly news magazine is the news media under study. The research finding indicates that Tempo focused on the investigation process and the un-cover of terrorist network. Both issues were constructed within strong political and cultural perspectives that become the characteristic of Tempo as a news media that is critical and free from any pressures. Actuality, in-depth reporting and accuracy represent Tempo’s strong and independent editorial policy. Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis media berita yang merepresentasikan isu terorisme dalam konteks Indonesia. Upaya lembaga media berita dalam menampilkan realitas melalui teknologi untuk memproduksi dan mendistribusikan teks; keberadaan institusi di mana teknologi dibentuk dan dikendalikan untuk menghasilkan teks; dan bentuk budaya yang berhubungan dengan penataan media teknologi dan organisasi, bagaimana bahasa dan makna yang tertuang dalam kode. -
September 2002 Kindly Mention OPEC As Source
OPEC Monthly Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Oil Obere Donaustrasse 93, A-1020 Vienna, Austria Market Tel +43 1 21112 Fax +43 1 216 4320 Telex 134474 E-mail [email protected] Report September OPEC Basket average price US $ per barrel 2002 Up 0.86 in August August 25.99 July 25.13 Year-to-date 23.03 Opening address to 121st OPEC August OPEC production Conference million barrels per day, according to secondary sources (pp. i – ii) Algeria 0.87 Kuwait 1.92 Saudi Arabia 7.59 Indonesia 1.13 SP Libyan AJ 1.34 UAE 1.99 IR Iran 3.42 Nigeria 1.97 Venezuela 2.76 Iraq 1.59 Qatar 0.65 Concluding statement of 121st Supply and demand OPEC Conference million barrels per day (p. iii) 2002 World demand 76.20 Non-OPEC supply 51.52 Inside Difference 24.68 Highlights of the world economy p1 2003 Crude oil price movements p4 World demand 77.00 Product markets and refinery Non-OPEC supply 52.47 operations p7 Difference 24.53 The oil futures market p9 The tanker market p10 Stocks World oil demand p12 World oil supply p15 Further unseasonable draw in USA in August Rig count p17 Stock movements p18 World economy Balance of supply and World GDP growth estimate unchanged at 2.8% for 2002 demand p20 Unless separately credited, material may Data covers period up to end-August 2002, unless otherwise stated be reproduced without permission, but Issued 20 September 2002 kindly mention OPEC as source Opening address to the 121st Meeting of the OPEC Conference by His Excellency Dr Rilwanu Lukman∗ Excellencies, ladies and gentlemen, Welcome to Osaka, Japan, for the 121st Meeting of the OPEC Conference.