MASTER CURRICULUM VITAE: Dr Michael Hulme
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UHI Wickham Et Al
1 Influence of Urban Heating on the Global Temperature Land Average 2 Using Rural Sites Identified from MODIS Classifications 3 4 submitted to GeoInformatics and GeoStatistics 5 6 Charlotte Wickham1, Robert Rohde2, Richard Muller3,4, Jonathan 7 Wurtele3,4, Judith Curry5, Don Groom3, Robert Jacobsen3,4, Saul 8 Perlmutter3,4, Arthur Rosenfeld3. 9 10 Corresponding Author Address: 11 Richard A. Muller 12 Berkeley Earth Project 13 2831 Garber St. 14 Berkeley CA 94705 15 email: [email protected] 16 1 University of California, Berkeley, CA, 94720; currently at Dept. Statistics, Oregon St. University; 2 Novim Group, 211 Rametto Road, Santa Barbara, CA, 93104; 3 Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, 94720; 4 Department of Physics, University of California, Berkeley CA 94720, 5Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332;. Correspondence for all authors should be sent to The Berkeley Earth Project, 2831 Garber Street, Berkeley CA, 94705. 1 17 2 18 Abstract 19 20 The effect of urban heating on estimates of global average land surface 21 temperature is studied by applying an urban-rural classification based on 22 MODIS satellite data to the Berkeley Earth temperature dataset compilation of 23 36, 869 sites from 15 different publicly available sources. We compare the 24 distribution of linear temperature trends for these sites to the distribution for a 25 rural subset of 15, 594 sites chosen to be distant from all MODIS-identified 26 urban areas. While the trend distributions are broad, with one-third of the 27 stations in the US and worldwide having a negative trend, both distributions 28 show significant warming. -
The Hartwell Paper a New Direction for Climate Policy After the Crash of 2009
The Hartwell Paper A new direction for climate policy after the crash of 2009 Hartwell House, Buckinghamshire, where the co-authors conceived this paper, 2-4 February 2010 May 2010 22th April 2010 THE HARTWELL PAPER: FINAL TEXT EMBARGOED UNTIL 11 MAY 2010 0600 BST The co-authors Professor Gwyn Prins, Mackinder Programme for the Study of Long Wave Events, London School of Economics & Political Science, England Isabel Galiana, Department of Economics & GEC3, McGill University, Canada Professor Christopher Green, Department of Economics, McGill University, Canada Dr Reiner Grundmann, School of Languages & Social Sciences, Aston University, England Professor Mike Hulme, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, England Professor Atte Korhola, Department of Environmental Sciences/ Division of Environmental Change and Policy, University of Helsinki, Finland Professor Frank Laird, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, USA Ted Nordhaus, The Breakthrough Institute, Oakland, California, USA Professor Roger Pielke Jnr, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado, USA Professor Steve Rayner, Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, University of Oxford, England Professor Daniel Sarewitz, Consortium for Science, Policy and Outcomes, Arizona State University, USA Michael Shellenberger, The Breakthrough Institute, Oakland, California, USA Professor Nico Stehr, Karl Mannheim Chair for Cultural Studies, Zeppelin University, Germany Hiroyuki Tezuka , General Manager, Climate -
The Challenge of Urban Heat Exposure Under Climate Change: an Analysis of Cities in the Sustainable Healthy Urban Environments (SHUE) Database
climate Article The Challenge of Urban Heat Exposure under Climate Change: An Analysis of Cities in the Sustainable Healthy Urban Environments (SHUE) Database James Milner 1,*, Colin Harpham 2, Jonathon Taylor 3 ID , Mike Davies 3, Corinne Le Quéré 4, Andy Haines 1 ID and Paul Wilkinson 1,† 1 Department of Social & Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London WC1H 9SH, UK; [email protected] (A.H.); [email protected] (P.W.) 2 Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK; [email protected] 3 UCL Institute for Environmental Design & Engineering, University College London, Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London WC1H 0NN, UK; [email protected] (J.T.); [email protected] (M.D.) 4 Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +44-020-7927-2510 † On behalf of the SHUE project partners. Received: 31 July 2017; Accepted: 8 December 2017; Published: 13 December 2017 Abstract: The so far largely unabated emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) are expected to increase global temperatures substantially over this century. We quantify the patterns of increases for 246 globally-representative cities in the Sustainable Healthy Urban Environments (SHUE) database. We used an ensemble of 18 global climate models (GCMs) run under a low (RCP2.6) and high (RCP8.5) emissions scenario to estimate the increase in monthly mean temperatures by 2050 and 2100 based on 30-year averages. -
Severe Drought in the Spring of 2020 in Poland—More of the Same?
agronomy Article Severe Drought in the Spring of 2020 in Poland—More of the Same? Iwona Pi ´nskwar* , Adam Chory ´nski and Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences, Bukowska 19, 60-809 Pozna´n,Poland; [email protected] (A.C.); [email protected] (Z.W.K.) * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 5 October 2020; Accepted: 23 October 2020; Published: 26 October 2020 Abstract: Two consecutive dry years, 2018 and 2019, a warm winter in 2019/20, and a very dry spring in 2020 led to the development of severe drought in Poland. In this paper, changes in the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for the interval from 1971 to the end of May 2020 are examined. The values of SPEI (based on 12, 24 and 30 month windows, i.e., SPEI 12, SPEI 24 and SPEI 30) were calculated with the help of the Penman–Monteith equation. Changes in soil moisture contents were also examined from January 2000 to May 2020, based on data from the NASA Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center, presenting increasing water shortages in a central belt of Poland. The study showed that the 2020 spring drought was among the most severe events in the analyzed period and presented decreasing trends of SPEI at most stations located in central Poland. This study also determined changes in soil moisture contents from January 2000 to May 2020 that indicate a decreasing tendency. Cumulative water shortages from year to year led to the development of severe drought in the spring of 2020, as reflected in very low SPEI values and low soil moisture. -
Visualizing the Average Rohde FINAL
Visualizing of Berkeley Earth, NASA GISS, and Hadley CRU averaging techniques Robert Rohde Lead Scientist, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature 1/15/2013 Abstract This document will provide a simple illustration of how different climate research groups combine discrete observations to construct large-scale views of Earth’s land areas. This illustration is meant as a simple way to summarize the different methodologies, though it has no specific research value beyond that. Introduction There are four major efforts to synthesize the Earth’s disparate temperature observations into a coherent picture of our planet’s climate history. These efforts are led respectively by NOAA’s National Climate Data Center (NOAA NCDC), NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Sciences (NASA GISS), a collaboration between the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit and the UK Met Office’s Hadley Centre (CRU1), and the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature group. Each group uses different averaging techniQues, Quality control procedures, homogenization techniques, and datasets. The current discussion will briefly look at the land-surface averaging methods applied by Berkeley Earth, CRU, and NASA GISS. NOAA’s method uses information from multiple times to construct an empirical orthogonal function representation of the Earth. Since the illustration performed here will only look at a single time slice, it isn’t possible to consider NOAA’s method, and hence their averaging techniQue will not be discussed here. Visualizing the Methods We shall provide an illustrative example of how the various averaging methods view the world. Rather than using temperature data, we will perform this illustration using a visual image of Earth’s land surface. -
The Disclosure of Climate Data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia
House of Commons Science and Technology Committee The disclosure of climate data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia Eighth Report of Session 2009–10 Report, together with formal minutes Ordered by the House of Commons to be printed 24 March 2010 HC 387-I Published on 31 March 2010 by authority of the House of Commons London: The Stationery Office Limited £0.00 The Science and Technology Committee The Science and Technology Committee is appointed by the House of Commons to examine the expenditure, administration and policy of the Government Office for Science. Under arrangements agreed by the House on 25 June 2009 the Science and Technology Committee was established on 1 October 2009 with the same membership and Chairman as the former Innovation, Universities, Science and Skills Committee and its proceedings were deemed to have been in respect of the Science and Technology Committee. Current membership Mr Phil Willis (Liberal Democrat, Harrogate and Knaresborough)(Chair) Dr Roberta Blackman-Woods (Labour, City of Durham) Mr Tim Boswell (Conservative, Daventry) Mr Ian Cawsey (Labour, Brigg & Goole) Mrs Nadine Dorries (Conservative, Mid Bedfordshire) Dr Evan Harris (Liberal Democrat, Oxford West & Abingdon) Dr Brian Iddon (Labour, Bolton South East) Mr Gordon Marsden (Labour, Blackpool South) Dr Doug Naysmith (Labour, Bristol North West) Dr Bob Spink (Independent, Castle Point) Ian Stewart (Labour, Eccles) Graham Stringer (Labour, Manchester, Blackley) Dr Desmond Turner (Labour, Brighton Kemptown) Mr Rob Wilson (Conservative, Reading East) Powers The Committee is one of the departmental Select Committees, the powers of which are set out in House of Commons Standing Orders, principally in SO No.152. -
Water-Saving Ideas Rejected at Meeting
THE TWEED SHIRE Volume 2 #15 Thursday, December 10, 2009 Advertising and news enquiries: Phone: (02) 6672 2280 Our new Fax: (02) 6672 4933 property guide [email protected] starts on page 19 [email protected] www.tweedecho.com.au LOCAL & INDEPENDENT Water-saving ideas Restored biplane gets the thumbs up rejected at meeting Luis Feliu years has resulted in new or modified developments having rainwater tanks Water-saving options for Tweed resi- to a maximum of 3,000 litres but re- dents such as rainwater tanks, recy- stricted to three uses: washing, toilet cling, composting toilets as well as flushing and external use. Rainwater population caps were suggested and tanks were not permitted in urban rejected at a public meeting on Mon- areas to be used for drinking water day night which looked at Tweed Some residents interjected, saying Shire Council’s plan to increase the that was ‘absurd’ and asked ‘why not?’ shire’s water supply. while others said 3,000 litres was too Around 80 people attended the small. meeting at Uki Hall, called by the Mr Burnham said council’s water Caldera Environment Centre and af- demand management strategy had fected residents from Byrrill Creek identified that 5,000-litre rainwater concerned about the proposal to dam tanks produced a significant decrease their creek, one of four options under in overall demand but council had no discussion to increase the shire’s water power to enforce their use. supply. The other options are rais- Reuse not explored Nick Challinor, left, and Steve Searle guide the Tiger -
Facing Our Future
ABOUT THE COVER ART Get ready for the end of our world as we know it. How can we not despair at such a prospect? Roll up the sleeves on imagination, compassion, and science and let’s get ready for our new world. The poster for Gustavus Adolphus College’s Nobel Conference “Climate Changed” illustrates some of the solutions for living in a changed climate, as well as the attendant reality of mass migrations. Sharon Stevenson, Designer CLIMATE CHANGEDFACING OUR FUTURE 800 West College Avenue | Saint Peter, MN 56082 | gustavus.edu/nobelconference NOBEL CONFERENCE 55 | SEPTEMBER 24 & 25, 2019 | GUSTAVUS ADOLPHUS COLLEGE NOBEL CONFERENCE 55 I love being in nature, whether it is time at our family cabin WELCOin northern Minnesota, a walk in the Linnaeus Arboretum at ME Gustavus, or the trip I took this summer with my husband to camp and hike in the western national parks. Like many people, I find nature to be a source of renewal, a connection to the Earth and the Divine, and a reminder of the interconnectedness of creation. Also, like many people, I am concerned about our world. As scientific evidence of human-caused climate change is mounting, members of the Gustavus community are working to understand this crisis and its local and Alfred Nobel had a vision of global effects. On campus, several groups are working on this great challenge a better world. He believed of our time. For example, the President’s Environmental Sustainability Council that people were capable of and the student-led Environmental Action Coalition are leading campus initiatives to reduce our helping to improve society campus energy use by 25 percent in the next five years and make improvements in recycling and through knowledge, science, and waste management with the goal of becoming a zero-waste campus, with 90 percent of solid waste humanism. -
Emerging Climate Justice Discourse
A dissertation submitted to the Department of Environmental Sciences and Policy of Central European University in part fulfillment of the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Emerging Climate Justice Discourse: Perspectives of Grassroots Networks in the UK CEU eTD Collection Yulia BARABANOVA November, 2013 Budapest Notes on copyright and the ownership of intellectual property rights: (1) Copyright in text of this dissertation rests with the Author. Copies (by any process) either in full, or of extracts, may be made only in accordance with instructions given by the Author and lodged in the Central European University Library. Details may be obtained from the Librarian. This page must form part of any such copies made. Further copies (by any process) of copies made in accordance with such instructions may not be made without the permission (in writing) of the Author. (2) The ownership of any intellectual property rights which may be described in this dissertation is vested in the Central European University, subject to any prior agreement to the contrary, and may not be made available for use by third parties without the written permission of the University, which will prescribe the terms and conditions of any such agreement. (3) For bibliographic and reference purposes this dissertation should be referred to as: Barabanova, Y. 2013. Emerging Climate Justice Discourse: Perspectives of Grassroots Networks in the UK. Doctoral dissertation, Department of Environmental Sciences and Policy, Central European University, Budapest. Further information on the conditions under which disclosures and exploitation may take place is available from the Head of the Department of Environmental Sciences and Policy, Central European University. -
Climate Change Impacts in Europe
Climate change impacts in Europe Final report of the PESETA research project Juan-Carlos Ciscar (editor) EUR 24093 EN - 2009 The mission of the IPTS is to provide customer-driven support to the EU policy-making process by researching science-based responses to policy challenges that have both a socio-economic and a scientific or technological dimension. The mission of the JRC-IES is to provide scientific-technical support to the European Union’s policies for the protection and sustainable development of the European and global environment. European Commission Joint Research Centre Institute for Prospective Technological Studies Institute for Environment and Sustainability Contact information Address: Edificio Expo. c/ Inca Garcilaso, 3. E-41092 Seville (Spain) E-mail: [email protected] Tel.: +34 954488318 Fax: +34 954488300 http://ipts.jrc.ec.europa.eu http://www.jrc.ec.europa.eu Legal Notice Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of this publication. A great deal of additional information on the European Union is available on the Internet. It can be accessed through the Europa server http://europa.eu/ JRC 55391 EUR 24093 EN ISSN 1018-5593 ISBN 978-92-79-14272-7 DOI 10.2791/32500 Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities © European Communities, 2009 Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged Printed in Spain Authors Scientific coordination Juan-Carlos Ciscar (Institute for Prospective Technological Studies-Joint Research Center, IPTS-JRC) Antonio Soria (IPTS-JRC). Climate scenarios Clare M. Goodess (Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia) Ole B. -
Implications of Climate Change for the U.S. Army Study Authors (In Alphabetical Order)
United States Army War College Implications of Climate Change for the U.S. Army Study Authors (in alphabetical order) Colonel Max Brosig, U.S. Army National Guard Colonel Parker Frawley, U.S. Army Dr. Andrew Hill, U.S. Army War College Prof. Molly Jahn, University of Wisconsin-Madison, NASA HARVEST Consortium Colonel Michael Marsicek, U.S. Air Force Dr. Aubrey Paris, Princeton University Mr. Matthew Rose, U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency and Major, U.S. Army Reserve Colonel Amar Shambaljamts, Mongolian Army Ms. Nicole Thomas, U.S. Army Scan this code to view the full document online. Executive Summary Implications of Climate Change for the U.S. Army Current conversations about climate change and its im- sult in the migration of large segments of the popula- pacts are often rancorous and politically charged. As tion. Rising seas will displace tens (if not hundreds) of an organization that is, by law, non-partisan, the Depart- millions of people, creating massive, enduring insta- ment of Defense (DoD) is precariously unprepared for bility. This migration will be most pronounced in those the national security implications of climate change-in- regions where climate vulnerability is exacerbated by duced global security challenges. This study examines weak institutions and governance and underdeveloped the implications of climate change for the United States civil society. Recent history has shown that mass hu- Army. This includes national security challenges asso- man migrations can result in increased propensity for ciated with or worsened by climate change, and orga- conflict and turmoil as new populations intermingle with nizational challenges arising from climate change-re- and compete against established populations. -
The Disclosure of Climate Data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia
House of Commons Science and Technology Committee The disclosure of climate data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia Eighth Report of Session 2009–10 Volume II Oral and written evidence Ordered by The House of Commons to be printed 24 March 2010 HC 387-II Published on 31 March 2010 by authority of the House of Commons London: The Stationery Office Limited £0.00 The Science and Technology Committee The Science and Technology Committee is appointed by the House of Commons to examine the expenditure, administration and policy of the Government Office for Science. Under arrangements agreed by the House on 25 June 2009 the Science and Technology Committee was established on 1 October 2009 with the same membership and Chairman as the former Innovation, Universities, Science and Skills Committee and its proceedings were deemed to have been in respect of the Science and Technology Committee. Current membership Mr Phil Willis (Liberal Democrat, Harrogate and Knaresborough)(Chair) Dr Roberta Blackman-Woods (Labour, City of Durham) Mr Tim Boswell (Conservative, Daventry) Mr Ian Cawsey (Labour, Brigg & Goole) Mrs Nadine Dorries (Conservative, Mid Bedfordshire) Dr Evan Harris (Liberal Democrat, Oxford West & Abingdon) Dr Brian Iddon (Labour, Bolton South East) Mr Gordon Marsden (Labour, Blackpool South) Dr Doug Naysmith (Labour, Bristol North West) Dr Bob Spink (Independent, Castle Point) Ian Stewart (Labour, Eccles) Graham Stringer (Labour, Manchester, Blackley) Dr Desmond Turner (Labour, Brighton Kemptown) Mr Rob Wilson (Conservative, Reading East) Powers The Committee is one of the departmental Select Committees, the powers of which are set out in House of Commons Standing Orders, principally in SO No.152.