Next Generation Very Large Array Memo No. 8 Science Working Group 3 Galaxy Assembly through Cosmic Time
Caitlin M. Casey1, Jacqueline A. Hodge2,3, Mark Lacy2, Christopher A. Hales4, Amy Barger5, Desika Narayanan6, Chris Carilli4,7, Katherine Alatalo8, Elisabete da Cunha9, Bjorn Emonts10, Rob Ivison11,12, Amy Kimball13, Ko- taro Kohno14,EricMurphy15, Dominik Riechers16, Mark Sargent17, Fabian Walter18
Abstract
The Next-Generation Very Large Array (ngVLA) will be critical for un- derstanding how galaxies are built and evolve at the earliest epochs. The sensitivity and frequency coverage will allow for the detection of cold gas and dust in ‘normal’ distant galaxies, including the low-J transitions of molecular gas tracers such as CO, HNC, HCN, and HCO+; synchrotron and free-free continuum emission; and even the exciting possibility of thermal dust emis- sion at the highest (z 7) redshifts. In particular, by enabling the total ⇠ molecular gas reservoirs to be traced to unprecedented sensitivities across a huge range of epochs simultaneously – something no other radio or sub- millimeter facility will be capable of – the detection of the crucial low-J transitions of CO in a diverse body of galaxies will be the cornerstone of ngVLA’s contribution to high-redshift galaxy evolution science. The ultra- wide bandwidths will allow a complete sampling of radio SEDs, as well as the detection of emission lines necessary for spectroscopic confirmation of elusive dusty starbursts. The ngVLA will also deliver unique contributions to our understanding of cosmic magnetism and to science accessible through
1 microwave polarimetry. Finally, the superb angular resolution will move the field beyond detection experiments and allow detailed studies of the mor- phology and dynamics of these systems, including dynamical modeling of disks/mergers, determining the properties of outflows, measuring black hole masses from gas disks, and resolving multiple AGN nuclei. We explore the contribution of a ngVLA to these areas and more, as well as synergies with current and upcoming facilities including ALMA, SKA, large single-dish submillimeter observatories, GMT/TMT, and JWST.
1Department of Astronomy, The University of Texas at Austin, 2515 Speedway Blvd, Austin, TX 78712, USA 2National Radio Astronomy Observatory, 520 Edgemont Road, Charlottesville, VA 22903, USA 3Leiden University, J.H. Oort Building, Niels Bohrweg 2 NL-2333 CA Leiden, The Nether- lands 4National Radio Astronomy Observatory, 1003 Lopezville Rd, Socorro, NM 87801, USA 5Department of Astronomy, University of Wisconsin–Madison, 475 North Charter Street, Madison, WI 53706, USA 6Department of Physics & Astronomy, Haverford College, 370 Lancaster Ave, Haverford, PA 19041, USA 7Cavendish Astrophysics Group, JJ Thomson Avenue, Cambridge, CB3 0HE, UK 8Carnegie Observatories, 813 Santa Barbara St, Pasadena, CA 91101, USA 9Center for Astrophysics and Supercomputing, Swinburne University of Technology, Hawthorn VIC 3122, Australia 10Centro de Astrobiologia, Instituto Nacional de T´ecnica Aeroespacial, 28850 Torrej´on de Ardoz, Madrid, Spain 11European Southern Observatory, Karl-Schwarzschild-Strasse 2, D-85748 Garching, Ger- many 12Institute for Astronomy, University of Edinburgh, Royal Observatory, Blackford Hill, Edinburgh EH9 3HJ, UK 13CSIRO Astronomy & Space Science, Epping, PO Box 76, NSW 1710 Australia 14Institute of Astronomy, The University of Tokyo, 2-21-1 Osawa, Mitaka, Tokyo, 181- 0015 Japan 15IPAC, Caltech, MC 220-6, Pasadena, CA 91125, USA 16Astronomy Department, Cornell University, 220 Space Sciences Building, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA 17CEA Saclay, DSM/Irfu/Service dAstrophysique, Orme des Merisiers, F-91191 Gif-sur- Yvette Cedex, France 18Max-Planck-Institut f¨ur Astronomie, K¨onigstuhl 17, D-69117 Heidelberg, Germany
2 Contents
1 Introduction 5
2 Motivation 6
3 Cold Gas Emission 7 3.1 CO...... 8 3.2 A molecular gas deep field ...... 13 3.3 Using CO as a redshift beacon ...... 17 3.4 Simulations of CO gas emission at high-z ...... 18 3.5 Dense gas tracers ...... 20
4 Dynamics 22 4.1 The relative role of mergers versus disks ...... 22 4.2 Molecular outflows ...... 24 4.3 Measuring the CO-to-H2 conversion factor ...... 25
5 Continuum Emission 25 5.1 Synchrotron as a tracer of cosmic star formation ...... 26 5.2 The promise of free-free as a SFR tracer ...... 26 5.3 Thermal dust emission at the highest redshifts ...... 30
6 AGN and supermassive black holes 31 6.1 Black hole masses from gas dynamics ...... 31 6.2 The nature of radio emission from radio-quiet AGN ...... 32 6.3 Weak radio AGN in normal galaxies ...... 33 6.4 MultipleAGN...... 33 6.5 Molecular gas and feedback in AGN ...... 34 6.6 Sunyaev-Zeldovich E↵ect from Quasar/Starburst Winds . . . 34
7 Polarimetry and Cosmic Magnetism 35 7.1 DustContinuum ...... 36 7.2 Spectral Lines ...... 37 7.3 Synchrotron Continuum ...... 39
8 Synergies with other facilities 40 8.1 The Atacama Large Millimeter Array (ALMA) ...... 40 8.2 The Square Kilometre Array (SKA) ...... 41 8.3 Next Generation Bolometers on Single-Dish (Sub)mm tele- scopes ...... 41
3 8.4 Future infrared astronomy space missions ...... 42 8.5 Large optical/IR telescopes (GMT, TMT, and E-ELT) . . . . 42 8.6 JWST...... 43
9 Summary, Outlook, & Technical Requirements 43
4 1 Introduction
The Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array (VLA) is a 27-element radio inter- ferometer located on the Plains of San Agustin, New Mexico, which has enabled cutting-edge radio astronomy for over three decades. Each of the 25-m diameter antennae are situated on rail tracks that form the shape of a ‘Y’, providing baselines up to 36 km and angular resolutions as high as 0.04 at the top end of the 74–50,000 MHz frequency range. Originally ⇠ 00 known as simply the Very Large Array, the array was renamed as the Jansky Very Large Array in 2012 to mark the completion of a major expansion of its capabilities. This upgrade to several of the major hardware areas allowed for complete frequency coverage between 1–50 GHz, an order of magnitude im- provement in continuum sensitivity, and increased spectroscopic capability and correlator flexibility. In late 2014, NRAO established several working groups in order to ex- plore the scientific potential of a next-generation large array for centimeter- wave (0.3–30 cm) astronomy, well beyond the current capabilities of even the JVLA. Currently designated the ‘Next Generation Very Large Array’ (ngVLA), such an array would entail ten times the e↵ective collecting area of the JVLA and ALMA, operating from 1 GHz to 115 GHz, with ten times longer baselines (300 km) providing mas-resolution, plus a dense core on km-scales for high surface brightness imaging (Carilli et al.). The ngVLA is envisioned to represent a factor of 5–10 improvement over the present-day ⇥ VLA in multiple parameters, including frequency coverage, instantaneous radio frequency (RF) and processed bandwidth, total collecting area, max- imum baseline length, field of view, and correlator modes. These working groups have subsequently identified a number of key science goals that would benefit greatly from a substantial upgrade to one or more of these parame- ters, and for which no other existing or upcoming facility will su ce. The high-redshift science goals of the ngVLA which are the key focus of this report (working group 3) are intimately intertwined with some of the most important questions surrounding galaxy evolution studies to- day. Specifically, how and when did most galaxies in the Universe assem- ble? What physical processes dominate the buildup of stellar mass in the Universe, and how has that changed and evolved over the past 12-13 bil- lion years? What role does environment play in galaxy growth? Can our understanding of the first galaxies shed light on early Universe cosmology, including hierarchical growth and collapse of large scale structure? In this white paper, we explore the many important contributions that the ngVLA will make to studies of galaxy assembly over cosmic time and out to the
5 Figure 1: At left we show the total star formation rate density (SFRD) of the universe as a function of redshift as traced by deep UV/optical surveys out to z 8(Bouwenset al., 2009). The two curves indicate the SFRD measured directly from star-light⇠ (blue) and after correction for estimated dust content (tan), where the latter is extrapolated from the rest-frame ultraviolet slope of galaxies. Note that direct dust observations of the SFRD currently only extend to z 2 4. While much work has been done on the history of star formation, there has been⇠ relatively little work done on the history of the Universe’s gas content, shown at right. Observational constraints on the molecular gas content of galaxies the fuel for star formation are far from complete, and models are not in clear agreement as to what the redshift evolution of the gas content should resemble. Figure adapted from Carilli & Walter (2013). earliest epochs of galaxy formation.
2Motivation
Deep, legacy optical surveys of the Universe have laid down a framework for our understanding of the formation of galaxies at early times. They have indicated that galaxies were forming stars at rates hundreds of times higher at z 2 than in the present day. This is the epoch where the ⇠ star formation rate density (SFRD) peaks, and at earlier times, very deep surveys attempt to learn when galaxies first became illuminated (see Figure 2 for a depiction of the redshift evolution of the SFRD from optical surveys). However, at redshifts beyond z 1.5, the measurements which constrain this ⇠ understanding have largely been limited to optical and near-infrared pencil- beam surveys of direct starlight, thus limited in dynamic range, accessible volume, and to galaxies readily visible via their direct emission from stars. This, despite the fact that half of all energy emitted by extragalactic sources is obscured and emitted by dust or gas at much longer wavelengths. The submillimeter and radio long-wavelength regime tell a crucial part of the galaxy evolution story, but they have been largely set aside by a large fraction of the galaxy evolution community in past decades due to limita- tions in long-wavelength instrumentation and sensitivity. Yet recent years have seen a dramatic increase in our understanding of galaxy evolution from a bolometric point of view, from both dust and gas emission, thanks to fa-
6 cilities like the Very Large Array (VLA), Scuba on the JCMT, the Herschel Space Observatory, IRAM’s Plateau de Bure Interferometer (PdBI), and the Atacama Large Millimeter Array (ALMA). Here we present the argument that the next few decades will see a significant shift in galaxy evolution work away from the rest-frame optical/UV and towards long-wavelength studies. The ngVLA will play a critical part in defining what we will be able to learn about galaxy assembly and large scale structure. Cold molecular gas is the most fundamental building block for star for- mation, yet the Universe’s molecular gas content is very poorly understood relative to its measured stellar content (Figure 2). Solving the existing mys- teries of how the Universe’s stars assembled requires a detailed look at such a fundamental building block. Cosmological simulations are now making detailed predictions as to how this gas migrates, heats, cools, and enters and leaves galaxies via accretion and feedback mechanisms. While these simulations represent a huge leap forward in theoretical modeling, these pre- dictions have yet to be tested through direct observation of the molecular gas at high-redshift. In addition to the much needed molecular gas census at high-redshift, the galaxy evolution community also needs a more detailed understanding of how galaxies in the distant Universe may be fundamentally di↵erent physi- cally than those in the low-redshift Universe. Dynamics play a key role in the distinction. While high-redshift galaxies seem to be substantially di↵er- ent from nearby galaxies in terms of their star formation rates and stellar mass characteristics (Noeske et al., 2007; Daddi et al., 2008), it is unclear whether or not these di↵erences are driven primarily by cosmic downsizing associated with the di↵erent conditions of the intergalactic medium (Cowie & Songaila, 1986), or if the galaxies grow in fundamentally di↵erent ways at high-redshift. Probing the internal kinematics through rest-frame millime- ter molecular lines gets to the heart of this debate, but to-date, has only been done for a handful of galaxies beyond z>2.
3ColdGasEmission
Cold molecular gas is the fuel which powers star formation, the production of metals, the formation of stellar byproducts, and therefore galaxy growth. The bulk of the Universe’s cold gas reservoir is comprised of hydrogen gas in the form of atomic hydrogen, Hi, and molecular hydrogen, H2, the latter of which is responsible for star formation in cold, condensed molecular clouds. Though H2 is not directly observable under normal circumstances, CO gas
7 is typically used as a proxy given that its particularly bright transitions are tightly correlated with the ambient density of molecular hydrogen. This section discusses the primary goals of ngVLA science as they relate to cold gas at high-redshift, through observations of CO and tracers of denser gas phases.
3.1 CO Transitions of carbon monoxide are particularly bright due to CO’s low criti- cal density, making it the easiest molecule to detect in high-redshift galaxies. Indeed, the vast majority of the few hundred molecular line detections in the high-redshift Universe have been of CO (see more in reviews of Solomon & Vanden Bout, 2005; Carilli & Walter, 2013). Due to frequency shifting at su ciently high-redshift, millimeter-operating facilities like IRAM’s PdBI, CARMA and ALMA can only observe the higher-J transitions of CO. The lower-J transitions, including the ground state CO(1-0) transition, are only accessible to longer wavelength radio observatories like the VLA. See Fig- ure 3.1 for an illustration of this problem for surveying CO (particularly low-J CO) at high-redshift. While high-J lines are useful for confirming the existence of galaxies’ molecular gas reservoirs, higher-J CO transitions alone cannot constrain the total molecular gas reservoir, which requires two significantly uncertain con- versions. The first is the conversion of high-J CO line strength to the ground state CO(1-0) line strength. This conversion requires knowledge of internal gas temperature and excitation, which might vary substantially in di↵erent regions of the galaxy by up to factors of five, and even between the relatively low-J transitions from CO(3-2) to CO(1-0). The second uncertainty is the CO–H2 conversion factor, XCO or ↵CO, which is required to convert from CO(1-0) to the mass of molecular hydrogen. This conversion varies by up to a factor of five depending on the conditions of the gas in the ISM, including metallicity. The uncertainties involved in scaling high-J CO transitions to molecular gas mass are illustrated in Figure 3.1, which shows both the diversity of CO spectral line energy distributions (SLEDs) amongst high-redshift galaxies and the existing constraints on the CO–H2 conversion factor amongst high- redshift galaxy populations. When all uncertainties are accounted for, high- J CO-derived gas masses are uncertain by factors of 25, an uncertainty ⇠ far too large to precisely measure important quantities like galaxies’ gas fractions. Due to the uncertainties involved with converting high-J CO lines to gas
8 ALMA Bands CO(8-7) CO(7-6) CO(6-5) CO(5-4) 100 CO(4-3) CO(3-2)
CO(2-1)
CO(1-0)
5:1 3:1 Observed Frequency [GHz] 10 NGVLA
0 2 4 6 8 REDSHIFT
Figure 2: The observed frequencies of various transitions of CO from z =0toz =8. While the ALMA bands are sensitive to many transitions of CO at low redshift, the low-J CO lines redshift out of the bands beyond z 0.5 2. These low-J CO lines are critical for characterization of the total molecular gas⇠ reservoir in high-z galaxies and are only currently accessible for high-redshift galaxies using the VLA (lower gray region plus gray hashed). The blue regions represent ALMA bands, and the blue hashed region represents the hypothetical ALMA band 0). The gray region indicates the ngVLA with a frequency coverage of 5–100GHz, with a gap around the 59–75GHz water band. The gray hashed region represents the reach capabilities for ngVLA at low frequencies. With the advent of very wide-bandwidth setups for the ngVLA, we will be able to obtain multiple CO transitions for galaxies beyond z 3.5 in one correlator setup, which will be revolutionary for studying dust and gas in very⇠ high-redshift galaxies.
9 Figure 3: An illustration of the diversity in CO spectral line energy distributions (SLEDs) for high-redshift galaxies (top) and existing constraints on the XCO (or ↵CO) conversion factor used to convert CO line luminosity to molecular hydrogen gas mass (bottom). The uncertainty in scaling from high-J CO lines to CO(1-0) luminosity is a fac- tor of 5 (from CO(3-2), and more at higher-J transitions), and the uncertainty in XCO is similar,⇠ meaning gas masses derived from high-J transitions of CO alone will necessarily be uncertain by factors of 25. This margin of uncertainty is astrophysically important quantities for understanding⇠ galaxy evolution like gas fraction and total gas mass. the uncertainty is likely even larger for the lower mass galaxies which ngVLA will readily study out to moderate redshifts, and for which we have the most to learn about basic gas content characteristics and interplay with the ISM.
10 masses, recent work has focused on using dust continuum measurements to scale to gas masses (Magdis et al., 2011, 2012; Scoville et al., 2014; Santini et al., 2014). However, this technique typically assumes that the dust-to- gas ratio is fixed across a wide range of galaxies and redshifts, which has been shown to be a poor assumption in some cases (R´emy-Ruyer et al., 2014; Capak et al., 2015). In particular, the dust-to-gas ratio is known to depend strongly on metallicity (e.g., Issa, MacLaren & Wolfendale, 1990; Lisenfeld & Ferrara, 1998; Draine et al., 2007). Furthermore, the important kinematic signatures that come along with molecular line measurements are absent from dust continuum measurements. The ideal probe of the cold molecular gas reservoir is the ground state transition of CO, CO(1-0), where the scaling to molecular hydrogen mass has only the uncertainty in XCO with which to contend. Furthermore, con- straining XCO more precisely in high-z galaxies is possible with constraints on dynamical mass and stellar mass, which reduces the uncertainty on gas mass further. The JVLA, GBT, and ATCA have detected CO(1-0) in a number of high redshift starburst galaxies, albeit a few at a time with long integrations (Ivison et al., 2011; Hodge et al., 2012; Papadopoulos et al., 2012; Greve et al., 2014; Emonts et al., 2014). These initial detections of CO(1-0) at high-redshift have not only constrained the total molecular gas mass of hydrogen in these high-z systems, but also highlighted the impor- tance of understanding the spatial distribution of gas in distant galaxies. While the submillimeter-luminous galaxy population, i.e. dusty star forming galaxies (DSFGs) have been found to be relatively compact in high- J transitions (Tacconi et al., 2008; Bothwell et al., 2010), consistent with the idea that they are scaled-up analogs to local ULIRGs (Sanders & Mirabel, 1996), their CO(1-0) maps are dramatically di↵erent, showing gas extending as far as 16 kpc from the galaxy centers (Ivison et al., 2011; Spilker et al., 2015). Studies of high-redshift proto-cluster radio galaxies even revealed bright CO(1-0) reservoirs out to distances of 60 kpc from the central galaxy ⇠ (Emonts et al., 2014). While these larger sizes are more suggestive of disk- like rotation dynamics and widespread molecular gas reservoirs in the halo environment of massive galaxies, the number of galaxies surveyed at the current VLA sensitivity makes it di cult to infer large-scale population dynamics or draw comparisons between low-z and high-z galaxy populations. The ngVLA is desperately needed to dramatically increase the number of galaxies surveyed in CO(1-0) at high-redshift by factors in the thousands, in line with what is currently observed from high-redshift galaxies via di- rect starlight. Figure 3.1 illustrates the anticipated improvement in ngVLA sensitivity over the current VLA and ALMA depths across 10–120 GHz.
11 Example CO-line emission in z=5 galaxy with SFR=30Msun/yr RMS reached after 1 hour, 300km/s resolution with NGVLA core (5xVLA collecting area) 150 Jy) µ
ALMA
100 CO(5-4) Current VLA CO(4-3)
CO(3-2) 50 CO(2-1) NGVLA
Flux Density Sensitivity Limit ( NGVLA CO(1-0)
0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Frequency (GHz)
Figure 4: The projected sensitivity limits of the proposed ngVLA core, which will have five times the e↵ective collecting area of the current VLA. This plot also shows the sensitivity limits of ALMA alongside the current VLA and projected ngVLA as a function of frequency (the gap from 50–75 GHz is due to atmosphere). Overplotted are the anticipated CO line strengths, from CO(1-0) to CO(5-4) of a typical z =5galaxy 1 (with SFR=30 M yr ). This type of galaxy is currently well below the detection limit of existing facilities, including ALMA, yet is crucial for understanding the star forming budget of the Universe’s first galaxies.
12 Figure 5: A schematic of the field of view and spectroscopic line identifications for a single ngVLA pointing tuned to ⌫=11-33 GHz (midpoint of log(⌫)at19GHz)withatotal 1 3:1 RF bandwidth and 10 µJy beam RMS. The field of view is primarily dependent on dish diameter. From the perspective of mapping large regions of the Universe in CO, a dish size of 12m is clearly favored. The field of view also then depends on frequency and redshift; here we denote the lowest frequencies with the pink circles (corresponding to the frequency where we would detect CO(1-0) at z =9.5), and higher frequencies in yellow (CO(1-0) at z =6.5), green (z =4.5), and blue (z =2.5). Mock sources in three redshift bins (2.5
3.2 A molecular gas deep field To demonstrate the dramatic impact of ngVLA on detection rates of CO(1- 0) in high-z samples, we have generated a mock observation with a 3:1 bandwidth ratio tuned to 11–33 GHz. This frequency range will pick up the CO(1-0) transition from 2.5