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Demographics and Development in the 21 Century Initiative Technical
Demographics and Development in the 21st Century Initiative Technical Background Paper How Demographic Change Affects Development By Rachel Nugent and Barbara Seligman Abstract Demographics are of key importance to development, but this link is often ignored. Debates about population policy are stirring, with columnists and academics arguing about what lies ahead if global population challenges aren’t actively integrated into policy and planning processes. Population—the study of people using the tool of demography—is now appearing across development discourse, with policy implications that reach far beyond family planning and reproductive health. Population IS undeniably important—but how, for whom, and with what consequences is a complex story. Two things are certain: 1. Population issues in the 21st century are different from those in the last century. 2. With the development world midway through an uncertain effort to reach the Millennium Development Goals by 2015, population issues will be central to the success or failure of six of the eight goals. CGD has launched an initiative to examine the role of population in development that, through a series of lectures, will recast the current development agenda to include the broad implications of demographic change. This paper presents an overview of the impact that demographic changes will have on development over the first half of the 21st century by taking a close look at three demographic trends: fertility, mortality, and immigration; and examining how these will touch policy issues including poverty, public finance and infrastructure, and climate change. The Center for Global Development is an independent, nonprofit policy research organization that is dedicated to reducing global poverty and inequality and to making globalization work for the poor. -
Participatory Research with Cambodian Refugee Women After Repatriation
University of Massachusetts Amherst ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst Doctoral Dissertations 1896 - February 2014 1-1-1997 Whose oppression is this? : participatory research with Cambodian refugee women after repatriation. Phyllis Robinson University of Massachusetts Amherst Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.umass.edu/dissertations_1 Recommended Citation Robinson, Phyllis, "Whose oppression is this? : participatory research with Cambodian refugee women after repatriation." (1997). Doctoral Dissertations 1896 - February 2014. 2303. https://scholarworks.umass.edu/dissertations_1/2303 This Open Access Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst. It has been accepted for inclusion in Doctoral Dissertations 1896 - February 2014 by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst. For more information, please contact [email protected]. WHOSE OPPRESSION IS THIS? PARTICIPATORY RESEARCH WITH CAMBODIAN REFUGEE WOMEN AFTER REPATRIATION A Dissertation Presented by PHYLLIS ROBINSON Submitted to the Graduate School of the University of Massachusetts Amherst in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF EDUCATION May 1997 School of Education Copyright 1997 by Phyllis Robinson All Rights Reserved WHOSE OPPRESSION IS THIS? PARTICIPATORY RESEARCH WITH CAMBODIAN REFUGEE WOMEN AFTER REPATRIATION A Dissertation Presented by PHYLLIS ROBINSON Approved as to style and content by: ACKNOWLEDGMENTS As I reflect on the embracing sense of community and empowerment that I experienced during my time at the Center for International Education (CIE) , I wish to express deep gratitude for the professors, staff and fellow students who made it possible. In particular, I want thank my long-time advisor and the chair of my dissertation committee, Bob Miltz. Throughout these six years his grounding in tangible field experience, coupled with patient guidance and care, has made this sometimes arduous undertaking not only bearable but uplifting. -
A Farewell to Alms
A Farewell to Alms: A Brief Economic History of the World Draft, 1 October 2006 Forthcoming, Princeton University Press, 2007 He is a benefactor of mankind who contracts the great rules of life into short sentences, that may be easily impressed on the memory, and so recur habitually to the mind --Samuel Johnson Gregory Clark University of California Davis, CA 95616 ([email protected]) 1. Introduction…………………………………….. 1-13 The Malthusian Trap: Economic Life to 1800 2. The Logic of the Malthusian Economy…………. 15-39 3. Material Living Standards……………………….. 40-76 4. Fertility………………………………………….. 78-99 5. Mortality………………………………………… 100-131 6. Malthus and Darwin: Survival of the Richest……. 132-152 7. Technological Advance…………………………..153-179 8. Preference Changes………………………………180-207 The Industrial Revolution 9. Modern Growth: the Wealth of Nations………… 208-227 10. The Problem of the Industrial Revolution……….. 228-256 11. The Industrial Revolution in Britain, 1760-1860…. 257-293 12 Social Consequences of the Industrial Revolution.. 294-330 The Great Divergence 13. The Great Divergence: World Growth since 1800.. 331-364 14. The Proximate Sources of Divergence…………... 365-394 15. Why Isn’t the Whole World Developed?.................. 395-420 16. Conclusion: Strange New World………………… 421-422 Technical Appendix……………………………... 423-427 References……………………………………….. 428-451 ii 1 Introduction The basic outline of world economic history is surprisingly simple. Indeed it can be summarized in one diagram: figure 1.1. Before 1800 income per person – the food, clothing, heat, light, housing, and furnishings available per head - varied across socie- ties and epochs. But there was no upward trend. A simple but powerful mechanism explained in this book, the Malthusian Trap, kept incomes within a range narrow by modern standards. -
William Easterly's the Elusive Quest for Growth
The Elusive Quest for Growth Economists’ Adventures and Misadventures in the Tropics William Easterly The MIT Press Cambridge, Massachusetts London, England 0 2001 Massachusetts Institute of Technology All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from the publisher. Lyrics from ”God Bless the Child,” Arthur Herzog, Jr., Billie Holiday 0 1941, Edward B. Marks Music Company.Copyright renewed. Used by permission. All rights reserved. This book was set in Palatino by Asco Typesetters, Hong Kong, in ’3B2’ Printed and bound in the United States of America. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Easterly, William. The elusive quest for growth :economists’ adventures and misadventures in the tropics /William Easterly. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-262-05065-X (hc. :alk. paper) 1. Poor-Developing countries. 2. Poverty-Developing countries. 3. Developing countries-Economic policy. I. Title. HC59.72.P6 E172001 338.9’009172’4-dc21 00-068382 To Debbie, Rachel, Caleb, and Grace This Page Intentionally Left Blank Contents Acknowledgments ix Prologue: The Quest xi I Why Growth Matters 1 1 To Help the Poor 5 Intermezzo: In Search of a River 16 I1 Panaceas That Failed 21 2 Aid for Investment 25 Zntermezzo: Parmila 45 3 Solow’s Surprise: Investment Is Not the Key to Growth 47 Intermezzo: DryCornstalks 70 4 Educated for What? 71 Intermezzo: Withouta -
English Selection 2018
ISSN 2409-2274 NATIONAL RESEARCH UNIVERSITY HIGHER SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS ENGLISH SELECTION 2018 CONTENTS HERBERT SPENCER: THE UNRECOGNIZED FATHER OF THE THEORY OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION ANATOLY VISHNEVSKY RETHINKING THE CONTEMPORARY HISTORY OF FERTILITY: FAMILY, STATE, AND THE WORLD SYSTEM MIKHAIL KLUPT GENERATIONAL ACCOUNTS AND DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND IN RUSSIA MIKHAIL DENISENKO, VLADIMIR KOZLOV CITIES OF OVER A MILLION PEOPLE ON THE MORTALITY MAP OF RUSSIA ALEKSEI SHCHUR ARMENIANS OF RUSSIA: GEO-DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS OF THE PAST, MODERN REALITIES AND PROSPECTS SERGEI SUSHCHIY AN EVALUATION OF THE PREVALENCE OF MALIGNANT NEOPLASMS IN RUSSIA USING INCIDENCE-MORTALITY MODEL RUSTAM TURSUN-ZADE • DEMOGRAPHIC REVIEW • EDITORIAL BOARD: INTERNATIONAL EDITORIAL COUNCIL: E. ANDREEV V. MUKOMEL B. ANDERSON (USA) T. MALEVA M. DENISSENKO L. OVCHAROVA O. GAGAUZ (Moldova) F. MESLÉ (France) V. ELIZAROV P. POLIAN I. ELISEEVA B. MIRONOV S. IVANOV A. PYANKOVA Z. ZAYONCHKOVSKAYA S. NIKITINA A. IVANOVA M. SAVOSKUL N. ZUBAREVICH Z. PAVLIK (Czech Republic) I. KALABIKHINA S. TIMONIN V. IONTSEV V. STANKUNIENE (Lithuania) M. KLUPT A. TREIVISCH E. LIBANOVA (Ukraine) M. TOLTS (Israel) A. MIKHEYEVA A. VISHNEVSKY M. LIVI BACCI (Italy) V. SHKOLNIKOV (Germany) N. MKRTCHYAN V. VLASOV T. MAKSIMOVA S. SCHERBOV (Austria) S. ZAKHAROV EDITORIAL OFFICE: Editor-in-Chief - Anatoly G. VISHNEVSKY Deputy Editor-in-Chief - Sergey A. TIMONIN Deputy Editor-in-Chief - Nikita V. MKRTCHYAN Managing Editor – Anastasia I. PYANKOVA Proofreader - Natalia S. ZHULEVA Design and Making-up - Kirill V. RESHETNIKOV English translation – Christopher SCHMICH The journal is registered on October 13, 2016 in the Federal Service for Supervision of Communications, Information Technology, and Mass Media. Certificate of Mass Media Registration ЭЛ № ФС77-67362. -
Economic Uncertainty and Family Dynamics in Europe: Introduction
Demographic Research a free, expedited, online journal of peer-reviewed research and commentary in the population sciences published by the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research Konrad-Zuse Str. 1, D-18057 Rostock · GERMANY www.demographic-research.org DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH VOLUME 27, ARTICLE 28, PAGES 835-852 PUBLISHED 20 DECEMBER 2012 http://www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol27/28/ DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2012.27.28 Research Article Economic uncertainty and family dynamics in Europe: Introduction Michaela Kreyenfeld Gunnar Andersson Ariane Pailhé © 2012 Kreyenfeld, Andersson & Pailhé. This open-access work is published under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 2.0 Germany, which permits use, reproduction & distribution in any medium for non-commercial purposes, provided the original author(s) and source are given credit. See http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.0/de/ Table of Contents Contributions to the Special Collection on Economic Uncertainty and 836 Family Dynamics in Europe 1 Background 837 2 Historical perspectives on economic conditions and family dynamics 837 3 Economic uncertainty and fertility during the 20th century 838 4 Is economic uncertainty a major cause of fertility change in the new 842 millennium? 5 Different uncertainties, different contexts 843 6 Review of contributions to the special collection 844 7 Conclusions 847 8 Acknowledgements 849 References 850 Demographic Research: Volume 27, Article 28 Research Article Economic uncertainty and family dynamics in Europe: Introduction Michaela Kreyenfeld1 Gunnar Andersson2 Ariane Pailhé3 Abstract Background Economic uncertainty has become an increasingly important factor in explanations of declining fertility and postponed family formation across Europe. Yet the micro-level evidence on this topic is still limited. -
Topics in Macroeconomics
TOPICS IN MACROECONOMICS Summary of selected topics from University of Washington course ECON 301 taught Fall 2016 by graduate student Mishita Mehra (MXM) compiled by Michael C. McGoodwin (MCM). Content last updated 2/6/2017 Table of Contents INTRODUCTION AND PRELIMINARIES .................................................................................... 3 Textbook ...................................................................................................................................... 3 Course Catalog Description ........................................................................................................... 3 Resources and Links for Macroeconomics ..................................................................................... 4 Textbook Chapters and Assigned Readings .................................................................................... 4 Course Files Reviewed .................................................................................................................. 5 TOPICS of Interest ..................................................................................................................... 6 A .............................................................................................................................................................. 6 Arbitrage: Riskless and Risky ........................................................................................................ 6 B ............................................................................................................................................................. -
How Much Does Household Income Matter for Fertility Intentions in Bulgaria?
How Much Does Household Income Matter for Fertility Intentions in Bulgaria? Christoph Bühler Rostock, March 1, 2005 To be presented at the 2005 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Session ‘Change and Continuity in Fertility Preferences’ Philadelphia, April 2, 2005 Christoph Buehler Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research Konrad Zuse Str. 1 D-18057 Rostock, Germany Tel: +49 (0)381/2081-174 Fax: +49 (0)381/2081-474 E-mail: [email protected] Abstract Using data from the Bulgarian survey ‘The Impact of Social Capital and Coping Strategies on Reproduc- tive and Marital Behavior’ from 2002, the influence of households’ economic situations, measured by their monetary income and the share of income spent for food, on fertility intentions of individuals and couples is explored. The results show that men’s quantum related intentions to have a child and women’s tempo related reproductive plans are sensitive to the economic situations of their households. However, males and females from high-income households intend to postpone the birth of a first child. Higher levels of income and lower shares of income spent for food also increase the probability that both partners intend to have a second child in general. According to the timing of a second child however, a better economic situation of the household supports primarily males’ intentions to have this child soon. 2 1. Introduction Similar to other Central and Eastern European countries, Bulgaria went through a significant decline of fertility after the breakdown of the socialist regime in 1989. The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) decreased be- tween 1989 and 1997 from 1.90 to 1.09 and after a temporary increase it remains on a constant level of around 1.2 since 2000 (see figure 1a). -
Agenda, Volume 11, Number 1, 2004, Pages 3-20
Agenda, Volume 11, Number 1, 2004, pages 3-20 Ageing Economics: Human Capital, Productivity and Fertility Creina Day and Steve Dowrick long with many other advanced economies, Australia faces an ageing population as a result of declining fertility over the last few decades and A increasing longevity. The OECD (2003:1) is sounding the alarm on the economic effects of ageing, predicting falling living standards unless remedial policy action is taken. If nothing is done quickly to extend working lives, living standards will fall in the course of the coming decades. We know, because of the ageing of our population, that there will be fewer and fewer persons of working age to support more and more older people. For the OECD as a whole, the dependence ratio of older people (i.e. those aged 65 and over as a proportion of those aged 20-64) will rise from the current figure of 22 per cent to 46 per cent in 2050. Given current policy commitments to government funding of pensions and health and aged-care, the ageing of the population over the next fifty years is predicted to increase demands on the public purses of OECD countries by, on average, between six and seven percent of GDP (OECD, 2001b). The demographic changes facing Australia are likely to be slightly less severe than the OECD average. This is partly because the fertility rate amongst Australian women has not fallen as low as it has in many European countries, and also because Australia runs a relatively large immigration program. Projections in the inaugural Intergenerational Report (Commonwealth of Australia, 2002) suggest that the most likely outcome is a doubling in the aged dependency ratio (defined as the population aged over 64 relative to the population aged 15-64) from 19 per cent to 40 per cent over the next forty years. -
Fertility and Prosperity: Links Between Demography and Economic Growth
F42.qxp 14.10.2008 16:06 Seite 1 42 ifo Forschungsberichte Fertility and Prosperity: Links Between Demography and Economic Growth by Martin Werding Sonja Munz Vera Gács Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Department of Social Policy and Labour Markets Fertility and Prosperity: Links Between Demography and Economic Growth by Martin Werding Sonja Munz Vera Gács Munich, October 2006 Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Department of Social Policy and Labour Markets Bibliografische Information Der Deutschen Bibliothek Die Deutsche Bibliothek verzeichnet diese Publikation in der Deutschen Nationalbibliografie; detaillierte bibliografische Daten sind im Internet über http://dnb.ddb.de abrufbar ISBN-13: 978-3-88512-477-1 ISBN-10: 978-3-88512-477-7 Alle Rechte, insbesondere das der Übersetzung in fremde Sprachen, vorbehalten. Ohne ausdrückliche Genehmigung des Verlags ist es auch nicht gestattet, dieses Buch oder Teile daraus auf photomechanischem Wege (Photokopie, Mikrokopie) oder auf andere Art zu vervielfältigen. © by ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München 2008 Druck: ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung im Internet: http://www.ifo.de Foreword The present study reports on results emerging from the research project «Fertility and Prosperity: Links between Demography and Growth» that was commissioned to the Ifo Institute by Deutscher Arbeitskreis für Familienhilfe e.V., Kirchzarten, in December 2003. The study adopts a two-stage research strategy, comprising (a) a broad-based econometric investigation regarding potential long-term consequences of demographic change for the economic performance in developed as well as developing countries and (b) a survey of fertility outcomes and family policies in a limited number of developed countries. -
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Colonial Origins and Fertility: Can the Market Overcome History?∗ David Canning Marie Christelle Mabeu Roland Pongou December 24, 2019 Abstract Can market incentives overcome the long-term impact of historical institutions? We address this question by focusing on the role of colonial reproductive laws in shaping fertility behavior in Africa. Exploiting the arbitrary division of ancestral ethnic homelands and the resulting discontinuity in institutions across the British- French colonial borders, we find that women in former British areas are more likely to delay sexual debut and marriage, and that they have fewer children. However, these effects disappear in areas with exogenously high market access, where the op- portunity cost of childbearing appears to be high irrespective of colonizer identity. They are only present in areas with low market access, where economic opportuni- ties are scarcer. This heterogeneous impact of colonial origins remarkably extends to various measures of local economic development and household welfare. Examin- ing causal mechanisms, we find that the fertility effect of colonial origins is directly linked to colonial reproductive laws and their impact on the use of modern meth- ods of birth control. We rule out the impact of British colonization on income and women's human capital as the primary channels through which its fertility effect operates. By uncovering novel findings on the heterogeneous nature of the colonial origins of comparative fertility behavior and economic development, our analysis implies that appropriately designed economic incentives can overcome the bonds of historical determinism. Keywords: Fertility, Colonial Origins, Colonial Reproductive Laws, Market Access, Economic Development, Human Capital, Historical Determinism, Africa. -
University of Gondar College of Social Sciences and the Humanities
University of Gondar College of Social Sciences and the Humanities Department of Social Anthropology Under Graduate Program in Social Anthropology Hand outs for the course Economic Anthropology (SoAn 2061) Chapter One 1. Definitions and Concepts 1.1. Economy, Economic System and Economics The terms economy and economics both derive from the two Ancient Greek words oikos(“house”, oikia, “family”) and nomos (“custom, rule, law”). Together they form oikonomiawhich can be translated literally as “rules of the household” or, more generally, as 1 “management of a household, administration”. Aristole used oikonomikéfor the discipline of leading of a household. Economy is a process of interaction between man and his environment, by which he obtains all necessary things in order to satisfy his needs. It is a complex of human activities which include producing, exchanging, distributing and consuming goods and services. These activities or the “part” of society that deals with production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services is called an economic system. Economics (earlier called political economy) was defined by the early economist and theoretician of capitalism Adam Smith (The Wealth of the Nations, 1776) as: “an inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations”. For him the three factors of production and the major contributors to the “nation’s wealth” were land, labour and capital. Economics today is understood as a social science that analyzes the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services. It examines how economic agents behave or interact and how do economies or economic systems work. Economics is subdivided into microeconomics (micro = small) and macroeconomics (macro = big).