Wrexham Local Development Plan

BP08a 2013 - 2028

housing open space employment community transport education

Housing Supply and Delivery (August 2019)

This leaŇ et is available in accessible formats Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Housing Supply and Deliverability

Contents

1.0 Introduction ...... 2 1.1 Purpose of the Document ...... 4 1.2 National Planning Policy and Relevant Evidence ...... 5 3.0 Components of the Housing Land Supply ...... 15 3.1 Sites ...... 18 Completed Sites ...... 18 Committed Sites ...... 19 S106 Sites ...... 22 LDP Allocations ...... 24 3.2 Allowances ...... 29 Windfalls ...... 29 Potential Sources of Windfall ...... 34 3.3 Summary of Components of Supply ...... 38 4.0 Delivering the Housing Supply ...... 41 Housing Supply Trajectory ...... 41 5 Year Housing Land Supply Calculation ...... 41 5.0 Affordable Housing and Viability ...... 45 6.0 Conclusions ...... 48 Appendix A – Update to Potential Windfalls from Site Assessment Process ...... 49 Appendix B – Detailed Housing Trajectory (Committed and Allocated Sites) ...... 56 Appendix C – Housing Trajectory and 5 Year Land Supply Calculations ...... 76 Appendix D – Housing Allocation Delivery Proformas ...... 78

1

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

1.0 Introduction

1.01 This is an update to the paper that was published with the Deposit LDP in April 2018.

1.02 It takes account of responses received during consultation on the Deposit LDP, including representations from Welsh Government (regarding the clarity of the components of the housing supply and their spatial distribution which were not addressed as part of the Focussed Changes consultation), the updated Planning Policy Wales Edition 10 (Dec 2018) and any other anomalies.

1.03 All changes are listed as follows:

 Section 1.2 – Planning Policy Wales: updated to reflect Edition 10.

 Para 2.0.3 – Reference to PPW Ed 10 inserted

 Para 3.06 - Correction to figure. 11.4% replaced with 11.8% to match the footnote.

 New Table 4a – LDP Housing Components by Settlement Tier 2013-2028 to reflect Welsh Government representations.

 New Para 3.0.7 – in relation to Table 4a.

 Para 3.1.5 – updated.

 Para 3.1.6 – Additional text referring to committed sites being included in trajectory.

 Para 3.1.9 – Reference to Tale 4 inserted for clarification purposes about delivery of allocated sites.

 Table 6 – Llay and Ruabon moved from Tier 3 to Tier 2 to reflect the changes to the settlement Hierarchy as set out in BP02b.

 Table 7 – Updated to highlight the number of units that could be built beyond the plan period on committed sites.

2

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

 Para 3.2.3 – Updated in reference to Table 10a and windfall completions by Tier.

 New Table 10a –to identify windfall completions by Settlement Tier.  Para 3.2.5 – Updated for clarification.

 Para 3.2.13 – Updated to reflect revisions to Table 13 – amendments to known sources of windfall following consultation on the Deposit LDP as set out in updated Appendix A.

 Table 13 – Updated to reflect amendments to known sources of windfall following consultation on the Deposit LDP as set out in updated Appendix A.

 Para 3.2.15 – Additional text added clarifying that the windfall allowance refers to both small and large sites.

 Para 3.2.16 – Updated to reflect Table 13 and Appendix A.

 Table 15 – Updated to reflect amendments to known sources of windfall following consultation on the Deposit LDP as set out in updated Appendix A.

 Table 17 - Updated to reflect amendments to known sources of windfall following consultation on the Deposit LDP as set out in updated Appendix A.

 Para 4.0.6 – Updated to reflect revised 5 year supply calculations.

 Table 18 –Refined to reflect Welsh Government representation.

 Chart 2 – Housing Trajectory: Refined to reflect Welsh Government representation.

 Para 4.0.8 – Updated to reflect revised 5 year land supply calculations

 Table 19 – Housing Land Supply in Years (2017 – 2028): Updated to reflect revised 5 year land supply calculations

3

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

 Appendix A – Potential Windfalls from Site Assessment Process: Updated to reflect latest evidence gathered from Deposit LDP consultation responses.

 Appendix B – Detailed Housing Trajectory: Reformatted and includes separate total rows for Commitments and Allocations by Settlement Tier.

 Appendix C– New Appendix C showing Housing Trajectory and 5 year land supply calculations.

 Appendix D – Previously Appendix C.

1.0.4 The Council is in the process of preparing the Local Development Plan (LDP) which will guide development in the County Borough between 2013 and 2028. The LDP will set out certain locations where new development, including housing and employment will be permitted, whilst also seeking to protect and enhance other areas from development. Once adopted, the LDP will form the basis of making decisions on individual planning applications in the County Borough.

1.0.5 This background paper is one of a range of papers prepared to support the Deposit LDP and provides further detail and context in relation to the Housing Land Supply and Deliverability. It justifies the approach towards the supply and delivery of housing land and demonstrates that it is effective and consistent with national policy. A separate paper has been produced on Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation1. Each background paper can be read in isolation or in conjunction with other background papers.

1.1 Purpose of the Document

1.1.1 The deliverability of the housing land supply is a key element of the LDP. In order to ensure that the allocated housing sites in the LDP are capable of development and can contribute to the delivery of the Strategy, sites have undergone stringent assessments2 to determine their ‘suitability’, and `deliverability’ over the Plan Period. In preparing the LDP, the Council has taken a significant number of sites into consideration, including, Urban Capacity Sites, Officer Sites, Candidate Sites submitted at the start of the plan preparation process and Alternative Sites submitted at Preferred

1 See Background Paper BP06 and BP06a. 2 See Background Papers BP04 and BP04a Candidate Site Assessment Papers 4

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Strategy3 stage. The Council has also accounted for the site representations received at pre-deposit stage.

1.1.2 This background paper therefore sets out to:

 Clarify the LDP Housing Requirement and overall Provision as identified in policy SP1 of the Deposit LDP;  Identify, explain and justify the components of the Housing Land Supply and demonstrate that sufficient land is genuinely available or will become available over the lifetime of the plan to meet the housing requirement and ensure the provision of a 5 year land supply on adoption of the LDP;  Provide a commentary on the housing allocations identified in the Deposit Plan via a site proforma approach which sets out what is required to deliver each allocation;  Provide a housing trajectory which clearly demonstrates the phasing and timing of the delivery of housing sites over the Plan period; and  Explain how affordable housing will be delivered.

1.2 National Planning Policy and Relevant Evidence

Planning Policy Wales (Edition 9, November 2016) 1.2.1 Paragraph 9.2.1 indicates that the level of housing provision proposed over a plan period must be considered in the context of viability and deliverability. This paper demonstrates how the housing supply over the plan period will be delivered to meet the housing requirement and considers viability in the context of affordable housing.

1.2.2 It is a requirement of national planning policy, as set out in paragraph 9.2.3, that local planning authorities ensure that there is a 5 year supply of land for housing. The sites included within this land supply must be free or readily freed from planning, physical and ownership constraints and be economically feasible for development.

Planning Policy Wales (Edition 10, December 2018) 1.2.3 Para 4.2.2 amongst other requirements, states that the planning system must focus on the delivery of the identified housing requirement and the related housing supply. Furthermore, it is indicated in para 4.2.10 that the proposed housing requirement in a development plan must be deliverable. It is the aim of this document to demonstrate the delivery of the housing requirement.

3 See KSD03 LDP 2013-2028 Preferred Strategy and KPD13 Preferred Strategy Consultation Report of Findings (Jan 2018) 5

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

1.2.4 As required by para 4.2.10, this paper includes a housing trajectory to demonstrate the delivery of the housing requirement. Site proformas, which include the necessary interventions and infrastructure requirements as suggested in para 4.2.11 are contained in Appendix C of this paper.

1.2.5 Planning Authorities must ensure that sufficient land is genuinely available or will become available to provide a 5 year supply of housing (para 4.2.15). This is set out in Table 19 and is evidenced by the information contained in the Housing Trajectory in Appendix B and the Site Allocation Delivery Proformas in Appendix C of this paper.

1.2.6 In accordance with para 4.2.19, financial viability must also be assessed in order to demonstrate deliverability of housing sites. A high level plan-wide viability appraisal is required to give certainty that the plan will deliver whilst also taking into account affordable housing targets, infrastructure and other policy requirements. Furthermore, a site specific viability appraisal must be undertaken for sites which are key to the delivery of the strategy. An update to the Affordable Housing Viability Assessment has been commissioned and the results of which are reflected in section 5.0 of this paper.

Technical Advice Note (TAN) 1: Joint Housing Land Availability Studies (2015)

1.2.7 The requirement to maintain a 5 year supply of readily developable housing land, as contained in paragraph 2.1, is a key planning policy requirement of the Welsh Government. Through the LDP process, enough land must be provided to allow for new home building that will ensure a 5 year land supply for housing is maintained.

1.2.8 It is highlighted in paragraph 2.3 that housing land availability needs to be soundly based on meeting the housing requirements, which requires an adopted LDP to be in place.

1.2.9 Paragraph 3.2 indicates that Housing land availability, and the need to demonstrate a five-year housing land supply, is a key part of the LDP examination process. Local planning authorities are required to demonstrate that there is a five-year housing land supply at the time the plan is adopted and the latest approved JHLAS can be used as an important piece of evidence. Whilst WCBC have not got an up to date approved JHLAS, the housing supply has been monitored on an annual

6

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

basis in order to inform the LDP and is available to view on the LDP Consultation Portal under the evidence base papers MRH01-MRH044.

Technical Advice Note (TAN) 2: Planning and Affordable Housing (2006)

1.2.10 Paragraph 3.2 indicates that local planning authorities (LPAs) include an affordable housing target in the development plan based upon the housing need identified in the local housing market assessment (LHMA). It further states that LPAs should indicate how this target will be achieved. 1.2.11 Paragraph 4.2 states that Local authorities should calculate affordability for each of the housing markets that may be operating in their area (and those of neighbouring authorities, if appropriate). It can then be used, along with other data from the development plan preparation process, to calculate the amount of affordable housing required from new build housing over the plan period (see tables 22 and 23 below).

1.2.12 It is highlighted in paragraph 8.1 that Local planning authorities should ensure that development plan policies are based on an up-to-date assessment of the full range of housing requirements across the plan area over the plan period. Paragraph 9.1 further indicates that development plans must include an authority-wide target (expressed as numbers of homes) for affordable housing to be provided through the planning system, based on the housing need identified in the LHMA (this is identified in section 5.0 below).

Wrexham Urban Potential Study (UPS, Entec, 2007):

1.2.13 An assessment of the Urban Capacity of Wrexham County Borough was produced by Entec in March 2007. This study looked at the capacity for residential development on undeveloped land and previously developed vacant land and buildings within all existing settlement limits within the County Borough, taking account of existing housing allocations and permissions as contained within the Joint Housing Land Availability Study at the time. It also included an assessment of viability issues along with phasing information. The study 5 concluded that there is a lack of brownfield land capacity within existing settlement limits to support future housing growth requirements.

1.2.14 The status of the potential sites identified as suitable for housing development in the Entec Report were reviewed and updated in 2013 and 2014, including the addition of further potential sites for assessment as a result of the call for sites that was undertaken in support of the pre deposit

4 https://wrexham-consult.objective.co.uk/portal/ldp_ebsd 5 Urban Capacity Study Sites Update (2015) 7

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

stages of the LDP6. The Urban Capacity Study updates7 continued to identify a shortage of suitable, available and deliverable brownfield sites within existing settlement limits. Whilst some of these brownfield sites may be developed as windfall sites over the plan period, the quantum of need cannot be met without considering the need for the release of greenfield sites currently on the edge of, but outside existing (UDP) settlement limits.

1.2.15 It has been necessary therefore for the LDP spatial strategy to bring forward greenfield sites on land adjoining existing settlements in the most sustainable locations8 to address the identified housing and employment land needs over the plan period.

PLEASE NOTE THE FOLLOWING SECTION MAY BE AFFECTED ONCE THE UPDATED VIABILITY STUDY IS COMPLETE

Joint Wrexham and Flintshire Local Housing Market Assessment, (March 2015) and Wrexham Update (December 2017)

1.2.16 The LDP spatial strategy has been informed and influenced by the Joint Local Housing Market Assessment (LHMA). The findings of the (LHMA) outline the key strategic issues that underpin the operation of Wrexham County Boroughs Housing Market Area. These include demographic changes, economic factors and the state of the housing stock and its relationship with the current and future population.

1.2.17 The LHMA confirmed that the Borough has a self-contained housing market.9 This means that on its own, it is considered an appropriate Housing Market Area for the purposes of the LDP policy making. The assessment identifies 5 local housing market areas across the County Borough, a map of which is provided below in figure 1.

1.2.18 The assessment demonstrated that there is a continuing need to provide affordable housing in the County Borough10, however delivering this need is partially compounded by the current lack of a wide range and choice of housing opportunities, viability in some parts of the County Borough and a reduced land supply situation due to the expiry of the Wrexham Unitary Development Plan (UDP) in 2011.

1.2.19 The LHMA identifies that households in need of affordable housing are evident across all parts of the County Borough and that there is a shortfall of provision in all 5 housing market areas. Analysis through the LHMA reveals that there is an annual shortfall of 157 affordable dwellings across

6 See Background Paper 4a (BP04a): Site Selection Methodology (January 2018) 7Urban Capacity Study Update 2013 http://wrexhamldp.wrexham.gov.uk 8 See Background Paper 2: Settlement Hierarchy and Development Potential (January 2018) 9 Local Housing Market Assessment – Contextual Report (August 2015) 10 Table 6.4, Joint Wrexham and Flintshire Local Housing Market Assessment, (March 2015) 8

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Wrexham County Borough. This would equate to 2355 (annual requirement x 15 year plan period) affordable dwellings over the lifetime of the Local Development Plan (LDP). The imbalance of affordable housing for each housing market area is shown in Table 1.

Table 1: Affordable Housing Need in each housing market sub area within the County Borough (source – Table B6:LHMA Update, 2017) Housing Market Affordable Need Sub 1 year 5 year Plan period Area South West 1 7 15 North East 8 41 120 South East 5 23 75 Western Border 77 387 1155 Wrexham 65 327 975 Total 157 785 2355

Figure 1: Wrexham Housing Market Areas (Source Wrexham HMA 2014 and 2017 update)

1.2.20 The strategy responds to this evidence by allocating sites capable of delivering affordable housing across a range of settlements within the County Borough (policy H1 of the Deposit LDP). There are also opportunities in the overall housing requirement for windfall sites to come 9

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

forward across the County Borough to further deliver affordable housing over the plan period, in line with policy H2 of the deposit plan. In addition, the plan also makes provision for affordable housing exception sites to come forward outside of, but adjoining existing settlements in order to further meet the need identified in the HMA (policy H3 of the Deposit LDP). Further information in relation to Affordable Housing provision and delivery is contained in section 5.0 of this paper.

1.2.21 Based on the allocations and the known windfall sites, the potential amount of affordable housing that could be delivered from these sources of supply are estimated in Tables 22 and 23. This information has been put together to indicate the maximum levels of affordable housing that could be derived from the proposed site allocations using the evidence in the Affordable Housing Viability assessment (2018, further details in relation to which are contained in section 5.0 below). Clearly there could be an element of negotiation on a site by site basis and upon considering the requirements of other S106 contributions, details of which are provided in the Site Proformas in Appendix C.

Joint Wrexham and Flintshire Affordable Housing and Community Infrastructure Levy Viability Assessment (2014) and Wrexham Affordable Housing Viability Update (January 2018)

1.2.22 Key to the delivery of affordable housing in the County Borough is the consideration and understanding of the viability of an area. The Joint Wrexham and Flintshire Affordable Housing and Community Infrastructure Levy Viability Assessment (November 2014)11 was prepared to assist in the setting of affordable housing targets and thresholds and identify the headroom for a potential CIL charge across the range of different use classes within the County Borough. This study was updated and completed in January 2018 for Wrexham only. The updated study seeks to establish maximising affordable housing provision in setting policy in the development plan. The LPA are likely to pursue a CIL but this will be following the adoption of the LDP.

1.2.23 This evidence has informed the settlement hierarchy12 to give a broad, strategic indication of viability levels within settlements which has a knock on effect on the ability of an area to deliver development and associated planning gain. The study also recognises that varying development density and location, amongst a range of other factors can have an effect on viability. The assessment uses post code analysis to group together areas with similar house prices and uses a Residual Valuation (RV) methodology to assess viability on a notional 1ha site as part of a high

11 Joint Wrexham and Flintshire Affordable Housing and Community Infrastructure Levy and Development Viability Assessment (November 2014) http://wrexhamldp.wrexham.gov.uk

12 Background Paper 2: Settlement Hierarchy and Development Potential (February 2016) http://wrexhamldp.wrexham.gov.uk 10

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

level testing framework. The assessment also looks at small sites (of 1 – 9 dwellings) as well as at potential allocations in more detail to give a better understanding of policy thresholds. For the purposes of the policy (H2) in the LDP, the market viability areas are identified in Figure 2 below.

Figure 2 – Housing Market Viability Areas (Source: Wrexham Viability Study, 2014 and 2018 update)

1.2.24 This evidence has been used to inform the strategy in the LDP, alongside the evidence in the HMA to identify the potential number of affordable housing units that could be delivered via allocations in the plan and known large windfall, see section 5.0 and Tables 22 and 23 below.

PLEASE NOTE THE ABOVE SECTION MAY BE AFFECTED ONCE THE UPDATED VIABILITY STUDY IS COMPLETE

2.0 LDP Housing Requirement and Provision

2.0.1 The housing requirement for the Wrexham Local Development Plan has been established as 7750 units. This has been derived from the 2014 based Welsh Government Population and Household Projections (10 Year migration trend) published in September 2016 and March 2017 respectively. Further explanation in relation to this requirement is contained in Background Paper BP01b Population and Household

11

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Projections with Dwelling and Employment Impacts (www.wrexham.gov.uk/LDP).

2.0.2 It is acknowledged that the complexities of the development process bring about a degree of uncertainty and that not all of the sites will be delivered to the timescales specified. A flexibility allowance of 10% has therefore been added to the housing requirement to provide a contingency which will allow the plan to respond to economic challenges or any unforeseen circumstances that may arise. The inclusion of the contingency allowance increases the requirement figure by 775 dwellings taking the overall housing figure which the Plan needs to provide for to 8525 dwellings (7750 +775) as summarised in Table 2 below and as set out in Policy SP1 of the Deposit LDP.

Table 2 – LDP Housing Provision Housing Provision Components

Housing Requirement (policy H1) 7750

10% Flexibility Allowance 775

TOTAL HOUSING Provision 8525

Justification for 10% contingency

2.0.3 Test 3 of the Soundness Tests13 looks at whether the plan can actually deliver what it sets out to achieve. As part of this, the LDP is required to be reasonably flexible to enable changing circumstances to be adequately dealt with. PPW 14requires LDPs to make a locally appropriate flexibility allowance for sites not coming forward during the plan period.

2.0.4 The plan is not reliant on a single source of land, or on a limited number of sites to deliver the housing requirement over the plan period. The housing provision in the Plan comprises a number of components including site allocations as set out in policy H1, which will make a significant contribution towards the housing land requirement. Further details about the components of the housing supply are set out in section 3.0 below.

2.0.5 Planning for more than the minimum number of houses required provides a safeguard should these sites not come forward at the rate expected and is necessary for the Plan to be reasonably flexible and sound. A contingency allowance also provides a safeguard against any unforeseen problems affecting the delivery of allocated sites.

13 See Table 21 of the LDP Manual Ed 3, WG Nov 2018 14 Para 4.2.10, PPW Ed 10, WG Dec 2018 12

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

2.0.6 The Deposit LDP housing provision figures incorporate a contingency allowance of 775 which equates to 10% of the total housing requirement for the Plan period. A 10% allowance is generally accepted as a reasonable contingency provision in LDP’s and is the figure incorporated in most adopted LDP’s. However the figure can be varied depending on local circumstances, and alternative contingency figures, both higher and lower than 10% have been accepted in some LDP’s.

2.0.7 A contingency figure of 10% was used by the Authority in the previous Development Plan for Wrexham, the Unitary Development Plan (UDP), adopted in February 2005. The 10% flexibility allowance used ensured that the UDP delivered its total housing requirement within the Plan period. The requirement over the Plan period was for 5643 new dwellings or 376 new dwellings per annum. A 10% slippage allowance was added to this and provision was made in the UDP for 5775 (5643 + 564) dwellings. In reality the requirement was built out some three years before the end of the Plan period in 2007-2008 as highlighted in Table 3 below. The actual provision compared to the requirement over the UDP plan period varied considerably on an annual basis from 1% to 151%. Overall by the end of the UDP period the dwellings delivered exceeded the requirement by 20%. It could therefore be argued that the Plan could have delivered its requirement without the 10% slippage allowance. In the light of the above, and the information obtained from developers & landowners regarding the deliverability of the LDP allocated sites, it is therefore considered, that our local circumstances, as evidenced by the performance of the UDP, that a contingency of 10% is reasonable and justifiable.

Table 3 – UDP Housing Requirement and Completions Year Actual Cumulative UDP Annual Cumulative Difference % Provision Annual Requirement* UDP Annual Difference Provision Requirement 96-97 403 403 377 377 26 7 97-98 401 804 377 754 24 6 98-99 438 1242 377 1131 61 16 99-00 418 1660 376 1507 42 11 00-01 544 2204 376 1883 168 45 01-02 515 2719 376 2259 139 37 02-03 351 3070 376 2635 -25 -7 03-04 431 3501 376 3011 55 15 04-05 381 3882 376 3387 5 1 05-06 438 4320 376 3763 62 16 06-07 945 5265 376 4139 569 151 07-08 606 5871 376 4515 230 61 08-09 453 6324 376 4891 77 20 09-10 243 6567 376 5267 -133 -35 10-11 305 6872 376 5643 -71 -19 13

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Total 6872 6872 5643 5643 1139 20 *Note: As 5643 does not divide equally by 15, the first 3 years have 377 dwellings per annum and the remaining years 376.

14

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

3.0 Components of the Housing Land Supply

3.0.1 This section identifies and explains how the various components of the housing land supply meet the overall housing requirement of the LDP over the plan period.

3.0.2 Provision is made in the Plan for 8525 dwellings over the plan period 2013-2028, which incorporates sufficient flexibility to meet the basic requirement of 7750 dwellings.

3.0.3 Given the housing supply as of 1st April 2017, the resulting number of new homes required to be allocated is 3376 –see policy SP1 and table 5.1 in the Deposit Local Development Plan.

3.0.4 The total number of units allocated in the LDP under policies SP4, SP5 and H1 equals 4919, of which 3519 are expected to be delivered over the plan period up to 2028. Although this is slightly above the 3376 units required to be allocated under policy SP1, these additional units (143) contribute to the flexibility allowance should some components of the supply not come forward as anticipated. It is estimated that the units allocated that fall outside of the plan period (2028) equates to 1400. This refers to some units on the Key Strategic Sites (KSS), 1300 on KSS1 and 100 on KSS2 (further details are provided in section 4.0 and Appendix B).

3.0.5 The housing supply comprises a number of different components and takes account of completions that have occurred since 1st April 2013, the base date of the plan up to 31st March 2017. The different components are set out in Table 4 below.

3.0.6 To meet the housing requirement figure of 7750 dwellings, the Deposit Plan makes provision for the delivery of 8668 dwellings within the Plan period (see table 4 below). In reality, this increased provision results in a contingency allowance which is slightly above 10%15 as set out in para 2.06. This further helps ensure that the LDP housing requirement can be delivered within the Plan period.

15 This would give a flexibility allowance of 11.8% - which is considered acceptable given historical evidence. 15

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Table 4 – LDP Housing Components (2013 – 2028)

Components Sub-components No. of dwellings

Sites Completed Sites (2013-2017) 977

Committed Large Sites (2017)16 1994

S106 Sites17 33

LDP Allocations deliverable 3519 within the plan period

Sub-total 6523

Allowances Large Windfall Sites18 1320

Small Windfall Sites19 825

Sub-total 2145

Total provision 8668

16 Total number of units on large sites as at 1st April 2017 which have permission or are under construction. 17 Total number of units pending S106 Agreement as at 1st April 2017 as referred to in the Housing Land Monitoring Statement (MRH04 - Wrexham Housing Monitoring Statement (Apr 2017)) and policy SP1 of the Deposit LDP. 18 Based on an allowance of 120 pa multiplied by the remaining plan period – 11 years. 19 Based on an allowance of 75 pa multiplied by the remaining plan period – 11 years.

16

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Table 4a – LDP Housing Components by Settlement Tier (2013 – 2028)

Components of Tier Tier Tier Tier Tier Other Total Housing Supply 1 2 3 4 5 A Total 361 187 343 71 14 1 977 Completions (Small and Large) 1st April 2013 to 31st March 2017 B Commitments 433 1152 328 81 0 0 1994 1st April 2017 (Deliverable over remaining plan period) C S106 at April 10 8 8 0 7 0 33 2017 D Housing 2262 789 389 79 0 0 3519 Allocations E* Large Windfall 319 510 466 20 5 0 1320 (120 pa X 11)* F* Small Windfall 151 316 204 115 31 8 825 (75 pa X 11)* G TOTAL Housing 3536 2962 1738 366 57 9 Provision H Overall Total 8668

3.0.7 Table 4a has been added to provide an overview of the components of the housing supply by Settlement Tier in accordance with a representation made by Welsh Government. The windfalls have been apportioned in line with the past windfall completion rates by Settlement Tier for the period 2007-2017 rounded to zero decimal places.

17

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

3.1 Sites

3.1.1 The sources of housing supply come from a mixture of elements including the number of dwellings completed since the base date of the plan, the number of dwellings that are already committed as at 1st April 2017, potential future windfalls and the sites allocated in the Deposit LDP. Each component is looked at in detail below: Completed Sites

3.1.2 Part of the supply comes from sites that have already been completed since the base date of the plan 1st April 2013 up to the last monitoring period 1st April 2017. These have come from a range of sources including:

 Large sites comprising 10 or more dwellings  Small sites comprising 9 units or less  Brownfield sites, including conversion schemes and changes of use resulting in net gain.  Greenfield sites  Sites within settlement limits  Sites outside settlement limits  UDP allocated sites  Windfall sites

3.1.3 A breakdown of the number of completions on the above sites between 2013 and 2017 is set out in Table 5 below:

Table 5 Breakdown of Completions 2013 - 2017 Completions 2013- 2014- 2015- 2016- TOTAL 2014 2015 2016 2017

Large 151 160 132 232 675 Small 64 75 67 96 302 Brownfield 188 218 171 295 879 Greenfield 27 17 28 33 105 Within 203 220 164 292 886 Settlement Outside 12 15 35 36 98 Settlement UDP 97 50 31 165 324 allocated Windfall 118 185 168 163 660 TOTAL 215 235 199 328 977

18

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Committed Sites

3.1.4 A number of sites have the benefit of planning permission and these also form one of the components of the supply. These come from both small and large sites 20and represent all sites which have a valid planning permission as at 1st April 2017 where development has either commenced or not yet started. The vast majority of these will be delivered over the next 5 years.

3.1.5 The Housing Land Monitoring Report 2017 21 details the sites and number of dwellings that are likely to be implemented in the next 5 years. The sites included within the 5 year supply have been through an independent scrutiny process including engagement with the developer industry and the Home Builders Federation. This helps to provide a relative degree of certainty for the delivery of these sites and their phasing over the 5 year period. The trajectory on the other hand provides a detailed breakdown of the delivery of all sites in the supply over the Plan period as summarised in section 4.0 and provided in more detail in Appendix B of this report.

3.1.6 Table 6 below provides a list of committed large sites as at 1st April 2017 identifying the total remaining number of units either under construction or not yet started and are included in the Housing Trajectory.

Table 6 – Committed (deliverable) Large Sites 1st April 2017 (Updated showing Llay and Ruabon in Tier 2, not Tier 3)

Tier Settlement Site Address Total Not Status Started or Under Construction 1st April 2017 1 Wrexham Town Former Ebeneser Chapel, 23 Full Chester Street, ACTON, Permission Wrexham Bentley Place, Rivulet 50 Under Road, CAIA PARK Construction Wrexham Bridge St / Cambrian Yard, 25* UDP Housing OFFA, Wrexham Allocation Former Red Cow and 23 - 22 Under 27 Pen y Bryn, OFFA, Construction Wrexham Western Gateway, Ruthin 69 Outline Road, OFFA, Wrexham Permission

20 Small sites comprise 9 dwellings or less. Large Sites comprise 10 dwellings or more. 21 See MRH04 – Housing Land Monitoring Report April 2017 on the evidence page of the LDP Consultation Portal www.wrexham.gov.uk/ldp 19

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Tier Settlement Site Address Total Not Status Started or Under Construction 1st April 2017 Land at Pen Y Bryn 24 Under Tenters Square, OFFA, Construction Wrexham CK1, 32 TO 36 Bridge 10 Full Street, OFFA, Wrexham Permission Former Brother Site, 79 Under Croesnewydd Road, Construction OFFA, Wrexham Regent House, Regent St, 24 Full RHOSDDU, Wrexham Permission 16 to 18 Grosvenor Road, 20 Under RHOSDDU, Wrexham Construction 3 to 9, Grosvenor Road, 60 Under RHOSDDU, Wrexham Construction Trinity House, Trinity 21 Full Street, RHOSDDU, Permission Wrexham North of Total Fitness, 6 Under Stansty Road, RHOSDDU, Construction Wrexham Sub Total 470 2 Acrefair/Cefn Land at Cae Ann Dolydd, 19 Under Mawr Cefn Construction Former Air Products Site, 232 Outline Llangollen Road, Acrefair Permission Park Road, Rhosymedre 30 Full Permission Gresford/Marford Quarry Brow, Pant Lane, 2 Under Gresford Construction Bryn y Groes, Chester 50 Under Road, Gresford Construction Gwersyllt Westminster Industrial 65 Outline Estate, Mold Road, Permission Gwersyllt South of Chestnut Court, 17 Under Summerhill Road, Construction Summerhill Boozey Field, Mold Road, 57 Outline Gwersyllt Permission Llay South of Miners Welfare 24 Outline Institute, Llay New Road, Permission 20

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Tier Settlement Site Address Total Not Status Started or Under Construction 1st April 2017 Llay Rhos/Johnstown Moreton Depot, Moreton 2 Under Ave, Johnstown Construction Former Ysgol Y Wern, Hill 12 Under Street, Rhos Construction New Foundry Buildings, 12 Full Gutter Hill, Johnstown Permission North Road, Ponciau 23 Outline Permission WCBC Car Park and Land 11 Full adjoining Bonc Wen, Permission Ponciau Former Hafod Tileries, 300 Outline Hafod Road/Bangor Road, Permission Johnstown Ruabon Wynnstay Hall (all 7 Under applications), Ruabon Construction Ruabon Business Park, 270 Outline Ruabon Permission Pont Adam Crescent 19 Outline Ruabon Permission Sub Total 1253 3 Broughton Land at School Lane, 11 Under Southsea Construction Gatewen Colliery, 11 Under Gatewen Rd, New Construction Broughton Brymbo Land off Queens Road, 4 Under Brymbo Construction Land off Blast Road, 17 Full Brymbo Permission Former Brymbo 25 Outline Steelworks Site, Blast Permission Road, Brymbo Former School Buildings, 13 Full High Street, Brymbo Permission Opposite Bryn Gwenfro, 70 Outline Tanyfron Permission Holt Wrexham Road, Holt 24 Outline Permission Rhostyllen Wrexham Rd, Rhostyllen 223 Legal Commenceme 21

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Tier Settlement Site Address Total Not Status Started or Under Construction 1st April 2017 nt Sub Total 447 4 Pentre Bychan Packsaddle Bank, Wrexham 11 Under Road, Pentre Bychan Construction Sub Total 11 TOTAL 1994

S106 Sites

3.1.7 As at 1st April 2017, 33 dwellings were awaiting S106 agreements to be signed off. These are included in the ‘Wrexham Housing Monitoring Statement, April 2017 (MRH04) and have been assumed to be deliverable within the next 5 years. They are included in the housing trajectory and are expected to be delivered between 2018 and 2023 at a rate of 7 dwellings per year for the first 4 years and 5 dwellings in the last 5 year period. Obviously this is likely to change and will be considered though the monitoring of future housing completions and supply.

Committed sites unlikely to be delivered

3.1.8 The sites and units which are unlikely to be delivered over the plan period together with the reasons for such are set out in Table 7 below.

Table 7 – No. Units unlikely to be delivered on large Committed Sites by 2028 Tier Settlement Address No. No. Reasons units units unlikely likely to to be be built built by 2028 + 2028

1 Wrexham Former 13 0 Council owned site Town Depot, allocated for development Crescent in UDP but unlikely to be Rd developed for some years Wrexham as currently provides long stay parking.

Rivulet Rd. 24 0 Site has pp and (adj. to N groundworks commenced Wales but abandoned. Unable to Motorcycle 22

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Tier Settlement Address No. No. Reasons units units unlikely likely to to be be built built by 2028 + 2028

s) locate owners.

2 Chirk Land off 85 0 Sloping site has Sycamore longstanding pp (1976). Drive, Chirk The 1976 permission commenced with groundworks but no further work. New application for revised layout refused & dismissed on appeal in 2015. Site has been marketed. But is unlikely to come forward over the LDP period.

Rhos/Johnsto Former 3 0 Developer advises wn Ysgol Y remaining 3 units unlikely to Wern, Hill be built due to ground Street, issues. Rhos

Moreton 13 0 Site with pp for 15 units. Depot, Two units in build but Moreton developer advises that Ave., remaining 13 units unlikely Johnstown to be built due to underlying issues that are preventing the site from progressing.

Ruabon Ruabon 49 49 Site has pp for 319 units as Business part of mixed use scheme. Park, adj. While site is being to A483, marketed, development Ruabon, may not commence within five years. Likely development rates will mean some dwellings (49) may not be built until after Plan period.

TOTAL 187 49

23

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

LDP Allocations

3.1.9 To ensure that the housing land supply meets the requirement for the plan period, the LDP allocates 4919 dwellings, of which 351922 are expected to be delivered within the plan period up to 2028. The number of units required to be allocated as set out in table 5.1, policy SP1 of the Deposit LDP is 3376.

3.1.10 These sites have been identified through detailed assessment as part of the Candidate Site Assessment process and Sustainability Appraisal and have also been informed by the Settlement Hierarchy. Further details about these processes can be found in Background Papers BP02b23 and BP04a24. The site allocations identified in policies SP4, SP5 and H1 in the Deposit LDP have come from either one of the following sources:

 Candidate Sites – Put forward by Land Owners, Developers and agents at the start of the LDP process.  Officer Sites – Sites identified by Officers of the Council.  Urban Capacity Sites - considering undeveloped, vacant, underused or disused sites within existing settlement limits across the County Borough.  Alternative Sites - Put forward by Land Owners, Developers and agents during consultation on the Preferred Strategy Stage of the LDP.

3.1.11 Each site has been thoroughly assessed to determine its suitability for allocation. This included assessment against the search sequence set out in National planning policy 25 for identifying housing allocations, its accordance with the LDP Spatial Strategy, a detailed site constraint assessment to determine the suitability for development and whether the site is deliverable. The allocations are predominantly located in the top 3 settlement tiers comprising the Primary Key Settlement of Wrexham, Key Settlements and Local Service Centres, with some development in tier 4, Minor Villages. Although site RR01AS lies adjacent to a Tier 4 Settlement – Rhosrobin, it also lies adjacent to Wrexham Town settlement and is considered to be a sustainable location with accessibility by non-car modes to Wrexham Town. Further details on this are contained in Background Paper 1026

22 See Table 4 of this paper. 23 Background Paper BP02b can be found on the evidence page of the LDP consultation portal www.wrexham.gov.uk/ldp 24 Background Paper BP04a can be found on the evidence page of the LDP consultation portal www.wrexham.gov.uk/ldp 25 Planning Policy Wales Paragraphs 9.2.8-9.2.9 (WG, Ed 9, Nov 2016) 26 See evidence page on LDP consultation portal www.wrexham.gov.uk/ldp 24

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

3.1.12 Landowners, developers and agents were also contacted in writing and asked for further details regarding the availability of each site, any known constraints, and the anticipated timescale and rate of development if the site was to be allocated. The evidence gathered from this exercise has helped to inform the site allocations and has been used to populate the housing development trajectory over the plan period as summarised in section 4.0 below and as detailed in Appendix B.

3.1.13 The allocations are a mix of greenfield and brownfield sites and are either located adjacent to existing settlement boundaries or lie within them. The Allocations are listed in Table 8 below, with the sites not being able to deliver all units over the plan period included in Table 9.

25

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Table 8 – LDP Housing Allocations (2013-2028) Tier Settlement Ref no. Location Total Area dph No. units No. (ha) to be delivered Units beyond Plan Plan Period Period

1 Wrexham KSS1 Lower Berse 200 68.65 22 1300 (WR20CS) Farm, Ruthin Road

KSS2 Land East of 1580 92.3 18 100 (WR04AS) & Cefn Road, (WR19CS (a)) Wrexham

H1 (WR03AS) Mold 375 21.67 17 0 Road/A483

H2 Jacques 36 0.57 63 0 (WXT019UCS) Scrapyard, Wrexham

H3 Crown 71 0.6 118 0 (WXT092NUCS) Buildings, Chester Road, Wrexham

Total 2262 183.79 20 1400

2 Acrefair/ H4 (A04CS) Rhosymedre 22 0.75 29 0 Infant Site, Cefn Mawr Off Hampden Way, Rhosymedre

H5 (A10CS) Land 51 1.44 35 0 Opposite Former Ruabon Works, Queen Street, Cefn Mawr

Chirk H6 (CH02OS) Land off 180 5.97 30 0 B5070, Chirk

Gwersyllt H7 Stansty 96 3.21 30 0 (GWE06CS) Fields,

26

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Tier Settlement Ref no. Location Total Area dph No. units No. (ha) to be delivered Units beyond Plan Plan Period Period

Stansty, Gwersyllt

H8 Mold Road, 15 1.23 12 0 (GWER003UC Gwersyllt S)

Llay H9 British 60 2.04 29 0 (LLAY001UCS Legion, Llay )

H10 (LL06AS) Land at 365 15.62 23 0 Home Farm, Llay

Total 789 30.26 26 0

3 Broughton H11 Land South 25 1.70 15 0 (BRO01OS) of Berse Road, Caego

H12 Land at 127 4.94 26 0 (BRO06CS) Gatewen Road, New Broughton

Holt H13 Land 35 1.72 20 0 (HOL07CS) Adjacent Sycamore House, Wrexham Road, Holt

Overton H14 Land off St 40 1.95 21 0 (O02OS/O07O Mary’s S) Avenue, Overton

Penley H15 Land at The 25 1.0 25 0 (PENL01CS) Grange, Penley

Rossett/ H16 (RO04AS Land North & 137 6.26 22 0 & R02OS) South, Rossett 27

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Tier Settlement Ref no. Location Total Area dph No. units No. (ha) to be delivered Units beyond Plan Plan Period Period

Lavister Road, Rossett

Total 389 17.57 22 0

4 Rhosrobin H17 Land at Llay 79 3.24 24 0 (RR001AS) New Road, Rhosrobin

Total 79 3.24 24 0

Overall Total 3519 234.86 21 1400

Table 9 - Units unlikely to be delivered on Allocated Housing Sites by 2028 Tier Settlement Ref Address Reasons No. units unlikely to be delivered by 2028

1 Wrexham

KSS2 Land east of Large site unlikely to be 100 (WR19CS(a)) Cefn Road, completed within Plan Wrexham period based on information from developer.

KSS1 Land at Need for highway 1300 (WR20CS) Lower Berse improvements will limit Farm, Ruthin number of dwellings able Road, to be constructed within Wrexham Plan period.

TOTAL 1400

Density

3.1.14 The number of units proposed on each LDP Housing Allocation is based upon information provided by Agents, Landowners and Developers at the 28

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

candidate site stage and/or in subsequent correspondence. While it is acknowledged that in some cases the densities differ from that referenced in Policy SP1, they reflect individual site constraints, e.g. areas that cannot be developed, mitigation requirements, education requirements or open space provision.

3.2 Allowances Windfalls

3.2.1 A significant proportion of the housing supply over the plan period will be from ‘Windfall’ sites. These are sites which become available for development unexpectedly and are not included as allocated land in the LDP.

3.2.2 A large proportion of the housing land supply has historically come from windfall sites and an allowance has been made for this trend to continue over the lifetime of the plan.

3.2.3 Table 10 below highlights the historic contribution from windfall developments on large and small sites to the overall housing land supply since 2001. This shows that a high proportion (69%) of the housing supply came from windfall sites between the period 2001 and 2017. Table 10a has been inserted to identify the windfall completions by settlement tier on small and large windfall sites. This has been included to enable assumptions to be made about the location of future windfalls as referred to in Table 4a.

Table 10 Windfall Contributions 2001-2017 Year Total No. Total No. of Windfall % Total of Units Units Complete Windfall Complete Total L S

April 01 - March 02 515 232 80 152 45

April 02 - March 03 351 182 87 95 52

April 03 - March 04 431 262 111 151 61

April 04 - March 05 381 291 123 168 76

April 05 - March 06 438 342 208 134 78

April 06 - March 07 945 587 392 195 62

April 07 - March 08 606 508 392 116 84

29

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Year Total No. Total No. of Windfall % Total of Units Units Complete Windfall Complete Total L S

April 08 - March 09 453 385 210 175 85

April 09 - March 10 243 217 112 105 89

April 10 - March 11 305 219 125 94 72

April 11 - March 12 433 327 250 77 76

April 12 - March 13 239 148 84 64 62

April 13 - March 14 215 118 54 64 55

April 14 - March 15 235 185 110 75 79

April 15 - March 16 199 168 101 67 84

April 16 - March 17 328 163 71 92 50

Total 01-17 6317 4334 2510 1824 69%

Table 10a Windfall Completions by Settlement Tier 2001-2017

Year Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Tier 5 Other

S L S L S L S L S L S L Total April 01 - March 02 12 40 45 26 28 3 45 11 22 0 0 0 232

April 02 - March 03 16 34 34 36 21 1 20 13 3 3 1 0 182

April 03 - March 04 24 0 37 63 34 46 28 1 13 1 15 0 262

April 04 - March 05 24 13 55 68 50 11 39 13 4 13 1 0 291

April 05 - March 06 10 140 65 56 37 0 12 10 6 2 4 0 342

April 06 - March 07 45 91 63 72 59 217 23 0 3 12 2 0 587

April 07 - March 08 11 70 53 145 29 177 16 0 6 0 1 0 508

April 08 - March 09 35 57 66 52 43 101 28 0 2 0 1 0 385

April 09 - March 10 30 14 41 62 26 26 8 10 0 0 0 0 217

30

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Year Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Tier 5 Other

S L S L S L S L S L S L Total April 10 - March 11 14 30 37 32 19 63 14 0 4 0 6 0 219

April 11 - March 12 20 38 37 163 14 49 4 0 2 0 0 0 327

April 12 - March 13 3 4 27 47 23 33 7 0 4 0 0 0 148

April 13 - March 14 14 10 11 16 23 22 15 6 1 0 0 0 118

April 14 - March 15 24 67 24 12 22 30 5 1 0 0 0 0 185

April 15 - March 16 16 43 23 21 7 22 19 6 11 0 0 0 168

April 16 - March 17 5 29 40 29 26 7 15 0 5 6 1 0 163

Total 01-17 303 680 658 900 461 808 298 71 86 37 32 0 4334

3.2.4 In considering the available figures for the UDP plan period, 2001 – 2011, (there is no data available for the period 1996-2001 – presumably because the UDP was in preparation), this identifies a supply of 69% from Windfall sites compared to the overall number of completions. Chart 1 clearly shows the contribution that windfalls have made to the UDP housing requirement between 2001 and 2011.

31

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Chart 1 – Contribution of windfalls sites 2001-2017 (UDP Period date up to 2011)

3.2.5 Table 11 shows the total number of windfalls completed together with their respective averages and percentages against the total number of completions for the previous 5, 10 and 15 years. The percentage of completions on windfall sites for the last 5, 10 and 15 year periods is 64, 75 and 71 respectively, with the average total number of windfalls for the same periods as 156, 244 and 273.

32

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Table 11 – 5, 10 and 15 year windfall averages and percentages 2002-2017 Year Total No. Total No. of % Windfalls Windfall Averages Years of Units Windfall Units Complete Complete

Total L S Total L S Total L S

April 12 - 1216 782 420 362 64 54 46 156 84 72 5 March 17

April 07 - 3256 2438 1509 929 75 62 38 244 151 93 10 March 17

April 02 - 5802 4102 2430 1672 71 59 41 273 162 111 15 March 17

3.2.6 Taking account of past trends, a windfall allowance has been made for 195 units per annum, comprising 120 units per annum on large sites and 75 units per annum on small sites for the remaining 11 years of the plan period (2017 – 2028). This acknowledges that past trends are unlikely to be replicated, and that there is not an endless supply of developable land in the right locations within settlement limits as evidenced by the urban capacity work27, which identified a lack of suitable sites within existing settlements to meet future housing requirements.

3.2.7 Taking the 10 year average, this figure provides a consistent measureable approach to the estimation of windfall trends over the plan period based on historic data, is consistent with the use of the 10 year migration trend figures used in the determination of the overall growth level for the plan and provides a robust and measurable comparison with the anticipated level of windfalls estimated, (based on evidence supported by the Urban Capacity Study (UCS) and known sources of windfall supply) over the remaining lifetime of the LDP (11 years).

3.2.8 These allowances account for unknown sites that may become available over the plan period such as the use of an existing building or land becoming vacant and proposed for residential development, small scale developments on undeveloped parcels of land within settlement limits, and barn conversion schemes. Other categories of potential windfall include; residential intensification, commercial redevelopment or residential redevelopment schemes. Where windfall contributions are anticipated, this is detailed in the section below.

27 See EBH01 WCBC Urban Housing Potential Study and BP04a Candidate Site Assessment Paper 33

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Potential Sources of Windfall

3.2.9 In order to further support the windfall allowances made for the Plan period, the potential sources of known windfall are identified and discussed below: Small Sites

3.2.10 As part of the Housing Land Availability Monitoring, the progress of small sites is also recorded. Small sites comprise 9 dwellings or less. The contribution that small sites will make over the next 5 years is calculated by averaging the number of dwellings completed on small sites over the last 5 years and multiplying by 5. The Housing Land Monitoring Report 2017 (MRH04) 28estimates the total contribution from small sites over the next 5 years as 366 dwellings.

3.2.11 The total number of units in the committed supply of small sites as at 1st April 2017 is 516 dwelling units. Table 12 below provides a list of committed small sites identifying the total remaining number of units either under construction or not yet started.

Table 12 - Committed Small Sites 1st April 2017 Tier Settlement Total Under Total Not Construction Started 1st April 2017 1st April 2017 1 Wrexham Town 52 78

2 Acrefair/Cefn Mawr 7 28 Chirk 2 4 Coedpoeth 2 17 Gresford/Marford 1 7 Gwersyllt 1 22 Llay 0 9 Rhos/Johnstown 21 37 Ruabon 2 7 3 Bangor 0 1 Broughton 2 11 Brymbo 5 23 Glyn Ceiriog 2 2 Holt 4 12 Overton 7 6 Penley 13 14 Penycae 0 4

28 Housing Land Monitoring Report 2017 MRH04 is available on the LDP consultation portal www.wrexham.gov.uk/ldp 34

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Tier Settlement Total Under Total Not Construction Started 1st April 2017 1st April 2017 Rhostyllen 1 5 Rossett 4 7 4 Bersham 0 2 Bradley 1 0 Bronington 6 3 Bwlchgwyn 0 5 Marchwiel 2 2 Minera 2 9 Pentre 0 2 Pontfadog 0 1 Tallarn Green 0 6 Tanyfron/Fron 5 3 Trevor 0 3 5 Bettisfield 2 9 Cross Lanes 1 0 Dolywern/Llwynmawr 0 3 Garth 0 10 Gwynfryn 3 5 New Brighton 0 2 Sydallt 0 1 Tallarn Green 0 6 Worthenbury 1 2 Pentre Maelor/Wrexham NA Industrial Estate 4 1 Sub Total 153 363 TOTAL 516

3.2.12 In considering the available data for completions on small windfall sites between 2001 and 2017, as shown in Table 10 above, this identifies a total of 1824 units completed, giving an average over the last 16 years of 114 units per annum. The averages for completions on small windfall sites for the last, 5, 10 and 15 year periods are respectively shown in Table 11 as 72, 93 and 111. This therefore demonstrates that an allowance of 75 units from small windfall sites over the Plan period is not considered to be unreasonable.

35

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Site Assessment Process

3.2.13 The Site Assessment process29, which considered Candidate (CS), Officer (OS), Urban Capacity (UCS) and Alternative sites (AS), also identifies potential sources of windfall sites to help demonstrate the reasonableness of the allowance. These comprise large sites, which fared well in the assessment process but where there is a degree of uncertainty about deliverability and small sites where the assessment considered them as potential development sites but too small to be allocated (less than 10 units). Table 13 below summarises these potential sources of windfall. A more detailed schedule is contained within Appendix A. This table has been updated to reflect changes within Appendix A.

Table 13 – Updated Potential Sources of Windfall from the Sites Assessment Process Category Tier Total

1 2 3 4 5

Small UCS 10 66 14 18 0 108 Sites CS 0 10 0 12 0 22

AS 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 10 76 14 30 0 130

Large UCS 14 84 0 0 0 98 Sites CS 0 24 20 0 0 44

OS 0 0 0 12 0 12

Total 14 108 20 12 0 154

Overall Total 24 184 34 42 0 284

3.2.14 Although these are ‘known’ potential windfall sites, their delivery does not include future provision as no information is currently available. They do however provide evidence in supporting the justification towards the overall windfall allowance over the remaining plan period.

29 See BP04a Candidate Site Assessment Paper Revised (Dec 2017) on the consultation portal www.wrexham.gov.uk/ldp 36

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Summary Windfall Allowances

3.2.15 The total windfall allowance on both small and large sites is estimated to contribute around 2145 new houses over the remaining lifetime of the LDP. This is not a minimum or maximum but a realistic estimate of the possible number of dwellings that could come through as windfalls over the remaining plan period given the evidence available. It represents 37% of the overall supply, which given past trends between 2001 and 2017, is considered reasonable. There is therefore considerable scope for achieving the allowance for delivering new housing through windfall sites.

3.2.16 The identification of ‘known’ windfalls from the candidate site assessment process (UCS, CS & OS & AS) does not include any provision for delivery given that no information is currently available. The total number expected from ‘known’ windfalls is however estimated as 806 units (see table 15), with the remainder of the 2145 (update depending on assumptions made) allowance anticipated from unknown sources of windfall. In support of this, given that windfall sites have made a significant historical contribution, the expectation is that the combination of both ‘known’ and ‘unknown’ (past completion data) windfalls will deliver the numbers identified in the plan up to 2028.

3.2.17 It is therefore considered that the conservative allowance of 2145 new housing units through the development of windfall sites over the Plan period, equating to an average of 195 units per annum, is both likely and achievable.

3.2.18 A summary of the sources of evidence to support the Windfall Allowances is set out in Tables 14 and 15.

Table 14 Historic Trends – Average Windfall Completions (2017) Average Small Large Total Total x 1130

Last 15 Years 111 162 273 3003

Last 10 Years 93 151 244 2684

Last 5 Years 72 84 156 1716

30 11 = remaining years of LDP. 37

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Table 15 Updated Potential Sources of Known Windfalls (2017) Source of Supply No. of Potential Units

Small Site Commitments 1st April 2017 516

Potential from Site Assessments (Small) 130

Potential from Site Assessments (Large) 154

Total 800

Table 16 Windfall Allowance Components Sub-components No. of dwellings

Allowances Large Windfall Sites31 1320

Small Windfall Sites32 825

Allowances Total 2145

3.3 Summary of Components of Supply

3.3.1 The components of the housing supply are summarised in Table 17 below along with the evidence supporting the source of the supply. The total, deliverable plan provision is 8668.

Table 17 Updated Components of the Housing Supply Deliverable over Plan Period: Summary and Sources of Evidence Components Sub- Source of Deliverable components Evidence no. of Dwellings

Sites Completed Sites Housing Monitoring 977 (2013-2017) 2013-2017

Committed Housing Monitoring 1994 Large Sites April 2017 and (2017)33 Housing Trajectory (see Tables 8, 9, 20

31 Based on an allowance of 120 pa multiplied by the remaining plan period – 11 years. 32 Based on an allowance of 75 pa multiplied by the remaining plan period – 11 years.

33 Total number of units on large sites as at 1st April 2017 which have permission or are under construction. 38

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Components Sub- Source of Deliverable components Evidence no. of Dwellings

and Appendix B)

S106 Sites Housing Monitoring 33 April 2017 and Housing Trajectory (see Tables 8, 9, 20 and Appendix B)

LDP Allocations Site Assessment 3519 Process and Housing Trajectory (see Tables 10, 11, 20 and Appendix B)

Sub-total 6523

Windfalls Large Windfall Known Sites (Site 154 Sites34 Assessment process of Large Sites – see Table 13 and Appendix A)

Unknown Sites 1166 (Past and expected windfall trends – see Tables 12, 13 and 16)35

Small Windfall Known Sites 51637 Sites36 (Committed small sites - Housing Monitoring April 2017 – see Table 12)

34 Based on an allowance of 120 pa multiplied by the remaining plan period – 11 years. 35 Calculated by subtracting the known large windfalls from the large windfall allowance (1320-154=1166) 36 Based on an allowance of 75 pa multiplied by the remaining plan period – 11 years.

37 It is acknowledged that these sites may not be delivered over the plan period; however, they are known sites with permission. 39

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Components Sub- Source of Deliverable components Evidence no. of Dwellings

Known Sites (Site 130 Assessment Small Sites – see Table 13 and Appendix A)

Unknown Windfalls 179 (Past and expected windfall trends – see Tables 12, 13 and 16)38

Sub-total 2145

TOTAL SUPPLY 8668

38 Calculated by subtracting the known small windfalls from the small windfall allowance (825-516-130=179) 40

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

4.0 Delivering the Housing Supply

Housing Supply Trajectory

4.0.1 The Housing Supply Trajectory sets out when the housing allocations in the LDP are likely to be delivered annually and is summarised for each component of the housing supply in Table 18. The accuracy of the trajectory beyond the first 5 years of the plan following adoption will inevitably be less reliable but nonetheless will be monitored via the Annual Monitoring Report (AMR) once the plan is adopted.

4.0.2 The delivery timescales for each allocated housing site have taken account of information provided by the landowner, developer or agent and have been adjusted, where necessary, to ensure that the delivery of the sites accords with the infrastructure requirements necessary for delivery or where mitigation is required to address any site constraints. This was carried out between February and April 2017 and the details received are summarised in Appendix B.

4.0.3 Chart 2 below depicts the anticipated completions by source of supply against the annual requirement over the plan period. The completions on allocated sites between 2013 and 2017 refer to UDP allocations. It clearly shows that from 2019/20 that the annual housing requirement can be achieved from the three sources of housing supply; the allocations, existing commitments and potential windfalls.

4.0.4 A Detailed trajectory of the committed and LDP Allocated Sites is included in Appendix B, which includes details provided by the landowner, developer or agent in relation to projected the delivery timescales for the sites.

5 Year Housing Land Supply Calculation

4.0.5 Local planning authorities are required to demonstrate that there is a five- year housing land supply at the time the LDP is adopted.39

4.0.6 The five year land supply requires, as at 1st April 2017, the provision of 3,079 (See Row N, Year 12 of the Trajectory in Appendix C) dwelling units to be available and able to be constructed and completed over five years, when the plan is adopted, and subsequently every April following adoption.

39 Paragraph 3.2, TAN 1 – Joint Housing Land Availability Studies (WG, 2015) 41

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Table 18 – Summary Housing Trajectory Updated Source of 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25 25/26 26/27 27/28 TOTAL Supply UNITS 2013- 2028 Housing 517 517 517 517 517 517 517 517 517 517 516 516 516 516 516 7750 Requirement

Allocations 0 0 0 0 0 22 145 420 505 453 411 374 347 426 416 3519

Commitments 0 0 0 0 212 260 234 169 118 173 214 179 155 140 140 1994

S106 Sites 0 0 0 0 7 7 7 7 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 33

Large 0 0 0 0 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 1320 Windfalls

Small 0 0 0 0 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 825 Windfalls

Actual 215 235 199 328 977 Completions

Anticipated 0 0 0 0 414 484 581 791 823 821 820 748 697 761 751 7691 completions TOTAL 8668 Note: As the total plan requirement does not divide equally between 15, the first 10 years of the plan have an annual requirement of 517 dwellings, whilst the last 5 years have an annual requirement of 516 dwellings.

42

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Chart 2 Updated Housing Trajectory

43

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

4.0.8 Based upon the information contained in Table 18 and the detailed housing trajectory contained in Appendix B, theoretically, as at April 2017, the number of dwellings that could be built over a 5 year period between 2017 and 2022 would be 3053 dwellings, giving a land supply of 5 years. Table 19 summarises the expected land supply for the remaining years of the plan period. This shows that a land supply of more than 5 years can be sustained until 2026 where it starts to trail off and the housing allocations become developed. It is acknowledged that there are inherent difficulties in predicting a realistic land supply when there are less than 5 years remaining in the plan period. As the LDP only makes provision for the plan period and not beyond, the supply is likely to dwindle in the later years as shown below. The actual supply at this time will depend upon the number of applications with a current permission, which can be shown to be developed within 5 years and may boost the supply. This will be picked up by the Joint Housing Land Availability Study at the time and monitored via the AMR following adoption of the plan.

4.0.9 Where less than 5 years of the plan remain, it is shown in Table 7, Table 9 and Appendix C that 1400 units on allocated sites (Table 9) and 187 units on committed sites (Table 7) are expected to be delivered beyond the plan period. As such, in order to give a realistic as possible 5 year land supply figure, data has been collected from the landowners and developers which involve completions beyond the plan period. This information is included in a table after the 5 Year Housing Land Supply calculation in Appendix C.

Table 19 – Housing Land Supply in Years (2017 – 2028) –Updated to reflect WG representation Year A B C D 5 Year Annual Total no. Land Supply in Housing Requirement dwellings to be Years Requirement* (A/5) built within 5 (C/B) years* 2016-2017 3079 616 3053 5 2017-2018 3200 640 3480 5 2018-2019 3314 663 3816 6 2019-2020 3407 681 3993 6 2020-2021 3391 678 3929 6 2021-2022 3354 671 3887 6 2022-2023 3268 654 3797 6 2023-2024 3046 609 3389 6 2024-2025 2889 578 2952 5 2025-2026 2760 552 2546 5 2026-2027 2591 518 2080 4 2027-2028- 2431 486 1624 3 * See Appendix C for these figures

44

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Site Proformas

4.0.10 To support the housing trajectory for the delivery of the housing allocations in the LDP during the Plan Period, the identified infrastructure constraints for each site have been assessed. This will help to provide clarity to site promoters and others on what is needed to bring sites forward for development and to give all parties the confidence that the identified constraints can be resolved. The proformas for each allocated site are contained in Appendix D.

PLEASE NOTE THE FOLLOWING SECTION MAY BE AFFECTED ONCE THE UPDATED VIABILITY STUDY IS COMPLETE

5.0 Affordable Housing and Viability

5.0.1 Based on the allocations and the known windfall sites, the potential amount of affordable housing that could be delivered from these sources of supply are estimated in tables 20 and 21 below. This information has been put together to indicate the maximum levels of affordable housing that could be derived from the proposed site allocations using the evidence in the Affordable Housing Viability assessment (2018, further details in relation to which are contained in the paragraphs below).

Table 20 Estimated affordable housing contributions from allocated sites (policy H1) (Source Table B6,Wrexham HMA, 2017 update and table 7.3 Affordable Housing Viability Assessment update, January 2018) LDP Tier Settlement No of HMA area Annual A/H A/H Potenti Housing units A/H viability quota al A/H allocations (within imbalance market (%) contrib (Policy H1) plan area based ution period) on based 30dph (policy for H2) each viabilit y area KSS1 1 Wrexham 1500 Wrexham 65 North 25% 375 (50) Town (200) West KSS2 1 Wrexham 1680 North East 8 Rural 40% 672 Town (1580) East (632) 1. Land adj 1 Wrexham 375 Wrexham 65 North 40% 150 Mold Road Town Wrexham and Gresford 2. Jacques 1 Wrexham 36 Wrexham 65 North 25% 9 Scrapyard Town West 3. Crown 1 Wrexham 71 Wrexham 65 South 30% 31 Buildings Town Wrexham 4. Former 2 Cefn Mawr / 22 Western 77 Cefn 0% 0 Rhosymedr Acrefair Border Mawr and

45

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

LDP Tier Settlement No of HMA area Annual A/H A/H Potenti Housing units A/H viability quota al A/H allocations (within imbalance market (%) contrib (Policy H1) plan area based ution period) on based 30dph (policy for H2) each viabilit y area e infants Rhos 5. Land 2 Cefn Mawr / 51 Western 77 Cefn 0% 0 opposite Acrefair Border Mawr and former Rhos Ruabon works 6. Land off 2 Chirk 180 South West 1 Rural 30% 54 B5070 West and Chirk 7. Stansty 2 Gwersyllt 96 Western 77 North 25% 24 Fields Border West 8. Mold 2 Gwersyllt 15 Western 77 North 25% 4 Road Ind Border West est 9. British 2 Llay 60 Western 77 North 40% 24 Legion, Border Wrexham Llay and Gresford 10. Land at 2 Llay 365 Western 77 North 40% 146 Home Border Wrexham Farm, Llay and Gresford 11. South 3 New 25 Western 77 North 25% 6 of Berse Broughton Border West Road 12. 3 New 127 Western 77 North 25% 32 Gatewen Broughton Border West Road 13. 3 Holt 35 North East 8 Rural 40% 14 Sycamore East House 14. St 3 Overton 40 South East 5 Rural 40% 16 Marys East Avenue 15. The 3 Penley 25 South East 5 Rural 40% 10 Grange East 16. North 3 Rossett 137 North East 8 Rural 40% 55 and South East of Rossett Road 17. Llay 4 Rhosrobin 79 Western 77 North 25% 20 New Road Border West Total (within plan period) 1642 (1277)

46

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Table 21 Estimated affordable housing contributions from large known windfalls. Site Ref Settlement Tier No of HMA Annual A/H A/H A/H Potential units area imbalance viability quota A/H area (%)40 contributio n (policy H2)

WXT07 Wrexham 1 14 Wrexham 65 North 40% 6 4NUCS Wrexham and Gresford CHIR00 Chirk 2 30 Western 77 Rural West 30% 9 7UCS Border and Chirk CHIR00 Chirk 2 22 Western 77 Rural West 30% 7 9UCS Border and Chirk GWE02 Gwersyllt 2 24 Western 77 North 40% 10 CS Border Wrexham and Gresford JOHN01 Rhos/ 2 10 Western 77 Cefn Mawr 0% 0 0UCS Johnstown Border and Rhos JOHN01 Rhos/ 2 28 Western 77 Cefn Mawr 0% 0 4UCS Johnstown Border and Rhos JOHN02 Rhos/ 2 16 Western 77 Cefn Mawr 0% 0 9UCS Johnstown Border and Rhos BRO08 Broughton 3 20 Western 77 North West 25% 5 CS Border Settlements MA05O Marchwiel 3 12 South 5 Rural East 40% 5 S East Total 42

PLEASE NOTE THE ABOVE SECTION MAY BE AFFECTED ONCE THE UPDATED VIABILITY STUDY IS COMPLETE

40 Based on 30dph for each viability area. 47

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

6.0 Conclusions

6.0.1 This technical background paper identifies all sources of supply that will contribute to the housing land requirement as set out in the Deposit LDP.

6.0.2 It also demonstrates the deliverability of the committed and allocated sites over the plan period, together with estimates about the delivery of the potential windfall sites (both small and large).

6.0.3 Evidence has been provided to demonstrate the deliverability of the committed and allocated sites over the plan period in the form of the Housing Trajectory and the Housing Allocation Delivery Proformas (Appendix D).

6.0.4 Historical trends have also been considered to help inform the assumptions made about the likely contribution from windfall sites.

6.0.5 Policy SP1 of the LDP makes provision for 8525 dwellings over the Plan period between 2013 and 2028. It has been demonstrated that over the plan period, the housing provision from all sources of supply amounts to 8668 dwellings.

6.0.6 The housing trajectory demonstrates that the LDP can secure a 5 year housing land supply on adoption in accordance with national Planning Policy.

48

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Appendix A – Update to Potential Windfalls from Site Assessment Process

49

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Site Ref Site Settlement Tier Approx Windfall Small/ App No. Type Decision No. Resulting Total by Total Notes Type Developable units Large Date units No. Units Settlement by Tier Area (Ha) SMALL SITES WXT012UCS UCS Wrexham 1 0.34 0.13 5 2 Small NA NA NA NA 2 10 10 Southern part of site, protected open green space 160 (WRA58). Reduces area to 0.13

WXT023UCS UCS Wrexham 1 0.26 7 Small P/2017/0167 F Granted 6 0 14 bed care home and block of 11th May self contained 6, 1 bed flats. 2017

WXT070NUCS UCS Wrexham 1 0.5 8 Small P/2015/0579 O Granted 8 8 Application Expired 7th Sept 7th Sept 2018 2015

WXT071NUCS UCS Wrexham 1 0.09 1 Small P/2015/0587 F Granted 1 0 Dwelling now complete 3rd Sept 2015

CEFN005UCS UCS Acrefair/ 2 0.1 3 Small NA NA NA NA 3 12 76 Cefn Mawr CEFN009UCS UCS Acrefair/ 2 0.5 5 Small P/2015/0576 O Granted 5 5 Application Expired 7th Sept Cefn Mawr 7th Sept 2018 2015

CEFN013NUCS UCS Acrefair/ 2 0.13 4 Small P/2014/0187 F Refused 4 4 Refused due to lack of Cefn Mawr 15th May information about ground 2014 levels and inadequate parking provision. Could be resolved.

CHIR004UCS UCS Chirk 2 0 6 Small NA NA NA NA 6 15

50

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Site Ref Site Settlement Tier Approx Windfall Small/ App No. Type Decision No. Resulting Total by Total Notes Type Developable units Large Date units No. Units Settlement by Tier Area (Ha) CHIR005UCS UCS Chirk 2 0.18 3 Small P/2018/0056 O Granted 8 0 3rd April 2018

CHIR010UCS UCS Chirk 2 0.29 9 Small P/2017/0459 O Granted 9 0 7th Sept 2017

CHIR013UCS UCS Chirk 2 0.2 0.14 6 Small P/2018/0225 F Granted 0 3 Reduces area for development 27th to approximately 0.14ha and April potential no. of dwellings to 2018 approx 3.

CH01CS CS Chirk 2 0.061 6 Small NA NA NA NA 6 GRE11CS CS Gresford/ 2 0.47 4 Small NA NA NA NA 0 6 Settlement has been revised Marford and excludes this site.

GRES006UCS UCS Gresford/ 2 0.6 4 Small NA NA NA NA 4 Marford GRES008UCS UCS Gresford/ 2 0.14 2 Small NA NA NA NA 2 Marford GRE12CS CS Gresford/ 2 0.2 7 Small NA NA NA NA 0 Settlement has been revised Marford and excludes this site.

GWE09CS CS Gwersyllt 2 0.32 4 Small NA NA NA NA 4 4 LL002AS AS Llay 2 0.15 5 Small P/2017/0859 F Granted 6 0 0 Will be accounted for in the 27th Housing Monitoring, hence 0 March for resulting numbers. 2018

LLAY002NUCS UCS Llay 2 0.02 2 Small P/2018/0022 F 16th 4 0 Not yet built, but included in March Housing Monitoring hence 0 2018 for resulting numbers. 51

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Site Ref Site Settlement Tier Approx Windfall Small/ App No. Type Decision No. Resulting Total by Total Notes Type Developable units Large Date units No. Units Settlement by Tier Area (Ha) UCS Llay 2 0.75 7 Small NA NA NA NA 0 Protected Open Space LLAY003NUCS JOHN002UCS UCS Rhos/Johnstown 2 0.5 8 Small NA NA NA NA 0 39 Not available for development. Only bit considered potentially suitable received a Response at LDP Deposit stage setting out that it wasn't available. LDP1904

JOHN003UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.2 0.17 6 Small NA NA NA NA 6 Area available for development Johnstown appears to be 0.17, but still potential for 6 dwellings. Application P/2014/0258 shows garden curtilage of adjacent property forming part of this land.

JOHN006UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.11 3 Small NA NA NA NA 3 Johnstown JOHN007UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.13 9 Small NA NA NA NA 9 Johnstown JOHN009UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.11 4 Small NA NA NA NA 4 Application of small part of site Johnstown to be redeveloped. Remaining area looks like part of it is a service yard. Although still appears to be scope for small scale infill development.

JOHN015UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.18 3 Small P/2014/0833 F Withdra 3 3 Application was withdrawn due Johnstown wn to some issues that needed resolving. Likely that these can be resolved.

JOHN016UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.14 4 Small NA NA NA NA 4 Johnstown

52

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Site Ref Site Settlement Tier Approx Windfall Small/ App No. Type Decision No. Resulting Total by Total Notes Type Developable units Large Date units No. Units Settlement by Tier Area (Ha) JOHN021UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.29 9 Small P/2015/0915 F Granted 11 0 Not yet built, but included in Johnstown 1st Feb Housing Monitoring hence 0 2016 for resulting numbers.

JOHN023UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0 2 Small NA NA NA NA 2 Johnstown JOHN026NUCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.21 8 Small NA NA NA NA 8 Johnstown BROU002UCS UCS Broughton 3 0.31 3 Small NA NA NA NA 3 3 14 BRYM001UCS UCS Brymbo 3 0.14 5 Small NA NA NA NA 5 5 GLYN004UCS UCS Glyn Ceiriog 3 0.21 4 Small NA NA NA NA 4 4

PENL03CS CS Penley 3 0.16 3 Small P/2018/0348 RM Granted 5 0 0 Will be accounted for in the 27th Housing Monitoring. June 2018

RHOS004UCS UCS Rhostyllen 3 0.08 2 Small NA NA NA NA 2 2 BW02CS CS Bwlchgwyn 4 1.4 7 Small NA NA NA NA 7 10 30 BWLC001UCS UCS Bwlchgwyn 4 0.1 1 Small NA NA NA NA 1 BWLC002UCS UCS Bwlchgwyn 4 0.15 2 Small NA NA NA NA 2 HAN03CS CS Hanmer 4 0.08 1 Small NA NA NA NA 1 4 HANM003UCS UCS Hanmer 4 0.15 3 Small NA NA NA NA 3 MA01CS CS Marchwiel 4 1.35 4 Small NA NA NA NA 4 4 SOUT001UCS UCS Southsea 4 0.27 4 Small NA NA NA NA 4 4 TREV002UCS UCS Trevor 4 0.15 3 Small NA NA NA NA 3 8 TREV003UCS UCS Trevor 4 0.38 5 Small NA NA NA NA 5 TOTAL 130 130 LARGE SITES

53

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Site Ref Site Settlement Tier Approx Windfall Small/ App No. Type Decision No. Resulting Total by Total Notes Type Developable units Large Date units No. Units Settlement by Tier Area (Ha) WXT074NUCS UCS Wrexham 1 0.15 14 Large NA NA NA NA 14 14 14 CHIR007UCS UCS Chirk 2 1.09 30 Large NA NA NA NA 30 30 108 CHIR009UCS UCS Chirk 2 0 22 Large P/2016/1165 O 3rd July 22 0 Appeal allowed for the 2018 majority of the site. GWE02CS CS Gwersyllt 2 0.71 24 Large NA NA NA NA 24 24 JOHN001UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.37 10 Large NA NA NA NA 10 54 Johnstown JOHN014UCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.94 28 Large NA NA NA NA 28 Johnstown JOHN029NUCS UCS Rhos/ 2 0.32 16 Large NA NA NA NA 16 Johnstown BRO08CS CS Broughton 3 4.14 20 Large NA NA NA NA 20 20 20 MA05OS OS Marchwiel 4 0.73 12 Large NA NA NA NA 12 12 12 Settlement Boundary change proposed as part of FC/MEC TOTAL 154 154 NOTE: Planning permission data gathered Oct 2018

OVERALL TOTAL 284

54

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Summary by Settlement Settlement Tier Large Small Total Wrexham 1 14 10 24 Acrefair/Cefn Mawr 2 12 12 Chirk 2 30 15 45 Gresford/Marford 2 6 6 Gwersyllt 2 24 4 28 Llay 2 0 Rhos/Johnstown 2 54 39 93 Broughton 3 20 3 23 Brymbo 3 5 5 Glyn Ceiriog 3 4 4 Penley 3 0 Rhostyllen 3 2 2 Bwlchgwyn 4 10 10 Hanmer 4 4 4 Marchwiel 4 12 4 16 Southsea 4 4 4 Trevor 4 8 8 Total 154 130 284

Summary by Tier Tier Large Small Total 1 14 10 24 2 108 76 184 3 20 14 34 4 12 30 42 Total 154 130 284

55

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Appendix B – Detailed Housing Trajectory (Committed and Allocated Sites)

56

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Housing Trajectory

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 1 KSS1 Land at Lower 1500 100 100 1300 (WR20CS) Berse Road, Wrexham (KSS1)

1 KSS2 Land off Holt 600 50 50 75 75 80 90 90 90 (WR004AS) New Road, Wrexham (KSS2)

1 KSS2 Land east of 1080 40 100 140 140 140 140 140 140 100 (WR19CSA) Cefn Road (Esless Park)(KSS2)

1 H1 Land adj. Mold 375 25 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 (WR003AS) Road & A483, Stansty, Wrexham

1 H22 Jacques 36 18 18 (WXT019UC scrapyard, S) Wrexham

1 H3 Crown 71 41 30 (WXT09 Buildings, 2NUCS) Chester St., Wrexham

57

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 1 P/2005/054 Hightown 89 80 9 1 Barracks (amended by P/2009/100 4 and P/2011/070 0) 1 P/2016/033 Former 23 23 7 Ebenezer Chapel, 2 Chester St., Wrexham

1 UDP Former Depot, 13 13 Allocation Crescent Rd Wrexham

1 P/2006/013 Rivulet Rd. (adj. 24 24 1 to N Wales Motorcycles)

1 P/2014/049 Land off 12 12 7 Whitegate Rd., Wrexham

1 P/2014/002 Land South of 50 50 0 Bentley Place, Rivulet Rd., Wrexham

58

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 1 UDP Bridge St. 25 15 10 Allocation /Cambrian Yard, Wrexham

1 P/2005/069 Land off Bridge 16 16 6 UDP St., Wrexham Allocation

1 P/2008/066 Former Red 22 22 1 Cow site & no’s 23-27 Pen Y Bryn, Wrexham

1 P/2009/090 Dusseks Watery 80 80 3 UDP Rd. Wrexham Allocation

1 P/2012/005 Western 69 16 13 20 20 9 Gateway, Ruthin Rd., Wrexham

1 P/2013/044 Land at Pen Y 24 24 3 Bryn Tenters Square, Tenters lane, Wrexham

1 P/2014/011 CK1, 32-36 10 10 6 Bridge St., Wrexham

59

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 1 P/2015/089 Former Brother 79 30 30 19 0 site, Croesnewydd Rd., Wrexham

1 P/2009/083 Regent House, 24 24 3 Regent St., Wrexham

1 P/2014/043 16-18 20 20 6 Grosvenor Rd., Wrexham

1 P/2014/043 3-9 Grosvenor 60 60 6 Rd., Wrexham 1 P/2015/027 Trinity House, 21 21 2 Trinity St., Wrexham

1 P/2013/084 Coed Aben/Glan 23 23 0 Gors Wrexham

1 P/2013/051 Former 48 28 20 9 Remploy Site, Rhosddu

60

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 1 P/2012/088 Former Gas 20 20 0 Works, Rivulet Road, Wrexham UDP Allocation

1 2011/0675 Former Gas 35 35 Works, Rivulet Road, Wrexham UDP Allocation Housing (part 19 (7 units plots 17- 23)

1 P/2013/052 Maesgwyn 24 4 10 10 5 Road, Wrexham

1 2007/1187 Ruthin Road, 297 275 22 Wrexham UDP Allocation

1 P/2015/081 Land North of 23 17 6 2 Total Fitness, Stansty Rd., Wrexham

Total Allocations 3662 174 248 265 265 270 280 380 380 1400 Total Commitments 1131 359 67 67 43 125 142 149 40 15 34 13 20 20 37

61

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ TIER 1 TOTAL 4793 359 67 67 43 125 142 149 40 189 248 265 299 270 293 400 400 1437 2 4 Rhosymedre 22 11 11 (A04CS) Infants site, off Hampden Way, Acrefair/Cefn

2 5 Land opposite 51 30 21 (A10CS) former Ruabon works, Queen St. Cefn Mawr

2 6 Land off B5070, 180 36 36 36 36 36 (CH02OS) Chirk 2 7 Stansty Fields. 96 32 32 32 (GWE Stansty, 06CS) Gwersyllt

2 8 Mold Road, 15 7 8 (GWER003 Gwersyllt UCS) 2 9 Royal British 60 11 20 20 9 (LL001UCS Legion, Llay ) 2 10 Land adj. Home 365 80 80 80 80 45 (LL006AS) Farm, Llay 2 P/2007/063 Land at Cae 19 5 4 10 4 Ann Dolydd, Cefn Mawr

62

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 2 P/2012/004 Former Air 232 20 40 40 40 40 40 12 5 & Products Site, P/2016/050 Llangollen 5 Road, Acrefair

2 P/2014/018 Land at 14 14 8 Whalley’s Way, Cefn Mawr,

2 P/2014/055 Land at Bro 12 12 6 Gwilym, Cefn Mawr

2 1462 Land off 85 85 Sycamore Drive, Chirk

2 2008/0843 Chirk Green, 11 6 5 Chirk 2 P/2014/065 Quarry Brow, 7 2 0 2 1 1 1 2 & Pant lane, P/2014/024 Gresford 2 UDP Allocation

2 P/2014/067 Bryn Y Groes, 60 10 10 10 10 10 10 1 UDP Chester Rd., Allocation Gresford

63

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 2 P/2014/093 Westminster 65 20 25 20 1 Ind. Est., Mold Rd., Gwersyllt

2 P/2016/037 Land South of 24 12 12 3 Miners Welfare Institute, Llay

2 P/2015/060 Land South of 20 3 17 7 Chestnut Court, Summerhill

2 P/2006/009 Jutland Avenue, 14 2 12 1 Gwersyllt P/2010/026 1& P/2010/027 0 2 P/2015/079 Land at Boozey 57 5 20 20 12 0 Fields, Gwersyllt

2 2012/0506 Celtic Yard 24 18 6 Westminster Rise Summerhill

2 P/2015/094 Land off & West 30 10 20 9 of Park Rd., Rhosymedre

64

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 2 P/2009/103 Land off North 23 7 8 8 0 Rd., Ponciau. 2 P/2012/001 Former Ysgol Y 15 4 8 3 0 Wern, Hill Street, Rhos

2 P/2015/091 WCBC Car Park 11 11 5 & & adj. land, (P/2016/06 Bonc Wen, 04) Rhos.

2 P/2012/056 New Foundry 12 4 8 1 Buildings, Gutter Hill, Johnstown

2 P/2007/106 Moreton Depot, 15 2 13 9 Moreton Ave., Johnstown

2 P/2013/054 Land at former 300 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 35 5 Hafod Tileries, Johnstown

2 1641 Wynnstay Hall, 7 3 4 &P/2014/06 Ruabon 28

65

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 2 P/2014/002 Ruabon 319 45 45 45 45 45 45 49 1 Business Park, adj. to A483, Ruabon,

2 P/2013/079 Maelor Place, 19 19 7 Ruabon 2 2009/0794 Old Road, 23 20 3 Coedpoeth 2 P/2015/017 Land at Pont 19 10 9 5 Adam Crescent, Ruabon

Total Allocations 789 98 151 143 121 81 66 57 36 36 Total Commitments 1437 46 16 12 21 40 49 76 131 117 88 140 145 144 102 80 80 150 TIER 2 TOTAL 2226 46 16 12 21 40 49 76 229 268 231 261 226 210 159 116 116 150 3 11 Land South of 25 5 10 10 (BRO01OS Berse Rd, ) Caego, New Broughton 3 12 Land at 127 22 35 35 35 (BRO06CS Gatewen Rd., ) New Broughton

66

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 3 13 Land adj. 35 5 10 10 10 (HOL07CS) Sycamore House, Wrexham Rd. Holt

3 14 Land off St 40 8 8 8 8 8 (O02OS/00 Mary's Avenue, 7OS) Overton

3 15 Land at The 25 7 7 7 4 (PENL01C Grange, Penley S) 3 16 Land to North & 137 35 35 35 32 (RO004AS) South of Rossett Rd., Rossett

3 2007/0112 Afoneitha Road, 12 4 8 2011/0444 Penycae UDP Allocation

3 P/2013/069 Land at School 11 5 6 7 Lane, Southsea 3 P/2015/004 Gatewen 153 33 24 31 54 11 6 UDP Village, New Allocation Broughton

67

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 3 P/2007/039 Land off Queens 28 4 13 7 4 5 & Rd., Brymbo P/2007/042 4 3 P/2016/087 Land off Blast 17 7 10 1 Rd., Brymbo 3 2005/0114 Brymbo 525 527 22 & Steelworks, 2006/1065 central, amended southern and by western 20130252 modules

3 P/2014/016 Former Brymbo 25 15 10 4 Steelworks site, Blast Rd., Brymbo

3 P/2015/037 Former School 13 6 7 2 Buildings, High St., Brymbo

2 P/2013/058 Clifton Ave, 10 10 6 Brymbo 3 P/2013/082 Land at 24 12 12 3 Wrexham Rd, Holt

3 P/2008/106 Wrexham Rd., 223 33 35 35 40 40 40 3 Rhostyllen

68

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 3 P/2014/009 Mount Street, 15 6 9 7 Rhostyllen 3 P/2007/035 Penley Hospital 116 91 7 18 3 & 2008/1147 UDP Allocation 3 P/2009/060 Darland House, 10 10 8 Rossett Total Allocations 389 22 47 95 95 47 45 18 10 10 0 Total Commitments 1206 622 62 80 53 61 16 29 43 17 33 35 35 40 40 40 TIER 3 TOTAL 1595 622 62 80 53 61 16 51 90 112 95 80 80 53 50 50 40 0 4 17 Land at Llay 79 19 20 20 20 (RR001AS) New Road, Rhosrobin

4 P/2016/019 Packsaddle 11 5 6 8 Bank, Wrexham Rd.,Pentrebych an

4 P/2011/070 Queens Head, 13 6 1 6 9 Glanllyn, Bradley

69

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

TIER SITE REF SITE ADDRESS No. Comp 13/ 14/ 15/ 16/ 17/ 18/ 19/ 20/ 21/ 22/ 23/ 24/ 25/ 26/ 27/ 2028+ UNITS Prior 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ 4 P/2012/081 Vacant plot 70 20 20 30 7 opposite Bryn Gwenfro, Tanyfron

Total Allocations 79 19 20 20 20 Total Commitments 94 6 1 6 5 6 20 20 30 TIER 4 TOTAL 173 0 6 1 6 0 5 6 20 20 49 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 5 P/2014/029 Site of Former 15 9 6 2 Rosemary Nurseries, Burton, Rossett

Total Allocations Total Commitments 15 9 6 TIER 5 TOTAL 15 0 0 0 9 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Allocations 4919 22 145 420 505 453 411 374 347 426 416 1400 Total Commitments 3883 1027 151 160 132 232 212 260 234 169 118 173 214 179 155 140 140 187 TOTAL Commitments & Allocations 8802 1027 151 160 132 232 212 282 379 589 623 626 625 553 502 566 556 1587

Windfall Contribution (Remaining LDP 2018-2028) 0 0 0 0 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 0 S106 Sites (1st April 2017) 0 0 0 0 7 7 7 7 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Small Sites 2013-2017 64 75 67 96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 215 235 199 328 414 484 581 791 823 821 820 748 697 761 751 OVERALL TOTAL 8668 1587

70

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Delivery of LDP Allocated Housing Sites - Developer, Land Owner/Agent Evidence

SITE TIER SITE DEVELOPER LAND RESPONSE TO CONSULTATION LETTER UNITS IN REF ADDRESS OWNER/AGENT LDP (TOTAL PERIOD UNITS) KSS1 1 Land at Lower Mr Paul Murray Plas Power Estate Response from Paul Murray. Anticipate 100pa 200 (1500) Berse Farm, Redrow Homes commencing within 2 years of adoption, i.e. 800-900 Ruthin Road, Northwest, Redrow within LDP period. However in light of junction Wrexham House, St David's constraint subsequently accepted that 200 units Park, Flintshire, CH5 reasonable 3RX

KSS2 1 Land East of Barratt Homes & Agent: Vincent Ryan, Northern site is optioned by 2 national housebuilders. 1580 (1680) Cefn Road, Bloor Homes Director, Barton Response from Vincent Ryan 13/3/17 -anticipate dev. Wrexham (northern part). Willmore (northern Commencing on northern part 2 yrs after adoption & site) taking 5-6 yrs at approx. 50 pa per developer ie 100 Countryside Agent :J10 Planning pa total (550-600). Properties (southern (southern site) Southern part: Submission from developer Countryside part) properties incorporating anticipated delivery timescales. 1 1 Land adj. Mold Developer: Russell 2 landowners. Agent: Response by Gary Lynch, Planning Manager, Russell 375 (375) Road A483 Homes J10 Planning. Homes. Currently undertaking background studies to support outline application for submission before LDP adoption (& approval after) Then RM application/s106 & first completions 2020. Anticipate 2 developers with total 80 pa units & site completed (375 units) by 2027 2 1 Former Jacques Castlemead Group, Castlemead Group Response from Richard Shackleton (Castlemead MD). 36 (36) Scrapyard, Unit 17 Wilkinson Intending to submit application for 36 dwgs within next Wrexham Business Park, few months & dev. Completed within 5 years Wrexham Industrial Estate, LL13 9AE 3 1 Civic Quarter, Wrexham CBC WCBC - Contact: Nick Adamson responded by telephone & meeting held 71 71

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

SITE TIER SITE DEVELOPER LAND RESPONSE TO CONSULTATION LETTER UNITS IN REF ADDRESS OWNER/AGENT LDP (TOTAL PERIOD UNITS) (71) Chester Road, Denise Garland, to discuss site & numbers. Wrexham Housing & Economy Dept, Ruthin Road, Wrexham 4 2 Former WCBC- Contact: Education support Allocation. Site under consideration 22 (22) Rhosymedre Denise Garland, by Housing Dept. for aff. housing, otherwise will be Infants Site, Off Housing & Economy marketed. Part of site in C2 zone which may affect Hampden Way, Dept, Ruthin Road, numbers. Advised dev. within 5 years Cefn Mawr/ Wrexham. Acrefair

5 2 Land opposite Steve Westhead , Email received 26/4/17 confirming Solutia supportive of 51 (51) former Ruabon Director, HSES allocation and are working with council & Canal Trust Works, Queen Operations EMEA & on producing masterplan for future development of AP, Solutia Ltd. area. St. Cefn Mawr Corporation Road, Site is serviced. Solutia are not developers but would Newport, South Wales, dispose of site for development subject to economic NP19 4XF conditions. 6 2 Land off B5070, Kronospan Ltd Response received from Kronospan indicating that if (180) Chirk allocated then development is envisaged in yrs 11-15 of plan period

7 2 Stansty Fields, Email from Gower Mr & Mrs Wooding Response from Ian Stevens confirming discussions 96 (96) Stansty, Homes confirming Agent: Ian Stevens with developer & anticipated development years 6-10 Gwersyllt, agreed option to MRTPI, Fisher of the plan period. purchase. German LLP, 4 Vicars Lane, Chester CH1 1QU.

72

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

SITE TIER SITE DEVELOPER LAND RESPONSE TO CONSULTATION LETTER UNITS IN REF ADDRESS OWNER/AGENT LDP (TOTAL PERIOD UNITS) 8 2 Mold Road Ind. Paulson Properties Response from Mai Moulton 15 (15) Estate, Ltd, 25 Dee Banks, Paulson Properties Ltd. Blueprint instructed to submit Hardwick Drive, Chester, CH3 5UU planning app. for 15 properties shortly then market site Gwersyllt asap.

9 2 British Legion, Andy McMullan, Royal British Legion, No response but planning app. submitted for 51 units 60 (60) Llay Knight Frank, 11th Haigh House, Borough in April. 2017 (agent now Emily Roberts Knight Frank Floor, Marsden High Street, London, 0746791581) Street, Manchester, SE1 1AA M21 HW 10 2 Land at Home Agent: Michael Owner: Margaret Response from Mr Cunningham. In discussion with 2 365 (365) Farm, Llay Cunningham, MDG Crewe developers who would form JV. Planning application Ltd, Cleveland submitted and appeal decision awaited at April 2017 House, 41 Shaw (subsequently allowed) Street, Liverpool.

11 3 Land South of Owners: Plas Power Emails12/4/17 & 19/4/17 from A. Marrs (Strutt & 25 (25) Berse Road, Estate. Agents, Strutt Parker). Intend to bring forward for development within Caego, New & Parker, Chester next 5 years. Previous application for 25 refused on Broughton 5/9/16 on Green Barrier grounds. Part of site affected by flood risk but numbers reflect this.

12 3 Land at Mr Mike Hamer, Head Email from Mike Hamer 27/3/17. Looking to take the 127 (129) Gatewen Rd, of Estates & Campus site to market summer 2018 with full Planning. Scheme New Broughton Management, Glyndwr produced for 127 dwgs & site completions envisaged University, Mold Road, within yrs 6-10. Wrexham, LL11 2AW

73

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

SITE TIER SITE DEVELOPER LAND RESPONSE TO CONSULTATION LETTER UNITS IN REF ADDRESS OWNER/AGENT LDP (TOTAL PERIOD UNITS) 13 3 Land adj to Agent: Paul Kent, Mrs V.G. Pridding Email 6/4/17 from agent Paul Kent (Peak 35 (35) Sycamore Peak Architectural, Architectural). Anticipates dev. In 6-10 yrs time & in 2 House, Yew Tree phases. Have had contact from 2 developers but no Wrexham Road, Farmhouse, concrete discussions at this stage. Understood Holt Wrexham Road, services in Wrexham Rd. Holt, LL13 9YU

14 3 Land off St J Ross Owner: Bryn Pys Submission on behalf of developer proposing a range 40 (40) Mary’s Avenue, Developments. Estate. of sites for allocation in Overton and confirming Overton Agent: Simon Peake, Agent: Simon Peake, deliverability within Plan period Whyte Young Green, Whyte Young Green, Manchester Manchester

15 3 Land at The Agent: Mr PAO Owner -Barbara Email from David Parker 23/3/17: Site subject to 25 (25) Grange, Penley Dalton, Roger Parry Ritchie current offer from developer. If accepted will proceed & Partners, The Planning Agent –David with application. Provisional estimate at 21 units (but Estates Office, 20 Parker Planning retained at 25 until further info.) Salop Road, Associates Oswestry, Shropshire, SY11 2NH 16 3 Land to North & Agent: Justin Paul, Owner: Bellis Bros Ltd Justin Paul confirmed planning application prepared at 137 (137) South, Rossett J10 Planning Ltd, risk though no decision on when to submit. In Rd, Rossett Chester discussion with officers & keen to submit. Total capacity 132/137 & latest start on site 2021 with dev timescale 2-5 yrs depending if 1 or 2 developers. 17 4 Land at Llay Agent: Nigel Thorns No owner noted Email 13/4/17 from Nigel Thorns confirming application 79 (79) New Road Planning Castlemead have prepared & intention to submit immediately on Rhosrobin Consultancy option. adoption & site completed within 5 years of adoption. Catlemead

74

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

SITE TIER SITE DEVELOPER LAND RESPONSE TO CONSULTATION LETTER UNITS IN REF ADDRESS OWNER/AGENT LDP (TOTAL PERIOD UNITS) prospective developers

75

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Appendix C – Housing Trajectory and 5 Year Land Supply Calculations Calculating a 5 Year Housing Land Supply over the plan period (2013-2028 - 15 Years)

LDP Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+ A Year 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-2028 2028+ B Remaining years 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

C Total LDP housing requirement (not provision) 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 7750 Annual Plan Requirement 517 517 517 517 517 517 517 517 517 517 516 516 516 516 516 Actual recorded completions on large sites during D year 151 160 132 232 Actual recorded completions on small sites during E year 64 75 67 96 Anticipated completions on allocated sites during F year 0 22 145 420 505 453 411 374 347 426 416 1400 Anticipated land bank completions during G year"+S106" 34 at April 2017 219 267 231 166 103 193 214 179 175 140 140 187

H Anticipated completions large windfall during year 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 Anticipated completions small windfall sites during I year 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 TOTAL COMPS 215 235 199 328 414 484 571 781 803 841 820 748 717 761 751 1782 Total anticipated annual completions (D+E+F+G+H+I) minus 10% flexibility on future annual completions. Not done for first 5 years as shortfall is already accounted for. Rounded to zero J DP. 215 235 199 328 372.60 435.60 513.90 702.90 722.70 756.90 738.00 673.20 645.30 684.90 675.90

Total cumulative completions (Rounded to K zero decimal places) 215 450 649 977 1350 1785 2299 3002 3725 4482 5220 5893 6538 7223 7899

L Residual housing requirement (C-K) 7535 7300 7101 6773 6400 5965 5451 4748 4025 3268 2530 1857 1212 527 -149

5 Year requirement (L/B*5) See Notes for Row N N 2691 2808 2959 3079 3200 3314 3407 3391 3354 3268 3046 2889 2760 2591 2431 O Total Annual Building Requirement (N/5) 538 562 592 616 640 663 681 678 671 654 609 578 552 518 486

P Land available large sites (allocations) 1092 1545 1934 2163 2090 2011 1974 1763 1489 1242 916 600 17727 Q Land available large sites (land bank) 986 960 907 855 864 901 848 651 488 329 189 49 R Land available - large windfall 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 S Land available - small windfall 375 375 375 375 375 375 375 375 375 375 375 375

Total land available for the 5 year period T derived from (P+Q+R+S) 3053 3480 3816 3993 3929 3887 3797 3389 2952 2546 2080 1624

Housing land supply in years (T/O) U Rounded to zero DP 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 3 76

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

NB: Where less than 5 years of the Plan remain, the data shown below has been factotred into the housing land supply calculations for the years 11 to 15, Rows P and Q. This affects the cellls highlighted in yellow.

The following table identifies anticipated completions on those allocated and committed sites which are expected to be developed beyond the plan period.

This allows for a more realistic land supply to be calculated, where less than 5 years of the plan remain.

Site Remaining No. units to be delivered per year No. units 2028- 2029- 2030- 2031- 2032- 2033+ at 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 KSS1 1300 100 100 100 100 100 800 KSS2 100 100 Committed Sites 49 17 16 16 0 0 0 (Land Bank Row Q) Ruabon Business Park, Adj to A483 Ruabon

77

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability Wrexham Deposit Local Development Plan 2013-2028

BP08a Updated 2019

Appendix D – Housing Allocation Delivery Proformas

78

BP08a Housing Supply and Deliverability