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Survey of Public Opinion in Georgia

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Survey of Public Opinion in Georgia Survey of Public Opinion in Georgia February 22 – March 8, 2017 Detailed Methodology • The survey was conducted by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene of the public and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The fieldwork was carried out by the Institute of Polling & Marketing. • Data was collected throughout Georgia (excluding the occupied territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia) between February 22 and March 8, 2017 through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,501 permanent residents of Georgia 18 years and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and size/type of the settlement. • A multistage probability sampling method was used, employing the “random route” and “next birthday” respondent selection procedures. • Stage one: All districts of Georgia were grouped into 10 regions. The survey was conducted throughout all regions of Georgia, except for the occupied territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. • Stage two: the territory of each region were split into settlements, and grouped according to subtype (i.e. cities, towns and villages). o Settlements were selected at random. o The number of selected settlements in each region is proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. • Stage three: primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent. • The response rate was 69 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development. 2 Strong Support for Euro-Atlantic Integration Do you support Georgia joining the European Union (EU)? Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/No answer Mar-17 64% 26% 3%3%3% Mar-16 63% 22% 5% 6% 4% Feb-15 62% 23% 4% 5% 6% Feb-14 70% 18% 3% 4% 5% May-13 67% 20% 2%2% 8% Feb-13 67% 21% 3%2% 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 4 Do you support Georgia joining NATO? Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/No answer Mar-17 56% 26% 6% 7% 5% Mar-16 55% 24% 7% 9% 5% Feb-15 57% 21% 6% 9% 7% Feb-14 58% 22% 5% 8% 7% May-13 61% 19% 5% 6% 8% Feb-13 63% 19% 6% 5% 7% Nov-12 65% 17% 4% 5% 9% Mar-12 59% 20% 4% 6% 11% Nov-11 61% 19% 5% 5% 10% May-11 55% 22% 6% 6% 11% Oct-10 55% 19% 5% 9% 12% Mar-10 50% 22% 6% 9% 13% Oct-09 54% 21% 6% 6% 13% Jun-09 45% 23% 9% 12% 10% Feb-09 49% 23% 7% 10% 11% Sep-08 70% 17% 4% 4% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 5 When do you think Georgia will become a member of NATO? 3% 5% 8% In 2018 42% In 2019 In 2021 Later Never 28% Don't know/No answer 14% 6 In your opinion, what should Georgia’s foreign policy approach be? Only pro-EU/pro-Western Pro-Western, but keep up relations with Russia Pro-Russian but remain an ally of the EU/the West Only pro-Russian Don't know/No answer Mar-17 23% 53% 12% 3% 9% Mar-16 22% 52% 11% 4% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 7 Have you heard about the approval of visa-free travel between the European Union and Georgia? 2% 1% Yes No Don't know/No answer 97% 8 After the implementation of visa-free travel, what do you expect the next steps will be for Georgia regarding the European Union Association Agreement? (three answers possible) Economic improvement 22% Tourism development 9% Job creation 6% Migration 6% Simplified travel 6% Improved relations between countries 5% General improvement 4% Free trade 4% Euro-integration 4% Cultural development 2% Education 2% Business development 1% Investment 1% Other 2% Nothing 11% Don't know/No answer 33% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 9 Attitudes Toward Russia How would you characterize the current state of the relationship between Georgia and…? Good Neither good nor bad Bad Don't know/No answer European Union 90% 6% 3% 1% 2% Azerbaijan 89% 8% 1% 5% Ukraine 87% 7% 1% United States 87% 8% 3%2% Turkey 81% 11% 6% 2% Germany 78% 11% 4% 7% Armenia 75% 16% 6% 3% Iran 55% 24% 6% 15% Russia 11% 12% 76% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 11 Which of these countries do you consider to be Georgia’s important partners? Political threats? Economic Threats? (three answers possible for each) Important partners Political threats Economic threats 80% 73% 70% 60% 57% 50% 42% 40% 33% 29% 30% 28% 27% 20% 16% 17% 14% 12% 10% 8% 10% 7% 6% 7% 5% 1% 2% 0.5% 3% 2% 0.5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0% 12 Would you support further dialogue with Russia? Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/No answer Mar-17 53% 29% 6% 10% 2% Mar-16 59% 24% 4% 10% 3% Feb-15 65% 20% 4% 8% 3% Feb-14 76% 16% 3% 4%2% May-13 82% 11% 2%3%2% 2%1% Feb-13 82% 13% 2% Nov-12 2% 2% 83% 11% 2% Mar-12 74% 19% 2%3%2% Nov-11 73% 17% 2%4% 4% May-11 78% 16% 2% 2% 2% Oct-10 84% 12% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% Mar-10 78% 15% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 13 How do you rate the government’s handling of Georgia’s relationship with Russia? Very positively Somewhat positively Somewhat negatively Very negatively Don't know/No answer Mar-17 15% 39% 24% 11% 11% Mar-16 14% 45% 18% 11% 11% Feb-15 17% 42% 18% 8% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 14 Do you think that Russian aggression toward Georgia is over or is still going on? It is over and unlikely to resume It is over but likely to resume It is still going on Don't know/No answer Mar-17 10% 23% 60% 7% Mar-16 9% 19% 67% 5% Feb-15 6% 21% 67% 6% Feb-14 7% 16% 71% 6% May-13 20% 18% 49% 13% Feb-13 19% 26% 44% 11% Nov-12 23% 19% 47% 11% Mar-12 4% 10% 78% 8% Nov-11 7% 17% 65% 11% May-11 3% 12% 72% 13% Oct-10 7% 18% 69% 6% Mar-10 5% 14% 74% 7% Oct-09 2% 11% 82% 5% Jun-09 2% 11% 82% 6% Feb-09 2% 10% 84% 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 15 Given the current state of Georgia’s relationship with Russia, how secure do you feel living in Georgia? Very secure More secure than insecure More insecure than secure Very insecure Don't know/No answer Mar-17 11% 47% 28% 9% 4% Mar-16 12% 41% 32% 10% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 16 State of the Economy What are the main problems currently facing Georgia? (three possible answers) 47% Unemployment 66% 24% Economic crisis 46% 9% Territorial integrity 24% 3% Social problems 10% 2% Inflation 12% 2% Unqualified workers 3% 1% Education 4% 1% Low pensions 4% 1% Low salaries 4% First mention 1% All mentions High food prices 7% 1% High utility rates 7% 0.5% Healthcare 4% 0.4% Cost of medication 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 18 What are the main problems currently facing Georgia? (top three answers) March 2017 47% Unemployment 66% 24% Economic crisis 46% First mention 9% All mentions Territorial integrity 24% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% March 2016 45% Unemployment 66% 17% General economic situation 40% First mention 14% All mentions Territorial integrity 29% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 19 What are the main problems currently facing your town or village? (three possible answers) 35% Unemployment 52% 11% Roads 19% 9% Economic crisis 16% 7% Drinking water 15% 4% Gas supply 10% 3% Infrastructure 7% 2% Social conditions 5% 2% Irrigation 3% 2% Traffic 4% 2% First mention Poor sanitation 4% 2% All mentions Lowering of retirement age 2% 1% Poor transportation 4% 1% Agriculture 3% 1% Ecology 4% 1% High utility rates 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 20 What are the main problems currently facing your town or village? (top three answers) March 2017 35% Unemployment 52% 11% Roads 19% First mention All mentions 9% Economic crisis 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% March 2016 32% Unemployment 40% 15% Roads 26% First mention 7% All mentions Drinking water 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 21 What are the main problems currently facing your household? (three possible answers) Unemployment 42% 49% Economic crisis 15% 24% Low salaries 6% 10% High utility rates 5% 11% Social conditions 3% 5% Low pensions 3% 5% Healthcare 3% 5% Absence of landfill 2% 3% First mention Health problems 2% 3% All mentions High cost of medications 2% 6% High bank interest rates 1% 2% High product prices 1% 3% No problems 4% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 22 What are the main problems currently facing your household? (top three answers) March 2017 42% Unemployment 49% 15% Economic crisis 24% First mention All mentions 6% Low salaries 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% March 2016 38% Unemployment 46% 9% Economic crisis 15% First mention 9% All mentions Poverty 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 23 How do you feel about the direction of each of the following issues during the past four years? Progressed Neither progressed nor regressed Regressed Don't know/No answer Freedom of speech 41% 31% 25% 3% Individual human rights 35% 35% 28% 2% Media independence 31% 36% 30% 3% Education 29% 39% 21% 10% Democracy 25% 43% 27% 5% National security 20% 40% 29% 11% Economy 7% 22% 69% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 24 Mood of the Country Do you think that things in Georgia are going in the...
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