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Republican Tables Table 8 Page 8 7. There are 30 Republican candidates listed on the official New Hampshire Primary ballot. If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were held today, who would be your first choice to win the Republican nomination? BANNER 1 ===================================================================================================== DEMOGRAPHICS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GENDER PARTY AREA AGE RACE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- HILL- ROCK- FE- IND/ NORTH CEN- SBOR- ING- TOTAL MALE MALE DEM REP OTHER /WEST TRAL OUGH HAM 17-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ WHITE OTHER ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Total 500 245 255 20 308 169 102 122 151 125 118 97 101 72 86 457 31 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Jeb Bush 49 21 28 2 32 15 13 14 12 10 6 7 10 12 13 45 4 10 9 11 10 10 9 13 11 8 8 5 7 10 17 15 10 13 Ben Carson 22 11 11 - 10 11 4 6 6 6 7 6 5 1 3 19 3 4 4 4 3 7 4 5 4 5 6 6 5 1 3 4 10 Chris Christie 26 11 15 1 13 12 4 4 13 5 13 2 2 6 3 25 1 5 4 6 5 4 7 4 3 9 4 11 2 2 8 3 5 3 Ted Cruz 33 17 16 - 24 8 3 10 8 12 12 7 8 3 - 29 2 7 7 6 8 5 3 8 5 10 10 7 8 4 6 6 Carly Fiorina 19 11 8 - 13 6 2 3 10 4 2 3 5 2 5 15 4 4 4 3 4 4 2 2 7 3 2 3 5 3 6 3 13 Jim Gilmore - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - John Kasich 65 35 30 5 31 29 12 22 22 9 13 15 13 12 7 63 1 13 14 12 25 10 17 12 18 15 7 11 15 13 17 8 14 3 Marco Rubio 97 34 63 4 69 24 20 23 28 26 20 18 21 13 22 88 5 19 14 25 20 22 14 20 19 19 21 17 19 21 18 26 19 16 Rick Santorum - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Donald Trump 144 85 59 2 86 55 32 33 42 37 36 28 32 16 25 133 6 29 35 23 10 28 33 31 27 28 30 31 29 32 22 29 29 19 Other 5 3 2 - 4 1 - 1 1 3 1 4 - - - 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 4 1 3 Table 8 Page 9 (Continued) 7. There are 30 Republican candidates listed on the official New Hampshire Primary ballot. If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were held today, who would be your first choice to win the Republican nomination? BANNER 1 ===================================================================================================== DEMOGRAPHICS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GENDER PARTY AREA AGE RACE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- HILL- ROCK- FE- IND/ NORTH CEN- SBOR- ING- TOTAL MALE MALE DEM REP OTHER /WEST TRAL OUGH HAM 17-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ WHITE OTHER ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Undecided 40 17 23 6 26 8 12 6 9 13 8 7 5 7 8 36 4 8 7 9 30 8 5 12 5 6 10 7 7 5 10 9 8 13 Table 9 Page 10 8. Which “other” candidate would be your first choice? BANNER 1 ===================================================================================================== DEMOGRAPHICS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GENDER PARTY AREA AGE RACE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- HILL- ROCK- FE- IND/ NORTH CEN- SBOR- ING- TOTAL MALE MALE DEM REP OTHER /WEST TRAL OUGH HAM 17-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ WHITE OTHER ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- THOSE WITH OTHER FIRST 5 3 2 - 4 1 - 1 1 3 1 4 - - - 4 1 CHOICE 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Andy Martin 1 1 - - 1 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 20 33 25 100 25 100 Rand Paul 1 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - 20 33 100 33 25 25 Vermin Supreme 1 - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - 20 50 25 33 25 25 Hillary Clinton 1 - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - 20 50 25 33 25 25 Bernie Sanders 1 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 - 20 33 25 100 100 25 Table 10 Page 11 9. Who would be your second choice to win the Republican nomination? BANNER 1 ===================================================================================================== DEMOGRAPHICS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GENDER PARTY AREA AGE RACE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- HILL- ROCK- FE- IND/ NORTH CEN- SBOR- ING- TOTAL MALE MALE DEM REP OTHER /WEST TRAL OUGH HAM 17-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ WHITE OTHER ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- THOSE WITH FIRST CHOICE 460 228 232 14 282 161 90 116 142 112 110 90 96 65 78 421 27 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Jeb Bush 41 18 23 1 27 12 9 15 11 6 10 6 7 8 8 36 3 9 8 10 7 10 7 10 13 8 5 9 7 7 12 10 9 11 Ben Carson 18 10 8 1 13 4 3 2 9 4 7 2 3 4 2 15 - 4 4 3 7 5 2 3 2 6 4 6 2 3 6 3 4 Chris Christie 47 30 17 1 22 24 8 16 13 10 4 14 10 9 9 42 2 10 13 7 7 8 15 9 14 9 9 4 16 10 14 12 10 7 Ted Cruz 67 35 32 2 42 23 10 18 25 14 20 15 10 9 11 62 3 15 15 14 14 15 14 11 16 18 12 18 17 10 14 14 15 11 Carly Fiorina 24 4 20 - 10 14 3 6 7 8 5 4 9 1 4 24 - 5 2 9 4 9 3 5 5 7 5 4 9 2 5 6 Jim Gilmore 1 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - 1 1 - * * * 1 1 * John Kasich 51 26 25 3 32 16 12 11 18 10 5 7 14 10 12 49 2 11 11 11 21 11 10 13 9 13 9 5 8 15 15 15 12 7 Rand Paul 9 4 5 - 8 1 - 3 5 1 2 4 2 1 - 8 1 2 2 2 3 1 3 4 1 2 4 2 2 2 4 Marco Rubio 75 39 36 1 46 28 17 15 20 23 21 12 18 8 13 70 4 16 17 16 7 16 17 19 13 14 21 19 13 19 12 17 17 15 Rick Santorum 2 - 2 - - 2 1 - 1 - - - 2 - - 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 2 * 4 Donald Trump 31 16 15 - 25 5 6 6 10 9 11 7 4 5 2 27 4 7 7 6 9 3 7 5 7 8 10 8 4 8 3 6 15 Table 10 Page 12 (Continued) 9. Who would be your second choice to win the Republican nomination? BANNER 1 ===================================================================================================== DEMOGRAPHICS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GENDER PARTY AREA AGE RACE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- HILL- ROCK- FE- IND/ NORTH CEN- SBOR- ING- TOTAL MALE MALE DEM REP OTHER /WEST TRAL OUGH HAM 17-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ WHITE OTHER ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Other 5 4 1 - 2 2 3 - - 2 1 1 - - 3 4 1 1 2 * 1 1 3 2 1 1 4 1 4 Undecided 89 41 48 5 54 30 18 24 23 24 24 18 17 10 13 82 6 19 18 21 36 19 19 20 21 16 21 22 20 18 15 17 19 22 Table 11 Page 13 10. Thinking about your first choice, is your mind made up or is it possible you’ll change your mind before the Republican primary next Tuesday? BANNER 1 ===================================================================================================== DEMOGRAPHICS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GENDER PARTY AREA AGE RACE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- HILL- ROCK- FE- IND/ NORTH CEN- SBOR- ING- TOTAL MALE MALE DEM REP OTHER /WEST TRAL OUGH HAM 17-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ WHITE OTHER ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- THOSE WITH FIRST CHOICE 460 228 232 14 282 161 90 116 142 112 110 90 96 65 78 421 27 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Mind made up – firmly 267 143 124 6 169 90 50 66 86 65 66 54 53 45 37 246 15 committed 58 63 53 43 60 56 56 57 61 58 60 60 55 69 47 58 56 Might change mind 153 73 80 4 90 58 28 39 48 38 39 30 34 16 27 139 10 between now and primary 33 32 34 29 32 36 31 34 34 34 35 33 35 25 35 33 37 Undecided 40 12 28 4 23 13 12 11 8 9 5 6 9 4 14 36 2 9 5 12 29 8 8 13 9 6 8 5 7 9 6 18 9 7 Table 12 Page 14 11. If Donald Trump becomes the eventual Republican nominee after all of the caucuses and primaries, would you feel enthusiastic, satisfied, dissatisfied, or upset? BANNER 1 ===================================================================================================== DEMOGRAPHICS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GENDER PARTY AREA AGE RACE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- HILL- ROCK- FE- IND/ NORTH CEN- SBOR- ING- TOTAL MALE MALE DEM REP OTHER /WEST TRAL OUGH HAM 17-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ WHITE OTHER ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Total 500 245 255 20 308 169 102 122 151 125 118 97 101 72 86 457 31 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Enthusiastic 127 70 57 3 80 43 24 32 41 30 30 26 29 17 19 118 6 25 29 22 15 26 25 24 26 27 24 25 27 29 24 22 26 19 Satisfied 139 72 67 3 89 45 26 32 41 40 42 27 23 21 19 124 13 28 29 26 15 29 27 25 26 27 32 36 28 23 29 22 27 42 Dissatisfied 73 41 32 4 45 24 16 19 22 16 12 13 16 13 15 62 8 15 17 13 20 15 14 16 16 15 13 10 13 16 18 17 14 26 Upset 135 49 86 5 83 47 26 35 42 32 29 25 29 19 28 130 2 27 20 34 25 27 28 25 29 28 26 25 26 29 26 33 28 6 Undecided 26 13 13 5 11 10 10 4 5 7 5 6 4 2 5 23 2 5 5 5 25 4 6 10 3 3 6 4 6 4 3 6 5 6 Table 13 Page 15 12.
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