Response of Dissolved Oxygen and Related Marine Ecological Parameters to a Tropical Cyclone in the South China Sea
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Effects of Climate Change on the World's Oceans
3rd International Symposium Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans March 21–27, 2015 Santos, Brazil Table of Contents Welcome � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � v Organizers and Sponsors � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �vi Notes for Guidance � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �ix Symposium Timetable � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � x List of Sessions and Workshops � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � xiii Floor Plans � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �xiv Detailed Schedules � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 1 Abstracts - Oral Presentations Keynote � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �77 Plenary Talks � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �79 Theme Session S1 Role of advection and mixing in -
Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon
Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon Quantitatively Precipitation in Taiwan Ling-Feng Hsiao1, Delia Yen-Chu Chen1, Ming-Jen Yang1, 2, Chin-Cheng Tsai1, Chieh-Ju Wang1, Lung-Yao Chang1, 3, Hung-Chi Kuo1, 3, Lei Feng1, Cheng-Shang Lee1, 3 1Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, NARL, Taipei 2Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Chung-Li 3Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei ABSTRACT The continuous torrential rain associated with a typhoon often caused flood, landslide or debris flow, leading to serious damages to Taiwan. Therefore the quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) during typhoon period is highly needed for disaster preparedness and emergency evacuation operation in Taiwan. Therefore, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute (TTFRI) started the typhoon quantitative precipitation forecast ensemble forecast experiment in 2010. The ensemble QPF experiment included 20 members. The ensemble members include various models (ARW-WRF, MM5 and CreSS models) and consider different setups in the model initial perturbations, data assimilation processes and model physics. Results show that the ensemble mean provides valuable information on typhoon track forecast and quantitative precipitation forecasts around Taiwan. For example, the ensemble mean track captured the sharp northward turning when Typhoon Megi (2010) moved westward to the South China Sea. The model rainfall also continued showing that the total rainfall at the northeastern Taiwan would exceed 1,000 mm, before the heavy rainfall occurred. Track forecasts for 21 typhoons in 2011 showed that the ensemble forecast has a comparable skill to those of operational centers and has better performance than a deterministic prediction. With an accurate track forecast for Typhoon Nanmadol, the ability for the model to predict rainfall distribution is significantly improved. -
Appendix 8: Damages Caused by Natural Disasters
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Draft Finnal Report APPENDIX 8: DAMAGES CAUSED BY NATURAL DISASTERS A8.1 Flood & Typhoon Table A8.1.1 Record of Flood & Typhoon (Cambodia) Place Date Damage Cambodia Flood Aug 1999 The flash floods, triggered by torrential rains during the first week of August, caused significant damage in the provinces of Sihanoukville, Koh Kong and Kam Pot. As of 10 August, four people were killed, some 8,000 people were left homeless, and 200 meters of railroads were washed away. More than 12,000 hectares of rice paddies were flooded in Kam Pot province alone. Floods Nov 1999 Continued torrential rains during October and early November caused flash floods and affected five southern provinces: Takeo, Kandal, Kampong Speu, Phnom Penh Municipality and Pursat. The report indicates that the floods affected 21,334 families and around 9,900 ha of rice field. IFRC's situation report dated 9 November stated that 3,561 houses are damaged/destroyed. So far, there has been no report of casualties. Flood Aug 2000 The second floods has caused serious damages on provinces in the North, the East and the South, especially in Takeo Province. Three provinces along Mekong River (Stung Treng, Kratie and Kompong Cham) and Municipality of Phnom Penh have declared the state of emergency. 121,000 families have been affected, more than 170 people were killed, and some $10 million in rice crops has been destroyed. Immediate needs include food, shelter, and the repair or replacement of homes, household items, and sanitation facilities as water levels in the Delta continue to fall. -
Scale and Spatial Distribution Assessment of Rainfall-Induced Landslides in a Catchment with Mountain Roads
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 687–708, 2018 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-687-2018 © Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Scale and spatial distribution assessment of rainfall-induced landslides in a catchment with mountain roads Chih-Ming Tseng1, Yie-Ruey Chen1, and Szu-Mi Wu2 1Department of Land Management and Development, Chang Jung Christian University, Tainan, 71101, Taiwan (ROC) 2Chen-Du Construction Limited, Taoyuan, 33059, Taiwan (ROC) Correspondence: Chih-Ming Tseng ([email protected]) Received: 14 July 2017 – Discussion started: 4 October 2017 Revised: 27 December 2017 – Accepted: 22 January 2018 – Published: 2 March 2018 Abstract. This study focused on landslides in a catchment Landslide susceptibility can be evaluated by analysing the with mountain roads that were caused by Nanmadol (2011) relationships between landslides and various factors that are and Kong-rey (2013) typhoons. Image interpretation tech- responsible for the occurrence of landslides (Brabb, 1984; niques were employed to for satellite images captured before Guzzetti et al., 1999, 2005). In general, the factors that af- and after the typhoons to derive the surface changes. A mul- fect landslides include predisposing factors (e.g. geology, to- tivariate hazard evaluation method was adopted to establish pography, and hydrology) and triggering factors (e.g. rainfall, a landslide susceptibility assessment model. The evaluation earthquakes, and anthropogenic factors) (Chen et al., 2013a, of landslide locations and relationship between landslide and b; Chue et al., 2015). Geological factors include lithological predisposing factors is preparatory for assessing and map- factors, structural conditions, and soil thickness; topograph- ping landslide susceptibility. -
The Effect of Warm Water and Its Weak Negative Feedback on the Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Hato (2017)
Vol.26 No.4 JOURNAL OF TROPICAL METEOROLOGY Dec 2020 Article ID: 1006-8775(2020) 04-0402-15 The Effect of Warm Water and Its Weak Negative Feedback on the Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Hato (2017) HUO Zi-mo (霍子墨), DUAN Yi-hong (端义宏), LIU Xin (刘 欣) (State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081 China) Abstract: Typhoon Hato (2017) went through a rapid intensification (RI) process before making landfall in Zhuhai, Guangdong Province, as the observational data shows. Within 24 hours, its minimum sea level pressure deepened by 35hPa and its maximum sustained wind speed increased by 20m s-1. According to satellite observations, Hato encountered a large area of warm water and two warm core rings before the RI process, and the average sea surface temperature cooling (SSTC) induced by Hato was only around 0.73℃. Air-sea coupled simulations were implemented to investigate the specific impact of the warm water on its RI process. The results showed that the warm water played an important role by facilitating the RI process by around 20%. Sea surface temperature budget analysis showed that the SSTC induced by mixing mechanism was not obvious due to the warm water. Besides, the cold advection hardly caused any SSTC, either. Therefore, the SSTC induced by Hato was much weaker compared with that in general cases. The negative feedback between ocean and Hato was restrained and abundant heat and moisture were sufficiently supplied to Hato. The warm water helped heat flux increase by around 20%, too. Therefore, the warm water influenced the structure and the intensity of Hato. -
Health Action in Crises PHILIPPINES FLOODS
Health Action in Crises PHILIPPINES FLOODS Situation 2 December 2004 - Tropical Depression "Winnie" has triggered massive floods in northern and central Philippines. Some 400 persons are reported dead, with many people still unaccounted for. An estimated 240,000 persons have been directly affected (government figures). The most affected provinces include Isabela (Region II); Bulacan, Nueva Ecija and Aurora (Region III); Quezon and Rizal (Region IV) and Camarines Sur (Region V). Efforts are focused on search and rescue activities. The procurement and distribution of relief items are also underway. The National Disaster Coordination Council (NDCC) is charged with heading the response, in conjunction with the Defense Department. The NDCC is supported by the UN in-country team. Possible needs in the health sector A comprehensive impact assessment has not yet been undertaken. However, it can be anticipated that the following issues may be of concern: ¾ Damage to health facilities and equipment, as well as disrupted medical supply systems. ¾ Outages in electricity endanger the cold chain. ¾ Relocation of people may result in an overburden of functional primary and referral health services. ¾ Floods and landslides could lead to the disruption of water distribution systems and the loss/contamination of water supplies. In flood situations, the lack of safe drinking water supplies and adequate sanitation, combined with population displacement, heightens the risk of outbreaks of water- and vector-borne diseases. ¾ Shortage of supplies and staff for mass casualty management could occur. WHO immediate actions WHO has mobilized US$ 20,000 to support the assessment of urgent health needs. Medical kits are on standby and are ready to be shipped should they be needed. -
Combinatorial Optimization for WRF Physical Parameterization Schemes: a Case Study of Three-Day Typhoon Simulations Over the Northwest Pacific Ocean
atmosphere Article Combinatorial Optimization for WRF Physical Parameterization Schemes: A Case Study of Three-Day Typhoon Simulations over the Northwest Pacific Ocean Zhenhua Di 1,2,* , Wei Gong 1 , Yanjun Gan 3 , Chenwei Shen 1 and Qingyun Duan 1 1 State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; [email protected] (W.G.); [email protected] (C.S.); [email protected] (Q.D.) 2 State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China 3 State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +86-10-5880-0217 Received: 21 March 2019; Accepted: 23 April 2019; Published: 1 May 2019 Abstract: Quantifying a set of suitable physics parameterization schemes for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is essential for obtaining highly accurate typhoon forecasts. In this study, a systematic Tukey-based combinatorial optimization method was proposed to determine the optimal physics schemes of the WRF model for 15 typhoon simulations over the Northwest Pacific Ocean, covering all available schemes of microphysics (MP), cumulus (CU), and planetary boundary layer (PBL) physical processes. Results showed that 284 scheme combination searches were sufficient to find the optimal scheme combinations for simulations of track (km), central sea level pressure 1 (CSLP, hPa), and 10 m maximum surface wind (10-m wind, m s− ), compared with the 700 sets of full combinations (i.e., 10 MP 7 CU 10 PBL). -
Statistical Characteristics of the Response of Sea Surface Temperatures to Westward Typhoons in the South China Sea
remote sensing Article Statistical Characteristics of the Response of Sea Surface Temperatures to Westward Typhoons in the South China Sea Zhaoyue Ma 1, Yuanzhi Zhang 1,2,*, Renhao Wu 3 and Rong Na 4 1 School of Marine Science, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China; [email protected] 2 Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 999777, China 3 School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-Sen University and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai 519082, China; [email protected] 4 College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +86-1888-885-3470 Abstract: The strong interaction between a typhoon and ocean air is one of the most important forms of typhoon and sea air interaction. In this paper, the daily mean sea surface temperature (SST) data of Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for Earth Observation System (EOS) (AMSR-E) are used to analyze the reduction in SST caused by 30 westward typhoons from 1998 to 2018. The findings reveal that 20 typhoons exerted obvious SST cooling areas. Moreover, 97.5% of the cooling locations appeared near and on the right side of the path, while only one appeared on the left side of the path. The decrease in SST generally lasted 6–7 days. Over time, the cooling center continued to diffuse, and the SST gradually rose. The slope of the recovery curve was concentrated between 0.1 and 0.5. -
The Development of COMCOT Storm Surge Model and the Applica on to 2013 Typhoon
The Development of COMCOT Storm Surge Model and the Applicaon to 2013 Typhoon Haiyan 2014/03/25 (二 ) Prof. Tso-Ren Wu (吳祚任) 蔡育霖、莊美惠、林君蔚 [email protected] Naonal Central University (Taiwan) 國立中央大學(台灣) Introduc:on of COMCOT (Cornell Mul:-grid Coupled Tsunami Model) • Solve shallow water equaons on both spherical and Cartesian coordinate systems • Explicit leapfrog Finite Difference Method for stable and high speed calculaon system • Mul:/Nested-grid system for mul:ple wave scales • Moving Boundary Scheme for inundaon (2). COMCOT has been used on many scien:fic papers At least 26 SCI papers were published during 2001~2011 (Including Science) 1. Title: Long waves through emergent coastal vegetaon 7. Title: An insitu borescopic quan:tave imaging profiler for the 12. Title: Analy:cal and numerical simulaon of tsunami Author(s): Mei Chiang C.; Chan I-Chi; Liu Philip L. -F.; et al. measurement of high concentraon sediment velocity mi:gaon by mangroves in Penang, Malaysia Source: JOURNAL OF FLUID MECHANICS Volume: 687 Pages: Author(s): Cowen Edwin A.; Dudley Russell D.; Liao Qian; et al. Author(s): Teh Su Yean; Koh Hock Lye; Liu Philip Li-Fan; et al. 461-491 DOI: 10.1017/jfm.2011.373 Published: NOV 2011 Source: EXPERIMENTS IN FLUIDS Volume: 49 Issue: 1 Special Source: JOURNAL OF ASIAN EARTH SCIENCES Volume: 36 Issue: SI Pages: 77-88 DOI: 10.1007/s00348-009-0801-8 Issue: 1 Pages: 38-46 DOI: 10.1016/j.jseaes.2008.09.007 2. Title: Insights on the 2009 South Pacific tsunami in Samoa Published: JUL 2010 Published: SEP 4 2009 and Tonga from field surveys and numerical simulaons Author(s): Fritz Hermann M.; Borrero Jose C.; Synolakis 8. -
Remote Sensing of Typhoons Impact and Disaster Management Danling
Remote Sensing of Typhoons Impact and Disaster Management - A New Ecological Index for SST Cooling Response to Typhoon 唐丹玲 DanLing Tang 唐丹玲 South China Sea Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences合 http://lingzis.51.net/ [email protected] Marine Silk Road Guangzhou Climate Changes /Natural Hazards 沙尘暴 台风玛姬 印度洋海啸2004 California Noctiluca ? 2013 青岛浒苔 夜光藻赤潮 山东日照 阿拉伯海藻华 Distribution of typhoon (hurricane) 台风玛姬 ? 1 Typhoon impacts on marine ecosystem A New Ecological Index for SST Cooling 2 Response to Typhoon 3 Typhoon Disaster Management Remote Sensing Observations Marine Environment and ecology 中科院南海海洋研究所 唐丹玲 Typhoons impact 1 on Marine Ecosystems DanLing TANG B. Post-typhoon Chl-a B1. 2005 a HNI HNI Damrey, Sep 2005 b SCS A3. 22:36, Sep 25 China B2. 2002-2004 HNI SCS HNI A4. 11:26, Sep 26 China HNI Modis Chl-a (mg m-3) SCS 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.0 2.4 0 QuikScat Wind Vectors (m/s) Zheng and Tang, MEPS 2007 0 10 20 30 Offshore and nearshore chlorophyll increases induced by typhoon and typhoon rain. Offer shore Near shore Guangming Zheng and Danling Tang, 2007, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 333:61-74,2007 (SCI) TMI-AMSRE A B C DanLing TANG SST A B C (mg m-3) TRMM Rainfall (mm) Chl-a TMI-AMSRE SST ( C) Chl-a (mg m-3) TRMM Rainfall (mm) 25 26 27 28 29 30 0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.03.0 2.4 0 60 120 180 240 25 26 30027 28 29 30 0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 3.0 0 60 120 180 240 300 A1. -
Transition from an Eastern Pacific Upper-Level Mixed Rossby-Gravity
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 34, L24801, doi:10.1029/2007GL031831, 2007 Click Here for Full Article Transition from an eastern Pacific upper-level mixed Rossby-gravity wave to a western Pacific tropical cyclone Xiaqiong Zhou1 and Bin Wang1 Received 28 August 2007; revised 1 November 2007; accepted 8 November 2007; published 18 December 2007. [1] The ancestor of unseasonal Typhoon Nanmadol (2004) [3] Upper tropospheric MRG waves were also identified over the western North Pacific is traced back to the Eastern over the central Pacific, but a consensus on the connection Pacific (near 120°W) as an upper tropospheric, counter- between the upper and lower tropospheric MRG waves have clockwise rotating mixed Rossby-gravity (MRG) wave. The not been reached. Randel [1992] suggested that there is no temporal and spatial evolution from an equatorial trapped close connection between the upper and lower MRG wave MRG-wave-type disturbance to an off-equatorial tropical branches. Yanai et al. [1968] have shown that the lower depression is documented by utilizing NOGAPS (Navy’s tropospheric MRG waves feed the lower stratospheric Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System) MRG by upward-energy-transport. Dunkerton and Baldwin analysis data. It is found that the MRG wave moved away [1995] found significant correlation to 200 mb MRG waves a from the equator after a dramatic reduction in its zonal few days prior to the arrival of waves in the lower troposphere. dimension and downward development and amplification in [4] Despite the different structure and preferred regions, the lower troposphere. These dramatic changes in MRG the MRG-type and TD-type disturbances have some dy- wave properties are attributed to the modulation of the namical connections. -
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society J Uly 2012
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Bulletin of the American Meteorological >ŝďƌĂƌŝĞƐ͗WůĞĂƐĞĮůĞǁŝƚŚƚŚĞƵůůĞƟŶŽĨƚŚĞŵĞƌŝĐĂŶDĞƚĞŽƌŽůŽŐŝĐĂů^ŽĐŝĞƚLJ, Vol. 93, Issue 7 July 2012 July 93 Vol. 7 No. Supplement STATE OF THE CLIMATE IN 2011 Editors Jessica Blunden Derek S. Arndt Associate Editors Howard J. Diamond Martin O. Jeffries Ted A. Scambos A. Johannes Dolman Michele L. Newlin Wassila M. Thiaw Ryan L. Fogt James A. Renwick Peter W. Thorne Margarita C. Gregg Jacqueline A. Richter-Menge Scott J. Weaver Bradley D. Hall Ahira Sánchez-Lugo Kate M. Willett AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY Copies of this report can be downloaded from doi: 10.1175/2012BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 and http://www.ncdc.noaa. gov/bams-state-of-the-climate/ This report was printed on 85%–100% post-consumer recycled paper. Cover credits: Front: ©Jakob Dall Photography — Wajir, Kenya, July 2011 Back: ©Jonathan Wood/Getty Images — Rockhampton, Queensland, Australia, January 2011 HOW TO CITE THIS DOCUMENT Citing the complete report: Blunden, J., and D. S. Arndt, Eds., 2012: State of the Climate in 2011. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93 (7), S1–S264. Citing a chapter (example): Gregg, M. C., and M. L. Newlin, Eds., 2012: Global oceans [in “State of the Climate in 2011”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93 (7), S57–S92. Citing a section (example): Johnson, G. C., and J. M. Lyman, 2012: [Global oceans] Sea surface salinity [in “State of the Climate in 2011”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93 (7), S68–S69. EDITOR & AUTHOR AFFILIATIONS (ALPHABETICAL BY NAME) Achberger, C., Earth Sciences