ETF Monthly Asia
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13 July 2017 ETF Monthly Asia Deutsche Bank Markets Research Asia Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy Date ETF Monthly Asia 13 July 2017 First monthly outflow in 2017 Data in this report is as of 30th June 2017 Ari Rajendra Research Analyst Asia listed ETP Monthly Highlights (Assets & Flows): +44-20-754-52282 n Assets: ETP AUM up by $2.8bn on MoM basis and ended the month at $372bn. Sebastian Mercado, CFA n Flows: June saw the first monthly net outflows in 2017 of -$0.6bn (YTD Strategist +$25.1bn). +1-212-250-8690 New Product Launches – 9 new products, fixed income ETFs dominate Asia-Pac ETP market recorded 9 new launches which include 1 equity, 6 fixed income and 2 commodity ETFs. New launches were primarily around Korean equities, US treasuries, Australian bonds, crude oil and grains. Investment Themes for the Month n Equity ETFs attracted +$1.8bn in June (+$407mn in May). Primary contributors were Japan focused ETFs registering inflows of +$2.3bn driven by Bank of Japan purchases. n South Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong focused ETFs were other beneficiaries in June collecting inflows of +$414mn, +$388mn and + $287mn respectively. n Leveraged/inverse (-$1.1bn) and China (-$628mn) focused ETFs saw redemptions in June. n Fixed income ETFs witnessed outflows of -$2.9bn, primarily from China money market ETFs (-$3.3bn). n Non Asia listed Equity ETFs with investment focus in the Asia-Pacific region drew +$2.6bn driven also by Japan focused ETFs (+$1.5bn). Turnover: MoM turnover increased by 12.6% The total turnover activity into Asian ETPs increased by 12.6% ($187.7bn) compared to the previous month’s total ($166.8bn). Distributed on: 13/07/2017 11:18:09 GMT Deutsche Bank AG/London Deutsche Bank does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. Thus, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS ARE LOCATED IN APPENDIX 1.MCI (P) 083/04/2017. 0bed7b6cf11c 13 July 2017 ETF Monthly Asia Table Of Contents 1. Market Overview .......................................................... 3 Market review: Most major Asian markets saw positive returns in J ............. 3 2. Asia-Pac Listed ETF Activity Summary ........................ 4 Japan equities accumulates inflows while China money markets saw ........... 4 3. Product Insights ........................................................... 6 New launches – 9 new ETFs in Asia .............................................................. 6 4. Global ETP Industry Overview and Investment Tre ........................................................................................... 7 Global ETP AUM above $4 trillion with over $56bn monthly inflows .............. 7 Regional positioning: Broad DM, Europe and EM preferred ........................... 8 Global Investor positioning in Asia: Inflow to Japan, outflow fro ................... 8 ETFs vs. Mutual Funds in Asia Pac .............................................................. 10 5. Performance and Growth ........................................... 11 Performance and growth for Asia-Pac focused ETFs listed globally ............. 11 Top ETPs – Asia-Pac listed ........................................................................... 13 Top ETPs – Other regions with Asia-Pac focus ............................................. 16 6. Asia-Pac Listed ETPs - Statistics ................................ 20 Country Breakdown ...................................................................................... 22 Issuer Rankings ............................................................................................ 23 7. ETP - Net Flows ......................................................... 30 Investment Focus ......................................................................................... 30 Sub Segment ................................................................................................ 31 Issuer ............................................................................................................ 34 Index Provider ............................................................................................... 35 Underlying Index/Security ............................................................................. 36 8. ETP - Turnover ............................................................ 37 Investment Focus ......................................................................................... 37 Sub Segment ................................................................................................ 39 Exchange ...................................................................................................... 41 Issuer ............................................................................................................ 42 Index Provider ............................................................................................... 43 Underlying Index/Security ............................................................................. 44 9. ETP - Assets Under Management .............................. 46 Investment Focus ......................................................................................... 46 Sub Segment ................................................................................................ 48 Issuer ............................................................................................................ 50 Index Provider ............................................................................................... 51 Underlying Index/Security ............................................................................. 52 Appendix A: Glossary ..................................................... 55 Appendix B: How we define ETPs ................................. 56 Page 2 Deutsche Bank AG/London 13 July 2017 ETF Monthly Asia 1. Market Overview Market review: Most major Asian markets saw positive returns in June Many of the equity markets globally continued to record positive returns on a month-over-month basis. During June, within Asia-Pac region, China, Taiwan and South Korea were the best performers. Broad global emerging markets and broad Asia-Pac market return were also positive over the last month. Outside Asia-Pac region, US witnessed positive returns however Europe retreated sharply. On a YTD basis, all the major markets ended in positive territory at the end of June. Emerging markets were strongly positive posting double digit growth so far, especially Korea, Hong Kong, India, broad global emerging markets and broad Asia-Pac. US and European markets returned below 10% but were positive. Following is the snapshot of major benchmarks’ recent performance: Figure 1: Major Benchmark Performance Jun - 17 May - 17 Benchmarks YTD TTM (MoM) (MoM) Japan (Nikkei 225) 1.95% 2.36% 4.81% 28.62% South Korea (KOSPI2) 2.33% 6.08% 19.90% 27.70% China (CSI 300) 4.98% 1.54% 10.78% 16.26% Taiwan (TWSE) 3.53% 1.71% 12.34% 19.94% Hong Kong (HSI) 0.41% 4.25% 17.11% 23.90% India (Sensex) -0.72% 4.10% 16.13% 14.53% Singapore (FSSTI) 0.49% 1.11% 12.00% 13.57% Australia (S&P/ASX 200) -0.05% -3.37% 0.98% 9.33% US (S&P 500) 0.48% 1.16% 8.24% 15.46% Europe (STOXX Europe 600) -2.72% 0.75% 4.97% 15.00% Asia-Pac (MSCI AC Asia Pacific - MXAP) 1.25% 2.56% 14.48% 19.93% EM (MSCI Emerging Markets - MXEF) 0.54% 2.80% 17.23% 21.18% Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP Figure 2: Jun-17 (MoM) benchmark performance Figure 3: YTD benchmark performance 106 125 CSI 300 CSI 300 KOSPI2 KOSPI2 105 0) 0) TWSE HSI 0 0 120 1 1 ( ( 104 d d e e KOSPI2 Sensex 115 as 103 as b b e e Nikkei 225 TWSE R R 102 s ls 110 el e FSSTI FSSTI v v 101 e e L S&P 500 L 105 CSI 300 100 dex dex n n I I 99 HSI S&P 500 100 98 STOXX Europe S&P/ASX 200 S&P/ASX 200 STOXX Europe 600 97 95 Sensex Nikkei 225 STOXX Europe S&P/ASX 200 600 Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 3 13 July 2017 ETF Monthly Asia 2. Asia-Pac Listed ETF Activity Summary Japan equities accumulates inflows while China money markets saw redemptions Asia-Pac listed ETPs recorded first monthly outflows in June this year totalling - $0.6bn bringing YTD flows total to +$25.1bn. After receiving mild inflows in May (+$407mn), equity ETF flows picked up in June bringing in +$1.8bn in new money. However, it was offset by fixed income ETF outflows of -$2.9bn over the last month. Equity ETF inflows in June were primarily contributed by Japan focused ETFs registering inflows of +$2.3bn. Moreover, Japan focused ETF YTD inflows (+ $28.6bn), driven by Bank of Japan purchases, dominated entire equity ETF flows in H1 (+$26.8bn). Apart from Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong focused ETFs also benefited in June recording inflows of +$414mn, +$388mn and + $287mn respectively. These were partially offset by leveraged/inverse (-$1.1bn) and China (-$628mn) focused ETFs. In the region, fixed income ETF flows have been dominated by China money market ETFs. Unlike previous months when these ETFs posted strong inflows, in June China money market ETFs experienced -$3.3bn worth of redemptions amid bullish equity markets. Figure 4: Major flow activity by country – Jun 2017 Figure 5: Major flow activity by country – YTD ) ) 4 35 n n b b 3 $ $ 30 ( ( 2 s s 25 w w 1 o o l - l 20 F F t t e (1) e 15 N (2) N e e iv (3) 10 tiv lat (4) la u 5 (5) u m m u (6) u - C C (5) (10) Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17