Secrets of the Temple: How the Federal Reserve Runs the Country by William Greider
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Political Pressures on Monetary Policy During the US Great Inflation†
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2012, 4(2): 33–64 http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/mac.4.2.33 Political Pressures on Monetary Policy During the US Great Inflation† By Charles L. Weise* Drawing on an analysis of Federal Open Market Committee FOMC documents, this paper argues that political pressures on the( Federal) Reserve were an important contributor to the rise in inflation in the United States in the 1970s. Members of the FOMC understood that a serious attempt to tackle inflation would generate opposition from Congress and the executive branch. Political considerations contributed to delays in monetary tightening, insufficiently aggressive anti-inflation policies, and the premature abandonment of attempts at disinflation. Empirical analysis verifies that references to the political environment at FOMC meetings are correlated with the stance of monetary policy during this period. JEL D72, E32, E52, ( E58, N12 ) hat accounts for the Federal Reserve’s failure to control inflation in the WUnited States in the 1970s? One important set of factors has been highlighted in recent research by Romer and Romer 2002 , Nelson 2005 , Orphanides 2002, ( ) ( ) ( 2003, 2004 , and others. The argument set forth by these authors, which Romer ) 2005 calls the “ideas” hypothesis, is that the Federal Reserve’s errors were rooted ( ) in the beliefs that policymakers held about the structure of the economy. These beliefs included an unrealistically low estimate of the natural rate of unemploy- ment, the belief that observed inflation had little to do with monetary policy and that monetary policy could do little to combat it, and an overly pessimistic estimate of the costs of disinflation. -
Holt Atherton Special Collections Ms4: Brubeck Collection
HOLT ATHERTON SPECIAL COLLECTIONS MS4: BRUBECK COLLECTION SERIES 1: PAPERS SUBSERIES E: CLIPPINGS BOX 3a : REVIEWS, 1940s-1961 1.E.3.1: REVIEWS, 1940s a- “Jazz Does Campus Comeback but in new Guise it’s a ‘Combo,’” Oakland Tribune, 3-24-47 b- Jack Egan. “Egan finds jury…,” Down Beat, 9-10-47 c- “Local boys draw comment,” <n.s.> [Chicago], 12-1-48 d- Edward Arnow. “Brubeck recital is well-received,” Stockton Record, 1-18-49 e- Don Roessner. “Jazz meets J.S. Bach in the Bay Region,” SF Chronicle, 2- 13-49 f- Robert McCary. “Jazz ensemble in first SF appearance,” SF Chronicle, 3-6- 49 g- Clifford Gessler. “Snap, skill mark UC jazz concert,” <n.s.> [Berkeley CA], n.d. [4-49] h- “Record Reviews---DB Trio on Coronet,” Metronome, 9-49, pg. 31 i- Keith Jones. “Exciting and competent, says this critic,” Daily Californian, 12- 6-49 j- Kenneth Wastell. “Letters to the editor,” Daily Californian, 12-8-49 k- Dick Stewart. “Letters to the editor,” Daily Californian, 12-9-49 l- Ken Wales. “Letters to the editor,” Daily Californian, 12-14-49 m- “Record Reviews: The Month’s best [DB Trio on Coronet],” Metronome, Dec. 1949 n- “Brubeck Sounds Good” - 1949 o- Ralph J. Gleason, “Local Units Give Frisco Plenty to Shout About,” Down Beat, [1949?] 1.E.3.2: REVIEWS, 1950 a- “Record Reviews: Dave Brubeck Trio,” Down Beat, 1-27-50 b- Bill Greer, "A Farewell to Measure from Bach to Bop," The Crossroads, January 1950, Pg. 13 c- Keith Jones. “Dave Brubeck,” Bay Bop, [San Francisco] 2-15-50 d- “Poetic License in Jazz: Brubeck drops in on symphony forum, demonstrates style with Bach-flavored bop,” The Daily Californian, 2-27-50 e- Barry Ulanov. -
Democratic Money
Democratic Money: A Populist Perspective with Lawrence Goodwyn and William Greider Remarks presented on the occasion of the 100th anniversary of the Populist Sub-Treasury Plan for financial reform 9 December 1989, St. Louis, Missouri Introduction by Tom Schlesinger Director, Southern Finance Project It was a resigned, plaintive-sounding analogy but it spoke volumes about the roaring ’80s. "I don’t think it is healthy to have this dramatic concentration of financial power," investment banker Felix Rohatyn told the New York Times in 1988. "But it’s just like the nuclear age, you can never uninvent the atomic bomb any more than you can uninvent these astronomical capital markets." Maybe so. But Mr. Rohatyn’s financial world, for all its explosive effects on American society in the past decade, has proven to be eerily fragile as well as inordinately powerful. In fact, that world is no more permanent than those created by the crop lien system in the 1880s or stock watering in the 1920s. To reckon with a system that appears to have spun so majestically out of control, it helps to consider America’s historical record of financial disorders -- and of ordinary citizens organizing themselves to "uninvent" the problem. There’s no more telling example than the Gilded Age and the biracial agrarian firestorm it provoked called Populism. The Populist movement built itself on a model of economic cooperation intended to combat the two sources of financial pressure that plagued farm communities 100 years ago -- vise-like credit conditions and a pinched, inflexible currency. By the end of the 1880s, hundreds of thousands of Americans had been drawn to Populism’s organizational seedbed, the Farmers Alliance, through its cooperatives and vibrant system of grassroots education. -
Interview with Frederick H. Schultz Former Vice Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Federal Reserve Board Oral History Project Interview with Frederick H. Schultz Former Vice Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Date: January 7, 2008, and January 8, 2008 Location: Jacksonville, Florida Interviewers: David H. Small and Lynn Fox Federal Reserve Board Oral History Project In connection with the centennial anniversary of the Federal Reserve in 2013, the Board undertook an oral history project to collect personal recollections of a range of former Governors and senior staff members, including their background and education before working at the Board; important economic, monetary policy, and regulatory developments during their careers; and impressions of the institution’s culture. Following the interview, each participant was given the opportunity to edit and revise the transcript. In some cases, the Board staff also removed confidential FOMC and Board material in accordance with records retention and disposition schedules covering FOMC and Board records that were approved by the National Archives and Records Administration. Note that the views of the participants and interviewers are their own and are not in any way approved or endorsed by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Because the conversations are based on personal recollections, they may include misstatements and errors. ii Contents January 7, 2008 (First Day of Interview) .................................................................................... 1 Background .................................................................................................................................... -
Perceived FOMC: the Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers
Perceived FOMC: The Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers Michael Bordo1 Klodiana Istrefi2 [email protected] [email protected] Economics Working Paper 18108 HOOVER INSTITUTION 434 GALVEZ MALL STANFORD UNIVERSITY STANFORD, CA 94305-6010 May 18, 2018 Narrative records in US newspapers reveal that about 70 percent of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members who served during the last 55 years are perceived to have had persistent policy preferences over time, as either inflation-fighting hawks or growth-promoting doves. The rest are perceived as swingers, switching between types, or remained an unknown quantity to markets. What makes a member a hawk or a dove? What moulds those who change their tune? We highlight ideology by education and early life economic experiences of members of the FOMC from 1960s to 2015. This research is based on an original dataset. Keywords: monetary policy committees; Federal Reserve; policy preferences JEL No. E03, E50, E61 The Hoover Institution Economics Working Paper Series allows authors to distribute research for discussion and comment among other researchers. Working papers reflect the views of the authors and not the views of the Hoover Institution. 1Michael Bordo, Department of Economics, Rutgers University, 75 Hamilton Street, New Brunswick NJ 08901. 2 Klodiana Istrefi, Monetary Policy Research Division, Banque de France. Introduction Monetary policy decisions in recent years typically arise from the deliberation and vote of a committee.3 The setting of policy in a committee -
Ethics and Globalization the Tradeoffs Underlying Our Policy Choices
ETHICS AND GLOBALIZATION The Tradeoffs Underlying Our Policy Choices A conference at the Peterson Institute for International Economics made possible by the generous support of the Stavros Niarchos Foundation and cosponsored by The New Republic Adam S. Posen, President, Peterson Institute for International Economics The Honorable Barney Frank, Congressman, D-MA, 1981–2012 (Keynote Speaker) William Galston, University of Maryland Thomas Pogge, Yale University Anne Krueger, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies Michael Froman, The White House Dani Rodrik, Harvard University William R. Cline, Howard F. Rosen, and Ethics and Globalization: The Tradeoffs Underlying Our Policy Choices A conference at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Arvind Subramanian, Peterson Institute for Made possible by the generous support of the Stavros Niarchos Foundation International Economics Conference co-sponsored by January 7, 2013 9:15 Opening: The Need for Challenging Choices Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics 9:30 Session I - Pursuit of Domestic vs Global Welfare William Galston, University of Maryland Anne Krueger, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies Edited by Steven R. Weisman Thomas Pogge, Yale University Arvind Subramanian, Peterson Institute for International Economics Moderator: Steven R. Weisman, Peterson Institute for International Economics 11:00 Coffee break 11:15 Session II – Balancing Economic Goals between Generations David Blanchflower, Dartmouth College William Cline, Peterson Institute for International Economics Jagadeesh Gokhale, Cato Institute Neil Howe, Center for Strategic and International Studies Moderator: Noam Scheiber, The New Republic 1:00 Lunch Address: The Honorable Barney Frank (Congressman, D-MA, 1981-2012) 2:15 Session III – Expecting Ethical Duties from Private Actors George David, Retired Chairman & CEO, United Technologies Corporation Kimberly Ann Elliott, Center for Global Development Sir Evelyn Robert de Rothschild, E.L. -
EXTENSIONS of REMARKS 33729 A.Tives to Postpone for One Day the Final Vote H
November 27, 1979 EXTENSIONS OF REMARKS 33729 a.tives to postpone for one day the final vote H. Res. 445. October 12, 1979. Rules. Estab H. Res. 453. October 18, 1979 . .&ppropria on any blll or resolution which was a.mended lishes in the House of Representatives an Ad tions. Disapproves the deferral of budget au in the Committee of the Whole. Hoc Committee on Water Resources. thority for fiscal year 1980 for prompting and H. Res. 435. September 27, 1979. Rules. H. Res. 446. October 16, 1979. Rules. developing fishery products (Deferra.l Num Amends the Rules of the House of Repre Amends the Rules of the House of Repre bered D 80-7). senta.tives to require that a. portion of the sentatives to restrict provisions of and H. Res. 454. October 18, 1979. Sets forth time provided for general debate on any bill amendments to appropriation bllls. the rule for the consideration of H.R. 2727. or resolution when the House is meeting in H. Res. 447. October 16, 1979. House Ad H. Res. 455. October 18, 1979. Sets forth the the Committee of the Whole shall be re ministration. Limits the use of the section of rule for the consideration of H.R. 3948. served and ma.de available exclusively for the Oongressiona.l Record entitled "Exten H. Res. 456. October 18, 1979. Sets forth the a final period of general debate on the bill sions of Remarks" by Members of the House rule for the consideration of H.R. 2313. or resolution in its final form. -
The History of Public Secondary Education in Wyoming, Ohio
ACKNOWLEDGMENT Much valuable assistance was rendered the writer in the preparation of this thesis. The sound counsel and patience of Dr. D. H. Eikenberry of The Ohio State University is gratefully acknowledged. Also acknowledgment is due a number ot graduate students of The Ohio State University who have written similar historical treatments. Although the names of the residents of Wyoming who have rendered invaluable service would necessitate a list too lengthy tor inclusion at this time, it is the writer's desire to express appreciation to Mrs. Jessie Warman Wilson, a member of the first graduating class of the Wyoming High School, Mrs. Brayton M. Graft (deceased), Mr. Harold Bush, Mr. Bernard Bradbury, Mrs. E. B. Cluff, Mr. Ralph Foster, Mr. Jon Boss, Mrs. Ruth Martin, and Mrs. Marcella Dicken. Grateful acknowledgment is due Joan Dickey for patience and typing service far above the ordinary duties of wife and mother. 11:_ Al:~2380 TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER PAGE I INTRODUCTION • • • • • • • • • . • • • 1 Statement of the Problem • • • • • • • • 1 Reasons for the Selection of the Problem 1 Limitations of the Study • • • • • • • • 2 Related Studies • • • • • • • • • • • • • 3 Sources of Data • • • • • • • • • • • • • 3 Organization of the Study • • • • • • • • 6 II GENERAL HISTORY OF WYOMING, OHIO • • • • • • • 8 Early Descriptions • • • • • • • • • • • 8 Wyoming Becomes a Village • • • • • • • • 17 General Information • • • • • • • • • • • 23 Civic Center • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 26 Churches • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 27 Financial -
UPA Critical Perspective on Jobs, Governance and Security in U.S
TRADINGA Critical Perspective on Jobs, Governance and Security UP in U.S. Trade Policy TRADINGA Critical Perspective on Jobs, Governance and Security UP in U.S. Trade Policy PROGRAM • JUNE 28, 2016 815 16TH ST., N.W. • WASHINGTON, DC 20006 TRADINGA Critical Perspective on Jobs, Governance and Security UP in U.S. Trade Policy TRADING UP: A Critical Perspective on Jobs, Governance and Security in U.S. Trade Policy 1 #BetterTrade Welcome 3 Overview 5 Detailed Agenda 6 Twitter Handles for Speakers 8 Speaker Bios 9 Essays 17 2 TRADING UP: A Critical Perspective on Jobs, Governance and Security in U.S. Trade Policy Dear Friends, Welcome to “Trading Up: A Critical Perspective on Jobs, Governance and Security in U.S. Trade Policy,” a conference that will explore the kind of trade agreements that best can serve working people in the United States and abroad. This is a unique moment in the history of U.S. trade policy. For the first time in decades, the national conversation is focusing on the quality versus the necessity of trade. The last time we had an opportunity like this was during the debate over the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). NAFTA’s supporters eventually carried the day, arguing that it would create jobs, stabilize Mexico and provide a bulwark against competition by Europe and China. However, the dismal results of NAFTA and its progeny have convinced many early supporters to rethink trade. The pending Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) has come under intense scrutiny this year, with a significant proportion of the electorate strongly opposing its passage. -
Essays on Central Bank Projections, Credibility, and Monetary Policy
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, IRVINE Essays on Central Bank Projections, Credibility, and Monetary Policy DISSERTATION submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in Economics by Cody Allen Couture Dissertation Committee: Professor Eric Swanson, Chair Professor Gary Richardson Professor William Branch Professor Fabio Milani 2021 Chapter 1 c 2021 Elsevier All other materials c 2021 Cody Allen Couture DEDICATION To my parents, Monty and Carole, for their unwavering love and support. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Page LIST OF FIGURES v LIST OF TABLES vi ACKNOWLEDGMENTS vii VITA viii ABSTRACT OF THE DISSERTATION ix 1 Financial Market Effects of FOMC Projections 1 1.1 Introduction . 1 1.1.1 Related Literature . 4 1.2 Data . 6 1.2.1 Summary of Economic Projections . 6 1.2.2 Federal Funds Futures . 7 1.2.3 Market Survey Data . 10 1.3 The Effect of FOMC Projections on Asset Prices . 11 1.3.1 Federal Funds Rate . 12 1.3.2 Mechanism: Impacting Federal Funds Rate Expectations . 19 1.3.3 Other Forecast Variables . 20 1.3.4 Greenbook Results . 23 1.4 Dispersion of Forecasts . 24 1.4.1 Range and Central Tendency . 25 1.4.2 Higher Moments . 26 1.5 Relationship to Forward Guidance . 27 1.6 Conclusion . 28 2 Differences between Central Bank and Private Sector Policy Rate Fore- casts: Causes and Implications for Monetary Policy 32 2.1 Introduction . 32 2.2 Differing Policy Rate Expectations . 37 2.2.1 Measuring Central Bank Expectations . 37 2.2.2 Measuring Private Sector Expectations . 38 2.2.3 Gap in Interest Rate Expectations . -
Perceived Fomc: the Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES PERCEIVED FOMC: THE MAKING OF HAWKS, DOVES AND SWINGERS Michael D. Bordo Klodiana Istrefi Working Paper 24650 http://www.nber.org/papers/w24650 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 May 2018 The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2018 by Michael D. Bordo and Klodiana Istrefi. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Perceived FOMC: The Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers Michael D. Bordo and Klodiana Istrefi NBER Working Paper No. 24650 May 2018 JEL No. E03,E50,E61 ABSTRACT Narrative records in US newspapers reveal that about 70 percent of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members who served during the last 55 years are perceived to have had persistent policy preferences over time, as either inflation-fighting hawks or growth-promoting doves. The rest are perceived as swingers, switching between types, or remained an unknown quantity to markets. What makes a member a hawk or a dove? What moulds those who change their tune? We highlight ideology by education and early life economic experiences of members of the FOMC from 1960s to 2015. This research is based on an original dataset. -
Can Big Government Be Rolled Back? by Michael Barone
CAN BIG GOVERNMENT BE ROLLED BACK? BY MICHAEL BARONE AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE CAN BIG GOVERNMENT BE ROLLED BACK? BY MICHAEL BARONE December 2012 AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE Contents Acknowledgments . .iv Introduction . .1 1. The 1920s Republicans . .3 2. 1938 to 1946: The Conservative Coalition . .9 3. Reacting to Roosevelt: The 80th Congress and Beyond . .17 4. 1966 and 1968: Policy Changes at the Margins . .23 5. Achievements and Compromise in the Reagan Era . .29 6. Major Conservative Policy Advances . .35 Conclusion . .43 Notes . .45 About the Author . .49 iii Acknowledgments I wish to thank Samuel Sprunk, who provided sterling research on this project; Karlyn Bowman, who provided sage counsel and advice; Claude Aubert, who designed the cover and layout; and Christy Sadler, who led the editing process. iv Introduction t is a rare proposition on which liberals and conser- and price controls; rationing of materials and food; Ivatives agree: American history over the last hun- and, in World War I, subsidies for farmers to ensure dred years has been a story of the growth of the size food supplies for famine-threatened allies. Such poli- and powers of government. This growth has not been cies produced demands for continued government steady. Conservatives, with some bitterness, have controls and subsidies in the postwar years, not least embraced a theory of ratchets: in every generation, lib- from military veterans who were drafted into service. erals succeed in ratcheting up the size of government But war is not the only friend of the state. Defense and conservatives fail to significantly reduce it. spending even during the Iraq and Afghanistan con- Liberal historian Arthur Schlesinger Jr.