The American Federal Reserve System : Functioning and Accountability
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The Banking System and War Finance
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: The Banking System and War Finance Volume Author/Editor: Charles R. Whittlesey Volume Publisher: NBER Volume ISBN: 0-87014-323-9 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/whit43-1 Publication Date: February 1943 Chapter Title: The Banking System and War Finance Chapter Author: Charles R. Whittlesey Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c9925 Chapter pages in book: (p. 1 - 62) The Banking System and War Finance CHARLES R. WHITTLESEY OUR ECONOMY IN WAR Occasional Paper 8: February ig FINANCIAL RESEARCH PROGRAM NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH t8ig Broadway. New York S Preface THE PRESENT PAPER 15 the first of several that are being developed by the Financial Research Program on the general subject of the effect of war on banking. These studies, which have been made possible by grants from the Association of Reserve City Bankers and the Rockefeller Foundation, are to be published as National Bureau Occasional Papers in a special series entitled "Our Economy in War." Subsequent papers will consider the effects of war on the moneysupply, central banking, bank loans and investments, the structure of interest rates, and the solvency and liquidity of banks; the Canadian and British war credit organization will also be examined, as will the effects of war on the financial structure of business. I The broad questions of fiscal policy and war finance were analyzed in a recent National Bureau volume sponsored by the Conference on Research in Fiscal Policy, entitled Fiscal Planning for Total War, in the preparation of which William Leonard Crum, John F. -
Real-Time Price Discovery Via Verbal Communication: Method and Application to Fedspeak
Real-time Price Discovery via Verbal Communication: Method and Application to Fedspeak Roberto G´omezCram, and Marco Grotteria October 30, 2020 CEMLA XXV Meeting of the Central Bank Researchers Network Roberto G´omezCram, and Marco Grotteria Real-time Price Discovery via Verbal Communication: Method and Application to Fedspeak 1 Expectations and the Central Bank Previous literature Expectations play an important role for central banks Forward-guidance is a key tool used to shape expectations How do economic agents form expectations? Large macroeconomic literature on information rigidity (e.g., Mankiw and Reis, 2002; Reis, 2006; Coibion and Gorodnichenko, 2015) This paper Provides granular evidence on the agents' expectations formation process. Investors' fail to fully incorporate the Central Banks' messages This failure is economically large. Roberto G´omezCram, and Marco Grotteria Real-time Price Discovery via Verbal Communication: Method and Application to Fedspeak 2 Methodological contribution Identifying individual messages For the days in which the Federal Open Market Committee has a scheduled meeting, 1 we scrape the videos of the Fed Chairman's press conference 2 we split the video into smaller frames of around 3 seconds each 3 we use an end-to-end deep learning algorithm to convert the audio into interpretable text 4 we timestamp each word spoken in each moment 5 we align high-frequency financial data with these exact words =) link between specific messages sent and the signals received Roberto G´omezCram, and Marco Grotteria Real-time Price Discovery via Verbal Communication: Method and Application to Fedspeak 3 FOMC meeting on July 31 2019: Timestamped words Start time End time Text Fed Chairman/News outlet 14:35:36.286 14:35:39.946 Per your statement here, I guess the question is, New York Times . -
Fed Falters Yellen’S Wavering
October 2015 The Bulletin Vol. 6 Ed. 9 Official monetary and financial institutions▪ Asset management ▪ Global money and credit Fed falters Yellen’s wavering Meghnad Desai on US interest rate nerves Mojmir Hampl on why Europe needs Britain Kingsley Chiedu Moghalu on Buhari’s challenges Rakesh Mohan on US and Brics IMF roles David Owen on restructuring Europe David Smith on Pope Francis’ economic voice Global Louis de Montpellier [email protected] +44 20 3395 6189 ConneCt Into aPaC Hon Cheung [email protected] +65 6826 7505 amerICas Carl Riedy the network [email protected] +1 202 429 8427 Connect into State Street Global Advisors’ network of expertise, tailored training and investment excellence. emea Benefit from our Official Institutions Group’s decades-deep experience. Our service Kristina Sowah [email protected] is honed to the specific needs of sovereign clients such as central banks, sovereign +44 20 3395 6842 wealth funds, government agencies and supranational institutions. From Passive to Active, Alternatives to the latest Advanced Beta strategies, the Official Institutions Group can provide the customised client solutions you need. To learn more about how we can help you, please visit our website ssga.com/oig or contact your local representative. FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY, Not for Use with the Public. Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal. State Street Global Advisors is the investment management business of State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT), one of the world’s leading providers of financial services to institutional investors. © 2015 State Street Corporation – All rights reserved. INST-5417. Exp. 31.03.2016. -
The Many Panics of 1837 People, Politics, and the Creation of a Transatlantic Financial Crisis
The Many Panics of 1837 People, Politics, and the Creation of a Transatlantic Financial Crisis In the spring of 1837, people panicked as financial and economic uncer- tainty spread within and between New York, New Orleans, and London. Although the period of panic would dramatically influence political, cultural, and social history, those who panicked sought to erase from history their experiences of one of America’s worst early financial crises. The Many Panics of 1837 reconstructs the period between March and May 1837 in order to make arguments about the national boundaries of history, the role of information in the economy, the personal and local nature of national and international events, the origins and dissemination of economic ideas, and most importantly, what actually happened in 1837. This riveting transatlantic cultural history, based on archival research on two continents, reveals how people transformed their experiences of financial crisis into the “Panic of 1837,” a single event that would serve as a turning point in American history and an early inspiration for business cycle theory. Jessica M. Lepler is an assistant professor of history at the University of New Hampshire. The Society of American Historians awarded her Brandeis University doctoral dissertation, “1837: Anatomy of a Panic,” the 2008 Allan Nevins Prize. She has been the recipient of a Hench Post-Dissertation Fellowship from the American Antiquarian Society, a Dissertation Fellowship from the Library Company of Philadelphia’s Program in Early American Economy and Society, a John E. Rovensky Dissertation Fellowship in Business History, and a Jacob K. Javits Fellowship from the U.S. -
Jerome H Powell: Opening Remarks
For release on delivery 9:55 a.m. EDT (8:55 a.m. CDT) June 4, 2019 Opening Remarks by Jerome H. Powell Chair Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System at “Conference on Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communications Practices” sponsored by the Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Chicago, Illinois June 4, 2019 Good morning. I am very pleased to welcome you here today. This conference is part of a first-ever public review by the Federal Open Market Committee of our monetary policy strategy, tools, and communications. We have a distinguished group of experts from academics and other walks of life here to share perspectives on how monetary policy can best serve the public. I’d like first to say a word about recent developments involving trade negotiations and other matters. We do not know how or when these issues will be resolved. We are closely monitoring the implications of these developments for the U.S. economic outlook and, as always, we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion, with a strong labor market and inflation near our symmetric 2 percent objective. My comments today, like this conference, will focus on longer-run issues that will remain even as the issues of the moment evolve. While central banks face a challenging environment today, those challenges are not entirely new. In fact, in 1999 the Federal Reserve System hosted a conference titled “Monetary Policy in a Low Inflation Environment.” Conference participants discussed new challenges that were emerging after the then-recent victory over the Great Inflation.1 They focused on many questions posed by low inflation and, in particular, on what unconventional tools a central bank might use to support the economy if interest rates fell to what we now call the effective lower bound (ELB). -
Political Pressures on Monetary Policy During the US Great Inflation†
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2012, 4(2): 33–64 http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/mac.4.2.33 Political Pressures on Monetary Policy During the US Great Inflation† By Charles L. Weise* Drawing on an analysis of Federal Open Market Committee FOMC documents, this paper argues that political pressures on the( Federal) Reserve were an important contributor to the rise in inflation in the United States in the 1970s. Members of the FOMC understood that a serious attempt to tackle inflation would generate opposition from Congress and the executive branch. Political considerations contributed to delays in monetary tightening, insufficiently aggressive anti-inflation policies, and the premature abandonment of attempts at disinflation. Empirical analysis verifies that references to the political environment at FOMC meetings are correlated with the stance of monetary policy during this period. JEL D72, E32, E52, ( E58, N12 ) hat accounts for the Federal Reserve’s failure to control inflation in the WUnited States in the 1970s? One important set of factors has been highlighted in recent research by Romer and Romer 2002 , Nelson 2005 , Orphanides 2002, ( ) ( ) ( 2003, 2004 , and others. The argument set forth by these authors, which Romer ) 2005 calls the “ideas” hypothesis, is that the Federal Reserve’s errors were rooted ( ) in the beliefs that policymakers held about the structure of the economy. These beliefs included an unrealistically low estimate of the natural rate of unemploy- ment, the belief that observed inflation had little to do with monetary policy and that monetary policy could do little to combat it, and an overly pessimistic estimate of the costs of disinflation. -
Don't Bank On
Don’t Bank On It! Also by Craig R. Smith Rediscovering Gold in the 21st Century: The Complete Guide to the Next Gold Rush Black Gold Stranglehold: The Myth of Scarcity and the Politics of Oil (co-authored with Jerome R. Corsi) The Uses of Inflation: Monetary Policy and Governance in the 21st Century Crashing the Dollar: How to Survive a Global Currency Collapse* Re-Making Money: Ways to Restore America’s Optimistic Golden Age* The Inflation Deception: Six Ways Government Tricks Us...And Seven Ways to Stop It!* The Great Debasement: The 100-Year Dying of the Dollar and How to Get America’s Money Back* The Great Withdrawal: How the Progressives’ 100-Year Debasement of America and the Dollar Ends* Also by Lowell Ponte The Cooling Crashing the Dollar: How to Survive a Global Currency Collapse* Re-Making Money: Ways to Restore America’s Optimistic Golden Age* The Inflation Deception: Six Ways Government Tricks Us...And Seven Ways to Stop It!* The Great Debasement: The 100-Year Dying of the Dollar and How to Get America’s Money Back* The Great Withdrawal: How the Progressives’ 100-Year Debasement of America and the Dollar Ends* *Works co-authored by Craig R. Smith and Lowell Ponte Don’t Bank On It! The Unsafe World of 21st Century Banking By Craig R. Smith and Lowell Ponte Foreword by Pat Boone Idea Factory Press Phoenix, Arizona Don’t Bank On It! The Unsafe World of 21st Century Banking Copyright © 2014 by Idea Factory Press All Rights Reserved, including the right to reproduce this book, or parts thereof, in any form except for the inclusion of brief quotations in a review. -
Speech Delivered at the Money Marketeers of New York University, New York, October 19
For release on delivery 4:30 p.m. EDT March 28, 2017 America’s Central Bank: The History and Structure of the Federal Reserve Remarks by Jerome H. Powell Member Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System at the West Virginia University College of Business and Economics Distinguished Speaker Series Morgantown, West Virginia March 28, 2017 I am delighted to have this opportunity to speak at West Virginia University. Thanks to Brian Cushing for inviting me here today.1 Gathered in this part of West Virginia, we are located in the Fifth Federal Reserve District, which stretches down from here to South Carolina and east to the Atlantic Ocean (figure 1). More than 100 years ago, the organizers of the Federal Reserve System divided the country into 12 of these Districts, each with its own Federal Reserve Bank. Together, the Board of Governors in Washington and the 12 Reserve Banks are the key elements of the Federal Reserve System. Today I will discuss how the Federal Reserve came to have this unique structure. The Fed’s organization reflects a long-standing desire in American history to ensure that power over our nation’s monetary policy and financial system is not concentrated in a few hands, whether in Washington or in high finance or in any single group or constituency. Rather, Americans have long desired that decisions about these matters be influenced by a diverse set of voices from all parts of the country and the economy. The structure of the Federal Reserve was designed to achieve this broad representation and promote a stronger financial system to build resiliency against the sort of periodic financial crises that had repeatedly damaged the country in the 19th and early 20th centuries. -
Antebellum Banking Regulation: a Comparative Approach
ANTEBELLUM BANKING REGULATION: A COMPARATIVE APPROACH DISSERTATION Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate School of The Ohio State University By Alka Gandhi, M.A. ***** The Ohio State University 2003 Dissertation Committee: Approved by Professor Richard H. Steckel, Advisor Professor Paul Evans ________________________ Advisor Professor J. Huston McCulloch Economics Graduate Program ABSTRACT Extensive historical and contemporary studies establish important links between financial systems and economic development. Despite the importance of this research area and the extent of prior efforts, numerous interesting questions remain about the consequences of alternative regulatory regimes for the health of the financial sector. As a dynamic period of economic and financial evolution, which was accompanied by diverse banking regulations across states, the antebellum era provides a valuable laboratory for study. This dissertation utilizes a rich data set of balance sheets from antebellum banks in four U.S. states, Massachusetts, Ohio, Louisiana and Tennessee, to examine the relative impacts of preventative banking regulation on bank performance. Conceptual models of financial regulation are used to identify the motivations behind each state’s regulation and how it changed over time. Next, a duration model is employed to model the odds of bank failure and to determine the impact that regulation had on the ability of a bank to remain in operation. Finally, the estimates from the duration model are used to perform a counterfactual that assesses the impact on the odds of bank failure when imposing one state’s regulation on another state, ceteris paribus. The results indicate that states did enact regulation that was superior to alternate contemporaneous banking regulation, with respect to the ability to maintain the banking system. -
The Great Depression As a Credit Boom Gone Wrong by Barry Eichengreen* and Kris Mitchener**
BIS Working Papers No 137 The Great Depression as a credit boom gone wrong by Barry Eichengreen* and Kris Mitchener** Monetary and Economic Department September 2003 * University of California, Berkeley ** Santa Clara University BIS Working Papers are written by members of the Monetary and Economic Department of the Bank for International Settlements, and from time to time by other economists, and are published by the Bank. The views expressed in them are those of their authors and not necessarily the views of the BIS. Copies of publications are available from: Bank for International Settlements Press & Communications CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] Fax: +41 61 280 9100 and +41 61 280 8100 This publication is available on the BIS website (www.bis.org). © Bank for International Settlements 2003. All rights reserved. Brief excerpts may be reproduced or translated provided the source is cited. ISSN 1020-0959 (print) ISSN 1682-7678 (online) Abstract The experience of the 1990s renewed economists’ interest in the role of credit in macroeconomic fluctuations. The locus classicus of the credit-boom view of economic cycles is the expansion of the 1920s and the Great Depression. In this paper we ask how well quantitative measures of the credit boom phenomenon can explain the uneven expansion of the 1920s and the slump of the 1930s. We complement this macroeconomic analysis with three sectoral studies that shed further light on the explanatory power of the credit boom interpretation: the property market, consumer durables industries, and high-tech sectors. We conclude that the credit boom view provides a useful perspective on both the boom of the 1920s and the subsequent slump. -
Holt Atherton Special Collections Ms4: Brubeck Collection
HOLT ATHERTON SPECIAL COLLECTIONS MS4: BRUBECK COLLECTION SERIES 1: PAPERS SUBSERIES E: CLIPPINGS BOX 3a : REVIEWS, 1940s-1961 1.E.3.1: REVIEWS, 1940s a- “Jazz Does Campus Comeback but in new Guise it’s a ‘Combo,’” Oakland Tribune, 3-24-47 b- Jack Egan. “Egan finds jury…,” Down Beat, 9-10-47 c- “Local boys draw comment,” <n.s.> [Chicago], 12-1-48 d- Edward Arnow. “Brubeck recital is well-received,” Stockton Record, 1-18-49 e- Don Roessner. “Jazz meets J.S. Bach in the Bay Region,” SF Chronicle, 2- 13-49 f- Robert McCary. “Jazz ensemble in first SF appearance,” SF Chronicle, 3-6- 49 g- Clifford Gessler. “Snap, skill mark UC jazz concert,” <n.s.> [Berkeley CA], n.d. [4-49] h- “Record Reviews---DB Trio on Coronet,” Metronome, 9-49, pg. 31 i- Keith Jones. “Exciting and competent, says this critic,” Daily Californian, 12- 6-49 j- Kenneth Wastell. “Letters to the editor,” Daily Californian, 12-8-49 k- Dick Stewart. “Letters to the editor,” Daily Californian, 12-9-49 l- Ken Wales. “Letters to the editor,” Daily Californian, 12-14-49 m- “Record Reviews: The Month’s best [DB Trio on Coronet],” Metronome, Dec. 1949 n- “Brubeck Sounds Good” - 1949 o- Ralph J. Gleason, “Local Units Give Frisco Plenty to Shout About,” Down Beat, [1949?] 1.E.3.2: REVIEWS, 1950 a- “Record Reviews: Dave Brubeck Trio,” Down Beat, 1-27-50 b- Bill Greer, "A Farewell to Measure from Bach to Bop," The Crossroads, January 1950, Pg. 13 c- Keith Jones. “Dave Brubeck,” Bay Bop, [San Francisco] 2-15-50 d- “Poetic License in Jazz: Brubeck drops in on symphony forum, demonstrates style with Bach-flavored bop,” The Daily Californian, 2-27-50 e- Barry Ulanov. -
Central Bank Activism Duke Law Journal, Vol
Central Bank Activism Duke Law Journal, Vol. 71: __ (forthcoming) Christina Parajon Skinner † ABSTRACT—Today, the Federal Reserve is at a critical juncture in its evolution. Unlike any prior period in U.S. history, the Fed now faces increasing demands to expand its policy objectives to tackle a wide range of social and political problems—including climate change, income and racial inequality, and foreign and small business aid. This Article develops a framework for recognizing, and identifying the problems with, “central bank activism.” It refers to central bank activism as situations in which immediate public policy problems push central banks to aggrandize their power beyond the text and purpose of their legal mandates, which Congress has established. To illustrate, the Article provides in-depth exploration of both contemporary and historic episodes of central bank activism, thus clarifying the indicia of central bank activism and drawing out the lessons that past episodes should teach us going forward. The Article urges that, while activism may be expedient in the near term, there are long-term social costs. Activism undermines the legitimacy of central bank authority, erodes its political independence, and ultimately renders a weaker central bank. In the end, the Article issues an urgent call to resist the allure of activism. And it places front and center the need for vibrant public discourse on the role of a central bank in American political and economic life today. © 2021 Christina Parajon Skinner. Draft 2021-05-27 20:46. † Assistant Professor, The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. This article benefited from feedback provided by workshop or conference participants at The Wharton School, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York .