D.1.1 State of the EU Port System – Market Trends and Structure Update
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1 2 3 7th Framework Programme SST.2013.6-2. Towards a competitive and resource efficient port transport system Collaborative Project Grant Agreement no. 605176 Deliverable 1.1 & 1.2 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. DOCUMENT ID PORTOPIA|D|1.1|DT|2014.12.01|V|02 DUE DATE OF DELIVERABLE YYYY-MM-DD ACTUAL SUBMISSION DATE [Publish Date] DISSEMINATION LEVEL CO (Confidential, only for the member of the consortium, including Commission Services) Deliverable 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. DELIVERABLE 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. AUTHORSHIP Author(s) Notteboom T., Parola F., Satta G., Vonck I. Beneficiary Partner ITMMA – University of Antwerp (UA), University of Genoa (UNIGE) Issue Date 2013-12-31 Revision Dooms M., De Schepper S., Langenus M. Status Final revised Contributors / Pages 110 Figures 12 Tables 59 Annexes 1 SIGNATURES Author(s) Notteboom T. Coordinator Dooms M. Disclaimer The information contained in this report is subject to change without notice and should not be construed as a commitment by any members of the PORTOPIA Consortium or the authors. In the event of any software or algorithms being described in this report, the PORTOPIA Consortium assumes no responsibility for the use or inability to use any of its software or algorithms. The information is provided without any warranty of any kind and the PORTOPIA Consortium expressly disclaims all implied warranties, including but not limited to the implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular use. (c) COPYRIGHT 2013 The PORTOPIA Consortium This document may be copied and reproduced without written permission from the PORTOPIA Consortium. Acknowledgement of the authors of the document shall be clearly referenced. All rights reserved. 0 Deliverable 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. DELIVERABLE 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. REVISION Revision Date Reviewer Name Reviewer Signature 2014-02-28 Dooms M., Langenus M. Dooms M., Langenus M. 2014-05-12 Dooms M., Langenus M. Dooms M., Langenus M. 2014-12-02 De Schepper S. De Schepper S. 2015-11-05 Vonck I Vonck I 2015-11-13 Langenus M. Langenus M. 1 Deliverable 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. DELIVERABLE 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. Summary Report This report includes two Deliverables: Deliverable 1.1 and 1.2. Deliverable 1.1 (D1.1) is focused on the state of the EU port system and an update on the market trends and structure. This Delivery includes four specific tasks: (1) An update of the traffic forecast of the EU Ports Policy impact assessment; (2) A synthesis of the information regarding container transshipment volumes; (3) The modal split figures of the core TEN-T ports; (4) An approach to integrate intra-European dynamics into the Market Trends and Structure Deliverable 1.2 (D1.2) relates to Deliverable 1.1 as it provides an update of the commonly used indicators. As such the Deliverable includes two specific tasks: (1) An analysis of the data analysis and comparability problems toward the most used indicators on Market Trends and Structure; (2) A detailed analysis on the feasibility and desirability in terms of disaggregation levels for the indicators on Market Trends and Structure. 2 Deliverable 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. DELIVERABLE 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. 1 POSITIONING OF THIS REPORT IN WP1 ............................................................................ 8 2 AN UPDATE OF THE TRAFFIC FORECAST OF THE EU PORTS POLICY IMPACT ASSESSMENT 9 2.1 TRAFFIC FORECAST OF THE EU PORTS POLICY IMPACT ASSESSMENT ............................................... 9 2.2 RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE EUROPEAN PORT SYSTEM ......................................................... 10 2.2.1 Recent traffic evolutions in the European port system ........................................... 11 2.2.2 Recent economic, political and market related developments ............................... 25 2.3 TRAFFIC FORECAST UPDATE .......................................................................................... 52 3 SYNTHESIS OF THE INFORMATION REGARDING THE CONTAINER TRANSSHIPMENT VOLUMES ............................................................................................................................ 56 3.1 DEFINITION OF TRANSSHIPMENT ........................................................................................... 56 3.2 A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE OF THE TRANSSHIPMENT MARKET ......................................................... 58 3.3 DATA COLLECTION ON TRANSSHIPMENT ACTIVITIES IN EUROPEAN PORTS ..................................... 64 3.4 AN OVERVIEW OF THE T/S MARKET IN EUROPE AND IN EUROPEAN PORTS .................................... 65 3.4.1 The environmental and business transformations .................................................. 65 3.4.2 The evolution of transshipment operations in North and South Europe ................. 70 3.5 DISCUSSION AND EXPECTATIONS FOR THE FUTURE .................................................................... 79 3.5.1 Overall transshipment incidence in Europe and European port ranges .................. 79 3.5.2 The Mediterranean and Black Sea .......................................................................... 83 3.5.3 The Baltic ................................................................................................................ 85 3.5.4 The UK/Ireland ........................................................................................................ 87 3.6 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................................................... 87 4 THE MODAL SPLIT FIGURES OF THE CORE TEN-T PORTS ................................................. 89 4.1 MODAL SPLIT IN THE EUROPEAN UNION ................................................................................ 89 4.1.1 Eurostat figures ....................................................................................................... 90 4.1.2 Uniformity using the German approach ................................................................. 91 4.2 INTERMODAL TRANSPORT IN MEMBER STATES ......................................................................... 93 4.2.1 An attempt to uniformity ........................................................................................ 93 4.2.2 Belgium ................................................................................................................... 94 4.2.3 Italy ......................................................................................................................... 98 4.2.4 Spain ..................................................................................................................... 106 4.2.5 The Netherlands .................................................................................................... 109 4.2.6 Germany ............................................................................................................... 110 4.2.7 France ................................................................................................................... 112 4.3 METHODOLOGY OUTLINE FOR INTERMODAL DATA GATHERING ................................................. 114 4.1 GENERAL OVERVIEW ............................................................................................................. 114 4.3.1 4.2 Input section .................................................................................................... 114 4.3.2 Methodology section ............................................................................................ 115 4.3.3 Output section ...................................................................................................... 116 5 INTRA-EUROPEAN DIMENSION .................................................................................... 118 5.1 CONCEPT OF INDICATORS ON INTRA-EUROPEAN DYNAMICS ..................................... 118 5.1.1 ‘European traffic dependency index’ or ‘Intra-European traffic incidence’ ........... 118 3 Deliverable 1.1 & 1.2 State of the EU port system – market trends and structure update. Data availability, comparability and disaggregation. 5.1.2 ‘Transshipment incidence’ .................................................................................... 119 5.1.3 ‘Motorways of the Seas incidence’ ....................................................................... 119 5.1.4 ‘GDP multiplier’ ..................................................................................................... 121 6 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................ 124 7 APPENDIX ..................................................................................................................