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FER 2016 Royal County of

West Berkshire a ceremonial shire’s district Mishka Mayers [email protected]

FER in Council’s (WBC) future size, 42 or 43 members? Ref X: WBC’s proposal to be 42-councillors - 27-wards; http://decisionmaking.westberks.gov.uk/documents/s58609/13.%20Final%20Warding%20Pattern%20numbers.pdf ie Schedule of as-proposed wards Ref Z: my alternative to be 43-councillors i.e. 28-wards. My original scheme was submitted during last spring. A planning appeal’s decision has caused a >4% increase to forecast. In Lower Kennet wards group the forecast’s enlargement is significant eg CP’s forecast 22% variance. So as to minimise disruption of West Berks original scheme my suggested revisions are confined within Lower Kennet and . The variances for both and Tilehurst remain at the extremes of good electoral equality criteria. WBC’s revised scheme has 3-of-27 wards outside the statutory variance eg ward. My Ref X, Thatcham CP to be combined with CP; and Tilehurst CP to be combined with CP & CP. The AONB contains 9-wards: all of WBC’s original proposals can continue. Englefield and Theale are both outside of the (NWD- AONB). Englefield Manor is nr my Theale Green secondary school. Naming of wards in urban areas: compass point is simple & clearest. is a population centre within ward’s footprint its ‘pin point’ centre is Hermitage CP. Its noted that the Commission are still mindful to go for a 42-member Council. A rigorous analysis of updated forecast reveals that 42-member plan has variances too too great for the statutory criteria’s provision. A 43-member scheme would resolve the extreme variances of Thatcham and Tilehurst: their variances were 8% and -7% respectively. Thatcham needs an extra councillor. Aldermaston is Newbury-centric. 7-member Thatcham & Aldermaston is forecast 0% variance. Mortimer wards forecast growth necessitates a westward radical revision thru to Thatcham. Aldermaston is Newbury-centric. CP can supersede Aldermaston CP as hub for a single-member ward: forecast 1% variance. . Sulhampstead CP has academic & rural character, South & North respectively. My scheme (Ref Z) would resolve the electoral equality criteria. The solution is to rotate anti-clockwise thru wards in Lower Kennet: 28-wards in my Appendix. The forecast’s growth, especially in Lower Kennet wards, substantiates my analysis: there is a clear need for a 43-member Council of the future. === fin ===

1 Peter Kingswood RIBA

FER 2016 Royal County of Berkshire

West Berkshire a ceremonial shire’s district Mishka Mayers [email protected]

…--- Appendix WARD, 28 as-proposed 2023 av/cllr cllr variance 3333 3333 1 10.07% updated forecast was 17% OMIT zBB Beech Hill CP. * Co-terminous ward and whole (CP): clear identity. Suggest revised name ward. 5875 2937 2 -3.00% OMIT ySG2 Sulhampstead South PW; ADD zBB Beech Hill CP. * 3% variance is improvement from 11% …! Beenhan 3048 3048 1 -0.66% Aldermaston ward forecast was 10% OMIT WA CP, BH CP, & AA Aldermaston CP; ADD ySG-2 Sulhampstead South PW. * Excellent electoral equality criteria solution. Suggest revised name ward.

Thatcham South & Aldermaston 3324 3324 1 9.77% ADD WA Wasing CP, BH Brimpton CP, & AA Aldermaston CP, and TH11 & TH13 Thatcham South PW. * Aldermaston CP is Newbury-centric. * An extra cllr: better solution allows electoral equality.

Theale [& Englefield] 3341 3341 1 10.37% updated forecast was 22% OMIT zSF Sulham CP & zTC Tidmarsh CP. * Englefield Manor is nr my Theale Green secondary school. Tilehurst North [& Tidmarsh] 5652 2826 2 -6.67% OMIT pt of zTL4 split; ADD zSF Sulham CP & zTC Tidmarsh CP. * These hamlets adjoin sub-urban Tilehurst. * 3% urban variance is improvement from 7%. ======

2 Peter Kingswood RIBA

FER 2016 Royal County of Berkshire

West Berkshire a ceremonial shire’s district Mishka Mayers [email protected]

Alternative Z: my alternative scheme

WARD, 28 as-proposed 2023,AMD av/cllr cllr variance ======A NWD-AONB, so’west 3342 1 10.37% Hungerford 5543 2772 2 -8.47% 3152 1 4.09% B NWD-AONB, north Downsland 3114 1 2.84% Ridgeway 3150 1 4.03% 2999 1 -0.96% Cold Ash 6373 3186 2 5.23% 2994 1 -1.12% Bradfield [, Basildon &] 3168 1 4.62%

C Newbury environment Speen 2814 1 -7.07% NEWBURY 27 308 3034 9 0.205% 5790 2895 2 -4.39%

D Lower Kennet THATCHAM [19,867] & Aldermaston [1380](^) 21 247 3035 7 0.24% Beenham 3048 1 0.66% Theale [& Englefield] 3341 1 10.34 Burghfield 5875 2937 2 -2.99 % Stratfield Mortimer 3333 1 10.07% E beyond Reading & Purley 6163 3081 2 1.77% TILEHURST & H’brook 17 571 2928 6 -3.29% ______total / average 130 217 3028 43-members … (^)4-wards: West, East, Central, South-&-Aldermaston ... 3 Peter Kingswood RIBA

FER 2016 Royal County of Berkshire

West Berkshire a ceremonial shire’s district Mishka Mayers [email protected]

Revised forecast X: West Berks scheme http://decisionmaking.westberks.gov.uk/ieListDocuments.aspx?CId=116&MId=4323&Ver=4

WARD, 27 as-proposed 2023-AMD av/cllr cllr variance ======A NW-AONB, so’west Hungerford 5543 2771 2 -11% Kintbury 3152 1 1.68% B NW-AONB, north Lambourn 3342 1 7.8% Downlands (SiC) 3114 1 0.45% Ridgeway 3150 1 1.61% Bradfield 3168 1 2.20%

C the central towns Chieveley 2999 1 -3.26% Cold Ash 6373 3186 2 2.79% Speen 2814 1 -9.26% NEWBURY 27 308 3034 9 -2.13% Greenham 5790 2895 2 -6.61% THATCHAM 19 867 3311 6 6.81%

D Lower Kennet Aldermaston 3398 1 9.64% Bucklebury 2994 1 -3.42% Theale 3779 1 22% Burghfield 6617 3308 2 6.73% Mortimer 3621 1 17%

E beyond Reading Pangbourne & Purley 6163 3030 2 -0.60% TILEHURST & H’brook 17 133 2856 6 -7.89% ______Totals / Average 130 217 3100 42-members … 4 Peter Kingswood RIBA

FER 2016 Royal County of Berkshire

West Berkshire a ceremonial shire’s district Mishka Mayers [email protected]

Dear Mishka Meyers FER in ’s (WBC) future size, 42 or 43 members? Ref X: WBC’s proposal to be 42-councillors - 27-wards; http://decisionmaking.westberks.gov.uk/documents/s56677/New%20ward%20m aps%20-%20alphabetical.pdf ie 27-maps http://decisionmaking.westberks.gov.uk/documents/s56676/Final%20calculations%20in%20Alphabetical%20Order%20- %2013%20March%202017.pdf Schedule of as-proposed wards Ref Y: an alternative to be 43-councillors i.e. 28-wards. WBC’s scheme (Ref X) respects whole CPs: but, Mortimer ward’s 13% variance is no-good electoral equality. How to resolve: find a CP with mixed identity. Sulhampstead CP has academic & rural character, South & North respectively. My scheme (Ref Y) would resolve the electoral equality criteria. The solution is to rotate anti-clockwise thru wards in Lower Kennet: 28-wards in my Appendix. Yours sincerely < e-Mail > Peter Kingswood --- Appendix WARD, 28 as-proposed 2023 av/cllr cllr variance Stratfield Mortimer 3047 3047 1 5.25% OMIT: BB Beech Hill CP revised ward name. Burghfield 6403 3201 2 10.58% OMIT: SG1 Sulhampstead North PW; ADD: BB Beech Hill CP, transfer-IN from Mortimer.

Been’n & Aldermaston 2976 2976 1 -0.72% OMIT: WA Wasing CP & BH Brimpton CP; ADD: SG-1 Sulhampstead North PW, transfer-IN from Burghfield ward, revise ward name Thatcham East & Brimpton 2800 2800 1 -3.27% ADD: BH Brimpton CP & WA Wasing CP, an extra ward. ===

1 Peter Kingswood RIBA

FER 2016 Royal County of Berkshire

West Berkshire a ceremonial shire’s district Mishka Mayers [email protected]

Alternative Y: an alternative scheme WARD, 28 as-proposed 2023 av/cllr cllr variance ======A NW-AONB, so’west Hungerford 5239 2620 2 -9.52% Kintbury 2802 1 -3.22% B NW-AONB, north Lambourn 3024 1 4.46% Downlands 3014 1 4.11% Ridgeway 3036 1 4.87% Bradfield 3071 1 6.08%

C the central towns Chievley 2881 1 -0.48% Cold Ash 5733 2867 2 -0.99% Speen 2784 1 -3.84% NEWBURY 26 108 2901 9 0.203% Greenham 6176 3088 2 6.67% THATCHAM & Brimpton(^) 19 602 2800 7 -3.27%

D Lower Kennet Been’m & Aldermaston 2976 1 -0.72% Bucklebury 2859 1 -1.25% Theale 3062 1 5.768% Burghfield 6403 3201 2 10.58% Stratfield Mortimer 3047 1 5.25% E beyond Reading Pangbourne & Purley 6059 3030 2 4.64% TILEHURST & H’brook 16 616 2769 6 -4.34% ______total / average 124 492 2895 43-members … (^) to be 4-wards: West, C&S, North, East-&-Brimpton ... 2 Peter Kingswood RIBA

FER 2016 Royal County of Berkshire

West Berkshire a ceremonial shire’s district Mishka Mayers [email protected]

Alternative X: West Berks scheme http://decisionmaking.westberks.gov.uk/ieListDocuments.aspx?CId=116&MId=4323&Ver=4 WARD, 27 as-proposed 2023 av/cllr cllr variance ======A NW-AONB, so’west Hungerford 5239 2620 2 -11.62% Kintbury 2802 1 -5.47% B NW-AONB, north Lambourn 3024 1 2.024% Downlands 3014 1 1.687% Ridgeway 3036 1 2.43% Bradfield 3071 1 3.61%

C the central towns Chievley 2881 1 -2.81% Cold Ash 5733 2867 2 -3.26% Speen 2784 1 -6.07% NEWBURY 26 108 2901 9 -2.13% Greenham 6176 3088 2 4.18% THATCHAM 19 140 3190 6 7.625%

D Lower Kennet Aldermaston 3214 1 8.43% Bucklebury 2859 1 -3.54% Theale 3062 1 3.306% Burghfield 6321 3161 2 6.63% Mortimer 3353 1 13.12%

E beyond Reading Pangbourne & Purley 6059 3030 2 2.21% TILEHURST & H’brook 16 616 2769 6 -6.57% ______Totals / Average 124 492 2964 42-members … 3 Peter Kingswood RIBA