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Eastern Partnership inUkraine: between the ‘European choice’ and the In partial In partial Department of InternationalDepartment and Relations European of Studies fulfillment o Supervisor: ProfessorBalazs Peter Russian f the requirements the degree for ofMastersArts Central European University Word count: 15209 Word Budapest, Hungary Ernest Petrosyan - Submitted to Submitted led Customsled Union 2014 By

CEU eTD Collection Russia’s as from crisis roots of the Agreements Comprehension and Deep and policy decision ofauthorities led theUkraine’s tothe on of signature the suspended administration Yanukovich the when 2013, November in apex its reached tug The influence. foreign of subject with country only the be to remained Ukraine clear, relatively was countries participant EaP the of affiliation political the While republics. Russia 2009 in on Georgia, Belarus, Azerbaijan, (Armenia, declared Union Abstract

the

h tei eaie te sec o etra fcos ht shap that factors external of essence the examines thesis The European the 2009, in project (EaP) Partnership Eastern the of introduction the With hrcmns f the of shortcomings

realist made the Yanukovich administration suspend the signature of the Association and and Association the of signature the suspend administration Yanukovich the made

the

countervailing neighborhood policy vis a soito ad ep n Compr and Deep and Association

oe opeesv policy comprehensive more declared about its Eurasian economic integration project wi project integration economic Eurasian its about declared

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realist perspective while scrutinizing perspectivethe realist uoen egbrod oiy n h EP n kan, and Ukraine, in EaP the in Policy Neighborhood European

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t - hnie re rd Agreements. Trade Free ehensive he country to the crisis. It crisis. the to country he vis

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In response to the EaP EaP the to response In

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CEU eTD Collection impossible. sweetheart my thank to want I Yet support. and efforts their all for family my to grateful infinitely am I friends good Lar Joseph and classmates my to gratitude express to want also I remarks. period. Professor Par knowledgeexperience as withstudents well and as for and First extensive mythereforegratitude wouldlike toextend toall thosepeople happen. who made it and intensive gained have been has CEU at year academic My Acknowledgements ticularly, Iticularly, toexpressmy tomy deepest would like gratitude supervisor

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CEU eTD Collection of Table Introduction Bibliography Conclusion Partnership Chapter 3 Chapter 2 Chapter 1 Limitations ofthe Case Study Methodology The purposeand study theresearch ofthe problem 3.5 Russian 3.4 Ukraine’s freefor regimewi visa price 3.3 3.2 Ukraine’senergy over 3.1 Ukraine’sand economic Russia’s leverage dependence trade 2.2 The EU’s AA/DCFTA 2.1 TheENP and problems EaP ofthe inUkraine 1.2 Theoretical framework 1.1. Theoretical discussion dependence

3.3.2 Influence3.3.2 mediaRussian inUkraine ofthe language3.3.1 Russian inUkraine applied3.2.2 Russia’s and stick offered carrotUkraine’s energy policy and 3.2.1 Nord andgas Stream South projectUkraine’s and transitfuture 2.1.3 People 2.1.2 Problem ofconditionality, incentive differentiation, and funds 2.1.1 Problem ofUkraine’s accession perspe

Effectiveness Ukrainepower countervailing in and ofRussia’s soft limits its Contents – – –

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security ch security - Price, “ Price, - 234

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40 Politics the amongnations: for struggle power peace and p.38

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shape the Union’s foreign policy. foreign Union’s the shape t s eesr t necessary is it p.485

a project of cooperation where the EU can increase its its increase can EU the where cooperation of project a

stability in its neighborhood, most member s member most neighborhood, its in stability 14

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sy 44 tm rns o reconstruct to trends stem

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e EU and Russia Russia and EU e 46

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their power. Thereby the EU and Russia employ various means to means various employ Russia and EU the Thereby power. their , , No 35, ? The Policy The of the? European the towards Caucasus, South Union

“by operating as a continental power and global economic economic global and power continental a as operating “by 01, January 01, 2009 8, 151 pp Essential ReadingsEssential in Politics World includes - leveledhegemonic competitionand security post in

can also be explained th explained be also can equilibrium. - led Customs Union. led Customs 15

47 offering Ukraine the opportunity to join either either join to opportunity the Ukraine offering

- ie einl eeo oe te post the over hegemon regional time

p.60 The EU promotes its vital interests with thewith vital interests its Thepromotes EU - 79 nce of power between the EU member member EU the between power of nce

- 43 173

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P ower and Interdependence, and ower CornellUniversity 1987 Press, , the EU faces competition from competition faces EU the , 50

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Ibid Ibid Ibid and Nye, Keohane p p.4 Ibid, p. Ibid,

23 55 Based on this theory, the existing interdependence of Ukraine with the EU and Russia, Russia, and EUof Ukraine interdependencewithexisting the the Based theory, onthis actors international between dependence mutual that argue Nye and Keohane

- 24 actors of either by provoked relationship a in alteration any that argue authors The

tablishing a bridge between them, Keohane and Nye developed a concept of of concept a developed Nye and Keohane them, between bridge a tablishing . 236 57

he sphere of international relations. international of sphere he

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CEU eTD Collection 62 17007_en.htm http://europa.eu/legislation_summaries/external_relations/relations_with_third_countries/eastern_europe_and_central_asia/r 61 (AccessedMayon 2013) 15, 60 59 Brussels, 11, Neighbors. March 2003 58 Strategy in2004. Paper neighborhood. eastern its in influence and role its reconsider EU the made that enlargement 2004 of result a as states neighboring EU respond to aimed ENP The leadership. EU the from assessment positive areceived tr policy Europe wider The policies. and instruments its modify to trying engagement, of methods republics Soviet the EU enjoys close neighborhood friendly a and prosperity of zone a develop Euro the and Council the to commission enlargement a Chapter 2

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upsets Russia’s entire political establishment, which profoundly comprehends Ukraine Ukraine comprehends profoundly which establishment, political entire Russia’s upsets Indeed, In contemporary international relations one of the main tools to gain leverage in the the in leverage gain to tools main the of one relations international contemporary In of power in bilateral relations are trade relations. Therefore in international system international in Therefore relations. trade are relations bilateral in power of the against the background of this reality, this of background the against a and Rilka Dragneva,a and ExternalGovernance:with“Constraining Russia andthe CIS Interdependence EaP in Ukraine in general has largely be attributed to Russia’s multiple Russia’s to attributed be largely has general in Ukraine in EaP This chapter describes the combination of Russia’s hard and soft power soft and hard Russia’s of combination the describes chapter This 116 .

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CEU eTD Collection 117 partners. BRK with trade the even, 2). BRK on came imports country’s the of 40% than more slightly and Russia, EU, the from originated import country’s of 30% about the 2012 in for 28 EU destinedenlarged were exports Ukraine’s of 25% Meanwhile, 2012. in exports Ukraine’s BRK to export the and exports country’s of 26% accounted Russia to Exports billion. 17 USD around to amounted Russia and 27 EU the to exports Ukraine’s 2012 In second. only is EU the whereas Ukraine for partner trading of Department Ukrainian and benefits start having immediate from Russia. short AA sign to either choose to had administration Yanukovich The dilemma. a in authorities Ukrainian EU the as work not did leverage this Partnership, Eastern of Partnership. Eastern the in applied extensively leverage the EU the

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