BAIPHIL Market Watch – 13 July 2021 Page 1 of 4
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kGo To Homepage BAIPHIL 13 July MARKET WATCH 2021 Legend BAIPHIL@80: Improvement / Up Deterioration / Down Building Resilience Through Strong Governance No Movement FINANCIAL MARKETS AT A GLANCE Currency Exchange 1 Current Previous Domestic Stock Index 3 Current Previous USD/PHP 50. 1200 50.0800 PSEi 6, 913.87 6,834.92 USD/JPY 110. 2900 110.1400 Trade Value (Php B) 4.836 8.419 USD/CNY 6. 4755 6.4790 EUR/USD 1.1868 1.1876 Stock Index 4 Curre nt Previous GBP/USD 1.3892 1.3901 NIKKEI 225 28,569.02 27,940.42 FTSE 100 7,125.42 , 7,121.88 PHP BVAL DOW JONES 34,996.18 34,870.16 2 Current Previous Reference Rates S&P 500 4,384.63 4,369.55 30 -Day 0. 9786 0.9792 NASDAQ 14,733.24 14,701.92 91 -Day 1. 1782 1.1775 Various 5/6 Curren t Previous 180 -Day 1. 4071 1.4123 Brent Crude (USD/bbl) 75.40 75.55 1-Year 1. 6089 1.6022 3-M US Treasury Yield 0. 05 % 0.06% 3-Year 2. 3442 2.3357 5-Y US Treasury Yield 0. 81 % 0.79% 5-Year 2. 9635 2.9501 10 -Y US Treasury Yield 1. 38 % 1.37% 10 -Year 3. 8725 3.8513 PHILIPPINES Stocks bounce from last week’s losses. The local stock market bounced off last week’s losses on bargain-hunting spurred by upbeat US bourses. The main index rose 78.95 points or 1.15 percent to close at 6,913.87 as the Services and Mining and Oil counters led the advance across the board. https://mb.com.ph/2021/07/12/stocks-bounce-off-last-weeks-losses/ P/$ rate closes at P50.12/$1. The peso closed lower at P50.12 to the US dollar Monday, (July 12) from P50.08 last Friday. The weighted average rate depreciated to P50.111 from P50.083. Total volume amounted to $664.2 million according to the Bankers Association of the Philippines. https://mb.com.ph/2021/07/12/p-rate-closes-at-p50-12-1/ T-bill rates rise as peso weakens to 50:$1. Treasury bill rates rose across-the-board on Monday (July 12) alongside a weaker peso which fell to the 50:$1 level last week. The Bureau of the Treasury awarded all P15 billion in T-bills it offered as demand remained strong with a total of P42.1 billion in bids across the three tenors, or maturity periods, making the auction almost three times oversubscribed. https://business.inquirer.net/326886/t-bill-rates-rise-as-peso-weakens-to-501 BSP registers P4-M rediscounting loan. For the first time this year, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) released P4 million under its peso rediscounting loan, which was unused by banks since the third quarter 2020 due to excess money supply. In the first six months of 2021, the BSP said a lone rediscounting availment of P4 million is the rediscount by a bank under production credits, for a loan that “financed industrial processing.” https://mb.com.ph/2021/07/12/bsp-registers-p4-m-rediscounting-loan/ Long term funds surged into PH in April as foreigners snap up PH debt. The inflow of long term investments into the country continued its momentum in April 2021 as foreign fund managers allocated more money to Philippine-issued debt from both the public and private sectors, according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). In a statement, the BSP said that foreign direct investment net inflows rose by 114.4 percent year-on-year to $679 million from $317 million in the same period last year. https://business.inquirer.net/326902/long-term-funds-surged-into-ph-in-april-as-foreigners-snap-up-ph-debt BAIPHIL Market Watch – 13 July 2021 Page 1 of 4 Fitch Ratings revises PH outlook to ‘Negative’. Fitch Ratings has revised the Philippines’ outlook to “Negative” from “Stable” due to the national government’s weakening fiscal finances brought about by the prolonged coronavirus pandemic. In a statement released Monday evening, July 12, the London-based credit rater cited the increasing risks to the country’s credit profile from the impact of the pandemic. https://mb.com.ph/2021/07/12/fitch-ratings-revises-ph-outlook-to-negative/ AMLC: Philippines to use AI to fight dirty money. The Philippines is utilizing artificial intelligence (AI) to fight money laundering as well as terrorist and proliferation financing after the country was included in the gray list of global dirty money watchdog Financial Action Task Force (FATF). https://www.philstar.com/business/2021/07/13/2111998/amlc-philippines-use-ai-fight-dirty-money Lopez wants to keep GCQ status. Maintaining a general community quarantine (GCQ) level in the National Capital Region and neighboring provinces (NCR Plus) ensures continued reopening of the domestic economy, Trade and Industry Secretary Ramon M. Lopez said. This is in contrast to the position of Economic Planning Secretary Carl Kendrick Chua that there is no need for GCQ anymore despite the threat of the Delta variant. The country’s chief economic strategist even proposed for a face-to-face classes. https://mb.com.ph/2021/07/12/lopez-wants-to-keep-gcq-status/ Duterte economic team cold to prolonging GCQ in NCR, high-risk areas. Finance Secretary Carlos Dominguez III and Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick Chua on Monday (July 12) sought to continue managing pandemic risks while speeding up mass vaccina- tion to protect not only lives but also livelihoods from the threat posed by more contagious virus variants which forced recent lockdowns in neighboring countries. “We recognize the higher risk brought about by the Delta variant. This can be better managed by guarding our borders and enforcing health standards,” Dominguez quoted Chua as saying. https://business.inquirer.net/326895/duterte-economic-team-cold-to-prolonging-gcq-in-ncr-high-risk-areas Philippines cautioned against loosening social restrictions. Moody’s Analytics has warned the Philippines about loosening its social restrictions amid the recent trend in the resurgence of COVID-19 infections as well as the spread of the Delta variant across Asia-Pacific. In a report, Moody’s Analytics senior Asia-Pacific economist Katrina Ell and economist Stefan Angrick said the contagious Delta strain is sweeping through Asia and hurting the region’s economic recovery. https://www.philstar.com/business/2021/07/13/2112007/philippines-cautioned-against-loosening-social-restrictions 130,000 OFWs returning home – OWWA. At least 130,000 overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) are coming home from different countries in the next months, the Overseas Workers Welfare Administration (OWWA) reported yesterday. OWWA chief Hans Cacdac said with the large number of OFWs expected to return home, the agency is seeking additional funding for the quarantine hotel accommodations and other needs of migrant workers. https://www.philstar.com/nation/2021/07/13/2112015/130000-ofws-returning-home-owwa Meralco to procure additional power supply in next 2 years. DanessaManila Electric Co. (Meralco) will procure nearly 4,000 megawatts (MW) of baseload and mid-merit supply in the next two years to meet its projected demand growth until 2049. In its Power Supply Procure- ment Plan 2021-2030 submitted to the Department of Energy, Meralco said it would subject to competitive selection process (CSP) a total of 3,850 MW starting this year until next year. https://www.philstar.com/business/2021/07/13/2112004/meralco-procure-additional-power-supply-next-2-years REST OF THE WORLD Dow hits 35,000 points as US stocks end at records. The Dow flirted with its first-ever close above 35,000 points on Monday (Jul 12) as US stocks turned in another record-filled session ahead of a heavy schedule of earnings releases and economic reports. The blue-chip index finished at 34,996.18, a gain of 0.4 per cent. The index was just above 35,000 points at the 8pm GMT closing bell, but settled under the benchmark after the close. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/dow-hits-35-000-points-us-stocks-end-records-15209532 China is injecting $150 billion into the economy — that may fuel a short-term rally, UBS says. China’s move to cut the amount of funds banks need to hold in reserve could boost market sentiment — and that could be good news for stocks in certain sectors, according to investment bank UBS. The People’s Bank of China said Friday it would cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points for all banks, effective from July 15. The move is expected to release around 1 trillion yuan (or $154 billion) in long-term liquidity into the economy. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/12/china-monetary-policy-pboc-to-cut-rrr-impact-on-economy-and-sectors.html England expected to confirm lockdown lifting despite fears over delta surge. U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to confirm on Monday that the final easing of lockdown rules in England will go ahead of July 19. The move comes despite a continuing surge in coronavirus cases caused by the more infectious delta variant; over 31,000 new cases were reported in the U.K. on Sunday. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/12/england-expected-to-confirm-lockdown-lifting-despite-fears-over-delta-surge.html ECB to change policy guidance at next meeting, Lagarde says. The European Central Bank will change its guidance on the next policy steps at its next meeting to reflect its new strategy and show it is serious about reviving inflation, ECB President Christine Lagarde said in BAIPHIL Market Watch – 13 July 2021 Page 2 of 4 an interview aired on Monday.