09Bi Appendices.Pdf
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Andrew Wolstenholme Chief Executive Crossrail Limited 25 Canada Square Canary Wharf London E14 5LQ 29th September 2017 Dear Andrew Adverse Event Notice Following the submission by CRL of the Adverse Event Notice on 7th July 2017 and subsequent update on 31st July 2017, Sponsors wish to set out next steps and requirements for the October Sponsor Board. The Adverse Event Notice (AEN) is regarding uncertainty of the timely development of on- board signalling and train control management software by Bombardier Transportation UK Ltd (BTUK) under the Rolling Stock and Depot Service Provision agreement between BTUK and Rail for London Ltd (RfL) dated 18 February 2014. In the update to the AEN sent on 31st July to Sponsors, CRL set out that delivering passengers services to the current Stage 2 date (‘Plan A’) remained achievable but challenging, and out of prudence, a fall-back plan (‘Plan B’) was being developed. Additionally, alternatives and risk mitigation activities were being considered for the impact that slippage in software development may have on Stage 3 programme. Sponsors request that CRL provide a revised assessment on the key points raised in the AEN and, most notably; i. The confidence in delivering passenger services to the current Stage 2 date (‘Plan A’) ii. The development of a fall-back plan for Stage 2 including: a. A description of the Plan B being considered and rationale for choosing this b. An outline of the activities needs to implement this plan c. Detail of how and when a decision to enact Plan B (if required) would be made iii. The provision of a train with stable software release and sufficient functionality for CRL to conduct meaningful dynamic tests both initially in November 2017, but continuing through the full Dynamic Testing period. iv. Completion of construction activities in parallel with the constraints of dynamic testing in order to support: a. Energisation, including revised timeframes b. Dynamic Testing on 1st November 2017 (Zones 1&2) c. Dynamic Testing on 26th February 2018 (all zones) d. Handover on 5th July 2018. v. Confidence in delivering passenger services at Stage 3 as currently planned. vi. Most efficient and best value option to complete construction. Sponsors request that a written assessment, covering the points as outlined above, is submitted to JST no later than Wednesday 18th October 2017. Kind Regards Simon Adams Head of Crossrail Joint Sponsor Team cc. David Hughes (TfL) Simon Kilonback (TfL) Matt Lodge (DfT) Nick Joyce (DfT) Adverse Event Notice - update Purpose This note provides an update to Sponsors following the Adverse Event Notice (AEN) of 7 July 2017 served by Crossrail Ltd (CRL) regarding: • Uncertainty of the timely development of on-board signalling and train control management software by Bombardier Transportation UK Ltd (BTUK) under the Rolling Stock and Depot Service Provision agreement between BTUK and Rail for London Ltd (RfL) dated 18 February 2014 This update follows a period of continuing collaborative working between CRL and RfL in line with the activities outlined in the AEN, and discussions at the CRL Board on 20 July which considered the current position of the Bombardier programme and implications for Stages 2 and 3 delivery. A number of actions have been taken by CRL, RfL and BTUK including: • BTUK has increased resources, engaged more rigs, enhanced their TCMS team, strengthened their reporting through weekly KPIs (which are shared with CRL); and there is now more intense senior management engagement • BTUK has undertaken a Quantitative Schedule Risk Assessment (QSRA) on their programme. The QSRA methodology used by Bombardier was reviewed by CRL. The P80 dates for software development were shared with CRL and have been used to inform any updates required to the programmes for delivering Stages 2 and 3 in line with the notified dates and the development of any fall-back plans and risk mitigations • CRL has appointed a Stage 2 Programme Integration Manager • Relevant lessons learned from Stage 1 commencement will be adopted by Stage 2 • The four-weekly Crossrail Programme Delivery Board is being recast to focus on Staged opening Stage 2 The current assessment is that the Stage 2 date for passenger services remains achievable but challenging (Plan A). However, uncertainties remain, further slippage may occur and it is prudent to develop a fall-back plan. A decision would be required before December as to whether to enact the fall-back plan. To do so would require Sponsors’ endorsement as the fall back plan would not be fully compliant with the affirmed opening strategy for Stage 2. An action plan has been developed to progress mitigation measures for Plan A and fall-back actions in case of the need to enact the fall-back plan. Leads and timescales have been given to each activity, which are already being progressed. The fall-back plan involves: • 2 tph Class 360s running between Paddington and Heathrow • 2 tph Class 345s (full length units (FLU)) running between Paddington and Hayes and Harlington) Activities required to ensure the fall-back plan can be enacted include: • Agree alternative timetable (2tph C360s PAD-LHR; 2tph C345s PAD to H&H) • Agree retention of Class 360s, any necessary franchise changes and commercial agreements and maintenance agreement with Heathrow • MTR agreement to drive C360s Heathrow to Paddington under the existing concession with TfL or continuation of Heathrow Connect • Agree Bombardier scope change for C345 FLU (configure FLU for TPWS only operation) • Ensure NR deliver bay platform extension at Hayes and Harlington Page 1 of 2 Stage 3 The current assessment is that the Stage 3 date for passenger services remains achievable and consistent with our Master Operational Handover Schedule (MOHS) that includes dynamic testing commencing in Zones 1 &2 in November 2017. However, it is challenging and further date slippage in software development and testing may occur which would cause instability in the MOHS and have potentially serious schedule and contractual implications. As a consequence a number of alternatives and risk mitigation activities are being considered and developed and decision points between late August and December have been identified. The intended approach is as follows: • RfL will continue to hold BTUK to deliver R7.0 Train Control Management Software (TMCS) for dynamic testing commencing 1 November 2017. This is likely to be an early version with a full release by 2 December 2017 • If it is understood in late August/early September 2017 that a stable R7.0 train will not ready by the end of October 2017, two decisions will be considered: o Revert Zones 1&2 tunnels back to construction and recommence dynamic testing in late January 2018 with a stable train; or o Switch to a CBTC-only (R5.2) version and commence dynamic testing in February 2018 • Those decisions will fall to be made by the CRL Board • If no stable train is available by late January 2018, construction activities continues up to Zones 1-4 testing commencement at the end of February 2018 • Develop other mitigations, including acceleration of testing; longer hours/more days; separate mileage runs and a shorter but more intensive period of driver training. • Develop a more progressive approach to the Handover of the Central Operating Section from CRL to RfLI to reflect potential ongoing signalling reliability growth activities through Trial Running and Trial Operations in July and August 2018 CRL and RfL will continue to work collaboratively on these issues. The issues are dynamic and being closely monitored. A further update will be provided at the Sponsor Board meeting on 15 September. In the interim CRL and RfL teams are happy to provide further detail and any clarification sought, through the Joint Sponsor Team. 31 July 2017 © Crossrail Limited Page 2 of 2 Secretary of State for Transport Great Minster House 33 Horseferry Road London SW1P 4DR Attention: Director-General, Rail Group Transport for London Windsor House 42 – 50 Victoria Street London SW1H 0TL Attention: General Counsel Crossrail Project Development Agreement (“PDA”) - Adverse Event Notice In accordance with clause 22 of the PDA, we write to notify you of the following Adverse Event: • Uncertainty of the timely development of on-board signalling and train control management software by Bombardier Transportation UK Ltd (BTUK) under the Rolling Stock and Depot Service Provision agreement between BTUK and Rail for London Ltd (RfL) dated 18 February 2014 As raised at the Sponsor Board meeting on 23 June 2017, it has recently emerged that there are significant concerns over the capability of BTUK to develop the further releases of the CBTC, ETCS and TCMS software in time to meet the current programme for the Opening Strategy, as affirmed by Sponsors in December 2014, and in particular the dates notified to Sponsors for future Stage commencement of passenger services. CRL and RfL are working collaboratively: (a) to ascertain the causes of this loss of confidence in BTUK’s capability (b) to identify any available mitigating action to improve such capability (c) to assess the potential impact of delays in delivery of the required software for Stages 2- 5 (d) to develop a range of scenarios to mitigate the impact of any such delays including consideration of potentially re-sequencing and/or re-scheduling the Stage opening dates, and (e) to assess the potential contractual and cost implications for both CRL and RfL. The initial output of these deliberations will be presented to the CRL