Indian Pharmaceutical Industry 2021: future is now
February 2021 Contents Improving access to Achieving equitable scenario andfuture industry: current and sustainable Indian pharma Indian pharma healthcare medicines 144 potential 1 5 3 12 88 base indomestic andglobal manufacturing andsupply Accelerating research and innovation Strengthening markets 4 2 120 22
ForewordForeword
The Indian Pharma Industry is poised for a big leap forward in this decade. Health, Science and Access and Innovation have always been the two key driving factors for progress in healthcare, not just Innovation have come into sharp focus as never before. The developments over the past year have in India but across the world. The COVID-19 pandemic has further underscored the critical importance of underlined the importance of an innovation ecosystem, a robust infrastructure for production of drugs these aspects to secure both the immediate and the long-term health and wellbeing of our citizens. This and pharmaceuticals and the need to constantly build a huge talent pool of scientists, researchers report provides a detailed view of the tremendous achievements of the pharmaceuticals sector in India, and technologists who can be the arrowheads for the future. India has emerged as a pharmacy to the while also laying a template of what we must do, collectively as stakeholders, to accelerate this progress. world, supplying critical drugs and vaccines in the course of this pandemic. To be able to do this more Important themes of accelerating research and innovation, achieving sustainable and equitable consistently, we will need to have a greater thrust on innovation, investments in new technologies, take healthcare, strengthening manufacturing and supply chains are addressed as both success stories and a futuristic view in our approaches and look at new possibilities that can capitalise on our strengths. Pankaj Patel S Sridhar future imperatives. We take up the need for supporting quality research institutions, upskilling a skilled Building on the theme of Aatmanirbhar Bharat we need to create visibility on ‘Brand India’ centred on workforce and enhancing collaboration between stakeholders and academia. FICCI Pharmaceuticals manufacturing and innovation. We will also need to look at global benchmarks of quality and supply Immediate Past Chair, Committee Mentor reliability to increase pharma exports. As we build capabilities for producing innovative drugs and FICCI Pharmaceuticals Innovation does not only pertain to bringing novel therapies to market, but to exploring new and and Chairman, Zydus complex to manufacture generics, we will be able to access newer global markets. As we do this we will Committee and MD, sophisticated approaches on pricing and funding that take them to patients. We take up the need for India Cadila need to focus on streamlining our regulatory environment and also look at how we can sustain our cost Pfizer Limited to explore innovative new solutions to sustainably enhance access while ensuring that we maintain a competitiveness. Above all, India must look at building next-gen capabilities that will be a differentiator in positive operating environment for R&D investments and risk-taking to thrive. the decade ahead. This is a time for the Indian Pharma Industry to move ahead full throttle, invest for the The renewed focus on leveraging digital technologies to increase awareness, prioritize the needs of the future and catapult itself into a new horizon of growth and opportunities. less economically privileged is heartening. Undoubtedly, global healthcare has taken a drastic turn with its focus on preventive healthcare and it is a step in the right direction towards a healthier tomorrow! We hope that this report serves as a thought starter and a guiding document for all stakeholders to collaborate, envision India’s healthcare future together and bring these goals to life.
Innovations from the pharma industry in India and globally are driving better health outcomes. The current focus needs to be on novel and targeted therapies. Scientific advancements along with industry — academia collaborations will benefit the pharma industry and facilitate its growth. Apart from this, technology can be a huge enabler across the value chain starting from diagnostics to treatment and drug delivery. It can help reduce costs, enhance quality of treatment as well as its access. The government has The Indian pharmaceutical industry has grown from strength to strength in the last few decades. The taken initiatives to reduce regulatory approval time and Ayushman Bharat to make drugs accessible to the industry has shown tremendous resilience in its ability to serve people in India as well as across the globe, massive population of India. This report gives a preview of advancements that are leading to changes in ensuring accessibility and most importantly affordability of quality medicines. Gagan Singh Bedi global healthcare. The pandemic has highlighted the growing complexity of challenges that lie ahead and the need to strengthen India’s capabilities, over the next decade, to respond to them adequately. EY has collaborated FICCI Pharmaceuticals with FICCI to put together this report, collated insights from a wide array of stakeholders – the Indian Committee Chair and government, pharmaceutical and healthcare industry leaders, functional experts of the pharma industry Country President & Sriram Shrinivasan and experts in the allied sectors — and complemented it with extensive secondary research, leveraging EY MD, Astra Zeneca India global research outreach, to give you a holistic view of the entire ecosystem. Limited National Health Sciences Leader Leader – EY India The pandemic has also revealed the importance of Digital in all walks of life. This fits in well with two sectors that India is strong in — Technology and Pharmaceuticals and the convergence of both these strengths could make India a leader in the Healthcare of tomorrow. The unique challenges and the way forward have been discussed under chapters dedicated to the objectives of accelerating research & innovation, achieving equitable and sustainable healthcare, strengthening manufacturing and supply chains and improving access to medicines. We must take upon ourselves a moon-shot target for the pharma industry in India, whereby all stakeholders come together on one platform and take a pledge of commercialising Indigenous new chemical entity and new biological entity OR novel drugs (both biological and chemical). This will take unprecedented effort and resources, however if there is anything positive that has emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic, it is that nothing is impossible if we bring in right stakeholders on one platform for the larger good of human-kind. Our very future depends on it. We hope that this report acts as guiding document for the stakeholders, prompting policy as well as action, while we set out to bring the envisioned goals to life. EY remains committed to support all stakeholder of Indian pharmaceutical industry on this journey of future excellence. ExecutiveExecutive Summary Summary
The position paper, Indian Pharmaceutical Industry 2021: geographies. The pharma industry will be closely monitored by Figure A: India's growth ambition 2030 future is now, has been written with an objective to reassess governments in all countries in times to come. the Indian pharmaceutical industry’s positioning in the world 1 0 It is imperative that India reevaluates its current role within order, define India’s ambition by 2030 and identify a set of the global pharmaceutical industry, explore possibilities imperatives for all stakeholders to realize this ambition. 120 to consolidate and strengthen its positioning in light of The pharmaceutical industry, along with the healthcare sector geopolitical and economic shifts, attain self-sufficiency as a globally, has been impacted in an unseen way due to the globally competitive pharmaceutical industry with innovation 100 outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic leading to material impact as a guiding principle for future growth. This paper addresses around consumer requirements and preferences accompanied the ambition for the current decade in consultation with 80
by macroeconomic, structural and microeconomic changes industry veterans across segments, with inputs from the 1 in the end-to-end value chain. In the midst of the pandemic government, regulators and pertinent industry associations. US$ Bn 60 and a changed world, the pharmaceutical industry across 1 From March 2020 onward, the industry has been hit by the world has responded with agility — from the sequencing 0 debilitating restrictions and impediments to reach customers of the novel coronavirus in January to vaccines being with expectations to operate and supply drugs to those in India 21 5 administered to the first recipient in the United Kingdom by and globally. The pharma industry exceeded expectations in 20 December 2020, with efficacy levels over 90%, exceeding responding to this global crisis, supplying drugs to over 150 21 all expectations of governments and markets across the countries besides meeting all domestic demands. Significant - world. This innovation has been possible owing to the most vaccine capacity ramp up has been achieved over the year Current Business Biosimilars/ Universal API/ SM Adult Generics-china, Biosimilars Adult NMEs Ambition extraordinary global efforts: collaboration like never seen size as usual Novel health Import vaccines Japan, others Vaccines 20 0 to augment vaccine administration within India and other (20 0E) coverage substitution before, redeployment of resources and sharing of data on a (2020) products countries who are dependent on India for supplies. real time basis. Barring the pace, which is critical in a public o est o ts health emergency (progressing Phase 3 clinical trials with The Indian pharma industry has grown at a compounded limited adherence to traditionally established safety norms), growth rate of (CAGR) of ~11% in the domestic market and In the 2020-2030 period, we expect Indian pharma industry a call to action aimed at industry, academia and government the blueprint has been developed to fast-track innovation with ~16% in exports over the last two decades. While the domestic to grow at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of ~12% have been outlined for actions going forward. a complete imperviousness to financial stakes. This includes market has grown at a similar pace to the gross domestic to reach at US$130 bn by 2030 from US$41.7 bn in 2020. collaboration around resources and data sharing, nimbleness product (GDP), the overall growth has been driven by the The opportunities that have emerged have been classified into Though the pharmaceutical industry has grown at a CAGR and productivity through adaptation of newer technologies industry’s leadership in supplying generic formulations to four sections in this report: Innovation and R&D, Healthcare of approx. 13% over the two decades, in the last decade, the and most importantly balancing risks across stakeholders. markets across the globe. Delivery, Manufacturing & Supply Chain, and Market Access. CAGR has been ~ 8.5% and it has currently been ~6.2% over Healthcare is likely to be on top of the strategic agenda across the past five years. On the domestic front, the ambition translates into a growth rate of 10-11% over the coming decade. Below-average social In order to attain self-sufficiency and be the real pharmacy of health indicators and a low proportion of total healthcare the world, we need to refocus on the next set of avenues to spend as a proportion of GDP indicate an opportunity to feed the growth engine of this industry, which is of strategic as improve healthcare delivery in the country. well as economic significance. With estimates that the Indian pharma industry supplies over Realizing this ambition will need a concentrated effort from 40% of the generics in the biggest pharma market – the US the key stakeholders of the Indian pharmaceutical industry and about 25% of the prescription drugs in the UK, along with – the payers, providers, policymakers, physicians, pharma catering to over 60% of the global vaccine demand, India is industry players, academia as well as a plethora of service one of the leading suppliers of pharmaceuticals in the world. providers across the logistics and distribution, IT, capital While the global formulations trade value is about US$652 pools, packaging and other auxiliary industries. billion (2019), India’s share of exports in the global trade In order to build a holistic consensus, we reached out to was only about 2.5%. With increased pricing pressure on industry-wide stakeholders, whose views were sought over the global generics trade as well as increased competition in countless interactions through a structured questionnaire, India’s established export corridors, the current portfolio of coupled with secondary analysis and global primary case products is expected to further extend this divide. The global studies through EY proprietary research. Future opportunities pharmaceutical trade is expected to reach a size of US$1-1.3 and the way forward have been duly ratified through industry trillion by 2030, the ambition is to garner a global share of and stakeholders’ roundtables. Key considerations to adopt as 6-7% by value to attain a size of ~US$73 billion. Figure B: Future considerations and way forward ► One of the key action areas that resonated across all interactions was the need to move up the ► Manufacturing at scale in cluster wise value chain to achieve the ambition and consider way forward to discuss the sets of action needed approach for both API & formulations to be put into place to move up India’s share of trade in value. is a must to be globally competitive and self reliant cce erati ► To meet this objective, this section deliberates on set of actions to help the industry move towards re earc a this objective including setting up an overarching regulatory body and a Central body to streamline ► Manufacture more value added i vati research infrastructure and financing from all government bodies, exploring new models for products that boost export revenues financing R&D to increase private investments and also make available funds for high risk / long and substitute imports for domestic term projects, measures to improve industry-academia collaboration and establish a strong demand innovation ecosystem, the role of industry to leverage technology for improving productivity and ► Adopt operational excellence efficiency in research to name a few. ► Constitute an overarching techniques across the supply chain to regulatory body, bringing garner the best out of existing efficiency and effectiveness infrastructure at governance ► Upgrade the manufacturing facilities ► The increased acceptability of digital technologies has the potential to improve healthcare delivery. and supply chain infrastructure with ► Explore new models for t en t en n This section explores the progress towards achievement of universal healthcare access, financing R&D to encourage technology, automation and digital c ievi establishing efficient processes such as the potential use of Aadhar card to identify as well as private investments, funding n t n interventions to improve efficiencies e uita e a simplify the delivery based on healthcare coverage category. The next steps to creating, avenues for high risk / long n s se u tai a e maintaining and leveraging healthcare data to identify and prioritize focus areas for healthcare have also been discussed in depth. term projects n o est n ea t care ► Augment industry-academia ► Considerations for enabling teleconsulting, focus on preventive healthcare have also been dealt collaboration and establish a o ets with, in detail, and the role of the industry, government, healthcare sector and insurers carved out. strong research and innovation ecosystem e e t n ese n nno t on ► The focus of manufacturing & supply chain initiatives would be to develop capabilities in APIs and enable manufacture of complex generics, bio-similars, gene & cell therapies etc.