In the Spotlight 07/18/2016
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Kremlin-Linked Forces in Ukraine's 2019 Elections
Études de l’Ifri Russie.Nei.Reports 25 KREMLIN-LINKED FORCES IN UKRAINE’S 2019 ELECTIONS On the Brink of Revenge? Vladislav INOZEMTSEV February 2019 Russia/NIS Center The Institut français des relations internationales (Ifri) is a research center and a forum for debate on major international political and economic issues. Headed by Thierry de Montbrial since its founding in 1979, Ifri is a non-governmental, non-profit organization. As an independent think tank, Ifri sets its own research agenda, publishing its findings regularly for a global audience. Taking an interdisciplinary approach, Ifri brings together political and economic decision-makers, researchers and internationally renowned experts to animate its debate and research activities. The opinions expressed in this text are the responsibility of the author alone. ISBN: 978-2-36567-981-7 © All rights reserved, Ifri, 2019 How to quote this document: Vladislav Inozemtsev, “Kremlin-Linked Forces in Ukraine’s 2019 Elections: On the Brink of Revenge?”, Russie.NEI.Reports, No. 25, Ifri, February 2019. Ifri 27 rue de la Procession 75740 Paris Cedex 15—FRANCE Tel. : +33 (0)1 40 61 60 00—Fax : +33 (0)1 40 61 60 60 Email: [email protected] Website: Ifri.org Author Dr Vladislav Inozemtsev (b. 1968) is a Russian economist and political researcher since 1999, with a PhD in Economics. In 1996 he founded the Moscow-based Center for Post-Industrial Studies and has been its Director ever since. In recent years, he served as Senior or Visiting Fellow with the Institut fur die Wissenschaften vom Menschen in Vienna, with the Polski Instytut Studiów Zaawansowanych in Warsaw, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik in Berlin, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, and the Johns Hopkins University in Washington. -
Lessons from Ukraine
http://english.caixin.com/2014-04-09/100662923.html Caixin OnlineOpinionCommentariesLessons from Ukraine 04.09.2014 18:48 Lessons from Ukraine China should see that unbridled corruption and unwillingness to treat people with dignity can lead to popular anger and protests By Taras Kuzio RELATED POSTS Closer Look: Ukrainian Crisis Presents Diplomatic Opportunity to China Crimea Rattles the Chinese Dream Closer Look: Nationalism, Country, Crimea With the new revolutionary leadership ensconced in Ukraine set to sign the Association Agreement with the European Union in the coming months, the country's move from neo-Soviet to post-Soviet state begins in earnest. European integration signals a fundamental overhaul of all aspects of Ukrainian political, legal, economic and civic life. European integration would be irreversible, signaling Ukraine's move from the geopolitical crossroads. The triumph of the Euromaidan protests has geo-strategic ramifications for European and Trans-Atlantic relations and relations between the United States, EU and Russia. At the same time, it was always mistaken to over-focus on the Euromaidan as a geopolitical tug-of- war between the West and Russia. The drivers for Ukraine's revolution were domestic rather than foreign, and anti-Russian feelings played only a minor role. Meanwhile, the initial protest against president Viktor Yanukovych turning his back on European integration was quickly overshadowed by other important factors. The Euromaidan was civil-society driven, rather than organized by the opposition, as was the case during the Orange Revolution a decade ago, and became a nation-wide response to rapacious greed by a small cabal of oligarchs and The Family, Yanukovych's close allies from his hometown in the Donetsk region. -
Energy Politics of Ukraine: Domestic and International Dimensions
ENERGY POLITICS OF UKRAINE: DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL DIMENSIONS A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES OF MIDDLE EAST TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY BY ANASTASIYA STELMAKH IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY IN THE DEPARTMENT OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS MAY 2016 i ii Approval of the Graduate School of Social Sciences Prof. Dr. Meliha B. Altunışık Director I certify that this thesis satisfies all the requirements as a thesis for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. Prof. Dr. Özlem Tür Head of Department This is to certify that we have read this thesis and that in our opinion it is fully adequate, in scope and quality, as a thesis for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. Prof. Dr. Oktay F. Tanrısever Supervisor Examining Committee Members Prof. Dr. Meliha B. Altunışık (METU, IR) Prof. Dr. Oktay F. Tanrısever (METU, IR) Prof. Dr. Hüseyin Bağcı (METU, IR) Prof. Dr. Fırat Purtaş (GAZI U., IR) Assist. Prof. Dr. Yuliya Biletska (KARABÜK U., IR) iii I hereby declare that all information in this document has been obtained and presented in accordance with academic rules and ethical conduct. I also declare that, as required by these rules and conduct, I have fully cited and referenced all material and results that are not original to this work. Name, Last name : Anastasiya Stelmakh Signature : iii ABSTRACT ENERGY POLITICS OF UKRAINE: DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL DIMENSIONS Stelmakh, Anastasiya Ph.D., Department of International Relations Supervisor: Prof. Dr. Oktay F. Tanrısever May 2016, 349 pages This PhD thesis aims to analyze domestic and international dimensions of Ukraine’s energy politics. -
The Political Economy of Corruption in Donbas's
Corrupting or Stabilizing: The Political Economy of Corruption in Donbas’s “People’s Republics” Author(s): Gabriella Gricius Source: Kyiv-Mohyla Law and Politics Journal 5 (2019): 37–57 Published by: National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy http://kmlpj.ukma.edu.ua/ Corrupting or Stabilizing: The Political Economy of Corruption in Donbas’s “People’s Republics” 1 Gabriella Gricius Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands Abstract A wide range of normative implications exists between corruption and the stability of de-facto states. While some claim that corruption inherently disrupts institutional development and stumps economic growth, others argue that corruption in some cases acts as a stabilizing factor for authoritarian regimes. Regardless, corruption generally plays a role in the political economy of any state. In de-facto states, corruption tends to play an outsized role, either or equally impacting the exercise of political authority or the allocation of public goods and services. This research aims to examine the case study of the Luhansk and Donetsk “People’s Republics” and the relationship between corruption and governance in these two de-facto regions to better understand how corruption and stability are interrelated. Methodologically, I plan to use mostly political economy methods, namely focusing on using Goodhand’s framework of analyzing different economies during conflict. I will rely mostly on open-source information for this preliminary research to determine what the governance structure is, namely focusing on the DPR’s and the LPR’s respective governments. Key Words: Ukraine, Corruption, Political Economy, Conflict, De-facto states1 3 Introduction The Donbas conflict erupted in 2014 in the wake of Euromaidan Revolution and the flight of former President Viktor Yanukovych. -
Eu Misappropriation Sanctions Ten Years on Factsheet 2021
CIVIL FORUM FOR ASSET RECOVERY Köpenicker Str. 147, 10997 Berlin, Germany Registry Number VR 34993 B Amtsgericht Berlin, Charlottenburg EU MISAPPROPRIATION SANCTIONS TEN YEARS ON FACTSHEET 2021 1. BACKGROUND Following the revolutions in 2011 in Tunisia and Egypt and 2014 in Ukraine, the Council of the European Union imposed misappropriation sanctions on people suspected of corruption from the ousted regimes. These require that any assets relating to people on the list, including real estate and bank accounts, are frozen in all EU Member States and that no funds or economic resources shall be made available to them. These sanctions were imposed on former rulers, as well as on their families and entourages, in order to prevent these assets from being transferred outside of the EU and hidden again and had the purpose of: • Preventing the flight of suspected stolen public assets by former regime elites, through freezing the assets, thereby making it possible to recover the assets at a later stage; • Stabilising the post-revolutionary leaderships and new governments in Cairo, Tunis and Kiev. Sanctions are imposed by the Council of the EU to promote the objectives of the Common Foreign and Security Policy: peace, democracy, and the respect for the rule of law, human rights and international law. Each year, the Council of the EU decides whether these sanctions should be renewed, amended or lifted. 2. EVOLUTION OF LISTINGS Due to the need of the EU to rely on third countries to provide evidence of corruption, and crucially, the high number of legal challenges that sanctioned individuals have brought in front of European courts, which often ruled in favour of annulling listings due to insufficient substantiation, the number of listed individuals has significantly decreased over the years. -
The Ukrainian Weekly, 2017
INSIDE: l Marking the centennial of the Crimean Tatar Kurultai – page 2 l Holodomor remembered in Ottawa and Edmonton – page 8 l UTS presents 2017 Ukrainian of the Year Award – page 9 THEPublished U by theKRAINIAN Ukrainian National Association Inc., a fraternal W non-profit associationEEKLY Vol. LXXXV No. 51 THE UKRAINIAN WEEKLY SUNDAY, DECEMBER 17, 2017 $2.00 Defense budget authorizes Poroshenko faces worst political crisis of his administration provision of lethal weapons by Mark Raczkiewycz to Ukraine, expands support KYIV – Not since the Euro-Maidan revo- Interfax-Ukraine lution have Kyiv’s streets seen such unrest as what occurred last weekend and turned WASHINGTON – The defense budget out to be President Petro Poroshenko’s for 2018, signed by U.S. President worst domestic political crisis to date. Donald Trump, provides $350 million to Several thousand protesters led by promote security in Ukraine and autho- opposition lawmakers marched to Kyiv’s rizes the country to provide lethal Independence Square on December 10, weapons, the Ukrainian Embassy in the calling for the billionaire president’s United States has said. impeachment, the release of ex-Georgian “President of the United States leader turned Ukrainian politician Mikheil Donald Trump has signed the law on Saakashvili and progress to uproot high- the U.S. budget for 2018 for national level corruption. defense, which provides permission to The rally at once questioned Mr. allocate $350 million to provide assis- Poroshenko’s credentials of being reformist tance in the security sphere of Ukraine. and pro-democratic, and cast his adminis- The law authorizes the provision of tration in the negative light of “using the old defensive weapons to our state and sig- tried and tested levers of power,” said nificantly expands the parameters of Timothy Ash, a London-based senior Inna Sokolovska/UNIAN Ukraine’s support with the United emerging markets strategist for BlueBay A scene from the anti-government demonstration in Kyiv on December 9 – the largest States in the field of security and Asset Management. -
Oligarchs After the Maidan: the Old System in a 'New' Ukraine
Centre for Eastern Studies NUMBER 162 | 16.02.2015 www.osw.waw.pl Oligarchs After The Maidan: The Old System In A ‘New’ Ukraine Wojciech Konończuk There have been major changes in the balance of forces among the key Ukrainian oligarchs, rep- resentatives of big business with strong political influence, since the victory of the Maidan revo- lution. However, these changes have not undermined the oligarchic system per se. Over the past decade or so, the oligarchs have been key players in Ukrainian politics and economy, and they have retained this position until the present. One of the effects of the change of the government in Kyiv and the war in the Donbas was the elimination of the influence of ‘the family’ – the people from Viktor Yanukovych’s inner circle who formed the most expansive oligarchic group in Ukraine at the time of his presidency. The influence of Rinat Akhmetov, the country’s wealthiest man, has also weakened significantly; Akhmetov was one of the most influential people in Ukraine for more than ten years, partly owing to his close bonds with Yanukovych. Dmytro Firtash’s group has also lost a great deal of its influence since Firtash was arrested in Austria in March 2014. The elimination (‘the family’) or the reduction in influence (Akhmetov and Firtash) of what were until recently the most powerful oligarchic groups has been accompanied over the past few months by an unprecedented increase in the influence of Ihor Kolomoyskyi. The present governor of Dnipropetrovsk oblast has become Ukraine’s most powerful oligarch, and has am- bitions to expand his influence. -
The Future of Ukrainian Oligarchsdownload
Ukrainian Institute for the Future is an independent analytical center that: • forecasts changes and models possible scenarios for events in Ukraine; • makes a competent assessment of the Ukrainian events; • makes specific recommendations for actions; • offers effective solutions; • offers a platform for discussions on current topics. It is a project of representatives of Ukrainian business, politics and the public sector. Founded in summer 2016. AUTHORS Victor Andrusiv Executive Director of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, PhD in Political Science, analyst and opinion journalist, author of the book “Change the future” Oleg Ustenko Executive Director of the Bleyzer Foundation, President of Harvard Club of Ukraine alumni association Yurii Romanenko Co-founder of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, head of the International and Domestic Policy programme, editor-in-chief of the portal Hvylya Ihar Tyshkevich Expert of International and Domestic Politics programme of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future (UIF) © Art-direction D!VANDESIGN © Idea and design INCOGNITA INTRODUCTION. THE BRITISH DISEASE IN UKRAINE Content 05 THEORY AND STRUCTURE OF THE UKRAINIAN OLIGARCHY 06 INFLUENCE OVER ENERGY INDUSTRY 14 INFLUENCE OVER METALLURGY 26 INFLUENCE OVER TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE 38 INFLUENCE OVER MEDIA 50 INFLUENCE OVER POLITICS 62 THREE SCENARIOS FOR THE FUTURE OF THE OLIGARCHS 72 Victor Andrusiv Executive Director of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, PhD in Political Science, analyst and opinion journalist, author of the book “Change the future” Introduction: the British disease in Ukraine After the fall of the Soviet Union, the starting conditions for economic development in Ukraine were advanta- geous. However, after 27 years of independence, we continue to be the most backward country of the post-Sovi- et bloc. -
Ukraine by Oleksandr Sushko and Olena Prystayko
Ukraine by Oleksandr Sushko and Olena Prystayko Capital: Kyiv Population: 45.6 million GNI/capita, PPP: US$7,180 Source: The data above are drawn from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators 2014. Nations in Transit Ratings and Averaged Scores 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Electoral Process 3.50 3.25 3.00 3.00 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.75 4.00 4.00 Civil Society 3.00 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.50 Independent Media 4.75 3.75 3.75 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.75 4.00 4.00 4.25 National Democratic Governance 5.00 4.50 4.75 4.75 5.00 5.00 5.50 5.75 5.75 6.00 Local Democratic Governance 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 Judicial Framework and Independence 4.25 4.25 4.50 4.75 5.00 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.00 6.00 Corruption 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.75 6.00 6.00 6.25 Democracy Score 4.50 4.21 4.25 4.25 4.39 4.39 4.61 4.82 4.86 4.93 NOTE: The ratings reflect the consensus of Freedom House, its academic advisers, and the author(s) of this report. The opinions expressed in this report are those of the author(s). -
Oligarchs in Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia As Key Obstacles to Reforms Wojciech Konończuk, Denis Cenușa and Kornely Kakachia 24 May 2017
Understanding the EU’s Association Agreements and Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Areas with Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia Oligarchs in Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia as key obstacles to reforms Wojciech Konończuk, Denis Cenușa and Kornely Kakachia 24 May 2017 Abstract The paper reviews the role of oligarchs in Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. Oligarchy can be briefly defined as a system of governance in which a small and informal group of people, using their vast economic and financial resources, is able to control a state or exert a major or dominant influence on its policy. The portfolios of economic assets of the major oligarchs of the three countries is described in some detail. The nature of their influence on policy making is further analysed, in particular the disadvantages for the governance of these countries. While these impacts differ in their detail by country, in general terms they tend towards limiting political pluralism, capturing state institutions, corruption, monopolisation, and more broadly the blocking of reform processes. Oligarchs are symptoms rather than causes of weak political institutions. The remedies correspondingly need a wide reach, including institutional capacity building, effective anti-corruption bodies, suitable public funding for political parties, effective competition policy, independence of the judiciary and of the media, supported by many features of the Association Agreements and DCFTAs with the EU. Modern economies will always need major business leaders and enterprises. The challenge is precisely to bring the oligarchs into becoming normal business leaders. Wojciech Konończuk is a senior associate at the Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW) in Warsaw. Denis Cenușa is a researcher and Program Director at Expert-Grup, Chisinau. -
Ukraine Prosecutor Says No Evidence of Wrongdoing by Bidens - Bloomberg
1/2/2020 Ukraine Prosecutor Says No Evidence of Wrongdoing by Bidens - Bloomberg Politics Ukraine Prosecutor Says No Evidence of Wrongdoing by Bidens By Daryna Krasnolutska, Kateryna Choursina, and Stephanie Baker May 16, 2019, 3:14 PM EDT Hunter Biden, Burisma not targets, despite Giuliani’s pleas Long-running investigation said to focus on another Ukrainian Joe and Hunter Biden Photographer: Nick Wass/AP Photo Ukraine’s prosecutor general said in an interview that he had no evidence of wrongdoing by U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden or his son, despite a swirl of allegations by President Donald Trump’s lawyer. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-16/ukraine-prosecutor-says-no-evidence-of-wrongdoing-by-bidens 1/6 1/2/2020 Ukraine Prosecutor Says No Evidence of Wrongdoing by Bidens - Bloomberg The controversy stems from diplomatic actions by Biden while his son, Hunter Biden, sat on the board of Burisma Group, one of the country’s biggest private gas companies. As vice president, Biden pursued an anti-corruption policy in Ukraine in 2016 that included a call for the resignation of the country’s top prosecutor who had previously investigated Burisma. Yuriy Lutsenko, the current prosecutor general, said that neither Hunter Biden nor Burisma were now the focus of an investigation. He added, however, that he was planning to offer details to U.S. Attorney General William Barr about Burisma board payments so American authorities could check whether Hunter Biden paid U.S. taxes on the income. “I do not want Ukraine to again be the subject of U.S. -
Making Russia Pay for Crimea
June 27, 2014, Vol. 1, Issue 2 How to plug a $12 billion hole The global search for allegedly stolen billions Disputes mar Ukraine’s corruption fi ght Summer internships for law students Making Russia Pay For Crimea Ukraine’s legal options for forcing return of peninsula Editors' Note Contents Dear readers, 4 Disputes stifl e Ukraine’s We are pleased to present the second issue of L egal Quarterly, with 36 pages – 12 more than attempts to get rid of endemic the inaugural edition published on March 26. corruption T he Kyiv Post’s magazine is dedicated to covering the most pressing legal issues of the day and provides a platform for Ukraine’s lawyers and others in the legal community to share 6 How to make Russia pay for their insights with the broader community in government, business and civil society. stealing Crimean peninsula Ukraine is undergoing numerous changes on many fronts inspired by the EuroMaidan 9 Vox Populi Revolution . Its new president, Petro Poroshenko, was elected by a landslide vote on May 25 LOCAL CONNECTIONS. GLOBAL INFLUENCE. and inaugurated on June 7. Meanwhile, Ukraine still contends with Russia's illegal annexation 10 How to plug a $12 billion hole of Crimea and a Kremlin-backed separatist war in two of its most populous oblasts in eastern Ukraine, home to 15 percent of the nation's population. 12 Justice minister sees himself as a corruption fi ghter Squire Patton Boggs has come together to combine the strength, influence and resources of Squire Sanders and Patton Boggs. Special attention i s devoted in this issue to Ukraine’s relations with Russia, including the legal prospects for Ukraine getting Russia to return the Crimean peninsula.