Reliable and Accessible Business Registers for Better Business Information and Improved Economic Statistics

IACA, May 5th, 2018 Presented by: Andreja Marusic, Global Lead, Business Environment Taye Alemu Mengistae, Senior Economist Outline

• WBG support to business entry reforms

• Key dimensions of business entry regimes

• Challenges of designing and maintaining business registries in low and middle -income countries

• The value of reliable and accessible data on business

• Broader role – in drawing up national income accounts

• Greater use of business data

• Case study on use of business data WBG –Support to Business Entry Reforms

from reforms focusing on reducing time and cost to start a business… In the past 12 years more economies implemented regulatory reforms in this area than in any other measured by Doing Business. Starting a business clearly stands out as the area with the biggest improvement. …to reforms that also focus on the quality of data on businesses…

…through supporting client governments to set up business registries that have a complete, up to date, transparent and accessible repository of data on businesses

…and efficient integration of G2B services…

…through supporting client governments to leverage ICT solutions, introduction of single business identifiers.. (today about 83 economies around the world have some kind of OSS for business entry) Top Reformers of Starting a business – Doing Business 2018 Many economies have room for improvement in business entry, particularly in making compliance with regulatory requirements less complicated in line with frontier best performers like New Zealand

1 New Zealand

2 Canada

3 Hong Kong SAR, China

4 Georgia

5 Jamaica

6 Singapore

7 Australia

8 Ireland

9 Korea, Rep.

10 Key dimensions of business entry regimes

Efficiency • An efficient system provides fewer steps, reduced time and lower costs for businesses

•An effective, sustainable and cost-effective institutional framework is key to efficient service Effective institutions delivery, including collaboration among institutions

•Establishing a complete, up to date and centralized repository of data on businesses operating Data Quality in the country is indispensable to ensure good data quality

Transparency & public access •Business registration data needs to be accessible to the general public

National coverage •Business registration services should be efficient and accessible throughout the country

•The business registry must have efficient mechanisms to update the data on registered Up-to-date information businesses

•Ability of the business registry to exchange data with other stakeholder agencies is important to Information Exchange secure integration of G2B services related to business entry

Beyond entry •Other functions of the registry should also be made efficient (e.g. annual returns, insolvency) Why are reliable business registries needed?

… provides the government with the tools to produce business statistics and design policies

A complete, transparent, … provides market participants the information they accurate and automated need to value their risks in investing business registry… … is also linked to other important areas such as A2F, collateral registries…

…is a critical ingredient in the production of reliable economic statistics Better information for better policy

• Public policy needs to be informed on the scale and distribution of production and consumer spending

• Business success is also contingent on knowledge of the distribution of market opportunities and resources across space and over time. More on the payoff -Dynamics I: Entry and exit patterns • The business register is the sole medium of observation of firm entry and firm exit • Captures a snap shot of the distribution of firms across industries and locations at each point in time • A comparison of the snap shots between any two points therefore gives us flows of entries and of exits in the interval. • Bearing in mind that the longer is that interval the more of the flow that would be missed, would go unobserved!

• Also captures inter-industry and spatial pattern entry and exit and the associated processes of job creation and job destruction • But is still one of two aspects of the dynamics of economy over the period Dynamics II: Growth and contraction of incumbents

• Second aspect of that dynamics of the economy • Also involving job creation and job destruction just as firm entry and firm exit do • But this aspect is not directly observed via the business register. • The business register does nonetheless play a critical role here also: • because this aspect of the dynamics of the economy is observed through censuses and sample surveys of businesses. • the business register is the source of the list of firms used to do these censuses and surveys • means that the returns to these are as reliable as the business registers on which they are based. Broader role: In drawing up national income accounts

• Broader context role is that function of the surveys and censuses in the drawing up national income accounts

• The sources of key macroeconomic indicators: per capita GDP and national saving and investment rates Challenges • many countries do not have reliable business registers • registers could be outdated or too limited in the range of activities or sectors they cover • are not as accessible to the public as they should be • main focus of business entry reforms is cutting procedures/days not systemic and sustainable reforms • beware of creating “one more stop shops” that will duplicate existing procedures and create more costs than benefits • lack of focus on the quality of data on businesses • limited use of business registers data by government in policy making • due to non transparent and non accessible registers the investors do not have information they need to value investing and accessing a market What needs to be done • Build capacity in maintaining reliable and comprehensive business registers, • Make the registers feed into better census and sample survey data • Increase the accessibility of economic statistics to businesses • Mapping out of all relevant registration and data collection agencies • Establishing a protocol of cooperation and information exchange between them • Standardizing the contents of the registration. • Institute specific mechanisms-- for automatic updating of the business register • Bringing the business registration process online Better business registers for better business surveys

• Support the design and implementation of regular nationally representative sample survey of business • Help standardize the methodology of sample surveys to international norms especially as regards sampling • Help establish protocol of international cooperation among statistical agencies to that end Better and more use of business data

• Improve interoperability and exchange of data between relevant stakeholder agencies • Increase accessibility of survey returns to the public (business, research institutions and think tanks) • Support the periodic release of survey data and accompanying thematic reports analyzing the survey results on narrowly defined topics relating to two basic themes: • Inter-industry and intra-industry structure of jobs and earnings and of job growth and earnings dynamics; • Business formation, business exit and business growth rates across sectoral and inter- industry divides and against global and international benchmarks. WHAT CAN BUSINESS REGISTRATION DATA TELL US – CASE STUDY What can business registration data tell us – Evidence from Serbia – preliminary findings

Presented by Andreja Marusic Ongoing work by Miriam Bruhn, Andreja Marusic, Ha Nguyen, Daniel Reyes, and Trang Tran RESEARCH MOTIVATIONS

The World Bank’s 2006 Doing Business report called the Serbian business registration reform as one of the “boldest reforms” during 2004 – 2005. Days to start business dropped rapidly after the 2005 reform. Serbia is ranked as top reformer by the World Bank Group in 2006.

2004 Chronology of Transformation from a judiciary to an 2009 2011 reforms administrative function Finalization of OSS for New Companies Act and Existing companies needed to re- business entry facilitating entry elimination of minimum capital register New bankruptcy law enacted requirement Reduction in minimum capital facilitating exit requirement by 10x Despite new data by the Business Registry and Financial Accounts Registrys available, few studies have evaluated the impact of this reform. Pre-reform Business Entry Burdens

Before the reform, Serbia was undergoing major structural reforms driven by the need for a substantial transformation into a market economy. Burdensome business entry procedures was an obvious candidate for business environment reform.

Min LLC capital Other problems include lack of a unified registry/database of all 5000USD requirement business entities, and mandatory visit to all government offices required for registration. Courts each requires 16 different paperwork Jurisdiction of 16 commercial courts Different (at least) ID systems that cover different districts in 4 for identifying businesses Serbia Source: Days to start a business http://www.vk.sud.rs/en/gui 51 de-through-serbian-courts Discretionary business registration process at courts

Inconsistent agencies that require re-submitting the same information Business Entry Reform Key Changes The Serbian reform on business registration aims to reduce the costs of government procedures that put unnecessary burdens on new businesses, transforming business registration from judiciary to administrative function. Late 2004 Business Registration Law and Companies Act proposed to Key Reforms establish SBRA

Centralized agency (SBRA) January 2005, SBRA started operations responsible for all business- Serbian Business Registers Agency 1 related registers required for starting new businesses If SBRA fails to make a decision

within 5 days, the applicant Photo credit: SBRA Official Website 5days business is deemed as registered

Min LLC capital 1 euro requirement DATA IN THIS STUDY Our model estimates the impact of the reform on the newly registered firms by comparing the differences before and after the reform, including the total number of and average size of employment of new firms by sector (NACE) and district. Meanwhile, examine whether the effect of the reform depends on the level of local corruption in districts.

Firm-level data Sector-district- from SFAR level covering the Influence analysis period from 2003-2011 New firms in each district by Newly Registered sector Reform Firms

District-level survey Q: Is there corruption in on Experience with court administrative Administrative services in the last 12 Services in 2010 by months? the World Bank. a. To a great deal Percent of (a) Perceived b. To an extent in each district Corruption c. There was no corruption Significant increase in New Businesses Registered

Newly registered companies 11,000 Reform 10,307 Reform Reform 10,073 (12/2004) 9,803 9,814 (5/2009) 10,000 (5/2011)

9,000 8,757 8,310

8,000 7,334 7,000 6,017 6,000 5,721

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 5000 New Businesses by District Data for Belgrade 4000 After the reform was implemented in 2005, most 3000 district witnessed a surge in the number of newly 2000 registered firms. Within 2 years, the number of 1000 registered businesses more than doubled. 0 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Number of newly registered firms by North Bačka year and district (excluding Belgrade) South Bačka South

BELGRADE

Raška Nišava

Source: Authors’ calculation using data from SBRA Note: Belgrade’s data is put in separate chart because its numbers No data are much bigger than other district. Data for Kosovo is missing. Corruption Indicator

Percentage of answering “to a great Braničevo 0 deal” in the survey about corruption by Moravica 0 district in 2010 North Bačka 0 0% Pirot 0 Corruption indicator is captured by 1 - 10% Pomoravlje 0 11 - 15% the percentage of surveyed firms Pčinja 0 16 - 20% Rasina 0 answering “to a great deal” to the 21 - 30% South Banat 31% + 0 question “is there corruption in No Data Srem 0 court administrative services in 0 Zaječar 0 last 12 months?” conducted in South Bačka 0.04 2010 by the World bank. West Bačka 0.12 Central Banat 0.12 Šumadija 0.13 Belgrade 0.14 We expect that the reform would 0.15 have more impact in districts 0.19 where the color is deeper. Raška 0.20 Nišava 0.20 North Banat 0.22 0.30 0.35 Mačva 0.55 IDENTIFICATION STRATEGY

The effects of the reform is measured by a difference-in-difference strategy that compares new business entry in districts with low level of pre-reform corruption to those with high level. If business entry was deterred by corruption at local commercial courts, then the reform

would have higher impact in more corrupt districts on new entry new on

Low High Impact of the reform reform the of Impact Level of Local Court Corruption KEY FINDINGS

• The Serbian reform in business registration in 2004 significantly increased the number of newly registered firms across sectors and districts in Serbia,

• Increase of number of newly registered firms was greater in places where courts were more corrupt.

• Average size of newly registered firms decreased after the reform, indicating that previous entry burdens, along with local corruption, disproportionally deterred small businesses from starting or formalizing.

• The reform did not appear to have significant impact on the firm performance such as employment growth rate. Further in-depth analysis is needed in this regard.