Glossary of Terms
Accrual accounting otherwise combined, to obtain price indices for higher- level aggregates. The recording of the value of a purchase or other trans- action at the time the obligation to pay is incurred, as ASYCUDA distinct from the time payment is made. For an XPI and an MPI, this means that the prices of goods are gener- Automated System for Customs Data. A computer sys- ally recorded at the time of shipment and the prices of tem designed by UNCTAD (United Nations Confer- services at the time of delivery. ence on Trade and Development) for the immediate verification of customs declarations. It ensures that Additivity declarations contain all information required, includ- ing quantity information, in order to receive customs At current prices, the value of an aggregate is equal clearance. The system also validates customs values to the sum of its components. Additivity requires this by matching the unit values on the declarations against identity to be preserved for the extrapolated values those for a predetermined list of commodity prices. of the aggregate and its components when their cur- rent values in some period are extrapolated using a Asymmetric index set of interrelated quantity indices; or, alternatively, when the current values of the aggregate and its com- An index that does not treat the two periods being ponents in some period are deflated using a set of compared in a symmetric or balanced way by attaching interrelated price indices. See also “consistency in equal importance to the price and value data in both aggregation.” periods. For example, the Laspeyres price index, the Paasche price index, and the Palgrave price index are Aggregate asymmetrically weighted price indices: the Laspeyres because it uses the value shares of the base period, the A set of transactions relating to a specified flow of Paasche and Palgrave because they use the value shares goods and services, such as the total exports produced of the current period. by resident establishments in a given period or the total imports of intermediate inputs made by resident estab- Axiomatic approach lishments in a given period. The term “aggregate” is also used to mean the value of the specified set of The approach to index number theory that determines transactions. the choice of index number formula on the basis of its mathematical properties. A list of tests is drawn up, each test requiring an index to possess a certain prop- Aggregation erty or satisfy a certain axiom. The choice of index is The process of combining different sets of transactions made on the basis of the number of tests satisfied. Not to obtain a larger set of transactions. The larger set is all tests may be considered equally important, and the described as having a higher level of aggregation than failure to satisfy certain key tests may be considered the sets of which it is composed. The term “aggrega- sufficient grounds for rejecting an index. An important tion” includes the process of adding the values of lower- feature of the axiomatic approach is that prices and level aggregates to obtain higher-level aggregates. In quantities are considered as separate variables and no the case of price indices, it means the process by which account is taken of possible links between them. Also price indices for lower-level aggregates are averaged, or known as the “test approach.”
603
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution EXPORT AND IMPORT PRICE INDEX MANUAL: THEORY AND PRACTICE
Base period and other goods not elsewhere classified. The catego- ries and subcategories of the classification are defined The base period is generally understood to be the period in terms of SITC Rev.3 basic headings. with which other periods are compared. However, the term is not a precise one and may be used to mean Bias rather different things. Three types of base period may be distinguished: A systematic tendency of the calculated index to diverge from some ideal or preferred index. Bias can arise for a • The price reference period—the period that pro- number of reasons, including the design of the sample vides the prices to which the prices in other periods selected, the price measurement procedures followed, are compared. The prices of the price reference the data processing methods used, and/or the index period appear in th e denominators of the price rela- number formula employed. tives used to calculate the index. • The weight reference period—the period, usually Bilateral price index one or more years, whose values serve as weights The value ratio decomposition approach to index num- for the index. When the values are hybrid (that is, bers involves breaking down the value ratio between the quantities of one period are valued at the prices two periods into two numbers: one representing the of some other period), the weight reference period is price change between the two periods and the other the period to which the quantities refer. representing the quantity change between the two peri- • The index reference period—the period for which ods. The resulting price index is called a “bilateral the index is set equal to 100. price index.” “Bilateral” refers to the assumption that the price index depends only on price and quantity data The three reference periods may coincide but frequently pertaining to the two periods being compared. do not. Book price Base-weighted index See “list price.” See “Laspeyres price index.” Bouncing Basic price The fluctuation or oscillation of prices up and down in The amount received by the producer from the pur- a persistent pattern. chaser for a unit of good or service produced as output. It includes subsidies on products and other taxes on BPM6 production. It excludes taxes on products, other sub- sidies on production, supplier’s retail and wholesale Balance of Payments and International Investment margins, and separately invoiced transport and insur- Position Manual, Sixth Edition. An internationally ance charges. Basic prices are the prices most relevant agreed set of accounts summarizing the economic for decision making by suppliers. relationships between residents of an economy and the rest of the world. The accounts provide an integrated Basket framework for recording an economy’s international current, capital, and financial account transactions, and A specified set of quantities of goods and services for the financial assets and liabilities of its residents vis-à- which prices are collected for the purpose of compiling vis nonresidents. See also “EBOPS.” an index. Business register Basket price index A register or list of enterprises or establishments See “Lowe index” and equation (G.1) in the Appendix. involved in productive activities that is maintained by countries, often by their national statistical institutes, BEC to provide the frame for carrying out their economic Classification by Broad Economic Categories. An censuses and surveys. Such registers usually con- internationally agreed classification that groups com- tain information on location, economic activity, size modities according to their main end use: consumption (employment, payroll, annual production, or turnover), goods, intermediate goods, capital goods, dual-purpose contact persons, links with tax and other administra- goods (motor spirit, passenger motor cars), and military tive registers, etc.
604
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution GLOSSARY
Carli price index Circularity An elementary price index defined as the simple, An index number property such that the algebraic product or unweighted, arithmetic average of the current to of the price index comparing period i with period j and base period price relatives. the price index comparing period k with period j is equal to the price index that compares period k directly with pt P __1 __ period i. The property is also known as “transitivity.” C n p0 When the axiomatic approach is used, a price index num- Carry forward ber may be required to satisfy the “circularity test.” The situation in which a missing price for a product in COLI the current period is imputed as being equal to the last price observed for that product. Cost of living index. An index that measures the change between two periods in the minimum expenditures that Chain index would be incurred by a utility-maximizing consumer, whose preferences or tastes remain unchanged, in order An index number series for a long sequence of peri- to maintaining a given level of utility (or standard of ods obtained by linking together index numbers span- living or welfare). Because consumers may be expected ning shorter sequences of periods, each with their own to change the quantities they consume in response to weights. The linking may be made as frequently as the changes in relative prices (the “substitution effect”), weights change and the data permit, or at specified the COLI is not a fixed-basket index. COLIs cannot be intervals, such as every five or ten periods. Each link in directly calculated but may be approximated by super- the chain consists of an index comparing each period lative indices. A conditional cost of living index is one with the previous period. See also equation (G.6) in the that assumes that all the factors that may influence the Appendix. consumer’s utility or welfare other than prices (such as the physical environment) do not change. Chain linking Splicing together two consecutive sequences of price Commensurability test indices that overlap in one or more periods. When the See “invariance to changes in the units of measurement two sequences overlap by a single period, the usual test.” procedure is simply to rescale one or another sequence so that the value in the overlap period is the same in Commodity both sequences and the spliced sequences form one continuous series. More complex methods may be used A generic term for a good or a service, interchangeable to link indices that overlap by more than one period. with the term “product.” Commodities or products are Also known as “chaining” or “linking.” the result of production. They are exchanged and used for various purposes: as inputs in the production of Chain linking bias other goods and services, as final consumption, or as investment. Individual sampled commodities or prod- See “drift.” ucts are often described as “items.” Characteristics Commodity reversal test The physical and economic attributes of a good or A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that, service that serve to identify it and enable it to be for a given set of products, the price index should classified. remain unchanged when the ordering of the products is changed. C.i.f. price Cost, insurance, and freight price. The price of a good Comparison period delivered at the customs frontier of the importing coun- See “current period.” try or the price of a service delivered to a resident. It includes any insurance and freight charges incurred to Compensation of employees that point. It excludes any import duties or other taxes on imports and trade and transport margins within the The total remuneration, in cash or kind, payable by importing country. enterprises, to employees in return for work done by the
605
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution EXPORT AND IMPORT PRICE INDEX MANUAL: THEORY AND PRACTICE
latter during the accounting period. Includes employ- may have to be less than the scope or domain of the ers’ actual and imputed social contributions. index. In other words, the set of goods and services covered by the index may be narrower than the set Consistency in aggregation of goods and services that the compliers of the index would prefer to include if it were feasible. An index is said to be consistent in aggregation when the index for some aggregate has the same value whether it is calculated directly in a single operation, without CPA distinguishing its components, or it is calculated in two Statistical Classification of Products by Activity within or more steps by first calculating separate indices, or the European Economic Community. The classification subindices, for its components, or subcomponents, and of goods and services by originating activity favored then aggregating them, the same formula being used at by the European Union. Originating activities are those each step. See also “additivity.” defined by NACE.
Constant elasticity of substitution index CPC A family of price indices that allows for substitution Central Product Classification. An internationally between products. The Lloyd-Moulton index is such agreed classification of goods and services based on an index. the physical characteristics of goods or on the nature of the services rendered. Each type of good or service Constant prices test distinguished in the CPC is defined in such a way that See “identity test.” it is normally produced by only one activity as defined in ISIC. Constant quantities test CPI See “fixed-basket test.” Consumer price index. A monthly or quarterly price Consumption of fixed capital index compiled and published by an official statisti- cal agency that measures the changes in the prices of The reduction in the value of the fixed assets used in consumption goods and services acquired or used by production during the accounting period resulting from households. Its exact definition may vary from country physical deterioration, normal obsolescence, or normal to country. accidental damage.
Continuity CSWD index The property whereby the price index is a continuous Carruthers, Sellwood, Ward, Dalén index. A geometric function of its price and quantity vectors. average of the Carli index and the harmonic mean of price relatives index. Contract escalation _ P CSWD PC P HR See “indexation of contracts.”
Contract price Current period A general term referring to a written sales instrument In principle, the current period should refer to the most that specifies both the price and shipment terms. A con- recent period for which an index has been computed or tract may include arrangements for a single shipment or is being computed. However, the term is widely used to multiple shipments. Usually it covers a period of time in refer to any period that is compared with the base period excess of one month. Contracts are often unique in that or index reference period. It is also widely used simply all the price-determining characteristics in one contract to mean the latter of the two periods being compared. are not repeated exactly in any other contract. The exact meaning is usually clear in the context. Also referred to as the “comparison period.” Coverage Current-weighted index The set of goods and services whose prices are actually included in the index. For practical reasons, coverage See “Paasche price index.”
606
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution GLOSSARY
Cutoff sampling It is a symmetric index and a pseudo-superlative index. A sampling procedure in which a predetermined threshold is established with all units in the universe P __1 P P at or above the threshold being included in the sample DR 2 L P and all units below the threshold being excluded. The threshold is usually specified in terms of the size of Dutot index some known variable, the largest sampling units being An elementary price index defined as the ratio of the included and the rest given a zero chance of inclusion. unweighted arithmetic average of the prices in the cur- For XMPIs, size is usually defined in terms of export rent period to the unweighted arithmetic average of the or import values or shares. prices in the base period. Deflation __1 p t ______n The division of the current value of some aggregate by PD __1 0 a price index—described as a “deflator”—in order to n p revalue its quantities at the prices of the price reference period or to revalue the aggregate at the general price EBOPS level of the price reference period. Extended Balance of Payments Services Classification. Discount An extension to the BPM6 classification of international trade in services. It is primarily a product classification A deduction from the list or advertised price of a good and as such is defined in terms of the CPC. However, or service that is available to specific customers under in line with the BPM6, it includes some classes that are specific conditions. Examples include cash discounts, not compatible with the CPC or with other international prompt payment discounts, volume discounts, trade dis- product classifications such as the CPA. It also includes counts, and advertising discounts. various supplementary items and alternative groupings that are intended to provide additional information on Divisia approach the transactions recorded in the system. A price or quantity index that treats both prices and quan- tities as continuous functions of time. By differentiation Economic approach with respect to time, the rate of change in the value of the aggregate in question is partitioned into two compo- The approach to index number theory that assumes nents, one of which is the price index and the other the that the quantities are functions of the prices and not quantity index. In practice, the indices cannot be calcu- independent variables. The observed price and quantity lated directly, but it may be possible to approximate them data are assumed to be generated as solutions to various by chain indices in which indices measuring changes economic optimization problems. Also known as the between consecutive discrete periods are linked together. “microeconomic approach.”
Domain Economic territory (of a country) An alternative term for the scope of an index. See The economic territory of a country consists of the “scope” and “coverage.” geographical territory administered by a govern- ment within which persons, goods, and capital cir- Drift culate freely. It includes (1) the air space, territorial waters, and continental shelf lying in international A chain index is said to drift if it does not return to waters over which the country enjoys exclusive rights unity when prices in the current period return to their or over which it has, or claims to have, jurisdiction levels in the base period. Chain indices are liable to with respect to the right to fish or to exploit fuels or drift when prices fluctuate or “bounce” over the periods minerals below the sea bed; (2) territorial enclaves in they cover. Also known as “chain linking bias.” the rest of the world (clearly demarcated areas of land that are located in other countries and that are used Drobisch price index by the government for diplomatic, military, scientific, A price index defined as the arithmetic average of the or other purposes with the formal political agreement Laspeyres price index and the Paasche price index. of the government of the country in which they are
607
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution EXPORT AND IMPORT PRICE INDEX MANUAL: THEORY AND PRACTICE
physically located); and (3) any free zones, or bonded Error warehouses or factories operated by offshore enter- The difference between the observed value of an index prises under customs control (these form part of the and its “true” value. Errors may be random or sys- economic territory of the country in which they are tematic. Random errors are generally referred to as physically located). “errors.” Systematic errors are called “biases.”
Economically significant prices Establishment Prices that have a significant influence on the amounts An enterprise, or part of an enterprise, that is situated in producers are willing to supply and on the amounts a single location and in which a single nonancillary pro- purchasers wish to buy. ductive activity is carried out or in which the principal productive activity accounts for most of the value added. Editing Also referred to as “LKAU” or “local kind of activity The process of scrutinizing and checking the prices unit.” An establishment should be capable of providing reported or collected for the price index. Checks may basic accounting information on the prices and quantities be carried out by computers using statistical programs it produces and the inputs it uses during an accounting written for the purpose. See “input editing” and “output period. This is often not the case in practice, particularly editing.” when an establishment is one of a number of production units belonging to an enterprise. In these circumstances, Elementary aggregate an establishment is defined either as the enterprise itself or in terms of the smallest subsets of production units for The lowest level of aggregation for which value data are which the enterprise (or the subsets themselves) is able available and used in the calculation of the price index. to supply accounting information on inputs and outputs The values of elementary aggregates are used to weight for the time period under consideration. the elementary price indices associated with them to obtain indices for higher-level aggregates. Elementary Evolutionary goods aggregates usually cover a relatively narrow range of goods or services. They also serve as strata for the Goods that are similar to or extensions of existing goods. sample of products selected for pricing. They are typically produced on the same production line using production inputs and processes that are largely the Elementary item same as those used to produce existing goods. It is possi- One of the individual goods or services that make up ble, at least in theory, to adjust for any quality differences an elementary aggregate. An individual good or service between an evolutionary good and an existing good. selected for pricing from among the various goods or services comprising an elementary aggregate. Often Explicit quality adjustment referred to as an “item.” A direct estimate of how much of the change in price of a product is attributable to changes in its physical or Elementary price index economic characteristics. It requires an evaluation of A price index for an elementary aggregate. Value the contributions of the differences in particular char- weights cannot usually be assigned to the price relatives acteristics to the differences in the observed prices of for sample products within an elementary aggregate, two products. It includes quality adjustments based on although other kinds of weighting may be explicitly or hedonic methods. See also “quality adjustment” and implicitly introduced into the calculation of elemen- “implicit quality adjustment.” tary indices. Three examples of elementary index num- ber formulas are the Carli, the Dutot, and the Jevons Factor reversal test indices. Suppose the prices and quantities in a price index are interchanged to yield a quantity index of exactly the Enterprise same functional form as the price index. Under the An institutional unit in its capacity as a producer of axiomatic approach, the factor reversal test requires that goods and services consisting of one or more establish- the product of this quantity index and the original price ments. An enterprise may be a corporation, a quasi- index should be identical with the proportionate change corporation, a nonprofit institution, or an unincorporated in the value of the aggregate in question. Also known enterprise. as the “product test.”
608
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution GLOSSARY
Factory gate price of quantities in both periods are identical), the price index should equal the proportionate change in the A basic price with the “factory gate” as the pricing point. value of the aggregate. Also known as the “constant FEPI quantities test.”
Final expenditure price index. A measure of the F.o.b. price changes in prices paid by consumers, businesses, and government for final purchases of goods and services. Free on board price. The price of a good delivered at Intermediate purchases are excluded. the customs frontier of the exporting country or the price of a service delivered to a nonresident. It includes FIOPI the freight and insurance charges incurred to that point and any export duties or other taxes on exports levied Fixed-input output (export) price index. The theoretical by the exporting country. model for an XPI for resident producers based on the assumption of fixed technology and inputs. It requires the index to reflect changes in revenue resulting from FOIPI the export of the same products—although not neces- Fixed-output input (import) price index. The theoret- sarily the same mix of products—produced under the ical model for an MPI for resident producers based same circumstances and sold under the same terms. on the assumption of fixed technology and outputs. It In other words, changes in the index arise solely from requires the index to reflect changes in costs result- changes in export prices and are not influenced by ing from the import of the same inputs—although not changes in inputs. Revenue maximizing behavior is necessarily the same mix of inputs—purchased under assumed on the part of the exporting producer. the same terms in order to produce the same output with the same technology. In other words, changes in Fisher price index the index arise solely from changes in import prices of A price index defined as the geometric average of the inputs and are not influenced by changes in outputs. Laspeyres price index and the Paasche price index. It is Cost minimizing behavior is assumed on the part of the a symmetric and superlative index. importing producer. ______ P F PL PP Formula bias
Fixed-basket price index Bias arising from the index number formula used to calculate the index. See “bias” and “substitution bias.” The traditional conceptualization of a price index. The index measures the change in value of a fixed set of GDDS quantities—commonly described as a “fixed basket of good and services”—between two periods. Because the General Data Dissemination System. A system quantities or weights remain fixed, any change in the designed by the IMF to promote the development index is due to price changes only. In principle, there and dissemination of comprehensive macroeconomic, is no restriction on the quantities that make up the bas- financial, and socio-demographic data sets in line ket. They may be those of one of the two periods being with international methodology and good practice. It compared, they may refer to the quantities in some third enables official statistical agencies to identify and pri- period, or they may constitute a hypothetical basket such oritize improvements to their statistics in a thorough as an average of the quantities in the two periods. More- and systematic way. over, the quantities may refer to a much longer period of time than the periods of the index: for example, quantities Geometric Laspeyres price index exported or imported over a period of a year or more may A price index defined as the weighted geometric be used for a monthly or quarterly XPI or MPI. A fixed- average of the current to base period price relatives basket index is sometimes described as a “pure price using the value shares of the base period as weights. index.” Also known as a “fixed-weight price index.” Also known as the “logarithmic Laspeyres price Fixed-basket test index.” pt s0 p0q0 A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that __ 0 _ P GL where s if all the quantities remain unchanged (that is, the sets p0 p 0q0
609
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution EXPORT AND IMPORT PRICE INDEX MANUAL: THEORY AND PRACTICE
Geometric Paasche price index Higher-level index A price index defined as the weighted geometric aver- A term used to describe an index for an aggregate at a age of the current to base period price relatives using higher level of aggregation than an elementary aggre- the value shares of the current period as weights. Also gate. An index constructed from elementary or lower- known as the “logarithmic Paasche price index.” level indices. Weights are used to combine them. Also referred to as an “upper-level index.” pt st ptqt P __ where st ______GP p0 p tqt Homogeneity tests Four tests under the axiomatic approach, namely: Goods the proportionality in current prices test, the inverse proportionality in base prices test, the invariance to pro- Physical objects for which a demand exists, over which portional changes in current quantities test, and the invari- ownership rights can be established, and whose own- ance to proportional changes in base quantities test. ership can be transferred from one institutional unit to another by engaging in transactions on the market. HS They are in demand because they may be used to sat- isfy the needs or wants of households or the community Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding Sys- or used to produce other goods or services. tem or Harmonized System. An internationally agreed commodity classification providing the basis for cus- toms tariffs and for the compilation and dissemina- Gross value added tion of statistics on international merchandized trade. See “value added.” Goods are classified primarily according to the com- ponent material or the type of product, degree of pro- Harmonic mean of price relatives cessing, function, and economic activity. The HS was introduced in 1988 as a replacement for the SITC. It An elementary index that constitutes the harmonic is updated every four to six years to take account of average counterpart to the Carli index. changing conditions of international trade. It was last revised in 2007 (HS07). There is full correspondence 1 P ______between the six-digit subheadings of HS07 and the HR p0 __1 __ five-digit basic headings of SITC Rev.4. n pt Hybrid (export or import) index Harmonic means price index A price index that combines price indices for some of See “ratio of harmonic means of prices.” the elementary aggregates covered by the index with unit value indices for the other elementary aggregates Hedonic method covered by the index. Price indices are used for het- erogeneous elementary aggregates with unacceptable A regression technique in which observed prices of levels of unit value bias. Unit value indices are used for different qualities or models of the same generic good homogeneous elementary aggregates with acceptable or service are expressed as a function of the char- levels of unit value bias. See “price dispersion test” and acteristics of the goods or services in question. It is “quantity proportionality test.” based on the hypothesis that products can be treated as bundles of characteristics and that prices can be Hybrid values attached to the characteristics. The characteristics may be non-numerical attributes that are represented Hypothetical values in which quantities are valued at by dummy variables. The regression coefficients are a different set of prices from those at which they were treated as estimates of the contributions of the char- actually bought or sold. For example, when the quanti- acteristics to the overall prices. The estimates may be ties purchased in an earlier period are valued at prices used to predict the price of a new quality or model prevailing in a later period. whose mix of characteristics is different from that ICP of any product already on the market. The hedonic method can therefore be used to estimate the effects of International Comparison Programme. A worldwide quality changes on prices. statistical program that compares the price and volume
610
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution GLOSSARY levels of GDP and its component expenditures across that measures the overall change in quantities between participating countries. Comparisons are made every the two periods—that is, the quantity index. five or so years. Before such comparisons can be made, it is first necessary to express the GDPs of participating Index reference period countries—which are in national currencies and valued at national price levels—in a common currency at a uni- The period for which the value of the index is set at 100. form price level. Purchasing power parities (PPPs) are See also “base period.” used to do this. The PPPs are calculated with price and expenditure data collected from participating countries. Indexation The price and expenditure data collected cover the whole The periodic adjustment of the money values of some range of final goods and services included in GDP. regular scheduled payments based on the movement of a nominated price index such as the CPI or another simi- Identity test lar price index. The payments may be wages or salaries, A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that social security or other pensions, other social security if the prices remain unchanged between the two peri- benefits, rents, interest payments, etc. The purpose of ods (that is, the sets of prices are identical), the price indexation is to protect the recipients of the payments index should equal unity. Also known as the “constant against inflation. Also known as “index linking.” prices test.” Indexation of contracts Implicit quality adjustment A procedure whereby a long-term contract for the pro- vision of goods or services includes a periodic adjust- Inferring indirectly the change in the quality of a product ment to the prices paid for the goods or services based whose characteristics change over time by estimating, on the increase or decrease in the level of a nominated or assuming, the pure price change that has occurred. price index, such as the PPI, the XPI, or the MPI. For example, if the pure price change is assumed to be The purpose of the indexation is to take inflation- equal to the average for some other group of products, ary risk out of the contract. Also known as “contract the implied change in quality is equal to the actual escalation.” observed price change divided by the assumed pure price change. If the whole of the observed price change Industry is assumed to be pure price change, there is assumed to be no change in quality. See also “quality adjustment” A general term to describe a group of establishments and “explicit quality adjustment.” engaged in the same, or similar, kinds of production activity. Also a specific term used to describe establish- Imputed price ments engaged in mining and quarrying, manufactur- ing, electricity, gas, and water (Sections C, D, and E of The price assigned to a product for which the price ISIC, Rev. 3). is missing in a particular period. The term “imputed price” may also refer to the price assigned to a product Input editing that is not sold on the market, such as a good or service produced for own consumption, including housing ser- The process of analyzing the prices reported by an vices produced by owner-occupiers, or one received as individual respondent and querying price changes that payment in kind or as a free transfer from a government are above a specified level or are inconsistent across or nonprofit institution. product lines. An important objective of the process is to ensure that actual transaction prices are reported and Index number problem to detect any changes in the specifications. How to combine the relative changes in the prices and Institutional unit quantities of various products into (1) a single measure of the relative change of the overall price level and (2) a A national accounts concept defined as an economic single measure of the relative change of the overall entity that is capable, in its own right, of owning assets, quantity level. Or, conversely, how a value ratio pertain- incurring liabilities, and engaging in economic activi- ing to two periods can be decomposed into a component ties and transactions with other entities. Enterprises are that measures the overall change in prices between the institutional units. Other kinds of units include house- two periods—that is, the price index—and a component holds and governments.
611
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution EXPORT AND IMPORT PRICE INDEX MANUAL: THEORY AND PRACTICE
Intermediate basket scalar , the new price index is 1 times the old price index. A basket derived as the average of the baskets of two time periods, usually the base and current periods. The ISIC average can be arithmetic, as in the Marshall-Edgeworth price index, or geometric, as in the Walsh price index. International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities. An internationally agreed Intermediate consumption classification that allows enterprises and establish- ments to be classified according to economic activ- The value of goods and services used or consumed as ity based on the class of goods produced or services intermediate inputs by a process of production. rendered.
Intermediate inputs Item Goods and services, other than primary inputs and An individual good or service in the sample of products fixed assets, used as inputs into the production pro- selected for pricing. Also referred to as an “elementary cess of an establishment, which are produced elsewhere item.” in the economy or are imported. They may be either transformed or used up by the production process. Also Item or product rotation called “intermediate products.” The deliberate replacement of a sampled item, or prod- Intra-company transfer price uct, for which prices are being collected, by another product before the replaced product has disappeared The value assigned on a per unit or per shipment basis to from the market or individual establishment. It is goods transferred from one establishment of an enterprise designed to keep the sample of products up to date to another. It may or may not be economically significant. and reduce the need for forced replacements caused However, it is not a market price because ownership of by the disappearance of products. See “replacement the good does not change hands. See “transfer price.” product.”
Invariance or symmetry tests Item or product substitution Five tests under the axiomatic approach, namely: the The deliberate or forced replacement of a sampled item, commodity reversal test, the commensurability test, or product, for which prices are being collected, by the time reversal test, the quantity reversal test, and the a new product because it is about to disappear or has price reversal test. disappeared from the market or specific establishment. See “replacement product.” Invariance to changes in the units of measurement test ITRS A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that the International Transactions Reporting System. An ITRS price index does not change when the units of quantity to measures individual balance of payments cash transac- which the prices refer are changed: for example, when tions passing through the domestic banks and foreign the price of some drink is quoted per liter rather than per bank accounts of enterprises, noncash transactions, and pint. Also known as the “commensurability test.” stock positions. Statistics are compiled from forms sub- mitted by domestic banks and from forms submitted by Invariance to proportional change in current enterprisers to the compiler. or base quantities test A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that Jevons price index the price index remains unchanged when all the base An elementary price index defined as the unweighted period quantities, or all the current period quantities, geometric average of the current to base period price are multiplied by a positive scalar. relatives also equal to the ratio of geometric means of the current to base period prices. Inverse proportionality in base prices test t 1 n t 1 n A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that __ p ______ p P J 0 if all base period prices are multiplied by the positive p p 0 1 n
612
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution GLOSSARY
Laspeyres price index index, and the Walsh index. See equation (G.1) in the Appendix. A price index defined as a fixed-basket, or fixed-weight, index that uses the basket of goods and services of the In practice, official statistical agencies frequently use base period. The base period serves as both the weight a Lowe price index with a quantity basket of period b, reference period and the price reference period. It is where b denotes some period before 0, and hybrid value identical to a weighted arithmetic average of the cur- shares valued at prices in period 0, the price reference rent to base period price relatives using the value shares period. The share-weighted Lowe index is of the base period as weights. Also called a “base- weighted index.” t 0 b b0 __p b0 ______p q PLO s where s . p0 0 b p t q 0 pt p0q0 p q P ______ s 0 __ where s0 ______L p 0q0 p0 p 0q0 Lower-level index
List price See “elementary price index.”
The price of a product as quoted in the seller’s price list, Market price catalogue, Internet site, etc. The gross price exclusive of all discounts, surcharges, rebates, and the like that apply The amount of money a willing buyer pays to acquire to an actual transaction. Also known as the “book price.” a good or service from a willing seller. The actual price for a transaction agreed by the transactors. The LKAU net price inclusive of all discounts, surcharges, and rebates applied to the transaction. From the seller’s Local kind of activity unit. See “establishment.” point of view, the market price is the basic price; from the buyer’s point of view, the market price is Lloyd-Moulton price index the purchaser’s price. Also referred to as “transac- A particular case of a constant elasticity of substitution tion price.” price index. In its unweighted form, the Lloyd-Moulton formula is Marshall-Edgeworth price index A price index defined as the weighted arithmetic aver- pt 1 _1 age of the current to base period price relatives that uses P _1 _ 1 . LM [ n p0 ] the quantities of an intermediate basket as weights. The quantities of the intermediate basket are arithmetic aver- In its weighted form, the Lloyd-Moulton formula is ages of the quantities of the base and current periods. It is a symmetric index and a pseudo-superlative index.
pt 1 _1 p0q0 0 _ 1 0 _ PLM s where s . t t 0 [ p0 ] 0 0 __ p q q 2 p q PME p0 q t q0 2
Lowe price index Matched models or products method Although called a “Lowe price index” after the index number pioneer who first proposed this general type The practice of pricing exactly the same model or prod- of index, it is not a single index but a family of basket uct in two or more consecutive periods. It is designed to price indices, each of which measures the proportionate ensure that the observed price changes are not affected change between periods 0 and t in the total value of a by quality change. The change in price between two specified basket of goods and services. perfectly matched models or products is described as a “pure” price change. t ______ p q n P where the terms qn are the specified LO 0 p qn Mean value tests quantities. Three tests under the axiomatic approach, namely: the The family of Lowe indices includes the Laspeyres mean value test for prices, the mean value test for quan- index, the Paasche index, the Marshall-Edgeworth tities, and the Paasche and Laspeyres bounding test.
613
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution EXPORT AND IMPORT PRICE INDEX MANUAL: THEORY AND PRACTICE
Mean value test for prices The decomposition helps deal with changes in the sam- pled products. In the absence of changes in the sample, A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that P reduces to a Young index between t and 0 with the price index lies between the smallest price relative MLAS weight reference period b. and the largest price relative. t b __p Mean value test for quantities PMLAS s PY p0 A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that the implicit quantity index lies between the minimum and As a price-updated version of a Young index. This is a maximum rates of growth of the individual quantities. fixed-weight index in which the quantities are those of the weight reference period b, but the price reference Merchanting period is a later period 0 preceding the current period t. The implicit expenditure weights are obtained by The purchase of goods by a resident from a nonresident revaluing the quantities of the weight reference period b combined with the subsequent resale of the goods to at the prices of the price reference period 0, a procedure another nonresident without the resident taking physi- described as “price updating.” This modified Laspeyres cal possession of the goods. In other words, the goods index between periods 0 and t can be interpreted as a do not pass through the economic territory in which the weighted average of the price relatives between 0 and t, resident resides. using the price-updated expenditure weights. Its defini- tion is Microeconomic approach sb p 0 pb pt See “economic approach.” ______ __ s b p 0 pb p0 Mid-period or midyear price index and corresponds to a Lowe price index between periods A price index that utilizes either the quantity or value 0 and t with weight reference period b. See also “price weights from an intermediate period that lies between updating” and “Lowe price index.” the base period and the current period when the number of periods between them is odd, or the average of the As a two-stage Laspeyres index. The two-stage proce- quantity or value weights for two consecutive interme- dure decomposes a Laspeyres price index between b diate periods that lie between the base period and the and t into a Laspeyres price index between b and 0 and current period when the number of periods between a Lowe price index between 0 and t. them is even. t b 0 b t b ______ p q ______ p q _ p q Mirror price index p bqb p bqb p 0qb An XPI for a country constructed as the weighted average of the corresponding MPIs of the countries to See also equation (G.3) in the Appendix. which it exports. An MPI for a country constructed as the weighted average of the corresponding XPIs of the Monotonicity in prices countries from which it imports. The property whereby if any current period price increases or any base period price decreases, the price “Modified,” “short-term change,” or “two-stage” index increases. Laspeyres price index These often-used descriptions of the Laspeyres index Monotonicity in quantities have at least three meanings: The property whereby if any current period quantity increases or any base period quantity decreases, the As a short-run modified Laspeyres index. This is an implicit quantity index that corresponds to the price index with weight reference period b and price changes index increases. between periods 0 and t where the latter are decom- posed into price changes between period 0 and t 1 Monotonicity tests and period t 1 and t. Four tests under the axiomatic approach that test for pt 1 pt pbqb b ______b ______monotonicity in current prices, in base prices, in cur- PMLAS s 0 t 1 where s p p p bqb rent quantities, and in base quantities.
614
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution GLOSSARY
MPI of different sources, including defects in the sampling frame and/or in the selection of sample units, faulty Import price index. See “XMPIs.” demarcation of sample units, mistakes in the collection of data owing to misunderstandings or dishonesty on Multi-factor productivity the part of the enumerator and/or the respondent, and See “total factor productivity.” mistakes during the processing of data.
NACE Observation The acronym from the French for General Industrial The price collected or reported for a sampled product Classification of Economic Activities within the Euro- or item. pean Communities. The classification is basically a more detailed version of ISIC appropriate to European Order price circumstances. The price quoted at the time the order is placed by the purchaser. Net exports The value of exports of goods and services less the Other subsidies on production value of imports of goods and services. Also known as The subsidies that resident enterprises may receive as the “balance of exports and imports.” a consequence of engaging in production; for example, subsidies on payroll or workforce, or subsidies to reduce Net value added pollution. They do not include subsidies on products. See “value added.” Other taxes on production New good problem The taxes that resident enterprises may pay as a conse- Difficulty in comparing prices between two periods quence of engaging in production. They mainly consist when a product enters the basket only in period 2, so of current taxes on the labor or capital employed in the that a price for the product does not exist in period 1. enterprise, such as payroll taxes or current taxes on vehi- cles or buildings. They do not include taxes on products. New goods See “evolutionary goods” and “revolutionary goods.” Outlier A term that is generally used to describe any extreme Non-probability sampling value in a set of survey data. In an XMPI context, it is Selection in which establishments or products do not used for an extreme value of price or price relative that have a known non-zero probability of selection. Also requires further investigation or that has been verified known as “non-random sampling.” It includes the delib- as being correct. erate selection of a sample of establishments and prod- ucts on the basis of the knowledge or judgment of the Output person responsible. Also known as “purposive sam- The goods or services that are produced within an pling” and “judgmental sampling.” establishment that become available for use outside that establishment, plus any goods and services produced Nonresident for own final use. An institutional unit whose center of economic interest is not in the economic territory of the country. Output editing The process of comparing the price levels and price Non-response bias movements of similar products between different The bias that arises when those who do not respond have respondents and querying any outliers. different price experiences than those who do respond. Paasche and Laspeyres bounding test Non-sampling error A test under the axiomatic approach that requires that An error in sample estimates that cannot be attrib- the price index lies between the Laspeyres price index uted to sample variation. It can arise from any number and the Paasche price index.
615
©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution EXPORT AND IMPORT PRICE INDEX MANUAL: THEORY AND PRACTICE
Paasche price index selection proportional to the size of some known vari- able. In the case of XMPIs, size is usually defined in A price index defined as a fixed-basket, or fixed-weight, terms of export or import values or shares. index that uses the basket of goods and services of the current period. The current period serves as the weight Price adjustment escalator reference period and the base period as the price refer- ence period. It is identical to a weighted harmonic aver- The price index nominated to determine the periodic age of the current to base period price relatives using adjustments to regular scheduled payments or to prices the value shares of the current period as weights. Also of long-term contracts required under indexation. See called a “current weighted index.” “indexation” and “indexation of contracts.”