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Economy Technical Note

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Economy Technical Note ECONOMY TECHNICAL NOTE November 2011 SESplan ECONOMY TECHNICAL NOTE (V8) CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................1 2. NATIONAL PLANNING POLICY .............................................................................................2 Scottish Planning Policy (SPP).................................................................................................2 National Planning Framework 2 (NPF2)...................................................................................2 3. ECONOMIC CHALLENGES ....................................................................................................6 4. KEY (GLOBAL) SECTORS, MARKET ANALYSIS AND EXPECTED DEMAND...................7 Property Market Consultancy for Scottish Enterprise .............................................................17 Edinburgh City Region Benchmarks 2011..............................................................................23 5. EMPLOYMENT LAND SUPPLY ............................................................................................25 Key Employment Locations ....................................................................................................26 Land Use Implications ............................................................................................................32 6. TRAVEL TO WORK AREAS AND ACCESSIBILITY ............................................................32 SESplan Accessibility Analysis.................................................Error! Bookmark not defined. Measuring the Economic Value of Transport Connectivity to Edinburgh City Region ............34 South East Edinburgh Transport Economic Potential Study ..................................................37 7. IT & DIGITAL CONNECTION IMPACTS ON THE ECONOMY .............................................38 8. TOWN CENTRES AND RETAILING .....................................................................................40 Scottish Planning Policy (SPP)...............................................................................................40 Economic Challenges and Retail Market Analysis .................................................................40 SESplan Retail Context ..........................................................................................................42 9. ISSUES FOR THE STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT PLAN ........................................ 45 Appendix 1- SESplan Employment Land Audit 2010............................................................48 Appendix 2- Review of Town & Commercial Centres in the SESplan Area ..........................49 Figure 1- Economic Development & Community Regeneration Diagram- NPF2 Figure 2- NPF2 Strategy Diagram Figure 3- Key (Global) Economic Sectors, Locations and Land-use Implications Figure 4- National (Scottish) Employment Levels Figure 5- Scottish Enterprise East Region Employment Levels Figure 6- Scottish Enterprise South Region Employment Levels Figure 7- National (Scottish) Office Space Demand Figure 8- Scottish Enterprise East Region Office Space Demand Figure 9- Scottish Enterprise South Region Office Demand Figure 10- % Share of Population, GDP and Employment in Edinburgh City Region-2010 Figure 11- GDP Growth, Average Growth Rates- 1999-2009 and Forecasts Between 2010 and 2020 Figure 12- Total Employment Land Allocation in the SESplan area Figure 13- Strategic Employment Locations in the SESplan Area Figure 14- Strategic Employment Locations in the SESplan Area diagram Figure 15- Change in 5% and 10% TTWA Boundaries for Edinburgh Between 1991 Census and 1999-2001 SHS Figure 16- 2001 Census TTW Data at Local Authority Settlement Level Figure 17- Town & Commercial Centres in the SESplan Area 1. INTRODUCTION0B 1.11B To inform the SESplan Main Issues Report (MIR) published in May 2010, an Economy Technical Note (ETN) was prepared which outlined the main economic land-use considerations across the SESplan area. 1.22B Throughout the summer of 2010, the MIR together with the background technical notes were the subject of public consultation. In considering the responses made through the public consultation the ETN has been updated to inform the Strategic Development Plan. 1.3 The starting point for assessing the employment land requirement for the Strategic Development Plan (SDP) is to review national policy, identify key (global) sectors for growth and to review market research and expected employment demand. This involves reviewing a number of factors including, Scottish Government and Scottish Enterprise ambitions for growth in key (global) sectors, partner authorities’ local economic development strategies on the prospects of future growth and the past take up of land. A review has also been undertaken to identify the land-use implications of the demand requirements. An assessment of the existing established employment land supply and the allocations for land in the current development plan has also been undertaken. 1.4 This technical note should be read in conjunction with other supporting documents including: • Spatial Strategy Assessment Technical Note • Housing Technical Note • Transport Technical Note • Green Network Technical Note • Minerals Technical Note • Green Belt Technical Note • Strategic Environmental Assessment • Action Programme and • Strategic Development Plan 1 2. NATIONAL PLANNING POLICY Scottish Planning Policy (SPP) 2.1 SPP requires those involved in land use planning to take a more proactive role in developing sustainable economic growth and sustainable communities. The SDP is required to identify strategic business locations which are of high amenity value, are accessible by all forms of transport and are serviced or are likely to be serviced within 5 years. 2.2 The SDP must also respond to the diverse needs and locational requirements of different sectors and sizes of businesses, whilst being flexible to changing circumstances in order to accommodate new economic opportunities. A range and choice of marketable (effective) sites and locations for businesses must be allocated, including opportunities for mixed use development to meet anticipated demand requirements1. National Planning Framework 2 (NPF2) 2.3 NPF22 sets out a development strategy aimed at improving Scotland’s economic competitiveness in a sustainable way. The document highlights the importance of City Regions such as Edinburgh as key economic drivers within the European context. Key economic corridors including the Newcastle/ Aberdeen knowledge corridor and the Edinburgh/ Glasgow Collaboration corridor have been identified recognising the wider economic linkages and context of the city region. 2.4 Whilst the cities at the heart of the four emerging city regions are considered key economic drivers, NPF2 also recognises that a more even spread of economic activity can help relieve pressures in high growth areas such as Edinburgh, and provide additional opportunities in other areas. The document identifies strategic concentrations in the SESplan area in the Lothians and South Fife with specific mentions of West Edinburgh (refer to West Edinburgh Planning Framework3), the Edinburgh Waterfront and the Upper Forth (Dunfermline and Rosyth area). These areas are considered to offer significant strategic economic growth potential. 2.5 The document highlights the importance of the SESplan area as a hub for science and technology supporting world-class research and innovation. The Edinburgh Science Triangle, including the Edinburgh Bioquarter, the Roslin BioCentre in Midlothian and Heriot-Watt research park, are priority areas for research and development in life, earth, environmental and animal bio-sciences. West Lothian is recognised as having significant 1 Scottish Planning Policy- Economic Development. Scottish Government. 2 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/278232/0083591.pdf 3 http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/222655/0059965.pdf 2 opportunities for economic growth at Livingston and the Almond Valley and at Whitburn/Armadale. Energy Park-Fife at Levenmouth in Mid-Fife is identified as a major location for research and development in the renewable energy sector. Rosyth is identified as a location for major economic growth including the development of an international container port terminal. Westfield, also in Mid-Fife is identified as a strategic location for the development of new energy technologies and to accommodate strategic recycling and waste management facilities. The document also highlights that rural areas which lie beyond the city region have economic, environmental and cultural assets of enormous economic and community value and that good connectivity will be critical in realising the full potential of these assets. Opportunities lie in economic diversification and strengthening the knowledge economy. 2.6 Both the Scottish Government and Scottish Enterprise are focussing economic development efforts on key industry sectors and the planning system is expected to promote opportunities to foster the development of strategic business clusters and facilitate the provision of supporting infrastructure. 2.7 NPF2 also makes reference to the importance of digital technology impacting on spatial planning, particularly in rural areas: “As the rural economy changes, a high quality environment and a strong cultural identity will be key assets in promoting sustainable growth, economic diversification and community development. Key attributes of a competitive rural
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