and Gov and Future Implicatio the Clinton Presidency ouis Fisher, Mark J. Roze, % W. Sonner, Robert J. Spftzer, ten J. Wayne, and Clyde Wi'lcox

il Scientist in Germany, 1945 Gabriel A. Almond M O. Keohane: The Study of International Relations Peter Gourevitch Is this how you measure the performance of vour statistics

SURVEY METHODS Sampling weights, multistage cluster sampling, stratification, 00:03.060 Linear regression:200,00 0 observations, 10 covariates * sampling without replacement, linearization variance estimator, deff means, 00:01.5V0 Sort: 100,000 observations by 25 variables (10 megabytes), 3 keys» proportions, ratios, totals, two-way contingency tables, linear regression, tobit, 00: OS. 123 Proportional hazards regression: 10,000 observations, 10 covariates' instrumental variables, logit, probit, multinomial logit, ordered logit, and more ' 350 mhz Pentium II running Stata for Windows 98 TIME SERIES correlograms, periodograms, ARIMA, ARCH/GARCH, white-noise tests, unit root tests, and more With Stata, speed is only the beginning. NONPARAMETRIC METHODS Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney, Wilcoxon signed ranks, Kruskal-Wallis, Spearman and Kendall correlations, Kolmogorov-Smirnov, LINEAR MODELS regression, ANOVA, instrumental variables, three-stage least exact binomial confidence intervals, and more squares, constrained regression, tobit, interval regression, Heckman selection model, Newey-West, quantile regression, robust variance estimates, and more MULTIVARIATE METHODS factor analysis, canonical correlation, multivariate regression, and more MODELS FOR BINARY AND CATEGORICAL DATA logit, probit, case- control, conditional logistic, multinomial logit, ordered logit and probit, PLUS complete data-management facilities, extensive statistical graphics, custom complementary log-log, Heckman selection model for binary outcomes, GLM maximum-likelihood estimation, matrix commands and functions, programming (many families and links), robust variance estimates, and more language to add commands, menu and dialog box programming, sample size and power, nonlinear regression, Monte-Carlo simulation, bootstrapping, and more MODELS FOR COUNT DATA Poisson, negative binomial, zero-inflated models, incidence data, robust variance estimates, and more Search all the capabilities at www.stata.com/info/capabilities

SURVIVAL ANALYSIS Kaplan-Meier, Nelson-Aalen, Cox regression, tests of proportional hazards, time-varying covariates, left truncation and right censoring, Tel: 800-STATAPC Wfeibull, exponential, Gompertz, log-normal, and more 800-782-8272 409-696-4600 PANEL DATA MODELS random- and fixed-effects regression, random-effects Stata Corporation Fax: 409-696-4601 probit, fixed-effects logit, random- and fixed-effects Poisson and negative binomial, 702 University Drive East Email: [email protected] random-effects tobit, GEE, and more College Station, TX 77840 URL: http://www.stau.com Now shipping Stata 6! Visit www.stata.com Stata is a registered trademark of Stata Corporation. PS: Political Science and Politics September 1999 Volume XXXII No. 3

539 623

539 Symposium 539 SCANDAL AND GOVERNMENT: CURRENT AND FUTURE IMPLICATIONS OF THE CLINTON PRESIDENCY The Clinton Scandal in Retrospect MARK J. ROZELL AND CLYDE WILCOX 541 Clinton's Impeachment Will Have Few Consequences for the Presidency ROBERT J. SPITZER 546 Starr's Record as Independent Counsel Louis FISHER 550 Something to Hide: Clinton's Misuse of Executive Privilege MARK J. ROZELL

554 Forgiving and Forgetting: Public Support for Bill Clinton during the Lewinsky Scandal MOLLY W. SONNER AND CLYDE WILCOX

558 Clinton's Legacy: The Clinton Persona STEPHEN J. WAYNE

563 Time Capsule 563 A POLITICAL SCIENTIST IN GERMANY, 1945 On the Cover The Size and Composition of the Anti-Nazi Opposition in Germany GABRIEL A. ALMOND, WITH WOLFGANG KRAUSS

571 Features 571 Observations on a Post-Gingrich House GARY J. ANDRES 577 Scholar, Witness, or Activist? The Lessons and Dilemmas of an AIDS Research Agenda PATRICIA SIPLON

578 A Brief History of the Political Science of AIDS Activism PATRICIA SIPLON 583 U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke and Governor L. Douglas Wilder Tell Political Scientists How Blacks Can Win High-Profile Statewide Office JUDSON L. JEFFRIES

President Clinton addresses a crowd in Washington, DC. Rick Reinherd/lmpact Visuals 1998. 589 The Teacher 589 The Bosnian War Crimes Trial Simulation: Teaching Students about the Fuzziness of World Politics and International Law KURT W. JEFFERSON 593 Teaching Process and Product: Crafting and Responding to Student Writing Assignments Departments PAMEIA A. ZEISER 533 From the Editor 535 Forum 596 The Thucydides Tapes 611 People in Political Science PETER SINGER 617 In Memoriam 603 The Secondary Consequences of Conducting Polls in Political Science 685 AAUP/CAUT Update Classes: A Quasi-Experimental Test LLOYD P. JONES AND STEPHEN S. MEINHOLD

607 The Profession 607 Teaching Ph.D. Students to Teach Political Science: The Emory TATTO Program H. GIBBS KNOTTS AND ELEANOR C. MAIN

623 Association News 623 Robert O. Keohane: The Study of International Relations Peter A. Gourevitch 629 Executive Director's Report Catherine E. Rudder 640 Gabriel A. Almond, Doris A. Graber, Malcolm E. Jewell, and Thomas E. Mann to ERRATUM Receive 1999 Good now Award 642 You and Planned Giving Due to an unfortunate oversight the acknowledgment of the role B. Well- 643 APSA Helps Organize Congressional Briefing ing Hall played in the initial concep- 643 Enter Your Data Now for Centennial Biographical Directory tion of the idea of a hyper text web 644 APSA Names 1999 Centennial and Small Research Grant Winners presentation was omitted from the ar- 644 Minority Identification Project Benefits Students, Shows Survey ticle entitled "The World Wide Web 645 1999-2000 APSA Minority Fellows Choose Graduate Schools and Active Learning in the Interna- 646 Encouraging the Brightest: The 1999 Summer Institute tional Relations Classroom" by Lynn M. Kuzma which appeared in the 647 Diversity and Internationalism Characterize 1999-2000 Congressional Fellows September 1998 issue of PS: Political 649 The APSA Congressional Fellowship: A Job With Options Science and Politics. The author grate- Darcia Bowman fully acknowledges her contribution. 652 Index of APSA Reports in PS, December 1998-June 1999 653 Washington Insider 654 At the Click of a Mouse: APSR's Most Downloaded Articles 655 Pi Sigma Alpha Names Award Winners 661 2000 Annual Meeting Call for Papers PS Reader Services

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Officers Council PRESIDENT SECRETARY 1997-1999 1998-2000 Jr. Kay Lehman Schlozman University of Virginia Boston College Jane Bayes Michael Dawson California State University, PRESIDENT-ELECT TREASURER Northridge Robert O. Keohane Timothy Cook Luis R. Fraga Duke University Williams College Gary W. Cox University of California, VICE PRESIDENTS EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR San Diego Cynthia McClintock Jean Bethke Elshtain Catherine E. Rudder George Washington University University of Chicago Charles D. Hadley PROGRAM CO-CHAIRS University of New Orleans Eileen L. McDonagh Germaine A. Hoston John A. Garcia Northeastern University University of California, University of Arizona Kristen R. Monroe San Diego Alberta Sbragia University of California, Irvine Nancy E. McGlen University of Pittsburgh Niagara University Paul Sniderman Pippa Norris Stanford University EDITOR, APSR Harvard University Howard J. Silver Ada W. Finifter Consortium of Social Science Michigan State University Beth A. Simmons Associations University of California, Berkeley James Stimson University of North Carolina Joan F. Tronto Hunter College, CUNY J. Ann Tickner University of Southern Michael Wallerstein California

Former Presidents Frank J. Goodnow Benjamin F. Shambaugh Pendleton Herring James MacGregor Burns Edward S. Corwin Ralph J. Bunche Samuel H. Beer Frederick N. Judson William F. Willoughby Charles McKinley John C. Wahlke James Bryce Isidor Loeb Harold D. Lasswell Leon D. Epstein A. Lawrence Lowell Waiter J. Shepard E. E. Schattschneider Warren E. Miller Francis W. Coker V. O. Key, Jr. Charles E. Lindblom Simeon E. Baldwin Arthur N. Holcombe R. Taylor Cole Thomas Reed Powell Carl B. Swisher William H. Riker W. W. Willoughby Clarence A. Dykstra Emmette S. Redford Philip E. Converse Charles Grove Haines Charles S. Hyneman Richard F. Fenno, Jr. Ernst Freund Aaron B. Wildavsky Robert C. Brooks Carl J. Friedrich Samuel P. Huntington Frederic A. Ogg C. Herman Pritchett Kenneth N. Waltz William Anderson David B. Truman Lucian W. Pye Paul S. Reinsch Robert E. Cushman Gabriel A. Almond Judith N. Shklar Leo S. Rowe Leonard D. White Robert A. Dahl Theodore J. Lowi William A. Dunning John Gaus James Q. Wilson Harry A. Garfield Walter F. Dodd Lucius J. Barker James W. Garner Arthur W. MacMahon Karl W. Deutsch Charles O. Jones Charles E. Merriam Henry R. Spencer Robert E. Lane Charles A. Beard Heinz Eulau William Bennett Munro James K. Pollock Robert E. Ward Jesse S. Reeves Peter H. Odegard Avery Leiserson M. Kent Jennings John A. Fairlie Luther Gulick Austin Ranney

PSOnline www.apsanet.org III ON THE WEB PS: Political Science & Politics Vol. XXXII. No. 3. September 1999 American Political Science Association Online Editor: Robert J-P. Houck Editor, The Teacher: Sheilah Mann Associate Editor: Sean Twombly APSANet Assistant Editor: Edward Lamb Editorial Board: Edwin Aguilar, Texas A&M University; Robert W. Bailey, Rutgers University, Camden; Karen Beckwith, College of Wooster; is Richard Brady, Stanford University, Chair; Timo- thy M. Hennessey, University of Rhode Island; Le- onie Huddy, SUNY-Stony Brook; William Jacoby, University of South Carolina; Charlotte Ku, Ameri- can Society for International Law; Jeffrey Legro, All New University of Virginia; Mark Lichbach, University of California, Riverside; Dale Rogers Marshall, Wheaton College; Marian Lief Palley, University Visit the all new APSANet and you'll find the latest of Delaware; Mark Petracca, University of Califor- information on APSA programs and activities. nia, Irvine; Doris Marie Provine, Syracuse Univer- sity; John Rouse, Ball Slate University; Edella APSANet now features a new look and more Scnlager, University of Arizona; Christine M. Si- erra, University of New Mexico; Hanes Walton content than ever. The site now includes a search Jr., University of Michigan. engine and site map to help you navigate. Also look PS Deadlines for whole new sections on Jobs/Careers and Issue Submission Deadline Opportunties for Political Scientists. Check out March November 25 June February 25 what's new: September May 25 December August 25 Address correspondence to Editor, PS, 1527 New * About APSA Hampshire Avenue, NW, Washington, DC A comprehensive section on all APSA programs and 20036-1206 or [email protected]. activities, including a secure online membership PS: Political Science & Pofe (ISSN 1049-0965) form. is published in March, June, September, and De- cember of each year by the American Political Science Association, 1527 New Hampshire Ave- * What's New nue, NW, Washington, DC 20036-1206, (202) A new section drawing attention to important 483-2512, and sent to all members. Periodicals postage paid at Washington, DC, and at addi- event in the discipline. tional mailing offices. POSTMASTER: Send ad- dress changes toDirector , Member Services, c/o *Ar Jobs/Careers American Political Science Association, 1527 New Hampshire Avenue, NW, Washington, DC Information on job placement and careers in 20036-1206. Copyright © 1999 by The Ameri- political science. can Poltical Science Association. APSA membership dues are: Regular Members ^ Teaching Political Science with income $70,000+, $131.00; $50,000- $69,999, $116,000; $40,000-$49,999, Collections of political science course syllabi, $100.00; $30,000-$39,999, $84.00; under $30,000, $27.00. Student Members, $37; Retired essays from past issues of PS, and special features. Members, $25 if income under $25,000 and $45 if income is $25,000 and over; Life Members, Jf Opportunities for Political Scientists $3,000; Institutional Members, $210 domestic, $230 foreign. The amount of the dues allocated Professional development material, grants, for a subscription to PS is $5 for individual mem- conferences, and much more. bers, $36 for institutional members. $128 of the institutional member fee is allocated for APSR. Changes of address should be sent to the Mem- "^T Meetings bership Secretary of the Association. Annual Meeting information and more. Individual Copies: Single copies of the Sep- tember, December, and March issues of PS may ^T Publications be purchased for $10.00. Single copies of the An complete look at APSA publications with a June issue containing the Preliminary Annual secure order form. Meeting Program are available for $15.00. Microfilm Editions: Microfilm editions of PS are available from: University Microfilms, Ann Arbor, Ml 48106. 1-800-521-0600. ready for launch in September! Advertising: PS has a circulation of 16,000. For information on advertising rates and mechani- cal requirements contact: Advertising Director, American Political Science Association, (202) It's a resource... 483-2512. Check it out. Composition, Printing, and Distribution: Cadmus Journal Services, Richmond, VA 23261. Printed in the USA. www.apsanet.org

IV The Centennial Biographical Directory

For the first time in over a decade, APSA will be publishing a Biographical Directory of Members. This will be the most extensive directory of members ever! In addition to the paper copy, APSA will now publish a fully searchable CD-ROM edition which will be available only to current members.

What's NEW in this Member Directory?

* Members' publications and professional honors * Current/previous professional and administrative positions * Personal URLs (personal web pages) * Essays on the professional and scholarly contributions of political science in honor of the Association's Centennial.

Only current members will be included in this important professional reference. You don't want to be left out of the Centennial Biographical Directory--renew or join today!

The Centennial Biographical Directory will be published in Winter 2000-2001. Save 30% by filling out the order form in this program. After the meeting, contact APSA Publications at [email protected] or 202.483.2512.

To apply for or to renew membership, fill out the online form available at: http ://www.apsanet.org PROCEEDINGS POLITICAL RESEARCH ONLINE

What is PROceedings? How does it work?

PROceedings is the online, searchable collec- All annual meeting paper authors are encour- tion of APSA Annual Meeting papers and ab- aged to submit their papers to the collection stracts. prior to the Annual Meeting. Submission is simple: papers can be submitted online, via The PROceedings project aims to disseminate email, or on disk. political science research more broadly and directly, to continue Papers are made available two the scholarly exchange of the weeks prior to the annual meet- annual meetings beyond ing and remain online for one their setting, to encourage full year. theinstructional use of re- and to facilitate Papers can be located library ac- through keyword searches cess'to the annual meet- or by browsing the APSA ing^papers. Annual Meeting program. The collection features nu- PROeeedings, a collabora- merous subfields of political tive^effort of APSA, Harvard science, making it a valuable re- University Library, and The Col- source for research and teaching. lege of New Jersey under the direction of William J. Ball, was in- troduced at the 1997 Annual Meeting and is supported by a grant from the Andrew W. Mellon Foundation.

The 1999 version of PROceedings is now available at http://pro.harvard.edu and will remain online through August, 2000.

questions about, or suggestions for, PROceedings, please write to [email protected].