股 票 研 [Table_Title] Company Report: Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO US) Noah Hudson 究 (86755) 2397Hudson 6684 Equity Research 公司报告: 新濠博亚 (MLCO US)
[email protected] 4 June 2019 [Table_Summary] 1Q19 Results In Line, Maintain "Buy" 2019 年第 1 季度业绩符合预期,维持“买入” 1Q19 luck-normalized adjusted property EBITDA was US$362 mn [Table_Rank] 公 (-12.0% yoy, -2.3% qoq), in line with market and our expectations. Total Rating: Buy VIP turnover declined sharply (-22.6% yoy, -15.1% qoq), while total mass Maintained 司 GGR recorded below-industry-average growth (+5.0% yoy, +0.9% qoq). 报 评级: 买入 (维持) We have adjusted upward our forecasts for Melco's 2019-2021 adjusted 告 property EBITDA by 2.5%, 1.9% and 3.4%, respectively. We expect that property enhancements at City of Dreams as well as the roll out of new 6[Table_Price-18m TP 目标价] : US$23.70 Company Report Company Revised from 原目标价: US$26.50 non-gaming attractions at Studio City will increase the Company's competitiveness and further drive growth. We have adjusted downward ADR price ADR价格: US$18.810 slightly our revenue forecasts as we expect some negative impact to operations while property renovations are being undertaken. However, we expect higher EBITDA margin as Melco's non-VIP segments now contribute Stock performance more than 90% of Melco's luck-adjusted EBITDA (excluding Philippines). We 股价表现 forecast 2019-2021 adjusted property EBITDA of US$1.6 bn, US$1.7 bn and [Table_QuotePic] US$1.8 bn, respectively, representing 7.1% CAGR. 20 % change We lower our target price from US$26.50 to US$23.70 on lower sector 10 valuation and maintain our "Buy" investment rating.