In Search of Democracy 4.0
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Brook Manville and Josiah Ober here are plenty of indicators of doom: Donald Trump rid- ing roughshod over U.S. con- stitutional norms; the rise of high-handed strongmen across Europe supported by ethno-centric crowds; free press and free voting under attack by cyber ma- Tnipulation. Add mass migration threatening bor- ders and national identities; rising wealth in- equality; politics gridlocked by strife about rights, benefits, and duties, amidst growing re- sentment of “global elites” and new would-be cit- izens; and evolving confusion about the nature of the “common good” [1] –[5]. But others argue that democracy’s glass is still half-full. Global levels of freedom-embracing governance are at an all-time high [6], and look- ing back several decades, there’s been substan- tial (if uneven) spread of democracy to more parts of the world [7]. Yes, autocrats are rising here and there, but so are movements against In Search of Democracy 4.0 Is Democracy as We Know It Destined to Die? Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/MTS.2019.2894458 Date of publication: 6 March 2019 32 1932-4529/19©2019IEEE IEEE TECHNOLOGY AND SOCIETY MAGAZINE ∕ MARCH 2019 doomed but most versions of it today are indeed struggling to do what citizens expect it to do, and be what it is supposed to be. History suggests that, as an enduring human construct, democracy has a good chance of persisting, but not necessarily in its familiar guise: We will show that democ- racy cycled through several phases of evo- lutionary adaptation; it could be on the brink of another reinvention. Instead of debating “life or death?” we ask: given what we know from history, if democracy were to survive into the future, how might that happen and what might the new incarnation look like? Since human systems rise and fall through decisions and actions taken by humans, we also ask: what can leaders do to help shape democ- racy’s next phase? Analogizing the Thought Experiment We frame our analysis with an analogy: democracy can be thought of as a sort of software for human self-governance that has been advancing — and can continue to advance — if its “engineers” improve its future “releases.” ISTOCK/LINGBEEK Consider how software is developed and commercialized. A concept, which address- es certain problems, is turned into code; if successful, the code creates new value for a them. Surveys show that significant majorities in demo- group of users. As users engage with the technology, they cratic nations remain broadly positive about their repre- provide feedback to the developers, who then iteratively sentative systems [8]. In the United States, though trust rewrite the code to make the software better. In the best in government is declining, polling suggests 86 percent cases, energetic developers improve the innovative but still endorse representative democracy [9]. Meanwhile, “buggy” “Release 1.0,” stabilizing it and expanding its green shoots of reform are sprouting: experiments in market acceptance with new enhancements. more participative civic engagement (referenda, elec- tronic polling, citizen deliberative assemblies, open- style budgeting, sortition for certain officials) [10]; there is rising advocacy to resist corruption and disengage- ment, the influence of big money in politics, gerryman- dered election districting, and public and private conflicts of interest [2, p. 33]. Imagining the Means of Renewal So what can we say about democracy’s future? Making specific projections about complex human systems is IKHANBD foolhardy — but we offer a middle course between pessi- M mists and optimists. Neither the flourishing nor the demise of democracy is inevitable. Democracy is not WIKIMEDIA/ MARCH 2019 ∕ IEEE TECHNOLOGY AND SOCIETY MAGAZINE 33 To keep ahead, the new versions of the software motivated by efficiency or fear, instead agree to follow a must also beat back competitors trying to capitalize on supreme ruler or small set of rulers? Release 1.0’s innovation. If the developers succeed, Aristotle saw that if members of a group do choose they’ll keep shipping new releases — 2.0, 3.0, and so to share decisions, there must be general agreement on — each better handling the demands of the growing on critical elements: the civic community, the meaning market, and staying ahead of competitive offerings. of citizenship, and civic rules and norms: “politeia.” Yet the core purpose and essential nature of the soft- These three elements are the essence of every demo- ware remains the same: there’s a commonality to the cratic system. class of problems that each release addresses. Take, as an example, the Excel spreadsheet — after devising the Community, Citizens, and Politeia core functionality, Microsoft has issued multiple releas- In Politics (book 3) Aristotle concluded that the state is es, steadily making it better, and beating back competi- a “community of citizens” organized according to a tors. Though many new features have been added “politeia.” For Aristotle, “community” meant a defined through the years, Excel remains a widely used financial body of persons, inhabiting a territory, sharing certain management tool, solving an enduring class of prob- values, and pursuing certain common goals. Among lems — how to analyze and manipulate the numbers of democracy’s core values is the conviction that citizens running a business. must be free to voice their opinions and to associate Now consider democracy’s progress with this with others as they wish. They must be roughly equal in frame. Instead of seeing the complex history of their access to public forums and in their chance to human systems of self-governance as a series of iso- influence public decisions. And they must treat one lated revolutions (as many historians do), imagine another with dignity, respecting one another and recog- democracy instead as an enduring conceptual con- nizing one another’s presence in public spaces. These struct, a continuum of different “releases,” evolving civic values (freedom, equality, dignity) are imperative through cycles of innovation and development, period- because citizens must participate in public affairs and ic challenge by competitors’ offerings, and then decision making. Citizens enjoy certain privileges but reemergence driven by further innovation. As we’ll also take on substantial responsibilities: citizens who sketch, each of the major releases changed and shirk their duties (in public service or defense) can improved earlier versions — but always around a con- expect to be called out by their fellows. “Politeia” (often sistent essential core, and always evolving to meet an translated as “constitution”) is not limited just to written enduring set of problems: how can people govern rules. It also includes the social and cultural norms of themselves, operating freely, and in some way as public behavior of the community: “How we do things equals, without answering to a “boss?” around here… and why.” Through their politeia, citizens of a democratic com- A Preliminary Summary of the Essence munity aim at three basic ends. First is security from Before turning to democracy’s “major historical releas- external threats and internal threats to the person, es,” we seek to capture its essence: What is democracy property, and dignity of members. Second is welfare: in the most fundamental sense? What must it continue citizens must be able to live at a level of economic well- to be, even as it continues evolving and adapting? being sufficient to have ample opportunity to pursue To define democracy’s core, we turn to the Greek projects that matter to them. While each of those ends philosopher Aristotle (primarily his Ethics and Politics) may be pursued by people living under autocracies, the [11]. Aristotle did not invent democracy, but he was the third end, self-government by citizens, is distinctively first thinker to step back from the specific democratic democratic: Democracy means the rejection of autocra- practices of his time and to develop a paradigm of cy, the refusal to be mere subjects of a supreme ruler or active, civic self-government. We must, of course, nec- a small junta of rulers. essarily abstract his ideas from the particularities of his The citizens of a democracy are collective rulers. time and place, which included male-only citizenship They govern their community by their own decisions, and an economy based partly on slave labor. distributing official duties in ways that are consistent Aristotle’s model builds on basic premises about with norms of political liberty, civic equality, and dignity. human society: Living in a cooperative group provides A democratic politeia consists of both the formal rules far greater security and human affirmation than living and the informal behavioral norms that make citizen- alone. We are, Aristotle insists, “social animals.” Yet ship into an active practice, in Aristotle’s terms: “ruling whenever groups form, fundamental decisions about [as citizens] and being ruled over [by other citizens] in organization must be made: will group members share turns.” To do that well, and to meet internal and exter- in decisions about acting collectively? Or will most us, nal challenges, citizens must also be capable of 34 IEEE TECHNOLOGY AND SOCIETY MAGAZINE ∕ MARCH 2019 practical reasoning. They must be willing to bear the ers or factions achieve a near monopoly of influence, costs of governing themselves. Aristotle thought that vote-share, or control of decision making adequate democratic citizens should and would do that. to suppress competition and dissent, the system may For Aristotle, collective self-government by citizens fail. In modern times, internal scale threats are exac- was the best form of government because, as he assert- erbated by excessive money flowing into politics and ed for the first time in western history, it was the best manipulation of information (“fake news”; encourage- way for humans to achieve their natural potential: living, ment of “mob hate speech”) that hinders the truthful not only as social animals, but as “the most political of and civil exchange of ideas on which democracy animals.” It meant living well through exercising the thrives.