President Fred Thompson?
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Shake-Up in New Jersey Presidential Stakes
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Contact: PATRICK MURRAY This poll was conducted by the 732-263-5858 (office) Monmouth University Polling Institute 732-979-6769 (cell) [email protected] 400 Cedar Avenue West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling EMBARGOED to: Tuesday, January 15, 2008, 5:00 am SHAKE-UP IN NEW JERSEY PRESIDENTIAL STAKES Hillary still ahead but Obama gains; McCain overtakes Rudy It appears that the early presidential nominating contests have shaken up the primary picture here in New Jersey, especially for the G.O.P. According to the latest Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll taken after the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary, Hillary Clinton now leads Barack Obama by 12 points among likely Democratic voters in New Jersey, which is down somewhat from the 19 point lead she held in October. However, the poll found an even larger shake-up on the Republican side, with John McCain now holding a slight 4 point lead over Rudy Giuliani. Just a few months ago, the former New York mayor held a commanding 32 point lead over the Arizona senator. Among likely Democratic primary voters in New Jersey, Hillary Clinton currently claims support from 42% of voters, compared to 30% for Barack Obama, 9% for John Edwards, and 2% for Dennis Kucinich. Another 17% remain undecided. Support levels for Clinton, Edwards and Kucinich are nearly identical to what they registered in the October 2007 poll. However, Obama’s support has increased by 7 percentage points on the heels of his strong showing in Iowa and New Hampshire. “Senator Obama’s early win in Iowa has swung some previously undecided New Jersey voters into his camp, but Senator Clinton’s support among rank and file Democrats here remains strong,” commented Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. -
Many Republicans Unaware of Romney's Religion PUBLIC STILL
NEWS Release . 1615 L Street, N.W., Suite 700 Washington, D.C. 20036 Tel (202) 419-4350 Fax (202) 419-4399 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: FOR FURTHER INFORMATION: Wednesday, December 5, 2007 Andrew Kohut, Director Kim Parker, Senior Researcher Many Republicans Unaware of Romney’s Religion PUBLIC STILL GETTING TO KNOW LEADING GOP CANDIDATES Even as the 2008 presidential Knowledge of GOP Candidates’ Backgrounds campaign draws increasing news coverage, the public shows limited ---Percent correct--- Name the candidate who is… Total Rep Dem Ind awareness of the personal Former mayor of NYC {Giuliani} 86 90 84 85 backgrounds of some of the top GOP Former Vietnam POW {McCain} 56 65 49 61 Former TV & movie actor {Thompson} 47 59 42 46 candidates. Mormon {Romney} 42 60 33 40 Former governor of MA {Romney} 35 46 28 34 While 86% of the public is An abortion rights supporter {Giuliani} 30 41 25 30 Former governor of AR {Huckabee} 26 36 20 28 able to name Rudy Giuliani as the A former Baptist minister {Huckabee} 21 28 17 21 former mayor of New York City, only Opposed to the Iraq war {Paul} 14 21 12 13 about half as many – 42% of the public – correctly identified Mitt Romney as a Mormon and even fewer (35%) knew that Romney was the former governor of Massachusetts. Romney’s speech on religion and politics, scheduled for Dec. 6, is widely seen as an effort to assuage concerns that some religious conservatives in the GOP have raised about his Mormon faith. Among Republicans, 60% could name Romney as the Republican candidate who is Mormon, but 40% could not. -
The Democrats
CBS NEWS POLL For release: Friday, June 29, 2007 6:30 P.M. EDT CAMPAIGN 2008 June 26-28, 2007 Many Americans are looking for even more choices in the race for the presidency than the 18 announced candidates they now have: Should Fred Thompson decide to officially enter the race for the Republican nomination, he is already a strong contender, tying John McCain for second place, after Rudy Giuliani. Americans would like a third political party (especially self-described Independents, and primary voters who say they are dissatisfied with their current choices) -- but Americans have historically liked the idea of more candidate choices. But as of now, most don’t know much about or have an opinion of New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, who recently dropped out of the Republican Party, perhaps in anticipation of a run at the presidency in 2008 as a third-party candidate. And on the Democratic side, where most primary voters are satisfied with the choices, Hillary Clinton continues to lead Barack Obama. MIKE BLOOMBERG AND A THIRD PARTY New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg's recent party registration change from Republican to “Unaffiliated” has many speculating that he is preparing an independent run for President. That speculation has sparked debate about the need for a third political party. 53% say that a third party is needed to compete with the Democratic and Republican parties. 41% disagree. These views are similar to what they were in 1996, and in 1992 voters also expressed the desire for a new party. Half of both Republicans and Democrats do not think there is a need for a third political party, but 71% of Independents say there is. -
TO: Edwards for President FROM: Global Strategy Group, LLC RE: Updated Electability Data Date December 18, 2007
MEMORANDUM TO: Edwards for President FROM: Global Strategy Group, LLC RE: Updated electability data Date December 18, 2007 Synopsis: Nationwide polling shows John Edwards is the Democrat with the best chance of defeating the Republican candidate in the 2008 Presidential election. All three Democratic candidates have a slight lead on Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani. Edwards’ average margin of victory is greater than Obama’s and well ahead of Clinton’s against the other Republican candidates. Edwards outperforms the other Democratic candidates in match-ups with Republican candidates in key battleground states including Iowa, Missouri, and Ohio. Further, unlike other Democrats who must “run the table” in states where Democrats have been competitive in recent elections, Edwards brings new states into play. This provides alternate scenarios – and a margin for error – when it comes to amassing 270 electoral votes. National electability: This table shows the average margin for each Democrat for nationwide general election polls since the first of November in which they are included in horse race questions. General Election Match-ups Edwards Clinton Obama Rudy Giuliani........ +4 (4 polls) +4 (15 polls) +2 (7polls) Mike Huckabee .... +14 (3 polls) +5 (3 polls) +10 (3 polls) John McCain........ +8 (3 polls) +3 (6 polls) +1 (4 polls) Mitt Romney......... +18 (3 polls) +9 (9 polls) +11 (8 polls) Fred Thompson.... +14 (1 poll) +9 (7 polls) +10 (4 polls) • In national general election polling, Edwards fares better than or at least as well as Clinton and Obama against all five Republicans. • Against Giuliani, all three candidates maintain a slight lead. -
Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces
University of Pennsylvania ScholarlyCommons Marketing Papers Wharton Faculty Research June 2008 Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces J. Scott Armstrong University of Pennsylvania, [email protected] Kesten C. Green Monash University Randall J. Jones Jr. University of Central Oklahoma Malcolm Wright University of South Australia Follow this and additional works at: https://repository.upenn.edu/marketing_papers Recommended Citation Armstrong, J. S., Green, K. C., Jones, R. J., & Wright, M. (2008). Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces. Retrieved from https://repository.upenn.edu/marketing_papers/136 This paper is posted at ScholarlyCommons. https://repository.upenn.edu/marketing_papers/136 For more information, please contact [email protected]. Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces Abstract Prior research found that people's assessments of relative competence predicted the outcome of Senate and Congressional races. We hypothesized that snap judgments of "facial competence" would provide useful forecasts of the popular vote in presidential primaries before the candidates become well known to the voters. We obtained facial competence ratings of 11 potential candidates for the Democratic Party nomination and of 13 for the Republican Party nomination for the 2008 U.S. Presidential election. To ensure that raters did not recognize the candidates, we relied heavily on young subjects from Australia and New Zealand. We obtained between 139 and 348 usable ratings per candidate between May and August 2007. The top-rated candidates were Clinton and Obama for the Democrats and McCain, Hunter, and Hagel for the Republicans; Giuliani was 9th and Thompson was 10th. At the time, the leading candidates in the Democratic polls were Clinton at 38% and Obama at 20%, while Giuliani was first among the Republicans at 28% followed by Thompson at 22%. -
CONGRESSIONAL RECORD— Extensions Of
E1592 CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — Extensions of Remarks November 4, 2015 hard work resulted in a series of promotions; ering the difference in the size of its tax base, Mr. Bordeaux says that his ticket to living in culminating with her tenure as President. the District should certainly contribute no more the Savannah area is to be involved, and that While leading South Seattle Community Col- than the New York City contribution to Med- is exactly what he intends to do. lege, Jill oversaw the development of leading- icaid. Therefore, my bill would raise the fed- Mr. Speaker, it is my privilege to join Mr. edge programs and upgrades to campus facili- eral contribution to the District’s Medicaid pro- Tom Bordeaux’s colleagues, family and friends ties. gram to 80 percent, equal to that of New York in honoring his many years of hard work and Upon being named Chancellor of Seattle City. dedication to our community. Colleges, Jill’s focus shifted to increasing the Under the National Capital Revitalization f number of four-year degrees available and and Self-Government Improvement Act of leading a district-wide initiative to promote 1997 (Revitalization Act), Congress recog- ACKNOWLEDGING MARTIN VAN green and sustainable programs. She also fa- nized that state costs are inappropriate for any BUREN SASSER, JR. cilitated numerous grants and initiatives that city to shoulder. To address this unfairness to supported both student success and retention, the District, the Revitalization Act transferred HON. JEFF DENHAM such as the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation’s certain, but not all, state responsibilities from OF CALIFORNIA Pathway to Completion and the City of Se- the District to the federal government, includ- IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES attle’s Pathways to Careers grants. -
Romney Gains Among Non-Evangelical Conservatives in GOP PRIMARIES: THREE VICTORS, THREE CONSTITUENCIES
NEWS Release 1615 L Street, N.W., Suite 700 Washington, D.C. 20036 Tel (202) 419-4350 Fax (202) 419-4399 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 16, 2008 Romney Gains Among Non-Evangelical Conservatives IN GOP PRIMARIES: THREE VICTORS, THREE CONSTITUENCIES Also inside… Obama Makes Gains Among Liberals And Moves Ahead Among Blacks Huckabee, Romney Viewed as Most Conservative Giuliani’s Support Sags…Again FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Andrew Kohut, Director Scott Keeter, Director of Survey Research Carroll Doherty and Michael Dimock, Associate Directors Pew Research Center for the People & the Press 202/419-4350 http://www.people-press.org Romney Gains Among Non-Evangelical Conservatives IN GOP PRIMARIES: THREE VICTORS, THREE CONSTITUENCIES The Republican nomination contest is being increasingly shaped by ideology and religion as it moves toward the Super Tuesday states on Feb. 5. John McCain has moved out to a solid lead nationally, increasing his support among Republican and GOP-leaning voters from 22% in late December to 29% currently. Mike Huckabee, at 20%, and Mitt Romney, with 17%, trail McCain. Rudy Giuliani is a distant fourth, polling just 13%. Giuliani’s support has declined seven points since late December. McCain’s gains over this period Three Constituencies in the GOP Electorate have come almost entirely from moderate Evang Other Mod/ and liberal Republicans, among whom he All Rep voters* Cons Cons Lib now holds a two-to-one lead over his McCain 29 25 22 41 rivals. Huckabee 20 33 12 20 The preferences of conservative Romney 17 12 29 8 Republicans are split along religious lines. -
Narco-Narratives and Transnational Form: the Geopolitics of Citation in the Circum-Caribbean
Narco-narratives and Transnational Form: The Geopolitics of Citation in the Circum-Caribbean Jason Frydman [email protected] Brooklyn College Abstract: This essay argues that narco-narratives--in film, television, literature, and music-- depend on structures of narrative doubles to map the racialized and spatialized construction of illegality and distribution of death in the circum-Caribbean narco-economy. Narco-narratives stage their own haunting by other geographies, other social classes, other media; these hauntings refract the asymmetries of geo-political and socio-cultural power undergirding both the transnational drug trade and its artistic representation. The circum-Caribbean cartography offers both a corrective to nation- or language-based approaches to narco-culture, as well as a vantage point on the recursive practices of citation that are constitutive of transnational narco-narrative production. A transnational field of narrative production responding to the violence of the transnational drug trade has emerged that encompasses music and film, television and journalism, pulp and literary fiction. Cutting across nations, languages, genres, and media, a dizzying narrative traffic in plotlines, character-types, images, rhythms, soundtracks, expressions, and gestures travels global media channels through appropriations, repetitions, allusions, shoutouts, ripoffs, and homages. While narco-cultural production extends around the world, this essay focuses on the transnational frame of the circum-Caribbean as a zone of particularly dense, if not foundational, narrative traffic. The circum-Caribbean cartography offers 2 both a corrective to nation- or language-based approaches to narco-culture, as well as a vantage point on incredibly recursive practices of citation that are constitutive of the whole array of narco-narrative production: textual, visual, and sonic. -
2008 Republican Party Primary Election March 4, 2008
Texas Secretary of State Phil Wilson Race Summary Report Unofficial Election Tabulation 2008 Republican Party Primary Election March 4, 2008 President/Vice-President Early Provisional Ballots: 2,098 Total Provisional Ballots: 6,792 Precincts Reported: 7,959 of 7,959 100.00% Early Voting % Vote Total % Delegates Hugh Cort 601 0.11% 918 0.07% Rudy Giuliani 2,555 0.46% 6,174 0.45% Mike Huckabee 183,507 32.78% 523,553 37.81% Duncan Hunter 3,306 0.59% 8,262 0.60% Alan Keyes 3,450 0.62% 8,594 0.62% John McCain 313,402 55.99% 709,477 51.24% Ron Paul 25,932 4.63% 69,954 5.05% Mitt Romney 13,518 2.41% 27,624 1.99% Fred Thompson 4,782 0.85% 11,815 0.85% Hoa Tran 268 0.05% 623 0.04% Uncommitted 8,432 1.51% 17,668 1.28% Registered Voters: 12,752,417 Total Votes Cast 559,753 4.39% Voting Early 1,384,662 10.86% Voting U. S. Senator Early Provisional Ballots: 2,098 Total Provisional Ballots: 6,792 Precincts Reported: 7,959 of 7,959 100.00% Early Voting % Vote Total % John Cornyn - Incumbent 424,472 84.27% 994,222 81.49% Larry Kilgore 79,236 15.73% 225,897 18.51% Registered Voters: 12,752,417 Total Votes Cast 503,708 3.95% Voting Early 1,220,119 9.57% Voting U. S. Representative District 3 Multi County Precincts Reported: 182 of 182 100.00% Early Voting % Vote Total % Wayne Avellanet 862 4.55% 1,945 4.70% Sam Johnson - Incumbent 16,605 87.69% 35,990 86.95% Harry Pierce 1,470 7.76% 3,456 8.35% Total Votes Cast 18,937 41,391 04/01/2008 01:47 pm Page 1 of 30 Texas Secretary of State Phil Wilson Race Summary Report Unofficial Election Tabulation 2008 Republican Party Primary Election March 4, 2008 U. -
Knox County Marginals [PDF]
START Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for 7NEWS/Suffolk { SUFF-ick} University and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions. Would you be willing to spend one minute answering four questions? (..or someone in that household) N= 1168 100% Continue ....................................... 1 ( 1/277) 1168 100% GEND RECORD GENDER N= 1168 100% Male ........................................... 1 ( 1/278) 410 35% Female ......................................... 2 758 65% S2. Thank You. How likely are you to vote in the Tennessee Primary next Tuesday? N= 1168 100% Very likely .................................... 1 ( 1/279) 771 66% Somewhat likely ................................ 2 158 14% Not very/Not at all likey ...................... 3 0 0% Other/Undecided/Refused ........................ 4 0 0% Already voted .................................. 5 239 20% S3. At this point, which Primary<S3W >you vote in - Democratic or Republican? N= 1168 100% Democrat ....................................... 1 ( 1/283) 519 44% Republican ..................................... 2 649 56% Other/Undecided/Refused ........................ 3 0 0% Q1. Are you registered to vote? N= 1168 100% Yes ............................................ 1 ( 1/286) 1168 100% No ............................................. 2 0 0% Undecided/Other ................................ 3 0 0% Q2. There are 8 Democratic candidates for President listed on your ballot, although most have dropped out. Of the two major remaining candidates - Hillary -
Scanned Using Book Scancenter 5030
October 29, 2007 The Independent Sfudenf Newspaper of fhe Richard Sfockfon College of New Jersey Volume 73, Issue 8 To obtain status on both ballots He explained the change was wary, saymg, "He could probably requires money. To get on the because,, according to the law, he have more fun buying a sports car Republican ballot, Colbert would isn't allowed to use Doritos money and getting a girlfriend," (New It was always sort of a joke for require $35,000. The Democrat to pay for his campaign directly. York Times.) many viewers of "The Daily ballot would require either $2,500 He is allowed to use Doritos' People who are wary of Show" and "The Colbert Report". ("those Democrats are a cheap money to pay for him to cover his whether Colbert could win might Bumper stickers and T-shirts with date") or 3,000 signatures of South election on his show. be in for a rade awakening. Just J the slogan Stewart/Colbert '08 Carolina registered voters who The question on everyone's take a look on Facebook.com. In were seen on cars and college stu consider themselves Democrat. mind now is, is he serious about a spoof of Barack Obama's one dents alike. Then came that fateful "So South Carolinians," the running? million strong, there is now a day. October 16, 2007, a day message reads, "check your hous The answer is yes. Facebook group called "1,000,000 which will live in infamy. es. If you don't have a Bible, a For all of Colbert's showboat Strong for Stephen T. -
Generally Recognized Candidate List February 5, 2008 Presidential Primary
GENERALLY RECOGNIZED CANDIDATE LIST FEBRUARY 5, 2008 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY Joe Biden Democratic Biden for President, Inc. P.O. Box 438 Wilmington, DE 19899 Phone: (302) 574-2008 Website: http://www.joebiden.com/home Hillary Clinton Democratic Hillary Clinton for President 4420 North Fairfax Drive Arlington, VA 22203 Phone: (703) 469-2008 Website: http://www.hillaryclinton.com Chris Dodd Democratic Chris Dodd for President P.O. Box 51882 Washington, DC 20091 Phone: (202) 737-3633 Website: http://chrisdodd.com/home John Edwards Democratic John Edwards for President 410 Market Street, Suite 400 Chapel Hill, NC 27516 Phone: (919) 636-3131 Website: http://www.johnedwards.com Mike Gravel Democratic Mike Gravel for President P.O. Box 948 Arlington, VA 22216-0948 Phone: (703) 243-8303 Website: http://www.gravel2008.us Dennis Kucinich Democratic Kucinich for President 2008 11808 Lorain Avenue Cleveland, OH 44111 Phone: (877) 41-DENNIS Website: http://www.dennis4president.com/home Page 1 of 7 GENERALLY RECOGNIZED CANDIDATE LIST FEBRUARY 5, 2008 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY Barack Obama Democratic Obama for America P.O. Box 8102 Chicago, IL 60680 Phone: (866) 675-2008 Website: http://www.barackobama.com/ Bill Richardson Democratic National Headquarters - Albuquerque Office 111 Lomas Blvd. NW, Suite 200 Albuquerque, NM 87102 Phone: (505) 828-2455 Website: http://www.richardsonforpresident.com Sam Brownback Republican Brownback for President, Inc. Website: http://www.brownback.com John Cox Republican John Cox for President P.O. Box 5353 Buffalo Grove, IL 60089-5353 Phone: (877) 234-3800 Website: http://www.cox2008.com/cox Rudy Giuliani Republican Rudy Giuliani Presidential Committee, Inc. 295 Greenwich St, #371 New York, NY 10007 Phone: (212) 835-9449 Website: http://www.joinrudy2008.com Mike Huckabee Republican Huckabee for President, Inc.