Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research, volume 543 Proceedings of the 2021 6th International Conference on Social Sciences and Economic Development (ICSSED 2021) Research on Bond Issuers' Default Risk Ke Bi1,* 1Melbourne Business School, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria 3053, Australia *Corresponding author. Email:
[email protected] ABSTRACT After analysing the RMB 3 billion credit bond default events of Yongcheng Coal and Electricity Group (Yongmei in the following paper) which is a local state-owned enterprise with AAA credit rating from its rating agency before the default event, some problems have been found. From Yongmei’s consolidated financial statements and the parent company’s financial statements, it can be found that both statements have a large proportion of short-term debts and their debts from banks are replacing with bond debts. In contrast to the consolidated balance, the parent company has only RMB 2.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents. As the parent is the subject of debt and repayment, it has insufficient solvency, especially in the short term. Besides, from the rating agency’s rating reports and announcement, the rating model uses EBIT and EBITDA as profit indicators and all data from consolidated statements, which are mismatched with the subject of bonds. Hence, it left loopholes to the parent company to upgrade its rating, to ‘transfuse blood’ to its loss-making subsidiaries, or to evade debts. Ultimately, according to these findings, suggestions are provided to debt issuers, regulators, institutional investors and rating agencies. Keywords: Bond Default, Default Risks, Evading debts, Rating Failure 1. INTRODUCTION have invisible guarantees from the government, there has been no substantial default by state-owned enterprises for 1.1 Research Background a long time.