Water Balance and Allocation Modelling in Rwanda FINAL REPORT March 2017 Authors Peter Droogers Maurits Kruisheer Froukje de Boer Wilco Terink Mechteld Andriessen Henk Pelgrum FutureWater rapport 165 FutureWater Costerweg 1V 6702 AA Wageningen The Netherlands +31 (0)317 460050
[email protected] www.futurewater.nl Executive Summary In an effort to introduce integrated land and water management within hydrological units (catchments), the Government of Rwanda, through Water for Growth Rwanda, has commenced the development of catchment plans. Water for Growth Rwanda, a platform to promote improved, integrated management of Rwanda’s water resources (IWRM), is supported by the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands. Over the course of 2015-2019 this platform receives technical assistance from an international IWRM support unit within the Rwanda Natural Resources Authority (RNRA). One component of Water for Growth Rwanda is focused entirely on the introduction of catchment planning and management in four so-called “demonstration catchments” (Upper Nyabarongo, Sebeya, Nyabugogo, and Muvumba). To support the development of these catchment plans quantitative information is required. These plans should go beyond analyzing the current situation (by monitoring) and need to look at projections (e.g. climate change, macro-economic development, population growth) and at alternatives (interventions). To support this goal an extensive modeling exercise has been undertaken, using the WEAP tool, to evaluate future water resources, demand, supply and shortage. Main conclusions and recommendations from the analysis as described in this report based on the extensive modeling analysis are: Water scarcity: Vision 2020 states “the country is endowed with reserves that could provide enough water for both human consumption and agricultural purposes”.