DOCSLIB.ORG

Global Industrials

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Global Industrials 28 May 2013 Americas/United States Equity Research Electrical Equipment / Capital Goods i-Spy Global Industrials Weekly Research Analysts COMMENT Julian Mitchell 212 325 6668 [email protected] More signs of Japanese manufacturing Charles Clarke 212 538 7095 renaissance; rising competition in industrial [email protected] Jonathan Shaffer automation, but bottoming demand 212 325 1259 [email protected] ■ Further signs of Japanese manufacturing renaissance: In an earlier i-Spy, we noted that Nissan had delayed the migration of certain car model production out of Japan; now Kawasaki has announced it will bring back production of mid- sized motorbikes from Thailand to Japan due to the falling Yen. Many of KHI's motorbikes manufactured in Thailand are sold in the US; production will move This Week (5/27/2013 - 6/2/2013) gradually to Japan beginning this autumn. Macro Events ■ China to develop large aero engines within a decade: The MITI's industry 5/28 US May Dallas Fed Mfg. Activity plan last week targets 5% local market share for the domestic commercial 5/28 US May Richmond Fed aerospace industry by 2020 (C919 orders have already reached almost 400 5/30 Euro-Zone Business Climate aircraft), and an assembly line for medium-power aero engines by 2015, with 5/31 US May Chicago PMI larger engines to be produced within 10 years. 6/1 China PMI Mfg ■ Industrial automation competition increasing; PLC role under threat: Company Events Meetings at EPG and at ETN confirmed several themes we noted following our 5/27-30 Siemens AG Roadshow - Beijing trip to Hannover's Automation Fair in April. In particular, Schneider emphasized 5/28 Landstar Q2 2013 Guidance its push into 'hybrid' (between process and discrete automation) markets via its 5/28 Havells India Ltd Y 2013 'Plantstruxure' offering, and we heard from ETN that logic / control functionality 5/29 BEML Ltd Y 2013 within the plant is moving increasingly away from the PLC (into other devices 5/29 Tata Motors Ltd Y 2013 such as drives, the HMI etc). 5/29 BGR Energy Systems Y 2013 ■ Japanese industrial automation - bottoming demand trends: At its strategy 5/30 Joy Global Inc Q2 2013 briefing, Mitsubishi Electric noted that it is seeing factory automation demand 5/30 Esterline Q2 2013 bottom out, due to a recent recovery in Korean LCD demand, numeric controls in 5/30 Suzlon Energy Y 2013 China, and microprocessors in China / Taiwan. Our Japan Team raised its target 5/30 Mahindra & Mahindra Y 2013 prices for Yaskawa (a hike to FY guidance is expected, due to recovering capex 5/31 Pall Corp Q3 2013 by SPE and Auto customers, and FX), and Fanuc (per THK data, robodrill orders appear to be recovering, and Auto capex remains robust); both are OP-rated. ■ Hitachi becoming more aggressive in global power markets: In recent years, much attention has been focused on Mitsubishi Heavy's potential to win share in gas turbines, and its J Series turbines have had some notable successes. Hitachi also appears to have expansionist ambitions outside of Japan - its President was quoted last week as saying that GE's 'style of lump sum contracts for gas turbines is not fully satisfactory for customers;' Hitachi hopes to win more business due to the breadth of its offerings, including EPC work. .Exhibit 1: Global Performance Snapshot: The best and worst last week 10 Best Stocks 1-Week 10 Worst Stocks 1-Week 10 Best Sectors 1-Week 10 Worst Sectors 1-Week TBEA Co Ltd 20.2% Nabtesco -14.3% European Wind Energy 8.4% Japan Machine Tools -13.5% Vestas 12.0% Punj Lloyd Ltd -12.1% China Power Equipment 1.5% Japan Conglomerates -10.3% Severfield 9.3% KEC International Ltd -12.0% Korea Engineering & Construction 0.8% Japan Infrastructure Machinery -9.2% China Ming Yang Wind Power Group Ltd. 6.8% Hitachi Construction Machinery -12.0% US Engineering & Construction 0.5% Japan Auto Related Consumables -7.9% Airtac 6.3% Amada -11.6% US Environmental Services 0.4% Japan Automotive -7.1% Teco 6.2% NTN -11.5% European Electrical/Electronics 0.3% India Capital Goods -5.9% Rexnord 5.7% Mitsubishi Electric -10.7% Korea Industrials / Shipbuilding / Autos 0.1% China Automotive -4.4% Kia Motors 5.5% Nissan Motor -10.4% MEA Industrials -0.1% Japan/Taiwan Factory Automation -4.3% Fiat 5.4% BEML Ltd -10.4% European Aerospace & Defense -0.2% China Infrastructure Construction -3.0% FosterWheeler 5.3% THK -10.4% UK Capital Goods -0.3% India Automotive -2.3% Source: DataStream. S DISCLOSURE APPENDIX CONTAINS IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS, INFORMATION ON TRADE ALERTS, ANALYST MODEL PORTFOLIOS AND THE STATUS OF NON-U.S ANALYSTS. FOR OTHER IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, visit www.credit-suisse.com/researchdisclosures or call +1 (877) 291-2683 US Disclosure: Credit Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. CREDIT SUISSE SECURITIES RESEARCH & ANALYTICS BEYOND INFORMATION® Client-Driven Solutions, Insights, and Access 28 May 2013 Table of contents Macro Snapshot: CS Six NT Demand Indicators 3 Performance Summary 6 Price Commentary Tracker 7 Recent Industrial Transactions 8 Recommended Reading 9 Recommended Reading Summaries 12 Macro/ Strategy 12 Global Research 12 Americas Research 13 EMEA Research 31 Asia Research 34 Global Macro Forecasts 42 Valuation & Performance 43 Americas Capital Goods Valuation Summary 44 EMEA Capital Goods Valuation Summary 47 Asia Capital Goods Valuation Summary 49 CS Global Capital Goods Team 52 Global Calendars 53 Americas 53 EMEA 53 Asia 54 i-Spy Global Industrials Weekly 2 28 May 2013 Macro Snapshot: CS Six NT Demand Indicators Exhibit 2: Demand Indicators – Six Month Outlook Metric Recent / Current Trend 6 month outlook Delta Lead Indicators / surveys PMIs stabilized Likely moving sideways = Factory / durable goods orders Reacceleration Reacceleration + Coincident trends IP momentum peaking Deceleration - Company data Muted sales growth; soft orders Orders to rebound + Supply side Patchy in China, stable elsewhere Pick-up likely + Transport / distributor data Traffic growth is resilient; destocking Restocking likely + Source: Credit Suisse Research. Indicator #1 Lead Indicators / Surveys Germany IFO ■ The Germany IFO Business Climate increased to 105.7 in May against April reading of 104.4. The economists had expected it to be unchanged. The Current Assessment rose to 110 from 107.2; while Expectations index remained at 101.6, same as April. Eurozone and Germany Flash Mfg PMIs ■ Eurozone PMI Mfg flash reading increased to 47.8 in May against the consensus of 47 and April reading of 46.7. Germany PMI flash reading for May increased to 49 from 48.1 in April. Indicator #2 Factory / Durable Goods Orders US Durable Goods Orders ■ According to Equipment Leasing and Finance Association, the overall new business volume for April was $7.5 billion, +23% YoY. On MoM, the new business volume +10%. Year to date, cumulative new business volume was +8%. Separately, the Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation's Monthly Confidence Index for May increased to 56.7 from April index of 54.0, indicating industry participants’ increasing optimism despite continuing concerns over the economy. Indicator #4 Company Data Emerson Orders ■ EMR April orders (3MMA) dropped -3% exc-FX, vs -2% for the March 3MMA. Climate orders were flat exc-FX after +3% organically in March, showing incremental softness. Process Automation remains sluggish with 3MMA orders up slightly, consistent with +3% in March. IA saw another quarter of a low teens decline. Network Power orders exc-FX were down at a high single digit rate, in- line with March. Caterpillar Dealer Statistics ■ Total machine sales (3MMA) fell 9% y/y vs. down 11% in March and down 13% in February. NA saw sales decline 18% y/y vs. down 11% and 12% in March and April, respectively. The decline in NA was primarily due to mining and coal which i-Spy Global Industrials Weekly 3 28 May 2013 were fairly strong last year Engine Sales were down 5% y/y in April, an improvement from down 6% in March and down 7% in Feb. Indicator #5 Supply side Indicator Equipment Leasing and Finance Confidence Index ■ According to Equipment Leasing and Finance Association, the overall new business volume for April was $7.5 billion, +23% YoY. On MoM, the new business volume +10%. Year to date, cumulative new business volume was +8%. Separately, the Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation's Monthly Confidence Index for May increased to 56.7 from April index of 54.0, indicating industry participants’ increasing optimism despite continuing concerns over the economy. i-Spy Global Industrials Weekly 4 Exhibit 3: Demand Indicators Indicator #1 Lead Indicators/ Surveys Indicator #1 Lead Indicators/ Surveys Indicator #2 Factory/ Durable Goods Orders Germany IFO Eurozone, Germany Flash Mfg PMIs US Durable Goods Orders IFO Business Climate Nondefense Cap Goods excl Aircrafts (YoY%) 130 65 Euro-Zone Mfg PMI Germany Mfg PMI 40 IFO Business Expectations Durable Goods excl Transportation (YoY%) IFO Current Situation 60 30 Durable Goods (YoY%) 120 20 55 i 110 - 10 Spy 50 Global Indus Global 0 100 45 -10 90 -20 40 trials Weekly trials Flash PMIs -30 80 35 -40 70 30 -50 May-03 May-05 May-07 May-09 May-11 May-13 May-08 May-09 May-10 May-11 May-12 May-13 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Source: Datastream
Load more

Recommended publications
  • China Construction Machinery
    10 Feb 2020 CMB International Securities | Equity Research | Sector Update China Construction Machinery Scenario analysis on the resumption of factory production OUTPERFORM (Maintain) Factories in China, except Hubei, are scheduled to resume operation today. We China Capital Goods evaluate the companies under our coverage from several dimensions, including location of factories, capacity utilization, downstream demand and cash flow Wayne Fung, CFA management. Our base case scenario suggests that the overall earnings impact (852) 3900 0826 for the full year should be limited, as the sales volume in 1Q (the traditional peak [email protected] season) will potentially be shifted to 2Q or 3Q (low seasons) when the construction activities pick up when the epidemic is under control. We believe potential share price volatility in the near term will serve as opportunities to accumulate quality names such as SANY Heavy (600031 CH, BUY, TP: RMB19.0), Jiangsu Hengli (601100 CH, BUY, TP: RMB54.0) and Weichai Power (2338 HK, BUY, TP: HK$17.9 / 000338 CH, BUY, TP: RMB15.9). Utilization rate to gradually increase. For the companies under our coverage, no production base is located in Hubei province (figure 1). Some companies such as Weichai, SANY Heavy and Zoomlion have already resumed production since last week while others will restart today. That said, we do expect most of them will only ramp up its production gradually due to the potential labour shortage in the near term. Companies are trying their best to ramp up production to fulfil the existing orders, based on our check. Related Reports Expect mild delay on downstream demand.
    [Show full text]
  • China Construction Machinery
    21 Jan 2020 CMB International Securities | Equity Research | Sector Update China Construction Machinery SANY & Hengli issued +ve profit alert; Expect SANYI the next OUTPERFORM (Maintain) After the positive profit alert released by Zoomlion (1157 HK / 000157 CH, BUY) China Capital Goods last week followed by favourable share price reaction, SANY Heavy (600031 CH, BUY, Top pick) and Jiangsu Hengli (601100 CH, BUY) also released positive Wayne Fung, CFA alert yesterday with net profit in 2019E up 76-93% YoY and 47-53% YoY (852) 3900 0826 respectively. The strong earnings growth reaffirms our positive stance on both [email protected] companies. On the other hand, within our universe, we expect SANYI (631 HK, BUY) will potentially issue positive alert as well, which should serve as near term share price catalyst. SANY Heavy’s net profit in 2019E surged 76-93% YoY. According to the Company, the net profit range is RMB10.8-11.8bn, with mid-point of RMB11.3bn slightly above our estimate of RMB11.1bn. This implies 4Q19E earnings of RMB1.64-2.64bn, up 33%-114% YoY, with a mid-point of RMB2.14bn higher than our estimate of RMB1.97bn. The growth was driven by all business lines including excavator, crane, concrete, and pilling machinery. Besides, production efficiency enhancement and operating leverage also helped drive the earnings growth. Going forward, we expect an extended upcycle of excavator, together with the strong cycle of concrete and crane machinery, will continue to offer earnings surprise in 2020E. Jiangsu Hengli’s net profit in 2019E grew 47-53% YoY.
    [Show full text]
  • Reports Available the European Service
    REPORTS AVAILABLE THE EUROPEAN SERVICE MARKET REPORTS: MONTHLY EQUIPMENT ANALYSES AGRICULTURAL DIESEL ENGINES MOTOR GRADERS TRACTORS France Germany France Germany Germany Italy ROUGH TERRAIN Italy UK LIFT TRUCKS UK France DUMP TRUCKS Germany ASPHALT FINISHERS France Italy Germany Germany UK Italy Italy UK UK SKID-STEER LOADERS BACKHOE LOADERS HYDRAULIC France Europe EXCAVATORS Germany France Italy COMPACTION Germany SUBSCRIPTIONUK SERVICES FOR FURTHER DETAILS, Available on an annual subscription basis and published PLEASE CONTACT: EQUIPMENT Italy monthly, they monitor, analyse and provide objective opinions on these key construction equipment markets. David C.A. Phillips Simon Battersby n WESTERN EUROPE Managing Director Sales Account Manager Off-Highway Research Limited Off-Highway Research Ltd. France UK n CHINA* WHEELED Southfields, Southview Road, Southfields, Southview Road, n INDIA Wadhurst, East Sussex, Wadhurst, East Sussex, * Also available in Chinese language version. TN5 6TP, United Kingdom TN5 6TP, United Kingdom Germany LOADERS T: +44 (0)1892 786 270 T: +44 (0)1892 786 232 Each service is made up of the following elements: F: +44 (0)1892 784 086 F: +44 (0)1892 784 086 Italy MINI EXCAVATORS n COMPANY PROFILESFrance E: [email protected] E: [email protected] n EQUIPMENT ANALYSES www.offhighway.co.uk www.offhighway.co.uk n COUNTRY ANALYSES (Europe only) UK France n MARKET REPORTSGermany CHINA INDIA n ENQUIRY PRIVILEGES SHI Yang Samir Bansal Off-Highway Research Ltd. Off-Highway Research India Germany DATABASEItaly
    [Show full text]
  • Project Proposals (In Chinese)
    13 August 2015 Final Extended Report Assessment of the normative and policy framework governing the Chinese economy and its impact on international competition For: AEGIS EUROPE Cross-sector Alliance Representing European Manufacturing Brussels Belgium THINK!DESK China Research & Consulting Prof. Dr. Markus Taube & Dr. Christian Schmidkonz GbR Merzstrasse 18 81679 München Tel.: +49 - (0)89 - 26 21 27 82 [email protected] www.thinkdesk.de This report has been prepared by: Prof. Dr. Markus Taube Peter Thomas in der Heiden © THINK!DESK China Research & Consulting 2015 Seite 2 Contents Executive Summary ························································································· 12 1. Introduction ······························································································ 28 Part I: The Management of the Chinese Economy: Institutional Set-up and Policy Instruments 2. Centralised Planning and Market Forces in the Chinese Economy ··················· 33 2.1 The Role of Planning in the Chinese Economy ············································ 33 2.1.1 Types of Plans ··············································································· 33 2.1.2 Plans and Complementary Documents················································ 42 2.2 Dedicated Government Programmes for Industry Guidance ··························· 46 2.2.1 Subsidies – An Overview ································································· 46 2.2.1.1 Examples for Preferential Policies and Grant Giving Operations by Local Governments
    [Show full text]
  • Lonking (3339 HK)
    Equity Research | Construction Machinery Oct 17, 2017 Lonking (3339 HK) Buy (initiation) Beneficiary of the upcycle in China’s construction machinery industry; Target price: HK$4.30 initiate at Buy Initiate at Buy with TP of HK$4.30 We like Lonking for three main reasons: 1) it stands to benefit from the current upcycle in China’s construction machinery sector; 2) product price Dominic Chan, CFA, FRM increases should spur further business momentum; 3) market share gains demonstrate its SFC CE No. APP609 competiveness. We forecast net profit will rise 81% and 24% respectively in 2017/18, and [email protected] that net profit will see a CAGR of 37% during 2016-19. We initiate our coverage with a Buy +852 3719 1218 rating and target price of HK$4.30, based on 15x 2018E P/E and 2.0x 2018E P/B, its historical averages since 2006, and a 10% discount to the average 2018E P/E of its international peers. GF Securities (Hong Kong) Brokerage Limited 29-30/F, Li Po Chun Chambers Upcycle in China’s construction machinery industry Construction machinery sales 189 Des Voeux Road Central volume in China has been on the rise since 2H16. In 9M17, loader sales volume came in at Hong Kong 67,786 units, up 48% YoY, while excavator sales volume was 101,934units, up a substantial 100% YoY. This strong sales volume has been driven by steady FAI in China’s infrastructure, property and mining sectors, and replacements of machines sold during 2010-2012, after 6-8 years’ use.
    [Show full text]
  • Global Industrials: Push by Japan, China Into 3D Printing
    03 June 2013 Americas/United States Equity Research Electrical Equipment / Capital Goods i-Spy Global Industrials Weekly Research Analysts COMMENT Julian Mitchell 212 325 6668 [email protected] Push by Japan, China into 3D printing; more Charles Clarke 212 538 7095 competition in industrial automation software [email protected] Jonathan Shaffer ■ Japan and China making a push in 3D printing: Many Japanese 3D print- 212 325 1259 [email protected] related stocks had a strong bounce last week, due to reports that the Japanese government is bringing together the public and private sector in order to develop a high-performance sand-cast 3D printer for the mass production of cast-iron parts. These are used in diverse industries such as automotive, power gen This Week (6/3/2013 - 6/9/2013) Macro Events equipment and construction machinery. The target ASP per printer is JPY20m or 6/3 Euro-Zone May PMI Mfg (final) lower; the project cost is estimated at JPY3bn. China's biggest white goods 6/3 Germany May PMI Mfg (final) manufacturer, Haier, also announced its plan to enter the 3D printer market. 6/3 France May PMI Mfg (final) ■ Competition continues to intensify in industrial automation software: 6/3 UK May PMI Mfg 6/3 China HSBC May Mfg PMI Software comprises the single largest cost element of industrial automation 6/4 UK May PMI Construction projects today, and our Industry report last August highlighted that competition, 6/5 US Apr Factory Orders and M&A, is likely to intensify in this space, as the hardware vendors expand 6/6 Germany Apr Factory Orders their presence here.
    [Show full text]
  • (Main Products) Electrical Equipments Chongqing Yuneng
    Post Name of enterprise Industry Address Tel. Web Main business (main products) code Electrical equipments Aluminum stranded conductor steel-reinforced Chongqing Yuneng Manufacture No.1, Jinguo Avenue, National http://www.cqtaishan.co wire up to 1000kV, power cable up to 500kV, Taishan Electric of electric Agricultural Technology Park, 401120 023-61898188 m/ magnetic conductor, cable used for electric Wire&Cable Co., Ltd. wire & cable Yubei Dist., Chongqing equipment, special cable and so on Manufacture of ABB Chongqing No. 1, Huayannan Village, EHV transformers and reactors of 500kV and transformers, 400052 023 69093688 http://www.abb.com.cn/ Transformer Co., Ltd. Jiulongpo Dist., Chongqing above rectifiers & inductors Switch disconnectors with capacity up to 220kV, 110kV, SF6 gas insulated switchgear Manufacture （GIS）and self-interrupter SF6 circuit of breaker, 10～220kV Oil power transformer Chongqing AEA Electric distribution No.38, Jingjiqiao, Shapingba http://www.cqaea.com 400051 023-61717786 and CT&PT, 0.6～35kV resin cast power (group) Co., Ltd. switches & Dist., Chongqing / transformer and CT&PT, complete sets of control switch devices up to 35kV, prefabricated equipments substations, integrated power automation system and so on Manufacture Chongqing Electric of Yuqingsi, Zhongliangshan, http://www.cemf.com. AC&DC motors, small and medium-sized 400052 023-89093000 Machine Federation Ltd. electromotor Chongqing cn/ generators, turbines and so on s Wire, cable, anaerobic copper bar, electric Chongqing Pigeon Manufacture No. 998, Konggang http://www.cq-cable.co copper wire, copper profile, copper and Electric Wire&Cable Co., of electric 401120 023-67166111 Avenue,Yubei Dist., Chongqing m/ copper alloy rod, HV&LV electric porcelain Ltd.
    [Show full text]
  • FTSE Publications
    2 FTSE Russell Publications FTSE Global All Cap ex Canada 19 August 2019 China A Inclusion Indicative Index Weight Data as at Closing on 28 June 2019 Index Index Index Constituent Country Constituent Country Constituent Country weight (%) weight (%) weight (%) 1&1 Drillisch <0.005 GERMANY Accell Group <0.005 NETHERLANDS Advanced Wireless Semiconductor <0.005 TAIWAN 1st Source <0.005 USA Accent Group <0.005 AUSTRALIA AdvanSix <0.005 USA 21Vianet Group (ADS) (N Shares) <0.005 CHINA Accenture Cl A 0.23 USA Advantech 0.01 TAIWAN 2U <0.005 USA Acciona S.A. <0.005 SPAIN Advantest Corp 0.01 JAPAN 360 Security (A) <0.005 CHINA ACCO Brands <0.005 USA Advtech <0.005 SOUTH AFRICA 361 Degrees International (P Chip) <0.005 CHINA Accor 0.02 FRANCE Adyen 0.02 NETHERLANDS 3-D Systems <0.005 USA Accordia Golf Trust <0.005 SINGAPORE Aecc Aero Engine Control (A) <0.005 CHINA 3i Group 0.03 UNITED Accton Technology <0.005 TAIWAN Aecc Aero Science Technology (A) <0.005 CHINA KINGDOM Ace Hardware Indonesia <0.005 INDONESIA AECC Aviation Power (A) <0.005 CHINA 3M Company 0.19 USA Acea <0.005 ITALY AECI <0.005 SOUTH AFRICA 3M India <0.005 INDIA Acer <0.005 TAIWAN AECOM 0.01 USA 3SBio (P Chip) <0.005 CHINA Acerinox <0.005 SPAIN Aedas Homes <0.005 SPAIN 51job ADR (N Shares) <0.005 CHINA Achilles <0.005 JAPAN Aedifica <0.005 BELGIUM 58.com ADS (N Shares) 0.01 CHINA ACI Worldwide 0.01 USA Aegean Airlines SA <0.005 GREECE 5I5j Holding Group (A) <0.005 CHINA Ackermans & Van Haaren 0.01 BELGIUM Aegion Corp.
    [Show full text]
  • Global and China Forklift Industry Report, 2017-2021 2017 2021
    Global and China Forklift Industry Report, 2017-2021 Nov. 2017 STUDY GOAL AND OBJECTIVES METHODOLOGY This report provides the industry executives with strategically signifisignificantcant Both primary and secondary research methodologies were used competitor information, analysis, insight and projection on the in preparing this study. Initially, a comprehensive and exhaustive competitive pattern and key companies in the industry, crucial to the search of the literature on this industry was conducted. These development and implementation of effective business, marketing and sources included related books and journals, trade literature, R&D programs. marketing literature, other product/promotional literature, annual reports, security analyst reports, and other publications. REPORT OBJECTIVES Subsequently, telephone interviews or email correspondence TtblihTo establish a compre hiftlhensive, factual, annua lldtddtlly updated and cost- was conducted with marketing executives etc. Other sources effective information base on market size, competition patterns, included related magazines, academics, and consulting market segments, goals and strategies of the leading players in the companies. market, reviews and forecasts. To assist potential market entrants in evaluating prospective INFORMATION SOURCES acquisition and joint venture candidates. The primary information sources include Company Reports, To complement the organizations’ internal competitor information and National Bureau of Statistics of China etc. gathering efforts with strategic
    [Show full text]
  • China Construction Machinery
    13 Sep 2019 CMB International Securities | Equity Research | Sector Update China Construction Machinery Implications of 1H19 results and upcoming drivers OUTPERFORM (Maintain) Construction machinery and HDT manufactures generally reported decent results China Capital Goods in 1H19. Large construction machinery players such as Zoomlion (1157 HK / 000157 CH, BUY), SANY Heavy (600031 CH, NR) and XCMG (000425 CH, NR) Wayne Fung, CFA reported significant net profit growth (100-200% YoY). Going forward, we believe (852) 3900 0826 the launch of new products, market consolidation, environmental policies driven [email protected] replacement demand and import substitution will serve as growth drivers. In the near term, the post result remarks by major construction machinery players point to a recovery of order intakes in Sep. We believe a potential pick up of infrastructure spending will boost sales volume in 4Q19E. Larger players reported better revenue growth in 1H19. The trend of industry consolidation continued with large players such as SANY Heavy and Zoomlion reported >50% YoY growth of revenue. The growth was driven by strong demand for crane and concrete machinery, as well as market share gains by both players. Smaller players such as Liugong (000528 CH, NR) and Lonking (3339 HK, HOLD) with a focus on wheel loaders reported low single digit revenue growth due to the substitution by excavator. Margin expansion. Majority of the players reported margin expansion in 1H19, on the back of operating leverage and product mix enhancement. Zoomlion and SANY Int’l (631 HK, BUY) reported 4.5ppt and 3.6ppt YoY expansion on gross margin. We expect both companies will continue to see margin upside with the launch of more products.
    [Show full text]
  • FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap China a Inclusion
    FTSE Russell Publications FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap 19 February 2018 China A Inclusion Indicative Index Weight Data as at Closing on 29 December 2017 Index Index Index Constituent Country Constituent Country Constituent Country weight (%) weight (%) weight (%) 21Vianet Group (ADS) (N Shares) 0.01 CHINA Air China (H) 0.04 CHINA Angang Steel (H) 0.02 CHINA 361 Degrees International (P Chip) <0.005 CHINA AirAsia 0.02 MALAYSIA Angel Yeast (A) <0.005 CHINA 3SBio (P Chip) 0.04 CHINA AirAsia X <0.005 MALAYSIA Anglo American Platinum 0.03 SOUTH 51job ADR (N Shares) 0.01 CHINA Airports of Thailand 0.17 THAILAND AFRICA 58.com ADS (N Shares) 0.06 CHINA Airtac International Group 0.05 TAIWAN Anglogold Ashanti 0.08 SOUTH A.G.V. Products <0.005 TAIWAN Aisino Corporation (A) 0.01 CHINA AFRICA ABB India 0.02 INDIA Ajanta Pharma 0.01 INDIA Anhui Anke Biotechnology (Group) (A) <0.005 CHINA Ability Enterprise <0.005 TAIWAN Ajisen China Holdings (P Chip) <0.005 CHINA Anhui Chaodong Cement (A) <0.005 CHINA Aboitiz Equity Ventures 0.06 PHILIPPINES Akbank 0.1 TURKEY Anhui Conch Cement (A) 0.02 CHINA Aboitiz Power 0.02 PHILIPPINES Akcansa Cimento <0.005 TURKEY Anhui Conch Cement (H) 0.1 CHINA Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 0.07 UAE Akenerji Elektrik Uretim <0.005 TURKEY Anhui Expressway (A) <0.005 CHINA AcBel Polytech 0.01 TAIWAN AKR Corporindo Tbk PT 0.01 INDONESIA Anhui Expressway (H) 0.01 CHINA ACC 0.02 INDIA Aksa Akrilik Ve Kimya Sanayii <0.005 TURKEY Anhui Golden Seed Winery (A) <0.005 CHINA Accelink Technologies (A) <0.005 CHINA Aksa Enerji Uretim AS <0.005 TURKEY Anhui Gujing Distillery (A) <0.005 CHINA Accton Technology 0.03 TAIWAN Aksigorta <0.005 TURKEY Anhui Gujing Distillery (B) 0.01 CHINA Ace Hardware Indonesia 0.01 INDONESIA Al Meera Consumer Goods Co.
    [Show full text]
  • CMBIS Research
    27 Nov 2019 CMB International Securities | Equity Research | Sector Update China Construction Machinery Four structural drivers to extend the upcycle to 2020-21E OUTPERFORM (Maintain) We believe the strict measures on emission control and pro-investment approach China Capital Goods taken by the government will offer earnings visibility to the China construction machinery sector in 2020E. Besides, leading Chinese brands, on the back of the Wayne Fung, CFA rising competitive power, have emerged as potential game changers to challenge (852) 3900 0826 the global giants. Consequently, we see continuous import substitution and [email protected] overseas opportunities as growth drivers over coming years. We initiate coverage on SANY Heavy (600031 CH, TP: RMB19.0, Top pick), Jiangsu Hengli SANY Heavy revenue mix (1H19) (601100 CH, TP: RMB54.0) and Weichai Power-A (000338 CH, TP: RMB15.9) Piling Earth moving Other with BUY rating. machinery machinery machinery 7% 3% 2% #1: Replacement demand to reach 60% of total sales; driven by emission Concrete regulations. For construction machinery, the National Emission Standard Crane machinery machinery 30% (NES) IV will be implemented in Jul 2020, such pressing timetable should 20% trigger strong replacement demand. For HDT, NES VI(a) will be implemented in Jul 2021 but we see potential of advanced preparation from local Excavator governments. Besides, some local governments have set deadline for the old 38% models to fade out on the stage. Our industry model suggests that >60% of Source: Company data, CMBIS the demand will come from replacement in 2020-21E. Jiangsu Hengli revenue mix (1H19) #2: Structural growth opportunities: Import substitution + market share Completed Component set of 9% gain.
    [Show full text]